Back to blog
Crypto Basics

Bitcoin Price Prediction for July 2025: Key Trends, Insights, and What Investors Can Expect

Get a detailed Bitcoin price prediction for 2025 using Token Metrics AI signals and on-chain data. Learn how institutional inflows, low supply, and macro trends could push BTC to $230K by 2026.
Token Metrics Team
8 min
Want Smarter Crypto Picks—Free?
See unbiased Token Metrics Ratings for BTC, ETH, and top alts.
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
 No credit card | 1-click unsubscribe

As of July 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a major breakout, surging past $119,000 after breaching the critical $110,000 resistance level. This surge, driven by institutional capital inflows, supply constraints, and favorable macroeconomic trends, has reignited optimism in the broader crypto market.

But how high can Bitcoin go in 2025—and beyond? Is this rally sustainable? What are the risks? In this highly informative and SEO-optimized blog post, we’ll provide a detailed Bitcoin price prediction for 2025, using real-time data from the Token Metrics AI crypto trading and research platform, along with key macro, on-chain, and policy-level insights.

🚀 The Bullish Breakout: Bitcoin Turns Upward in June 2025

On June 28, 2025, the Token Metrics AI signal for Bitcoin turned bullish, signaling a strong shift in momentum. Since then, Bitcoin has:

  • Surged past $118,000
  • Broken the psychological and technical resistance at $110,000
  • Shown strong price action supported by both on-chain and institutional metrics

This wasn’t just a technical rally—it’s been fundamentally driven by several powerful tailwinds.

📊 Institutional Adoption: The Driving Force Behind Bitcoin’s Surge

1. Bitcoin Spot ETFs See Billions in Inflows

Major financial institutions—BlackRock, Fidelity, and Charles Schwab—have led the charge in Bitcoin ETF adoption. As of Q3 2025:

  • Total net inflows to U.S.-based Bitcoin ETFs have surpassed $25 billion
  • These products are now used in 401(k)s, pension funds, and private wealth portfolios

Institutional buyers are not flipping BTC like retail investors. Instead, they’re accumulating and holding, tightening supply and driving long-term demand.

2. Declining Exchange Reserves

Another bullish on-chain indicator: BTC reserves on exchanges have dropped from 3.25 million to just 2.55 million BTC—a level not seen since 2017. This suggests:

  • More Bitcoin is being moved to cold wallets
  • Less BTC is available for sale
  • Market sentiment is shifting from “sell” to “HODL”

When supply tightens while demand rises, prices move up—a simple but powerful formula playing out in real time.

📈 Policy Tailwinds: Pro-Crypto Regulations in the U.S.

The current U.S. regulatory landscape is the most Bitcoin-friendly in history.

🔹 Bitcoin Reserve Proposal

There are growing discussions in U.S. policy circles around holding Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset, similar to gold. This has further validated BTC as:

  • A legitimate sovereign-grade asset
  • A hedge against inflation and geopolitical uncertainty

🔹 Clarity on Custody and Taxes

Clear guidelines on:

  • Crypto tax treatment for institutions
  • Custodianship rules for ETFs and banks
  • Greenlight for banks to hold digital assets

…have dramatically increased institutional confidence in Bitcoin.

💰 Macroeconomic Trends Supporting BTC’s Growth

1. Weakening U.S. Dollar

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen due to:

  • Rising national debt
  • Slowing economic growth
  • High interest rates suppressing consumer demand

This has led investors to rotate into store-of-value assets like Bitcoin.

2. Rising Geopolitical Risk

Tensions in the Middle East (e.g., Israel-Iran) and ongoing trade disputes have fueled demand for assets that are:

  • Borderless
  • Non-sovereign
  • Resistant to censorship

Bitcoin fits all three criteria, increasing its role as a digital safe haven in times of global instability.

⚠️ Risks to Monitor in 2025

While the Bitcoin outlook is bullish, several risks could slow momentum:

❌ 1. Energy Usage Concerns

Bitcoin’s Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism remains energy-intensive. Critics argue this could:

  • Attract stricter environmental regulations
  • Reduce adoption in ESG-conscious portfolios

❌ 2. Regional Regulatory Uncertainty

Not all jurisdictions are as pro-Bitcoin as the U.S. In 2025, some countries (especially in Asia and Europe) continue to:

  • Restrict Bitcoin trading
  • Propose heavy taxation
  • Limit institutional adoption

❌ 3. Price Corrections

With BTC up significantly since the start of 2025, short-term pullbacks are likely. Corrections of 15–25% are common in bull cycles—investors should be prepared with clear entry and exit strategies.

