Crypto Basics

How Does Crypto Trading Work? A Complete Beginner’s Guide (2025)

Discover the basics of crypto trading in this straightforward guide designed for new investors. Learn how to navigate the market with confidence. Read more!
Token Metrics Team
8 min
MIN

Cryptocurrency trading has rapidly evolved into one of the most dynamic and potentially rewarding forms of digital asset investing. Cryptocurrencies are rooted in blockchain technology, which serves as a public ledger that is distributed across a decentralized network. As a form of virtual currency, cryptocurrency exists entirely online and is not the same as physical money, meaning it cannot be held or exchanged in person like cash. The encryption used in cryptocurrency ensures that transactions are secure and the data exchanged is verified. For many newcomers, however, the question remains: how does crypto trading work? This comprehensive guide will break down the essential mechanics, strategies, risks, and platforms involved in crypto trading, providing you with a clear understanding of how to get started and trade smart in 2025. Additionally, we will explore the different types of cryptocurrency available in the market.

Introduction to Cryptocurrency

Cryptocurrency is a revolutionary form of digital currency that relies on advanced cryptography to secure financial transactions and control the creation of new units. Since the launch of the first cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, in 2009, the cryptocurrency market has expanded rapidly, introducing a wide variety of digital currencies and investment opportunities. Crypto trading, or cryptocurrency trading, involves buying and selling these digital currencies on a crypto exchange, with the aim of profiting from price fluctuations. For anyone interested in cryptocurrency investing, understanding how the cryptocurrency market operates and recognizing emerging trends is essential. At the heart of this innovation is blockchain technology, which ensures that every transaction is secure, transparent, and resistant to tampering. As digital currencies continue to reshape the financial landscape, learning the basics of cryptocurrency and how to navigate the crypto market is the first step toward successful investing.

Understanding the Cryptocurrency Market

The cryptocurrency market operates as a decentralized ecosystem, free from the direct control of central banks and traditional financial institutions. In this market, crypto trading involves exchanging digital assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other digital currencies for fiat currency or other cryptocurrencies. One of the defining features of the crypto market is its high volatility—price movements can be swift and dramatic, creating both risks and opportunities for traders. To navigate these fluctuations, many traders rely on technical analysis and trend trading strategies to predict price movements and identify optimal entry and exit points. Staying informed about market trends, news, and global events is crucial for anyone trading cryptocurrency, as these factors can significantly impact the value of digital assets. By understanding the unique dynamics of the cryptocurrency market, traders can make more informed decisions and better manage their investments.

Blockchain Technology Explained

Blockchain technology is the backbone of the cryptocurrency market, providing a secure and transparent way to record and verify transactions. At its core, blockchain is a distributed ledger system that stores transaction data across a network of computers, making it nearly impossible to alter or tamper with records. Each transaction is verified using sophisticated cryptographic techniques, ensuring the integrity and authenticity of the data. This decentralized approach eliminates the need for a central authority, reducing the risk of censorship and fraud. For anyone interested in cryptocurrency, understanding how blockchain technology works is essential—not only does it enable secure transactions, but it also underpins the trust and transparency that make digital currencies possible. As blockchain technology continues to evolve, it remains a critical component of the cryptocurrency ecosystem and a key driver of innovation in the financial sector.

What are Crypto Transactions?

Crypto transactions are the process by which digital assets, such as cryptocurrencies, are exchanged between parties. Every crypto transaction is recorded on a public ledger known as the blockchain, where it is verified by a decentralized network of computers. This system ensures that each transaction is secure, transparent, and resistant to tampering. Cryptographic techniques, including the use of private keys and public keys, play a vital role in maintaining the integrity of crypto transactions. When trading cryptocurrency, it’s important to understand how to verify transactions and safeguard your digital assets. By mastering the basics of crypto transactions, traders can participate confidently in the cryptocurrency market and ensure that their trades are both secure and reliable.

Security Measures for Crypto Traders

Protecting your digital assets is a top priority when trading cryptocurrency. To keep your investments safe, always use a secure digital wallet—hardware wallets are especially effective for long-term storage, as they keep your private keys offline and out of reach from hackers. Enable two-factor authentication (2FA) on your crypto exchange accounts to add an extra layer of security, and make sure your software and devices are regularly updated to guard against vulnerabilities. It’s also crucial to choose a reputable crypto exchange with a strong track record for security and to remain vigilant against phishing scams and suspicious links. By following these security measures, crypto traders can significantly reduce the risk of theft and ensure their digital assets remain protected throughout their trading journey.