📉 Bear Case Scenario

If institutional inflows slow down or new regulation spooks the market:

  • Bitcoin could retrace to $90,000–$100,000
  • This would represent a healthy correction, not a full trend reversal
  • Long-term fundamentals still remain intact

📊 Token Metrics AI Forecast: Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2025–2026

Using on-chain data, macro indicators, and real-time signals from the Token Metrics platform, the current forecast is:

This outlook is supported by Token Metrics AI signals, which have maintained a bullish position since late June 2025.

🧠 How Token Metrics Helps You Navigate Bitcoin and Beyond

While Bitcoin is a macro asset, altcoins often outperform it in bull markets. Token Metrics helps investors identify these opportunities with:

🚀 Moonshots

  • Daily low-cap altcoin picks with 10x–100x potential
  • Live ROI, market cap, and trader grade metrics
  • AI-driven early discovery engine

📈 Real-Time Buy/Sell Signals

  • Use Trader Grade for short-term trades
  • Use Investor Grade for long-term conviction picks

💹 Crypto Indices

  • Thematic portfolios (AI, RWA, Layer 1s, etc.)
  • Easy exposure to sectors likely to boom after BTC leads the rally

🔔 Take Action Today

If you’re looking to ride the current Bitcoin bull cycle and find the next big altcoins to complement your portfolio, start using Token Metrics today:

✅ Track real-time signals
✅ Discover early Moonshots
✅ Analyze risk with AI
✅ Make informed crypto investment decisions

👉 Sign up now at TokenMetrics.com

Build Smarter Crypto Apps &
AI Agents in Minutes, Not Months
Real-time prices, trading signals, and on-chain insights all from one powerful API.
Grab a Free API Key
About Token Metrics
Token Metrics: AI-powered crypto research and ratings platform. We help investors make smarter decisions with unbiased Token Metrics Ratings, on-chain analytics, and editor-curated “Top 10” guides. Our platform distills thousands of data points into clear scores, trends, and alerts you can act on.
30 Employees
analysts, data scientists, and crypto engineers
Daily Briefings
concise market insights and “Top Picks”
Transparent & Compliant
Sponsored ≠ Ratings; research remains independent
Want Smarter Crypto Picks—Free?
See unbiased Token Metrics Ratings for BTC, ETH, and top alts.
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
 No credit card | 1-click unsubscribe
Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

Recent Posts

Research

Moonshots API: Discover Breakout Tokens Before the Crowd

Token Metrics Team
5

The biggest gains in crypto rarely come from the majors. They come from Moonshots—fast-moving tokens with breakout potential. The Moonshots API surfaces these candidates programmatically so you can rank, alert, and act inside your product. In this guide, you’ll call /v2/moonshots, display a high-signal list with TM Grade and Bullish tags, and wire it into bots, dashboards, or screeners in minutes. Start by grabbing your key at Get API Key, then Run Hello-TM and Clone a Template to ship fast.

What You’ll Build in 2 Minutes

Why This Matters

Discovery that converts. Users want more than price tickers, they want a curated, explainable list of high-potential tokens. The Moonshots API encapsulates multiple signals into a short list designed for exploration, alerts, and watchlists you can monetize.

Built for builders. The endpoint returns a consistent schema with grade, signal, and context so you can immediately sort, badge, and trigger workflows. With predictable latency and clear filters, you can scale to dashboards, mobile apps, and headless bots without reinventing the discovery pipeline.

Where to Find The Moonshots API

The cURL request for the Moonshots endpoint is displayed in the top right of the API Reference. Grab it and start tapping into the potential!

How It Works (Under the Hood)

The Moonshots endpoint aggregates a set of evidence—often combining TM Grade, signal state, and momentum/volume context—into a shortlist of breakout candidates. Each row includes a symbol, grade, signal, and timestamp, plus optional reason tags for transparency.