Transaction Security: Keeping Your Trades Safe

Ensuring the security of each trade is essential when trading cryptocurrency. Always access your crypto exchange through a secure, encrypted connection (look for HTTPS in your browser’s address bar) to prevent unauthorized interception of your data. Before making a trade, verify the legitimacy of both the exchange and your counterparty to avoid falling victim to scams. Store your digital assets in a secure digital wallet, and consider using cold storage solutions for added protection, especially for larger holdings. Stay alert for unusual price movements or unexpected transactions, as these can be signs of suspicious activity. By prioritizing transaction security and following best practices, you can safeguard your digital assets and enjoy a safer, more reliable trading experience in the cryptocurrency market.

What Is Crypto Trading?

At its core, crypto trading involves buying and selling digital assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and various altcoins with the goal of profiting from price movements. A cryptocurrency exchange is a digital marketplace where users can buy, sell, and trade cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin is the most commonly traded cryptocurrency, but traders also seek out valuable cryptocurrency assets like Ethereum and other altcoins. Cryptocurrencies represent a new class of financial assets. Each transaction in a blockchain represents a ‘block’ of data about ownership and is linked to the previous block, forming a chain. Cryptocurrency is considered a non-fiat medium of exchange functioning independently of any government or central bank. Unlike traditional stock markets, the cryptocurrency market operates 24/7 and is accessible globally, often through decentralized or centralized platforms. Users can trade cryptocurrencies on various exchanges, and choosing reputable cryptocurrency exchanges is essential for safe and secure transactions.

There are two primary types of crypto trading to be aware of:

  • Spot Trading: This involves the immediate purchase or sale of crypto assets, with settlement happening instantly. When you buy Bitcoin on a spot market, you own the actual digital coins. Traders often seek out valuable cryptocurrency assets. Trading pairs may include BTC/ETH or BTC/USDC, with USD Coin (USDC) being a stablecoin commonly used in such pairs.
  • Derivatives Trading: Instead of owning the underlying crypto asset, traders buy contracts such as futures, options, or perpetual swaps that derive their value from the price of the cryptocurrency. These contracts are based on the underlying asset, such as Bitcoin or Ethereum. This allows for strategies like leverage trading without holding the actual crypto.

Understanding these key distinctions helps clarify the different ways you can engage with the crypto market.

How Crypto Trading Works: Step-by-Step

1. Choose a Crypto Exchange or Platform

To begin trading, you first need to gain access to a crypto exchange or trading platform. Binance, Coinbase, and Kraken are examples of centralized exchanges, which function as middlemen between buyers and sellers and hold your deposited money. These exchanges often list a wide range of cryptocurrency projects, giving users access to various digital assets. When choosing a platform, it's important to compare transaction fees, as centralized exchanges may charge higher fees than other options. Some platforms also support cryptocurrency payments for goods and services, adding flexibility for users. Be aware that regulations may differ for virtual currencies in different jurisdictions, and users should understand local regulations and reporting requirements related to trading activity. Popular choices in 2025 include Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, and innovative platforms like Token Metrics that incorporate AI-powered research and trading signals with AI crypto trading. The first cryptocurrency ever created was Bitcoin, launched in 2009.

Opening a trading account typically requires you to register, complete identity verification (known as KYC), and deposit funds—either fiat currency like USD or digital coins. You should verify your identity to fund your account on an exchange or broker. When funding your account, ensure the security of your online payments to protect your digital assets. Users store cryptocurrencies in digital wallets that require a private key to access. This process grants you the ability to trade crypto assets securely and efficiently.

2. Pick a Trading Pair

In the crypto market, assets are traded in pairs, meaning you exchange one digital asset for another. Common pairs include:

  • BTC/USD (Bitcoin to US Dollar)
  • ETH/BTC (Ethereum to Bitcoin)
  • SOL/USDT (Solana to Tether)

Trading pairs allow you to speculate on the relative value between two assets, whether between a cryptocurrency and a traditional fiat currency or between two different digital coins. Each cryptocurrency transaction is recorded and cannot be counterfeited, providing a secure method for asset transfer.

3. Understand the Order Book

The order book is a real-time list of all buy (bid) and sell (ask) orders on the exchange. It shows the demand and supply dynamics for a given trading pair.

You can place different types of orders:

  • Market Orders: Buy or sell immediately at the current market price.
  • Limit Orders: Set a specific price at which you want to buy or sell, which executes only when the market reaches that level. Traders often use average prices, such as moving averages, to help determine optimal price levels for placing these orders.
  • Stop-Limit or Stop-Market Orders: Automated orders triggered when the price hits a certain point, helping manage risk or lock in profits.

For traders who place frequent orders, such as scalpers, low fees are important to maximize gains by minimizing transaction costs.

Mastering these order types allows you to control your entry and exit points in the market, crucial for effective trading.

4. Analyze the Market with Technical Analysis

Successful traders use a blend of approaches to predict price movements and identify profitable opportunities: The value of a cryptocurrency is influenced by the quality of its underlying technology and market demand.

  • Technical Analysis (TA): This involves studying price charts, indicators like MACD and RSI, and recognizing patterns in candlestick charts to forecast future price trends. Day traders rely heavily on technical indicators and the ability to recognize patterns to make quick decisions. Understanding price movement is especially important in range trading, where identifying support and resistance zones helps traders operate in stable, non-trending markets.
  • Fundamental Analysis (FA): Evaluating the underlying value of a project by examining its technology, tokenomics, use cases, broader market news, and factors such as mining cryptocurrency, which plays a key role in the creation and sustainability of many digital assets.
  • AI-Powered Tools: Platforms such as Token Metrics leverage machine learning to grade cryptocurrencies and generate real-time trading signals, offering an edge beyond traditional analysis.

By combining these methods, traders make informed decisions rather than relying solely on speculation or hype. In addition, opportunities arise for arbitrage when price differences exist across exchanges, allowing traders to capitalize on these discrepancies. Effective risk management also involves monitoring for price drops and setting rules to limit losses.

5. Make the Trade

After thorough analysis and identifying an optimal entry point, you can execute your trade. Key considerations include:

  • Position sizing: Determine how much capital to allocate.
  • Risk-to-reward ratio: Assess potential gains relative to possible losses.
  • Stop-loss and take-profit targets: Set automated exit points to manage risk.

For example, if you anticipate Ethereum rising from $3,000 to $3,500, you might place a buy order and set a stop-loss at $2,900 to limit potential losses.

6. Monitor and Manage Risk

Given the high volatility of the crypto market, managing risk is essential:

  • Limit exposure to 1–2% of your total capital per trade.
  • Use stop-loss orders to prevent significant losses.
  • Regularly rebalance your portfolio based on evolving market trends.
  • Track your capital gains from cryptocurrency transactions for tax purposes, as proper reporting is crucial for legal compliance.

High volatility creates opportunities for profit within short periods in cryptocurrency trading. Effective risk management is crucial for successful crypto investments, helping you achieve your financial goals while minimizing potential losses.

AI-driven platforms like Token Metrics can assist by offering automated portfolio management tailored to different risk profiles and trading styles.

Types of Crypto Trading Strategies

There are various trading styles suited to different goals and risk appetites: Day trading strategies are based on technical analysis, awareness of market sentiment, and perception of news that may affect volatility. These strategies allow users to trade cryptocurrencies in various ways depending on their preferences and objectives.

  • Day Trading: Involves multiple trades within a single day to capitalize on short-term price fluctuations. This style requires discipline, fast decision-making, and strong technical analysis skills.
  • Swing Trading: Traders hold positions for days or weeks, aiming to profit from medium-term trends by analyzing support and resistance levels, trading volume, and market sentiment.
  • Scalping: A rapid-fire strategy targeting small price changes, with trades lasting seconds or minutes.
  • HODLing: A long-term strategy where investors hold crypto assets believing they will appreciate significantly over time. It's important to know how to store cryptocurrency securely for the long term, using appropriate crypto wallets to protect your assets.
  • AI-Based Trading: Emerging in 2025, AI-powered platforms like Token Metrics automate strategy execution by detecting trend shifts, scanning thousands of tokens, and issuing real-time bullish or bearish alerts. Understanding how cryptocurrency work can help in choosing the right automated strategy and interpreting AI-driven signals.

Understanding these strategies helps you choose the approach that aligns best with your investment goals.

Where Does Crypto Trading Happen in the Cryptocurrency Market?