For UX, a common pattern is: headline list → token detail where you render TM Grade (quality), Trading Signals (timing), Support/Resistance (risk placement), Quantmetrics (risk-adjusted performance), and Price Prediction scenarios. This enables users to understand why a token was flagged and how to act with risk controls.

Polling vs webhooks. Dashboards typically poll with short-TTL caching. Alerting flows use scheduled jobs or webhooks to smooth traffic and avoid duplicates. Always make notifications idempotent.

Production Checklist

Use Cases & Patterns

Next Steps

FAQs

1) What does the Moonshots API return?

A list of breakout candidates with fields such as symbol, tm_grade, signal (often Bullish/Bearish), optional reason tags, and updated_at. Use it to drive discover tabs, alerts, and watchlists.

2) How fresh is the list? What about latency/SLOs?

The endpoint targets predictable latency and timely updates for dashboards and alerts. Use short-TTL caching and queued jobs/webhooks to avoid bursty polling.

3) How do I use Moonshots in a trading workflow?

Common stack: Moonshots for discovery, Trading Signals for timing, Support/Resistance for SL/TP, Quantmetrics for sizing, and Price Prediction for scenario context. Always backtest and paper-trade first.

4) I saw results like “+241%” and a “7.5% average return.” Are these guaranteed?

No. Any historical results are illustrative and not guarantees of future performance. Markets are risky; use risk management and testing.

5) Can I filter the Moonshots list?

Yes—pass parameters like min_grade, signal, and limit (as supported) to tailor to your audience and keep pages fast.

6) Do you provide SDKs or examples?

REST works with JavaScript and Python snippets above. Docs include quickstarts, Postman collections, and templates—start with Run Hello-TM.

7) Pricing, limits, and enterprise SLAs?

Begin free and scale up. See API plans for rate limits and enterprise options.

Research

Support and Resistance API: Auto-Calculate Smart Levels for Better Trades

Token Metrics Team
4

Most traders still draw lines by hand in TradingView. The support and resistance API from Token Metrics auto-calculates clean support and resistance levels from one request, so your dashboard, bot, or alerts can react instantly. In minutes, you’ll call /v2/resistance-support, render actionable levels for any token, and wire them into stops, targets, or notifications. Start by grabbing your key on Get API Key, then Run Hello-TM and Clone a Template to ship a production-ready feature fast.

What You’ll Build in 2 Minutes

A minimal script that fetches Support/Resistance via /v2/resistance-support for a symbol (e.g., BTC, SOL).

  • A one-liner curl to smoke-test your key.
  • A UI pattern to display nearest support, nearest resistance, level strength, and last updated time.

Next Endpoints to add

  • /v2/trading-signals (entries/exits)
  • /v2/hourly-trading-signals (intraday updates)
  • /v2/tm-grade (single-score context)
  • /v2/quantmetrics (risk/return framing)

Why This Matters

Precision beats guesswork. Hand-drawn lines are subjective and slow. The support and resistance API standardizes levels across assets and timeframes, enabling deterministic stops and take-profits your users (and bots) can trust.

Production-ready by design. A simple REST shape, predictable latency, and clear semantics let you add levels to token pages, automate SL/TP alerts, and build rule-based execution with minimal glue code.

Where to Find

Need the Support and Resistance data? The cURL request for it is in the top right of the API Reference for quick access.

👉 Keep momentum: Get API KeyRun Hello-TMClone a Template

How It Works (Under the Hood)

The Support/Resistance endpoint analyzes recent price structure to produce discrete levels above and below current price, along with strength indicators you can use for priority and styling. Query /v2/resistance-support?symbol=<ASSET>&timeframe=<HORIZON> to receive arrays of level objects and timestamps.

Polling vs webhooks. For dashboards, short-TTL caching and batched fetches keep pages snappy. For bots and alerts, use queued jobs or webhooks (where applicable) to avoid noisy, bursty polling—especially around market opens and major events.

Production Checklist

  • Rate limits: Respect plan caps; add client-side throttling.
  • Retries/backoff: Exponential backoff with jitter for 429/5xx; log failures.
  • Idempotency: Make alerting and order logic idempotent to prevent duplicates.
  • Caching: Memory/Redis/KV with short TTLs; pre-warm top symbols.
  • Batching: Fetch multiple assets per cycle; parallelize within rate limits.
  • Threshold logic: Add %-of-price buffers (e.g., alert at 0.3–0.5% from level).
  • Error catalog: Map common 4xx/5xx to actionable user guidance; keep request IDs.
  • Observability: Track p95/p99; measure alert precision (touch vs approach).
  • Security: Store API keys in a secrets manager; rotate regularly.