Crypto trading takes place on several types of platforms:

  • Centralized Exchanges (CEXs): These are traditional, regulated platforms like Binance and Coinbase. They offer high liquidity, user-friendly interfaces, and the ability to deposit and withdraw fiat currency.
  • Decentralized Exchanges (DEXs): Platforms such as Uniswap and PancakeSwap operate on blockchain technology using smart contracts. They allow users to trade directly from their digital wallets without needing to create accounts, promoting secure transactions and privacy.
  • AI Trading Platforms: Innovative services like Token Metrics provide advanced tools including AI-generated grades, real-time trading signals, and dynamic indices that adapt to market trends.

Each platform type offers unique advantages depending on your trading preferences and security requirements.

Benefits of Crypto Trading

Engaging in crypto trading offers several advantages:

  • High Potential Returns: The volatility of digital assets creates opportunities for significant profits.
  • 24/7 Market Access: Unlike traditional markets, the crypto market never closes, allowing trading at any hour.
  • Global Participation: Anyone with internet access can open a crypto account and participate, democratizing investing. Users can make cryptocurrency payments without needing a traditional bank account, making it easier for the unbanked to access financial services. Virtual currency enables participation from anywhere in the world, removing geographic barriers.
  • Technological Innovation: The integration of AI, blockchain technology, and decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols enhances trading capabilities and strategies.

These benefits make crypto trading an attractive option for both novice and experienced investors.

Risks of Crypto Trading

Despite its appeal, crypto trading carries inherent risks: * High Volatility: Sudden and unpredictable value changes can result in rapid losses. * Regulatory Uncertainty: Many regions lack clear oversight, and some exchanges operate without stringent regulation. * Security Threats: Exchanges and wallets can be vulnerable to hacks, risking your crypto holdings. While blockchain technology offers tamper-proof records and features like two-factor authentication, the question "is cryptocurrency safe?" remains, as risks such as hacking incidents, market volatility, and compromised cryptocurrency transactions on exchanges persist. * Emotional Trading: Fear of missing out (FOMO) and panic selling can lead to poor decisions. Proper research on exchanges and storage methods is essential to protect cryptocurrency investments from theft and loss. Investors should only invest what they can afford to lose due to the high risk of investment loss. Virtual currencies are also frequently targeted by scammers, making vigilance against fraud crucial.

  • High Volatility: Sudden and unpredictable value changes can result in rapid losses.
  • Regulatory Uncertainty: Many regions lack clear oversight, and some exchanges operate without stringent regulation.
  • Security Threats: Exchanges and wallets can be vulnerable to hacks, risking your crypto holdings. Blockchain security features like tamper-proof transaction records and two-factor authentication help, but cryptocurrency transactions on exchanges remain at risk from hacking and other threats.
  • Emotional Trading: Fear of missing out (FOMO) and panic selling can lead to poor decisions.

Utilizing AI-powered platforms like Token Metrics can help mitigate these risks by providing data-driven insights and reducing emotional bias.

How Token Metrics Enhances Crypto Trading

For traders seeking an edge in 2025, platforms like Token Metrics are transforming the way people trade cryptocurrency by:

  • Offering AI grades that evaluate coins based on technical indicators, fundamentals, and market sentiment.
  • Delivering real-time alerts for significant price movements and trend changes.
  • Providing auto-managed indices that automatically rebalance portfolios according to token performance and market conditions.
  • Integrating seamlessly with your wallet or exchange to execute trades efficiently.

Whether you’re a beginner or a seasoned day trader, leveraging AI can simplify complex analysis and improve your trading outcomes.

Final Thoughts

Understanding how crypto trading works—from selecting exchanges and order types to adopting effective strategies and managing risk—is essential for trading smarter in the fast-paced digital currency landscape. While the crypto market remains volatile, tools like Token Metrics empower traders to make informed, data-driven decisions, helping to reduce risk and enhance profitability.

Ready to explore AI-powered crypto trading? Start your 7-day free trial with Token Metrics today and experience how smart trading works in 2025.

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Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

Recent Posts

Announcements

🚀 Token Metrics API Goes Live on Hacker News – The AI Crypto Toolkit for Builders

Token Metrics Team
5 min
MIN

The Token Metrics API has officially launched on Hacker News, marking a major milestone in our mission to bring AI-powered crypto insights to every developer, founder, and builder in the Web3 space.

If you're building trading bots, dashboards, investment tools, or AI agents that interact with the crypto market, this is your developer edge in 2025. Forget raw feeds and static charts—this is real-time, AI-grade crypto intelligence available in minutes via a single API key.

What Is the Token Metrics API?

The Token Metrics API is a powerful crypto intelligence engine built for developers who want more than just price data. It combines machine learning, quantitative modeling, and narrative indexing to deliver structured signals that help users make smarter trading decisions.

Instead of simply showing what the market did, the API helps predict what it might do—with insights like:

  • Trader & Investor Grades (0–100 scores on momentum and fundamentals)
  • Bullish/Bearish Signals across 6,000+ assets
  • Narrative-based Indices like DeFi, AI, Memes, RWAs, and more
  • Quantitative Risk Scores and sentiment analysis
  • Real-time updates, no lag, no stale metrics

It’s like giving your crypto bot a brain—and not just any brain, an AI-trained crypto analyst that never sleeps.

Why It’s Different from Every Other Crypto API

Most APIs give you prices, volume, and maybe some on-chain data. Token Metrics gives you opinionated intelligence derived from over 80 on-chain, off-chain, technical, and sentiment indicators.

That means:

  • Your dashboard users get real-time grades and trending tokens.
  • Your AI agent can speak fluently about token fundamentals.
  • Your bot can act on bullish flips before the rest of the market.

We’ve designed this API for modularity and plug-and-play usability. With 21+ endpoints and official SDKs, you can ship faster and smarter—no custom pipeline needed.

What Can You Build?

Whether you're a solo developer or building inside a Web3 team, the possibilities are wide open.

Build smarter with Token Metrics if you’re creating:

  • 🧠 AI trading agents that query real-time token grades
  • 📊 Investor dashboards that surface top-rated altcoins
  • 📈 DApps that alert users to sector momentum shifts
  • 📱 Mobile apps with embedded market signals
  • 🧪 Backtesting systems for narrative-based portfolio strategies

Because the API supports OpenAI, Claude, Cursor, and Raycast integrations, your agents and LLM-powered tools can query live crypto intelligence in natural language—no additional parsing required.

Why the Hacker News Feature Matters

Token Metrics API just made it to the front page of Hacker News, one of the internet’s most trusted platforms for discovering high-impact developer tools.

This means:

  • 💬 A community of builders and engineers is already testing the API
  • 🧪 Feedback is pouring in, helping us evolve faster
  • 🚀 Your early adoption puts you ahead of the curve

If you’ve been waiting for the right time to integrate AI-native crypto signals into your product—this is it.

Get Started for Free

We’re offering 5,000 free API calls/month for every new developer.

Sign up, plug in your key, and build:

  • With one consistent schema
  • Across multiple clients
  • Without chasing multiple API docs

Your users don’t just want raw data anymore—they want insights. Token Metrics delivers those insights in real time, with zero guesswork.

Join the Developer Revolution

💥 Explore the API – Get your key in 30 seconds
💬 Join the Hacker News discussion – See what other devs are saying
📚 Browse Docs – View full endpoints and SDKs

One API. One schema. Smarter crypto apps.
The future of crypto building is AI-powered—and it starts here.

Research

Bullish or Bearish? Interpreting AI Signals in Today’s Volatile Crypto Market

Token Metrics Team
5 min
MIN

Introduction

Crypto moves fast — and traders who can't read the signs get left behind. But in a market where emotions dominate, how do you distinguish between a real trend and a fakeout? That’s where AI-powered trading signals come in.

Token Metrics AI monitors over 6,000 tokens using 80+ data points, from technical momentum to on-chain activity and social sentiment. Its bullish and bearish signals aren’t just flashes of color — they’re actionable, data-driven insights that can guide decisions in chaotic markets.

In this post, we break down how to interpret bullish and bearish signals, what they’ve been saying recently, and how to react when market direction flips suddenly.

What Are Bullish and Bearish Signals?

Let’s start with the basics:

  • Bullish Signal (Green Dot): Indicates that a token is showing signs of an upward trend based on combined technical, sentiment, and on-chain analysis.
  • Bearish Signal (Red Dot): Suggests that a token is losing momentum, and price downside or stagnation is likely.

But these signals aren’t standalone — they come with contextual grades, like the Trader Grade, which ranks signal strength from 0 to 100. This allows you to not just know the direction, but the confidence behind it.