Use Cases & Patterns

  • Bot Builder (Headless): Use nearest support for stop placement and nearest resistance for profit targets. Combine with /v2/trading-signals for entries/exits and size via Quantmetrics (volatility, drawdown).
  • Dashboard Builder (Product): Add a Levels widget to token pages; badge strength (e.g., High/Med/Low) and show last touch time. Color the price region (below support, between levels, above resistance) for instant context.
  • Screener Maker (Lightweight Tools): “Close to level” sort: highlight tokens within X% of a strong level. Toggle alerts for approach vs breakout events.
  • Risk Management: Create policy rules like “no new long if price is within 0.2% of strong resistance.” Export daily level snapshots for audit/compliance.

Next Steps

  • Get API Key — generate a key and start free.
  • Run Hello-TM — verify your first successful call.
  • Clone a Template — deploy a levels panel or alerts bot today.
  • Watch the demo: Compare plans: Scale confidently with API plans.

FAQs

1) What does the Support & Resistance API return?

A JSON payload with arrays of support and resistance levels for a symbol (and optional timeframe), each with a price and strength indicator, plus an update timestamp.

2) How timely are the levels? What are the latency/SLOs?

The endpoint targets predictable latency suitable for dashboards and alerts. Use short-TTL caching for UIs, and queued jobs or webhooks for alerting to smooth traffic.

3) How do I trigger alerts or trades from levels?

Common patterns: alert when price is within X% of a level, touches a level, or breaks beyond with confirmation. Always make downstream actions idempotent and respect rate limits.

4) Can I combine levels with other endpoints?

Yes—pair with /v2/trading-signals for timing, /v2/tm-grade for quality context, and /v2/quantmetrics for risk sizing. This yields a complete decide-plan-execute loop.

5) Which timeframe should I use?

Intraday bots prefer shorter horizons; swing/position dashboards use daily or higher-timeframe levels. Offer a timeframe toggle and cache results per setting.

6) Do you provide SDKs or examples?

Use the REST snippets above (JS/Python). The docs include quickstarts, Postman collections, and templates—start with Run Hello-TM.

7) Pricing, limits, and enterprise SLAs?

Begin free and scale as you grow. See API plans for rate limits and enterprise SLA options.

Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.

Research

Quantmetrics API: Measure Risk & Reward in One Call

Token Metrics Team
5

Most traders see price—quants see probabilities. The Quantmetrics API turns raw performance into risk-adjusted stats like Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, drawdown, and CAGR so you can compare tokens objectively and build smarter bots and dashboards. In minutes, you’ll query /v2/quantmetrics, render a clear performance snapshot, and ship a feature that customers trust. Start by grabbing your key at Get API Key, Run Hello-TM to verify your first call, then Clone a Template to go live fast.

What You’ll Build in 2 Minutes

  • A minimal script that fetches Quantmetrics for a token via /v2/quantmetrics (e.g., BTC, ETH, SOL).
  • A smoke-test curl you can paste into your terminal.
  • A UI pattern that displays Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, CAGR, and lookback window.

Next Endpoints to Add

  • /v2/tm-grade (one-score signal)
  • /v2/trading-signals
  • /v2/hourly-trading-signals (timing)
  • /v2/resistance-support (risk placement)
  • /v2/price-prediction (scenario planning)

Why This Matters

Risk-adjusted truth beats hype. Price alone hides tail risk and whipsaws. Quantmetrics compresses edge, risk, and consistency into metrics that travel across assets and timeframes—so you can rank universes, size positions, and communicate performance like a professional.

Built for dev speed

A clean REST schema, predictable latency, and easy auth mean you can plug Sharpe/Sortino into bots, dashboards, and screeners without maintaining your own analytics pipeline. Pair with caching and batching to serve fast pages at scale.

Where to Find

The Quant Metrics cURL request is located in the top right of the API Reference, allowing you to easily integrate it with your application.

Build Smarter Crypto Apps & AI Agents with Token Metrics

Token Metrics provides real-time prices, trading signals, and on-chain insights all from one powerful API. Grab a Free API Key

How It Works (Under the Hood)

Quantmetrics computes risk-adjusted performance over a chosen lookback (e.g., 30d, 90d, 1y). You’ll receive a JSON snapshot with core statistics:

  • Sharpe ratio: excess return per unit of total volatility.
  • Sortino ratio: penalizes downside volatility more than upside.
  • Volatility: standard deviation of returns over the window.
  • Max drawdown: worst peak-to-trough decline.
  • CAGR / performance snapshot: geometric growth rate and best/worst periods.

Call /v2/quantmetrics?symbol=<ASSET>&window=<LOOKBACK> to fetch the current snapshot. For dashboards spanning many tokens, batch symbols and apply short-TTL caching. If you generate alerts (e.g., “Sharpe crossed 1.5”), run a scheduled job and queue notifications to avoid bursty polling.

Production Checklist

  • Rate limits: Understand your tier caps; add client-side throttling and queues.
  • Retries & backoff: Exponential backoff with jitter; treat 429/5xx as transient.
  • Idempotency: Prevent duplicate downstream actions on retried jobs.
  • Caching: Memory/Redis/KV with short TTLs; pre-warm popular symbols and windows.
  • Batching: Fetch multiple symbols per cycle; parallelize carefully within limits.
  • Error catalog: Map 4xx/5xx to clear remediation; log request IDs for tracing.
  • Observability: Track p95/p99 latency and error rates; alert on drift.
  • Security: Store API keys in secrets managers; rotate regularly.

Use Cases & Patterns

  • Bot Builder (Headless): Gate entries by Sharpe ≥ threshold and drawdown ≤ limit, then trigger with /v2/trading-signals; size by inverse volatility.
  • Dashboard Builder (Product): Add a Quantmetrics panel to token pages; allow switching lookbacks (30d/90d/1y) and export CSV.
  • Screener Maker (Lightweight Tools): Top-N by Sortino with filters for volatility and sector; add alert toggles when thresholds cross.
  • Allocator/PM Tools: Blend CAGR, Sharpe, drawdown into a composite score to rank reallocations; show methodology for trust.
  • Research/Reporting: Weekly digest of tokens with Sharpe ↑, drawdown ↓, and volatility ↓.

Next Steps

  • Get API Key — start free and generate a key in seconds.
  • Run Hello-TM — verify your first successful call.
  • Clone a Template — deploy a screener or dashboard today.
  • Watch the demo: VIDEO_URL_HERE
  • Compare plans: Scale with API plans.

FAQs

1) What does the Quantmetrics API return?

A JSON snapshot of risk-adjusted metrics (e.g., Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, CAGR) for a symbol and lookback window—ideal for ranking, sizing, and dashboards.

2) How fresh are the stats? What about latency/SLOs?

Responses are engineered for predictable latency. For heavy UI usage, add short-TTL caching and batch requests; for alerts, use scheduled jobs or webhooks where available.

3) Can I use Quantmetrics to size positions in a live bot?

Yes—many quants size inversely to volatility or require Sharpe ≥ X to trade. Always backtest and paper-trade before going live; past results are illustrative, not guarantees.

4) Which lookback window should I choose?

Short windows (30–90d) adapt faster but are noisier; longer windows (6–12m) are steadier but slower to react. Offer users a toggle and cache each window.

5) Do you provide SDKs or examples?

REST is straightforward (JS/Python above). Docs include quickstarts, Postman collections, and templates—start with Run Hello-TM.

6) Polling vs webhooks for quant alerts?

Dashboards usually use cached polling. For threshold alerts (e.g., Sharpe crosses 1.0), run scheduled jobs and queue notifications to keep usage smooth and idempotent.

7) Pricing, limits, and enterprise SLAs?

Begin free and scale up. See API plans for rate limits and enterprise SLA options.

Disclaimer

All information provided in this blog is for educational purposes only. It is not intended as financial advice. Users should perform their own research and consult with licensed professionals before making any investment or trading decisions.

Choose from Platinum, Gold, and Silver packages
Reach with 25–30% open rates and 0.5–1% CTR
Craft your own custom ad—from banners to tailored copy
Perfect for Crypto Exchanges, SaaS Tools, DeFi, and AI Products