What Happened Recently? The May 30 Flip

On May 30, 2025, Token Metrics AI issued a broad bearish flip across much of the market. That included:

  • Ethereum
  • Bittensor
  • Launchcoin
  • Many Real World Asset and L2 tokens

The AI signal flipped red, and Trader Grades fell across the board. Why? Here's what the AI detected:

  • Slowing volume
  • Negative sentiment shift
  • Liquidity thinning on DEXs
  • On-chain accumulation stalling

This wasn’t panic-driven — it was a data-driven, proactive warning that the cycle had peaked. In a world where most traders rely on lagging indicators or Twitter sentiment, this was an edge.

How to Interpret a Bullish Signal

A bullish signal isn’t an instant “buy” — it's a call to investigate. Here's what to check when a green dot appears:

✅ 1. Trader Grade Above 80

This means high conviction. If it's between 60–79, the trend is forming, but may lack strength.

✅ 2. Volume Confirmation

Price up + volume up = good. Price up + volume flat = caution.

✅ 3. Narrative Alignment

If the token fits a hot theme (like RWAs or AI), that adds strength to the signal.

✅ 4. Recent Price Action

Did the signal appear after a breakout, or just before? Entry timing depends on whether you're catching the beginning or chasing the middle of the trend.

✅ 5. Compare to Peers

If 3–5 similar tokens are also turning bullish, that indicates sector-wide rotation — a better entry environment.

How to Interpret a Bearish Signal

Red doesn’t mean "dump immediately" — it means it's time to tighten your risk.

❗ 1. Trader Grade Below 50

This indicates deteriorating conviction — exit or reduce exposure.

❗ 2. Volume Divergence

If price is flat but volume is fading, that’s a warning of a potential breakdown.

❗ 3. Signal Timing

Did the bearish flip happen near local highs? That’s often the best exit point.

❗ 4. Check for Repeats

Was this the second red dot in a week? That could confirm a longer-term downtrend.

❗ 5. BTC/ETH Context

If Bitcoin or ETH also flip bearish, it may suggest macro pressure, not just token-specific weakness.

Real-Time Examples from the Webinar

During the June 5 Token Metrics webinar, we walked through examples of how these signals worked in real time:

🟢 Bullish (April) – Launchcoin

Strong signal, grade in the 80s. Resulted in a massive short-term run.

🔴 Bearish (May 30) – Ethereum

Signal turned red around $3,490. Traders who followed it avoided the 55% drawdown that followed.

🔴 Bearish (June) – Fartcoin

After a 700% run-up, the signal flipped bearish with a low Trader Grade of ~24. Result? A slow bleed lower as sentiment cooled.

What Makes AI Signals Different from Traditional TA?

Feature                                                    Token Metrics AI                     Traditional TA

Combines social + on-chain                    ✅                                       ❌

Updated in real time                                 ✅                                       ❌

Machine learning trained on past data   ✅                                       ❌

Outputs confidence grade                       ✅                                       ❌

Adapts to new narratives                         ✅                                       ❌

This isn’t about moving averages or MACD — it’s about combining the entire digital footprint of a token to anticipate what comes next.

How to React to a Signal Flip

What do you do when your favorite token suddenly flips from bullish to bearish?

  1. Reduce exposure immediately — even if you don’t sell everything, cut risk.
  2. Check the Grade — if it’s falling, momentum is likely over.
  3. Watch Peer Tokens — if similar projects are also turning red, it confirms sector rotation.
  4. Set New Alerts — if the signal flips back to green, be ready to re-enter.

Your job isn’t to predict the market. It’s to respond to what the data is saying.

How to Combine AI Signals with a Strategy

Here’s a basic framework:

Entry

  • Bullish signal + Trader Grade > 80 = enter with full size.
  • Grade 60–79 = enter small or wait for confirmation.

Exit

  • Bearish signal = scale out or exit.
  • Grade < 50 = no new positions unless for short trades.

Risk

  • Position size scales with grade.
  • Only trade tokens with high liquidity and volume confirmation.

This keeps your system simple, repeatable, and data-driven.

Conclusion

In volatile markets, conviction matters. Token Metrics AI doesn’t just point up or down — it tells you how strong the trend is, how likely it is to last, and when it’s time to pivot.

Don’t trade on emotions. Don’t chase hype. Use the signals — and trust the grade.

Because in a market that never sleeps, it pays to have an AI watching your back.

Research

Crypto Market Cools Off: What Is Token Metrics AI Saying Now

Token Metrics Team
5 min
MIN

Introduction

The euphoria of April and May in the crypto market has officially hit the brakes. While traders were riding high just weeks ago, the mood has shifted — and the data confirms it. Token Metrics’ proprietary AI signals flipped bearish on May 30, and since then, the market has been slowly but steadily declining.

In this post, we break down what’s happened since the bearish signal, how major altcoins and sectors are reacting, and what Token Metrics’ indicators are telling us about what might come next.

The Big Picture: Cooling Off After a Hot Q1 and Q2 Start

The platform’s AI signal turned bearish on May 30 when the total crypto market cap hit $3.34 trillion. Since then, the momentum that defined early 2025 has reversed.

This wasn’t a sudden crash — it’s a slow bleed. The signal shift didn’t come from headline-driven panic, but from data-level exhaustion: volume softening, sentiment stalling, and trend strength fading across most tokens.

Token Metrics AI recognized the shift — and issued the warning.

What the Bearish Signal Means

The AI model analyzes over 80 metrics across price, volume, sentiment, and on-chain data. When key trends across these data sets weaken, the system flips from bullish (green) to bearish (red).

On May 30:

  • Trader Grades across most tokens declined
  • Signal sentiment flipped bearish
  • Momentum and velocity cooled down

According to the model, these were signs of a broad de-risking cycle — not just isolated weakness.

Sectors Showing Declines

Even tokens that had been performing well throughout Q2 began to stall or roll over.

🚨 Launch Coin

Previously one of the top performers in April, Launch Coin saw its grades decrease and price action softened.It may even be rebranding — a typical signal that a project is pivoting after a hype cycle.

🏦 Real World Assets (RWAs)

RWAs were hot in March–May, but by early June, volume and signal quality had cooled off significantly.

🔐 ZK and L2s

Projects like Starknet and zkSync, once dominant in trader attention, have seen signal strength drop, with many now scoring below 70.

The cooling effect is broad, touching narratives, sectors, and high-performing individual tokens alike.

The Bull-Bear Indicator in Action

One of the key tools used by Token Metrics is the Bull vs. Bear Indicator, which aggregates bullish vs. bearish signals across all tokens tracked.

As of early June:

  • The percentage of tokens with bullish signals dropped to its lowest since January.
  • New projects launching with strong grades also saw a decline.
  • Even community-favorite tokens began receiving “exit” alerts.

This isn’t fear — it’s fatigue.

How Traders Are Reacting

During the webinar, we noted that many users who rely on Token Metrics signals began rotating into stables once the May 30 signal flipped. Others reduced leverage, paused entries, or shifted into defensive plays like ETH and BTC.

This reflects an important philosophy:

"When the data changes, we change our approach."

Instead of trying to fight the tape or chase rebounds, disciplined traders are using the bearish signal to protect gains and preserve capital.

What About Ethereum and Bitcoin?

Even ETH and BTC, the two bellwether assets, aren’t immune.

  • Ethereum: Lost momentum after a strong May push. Its Trader Grade is dropping, and the AI signals currently reflect neutral-to-bearish sentiment.
  • Bitcoin: While still holding structure better than altcoins, it has also declined since peaking above $72k. Volume weakening and sentiment falling suggest caution.

In previous cycles, ETH and BTC acted as shelters during altcoin corrections. But now, even the majors show weakness — another reason why the bearish flip matters.

What Could Reverse This?

Abdullah Sarwar, head of research at Token Metrics, mentioned that for the signals to flip back bullish, we would need to see:

  • Increased momentum across top tokens
  • New narratives (e.g., real-world utility, cross-chain demand)
  • Higher volume and liquidity inflows
  • Positive macro or ETF news

Until then, the system will remain in defensive mode — prioritizing safety over chasing trades.

How to Act During a Bearish Signal

The team offered several tips for traders during this cooling-off period:

  1. Reduce exposure
    Don’t hold full positions in assets with weak grades or bearish signals.

  2. Watch signal reversals
    Keep an eye on sudden bullish flips with high Trader Grades — they often mark trend reversals.

  3. Rebalance into safer assets
    BTC, ETH, or even stables allow you to sit on the sidelines while others take unnecessary risk.

  4. Use Token Metrics filters
    Use the platform to filter for:

    • Top tokens with >80 grades
    • Signals that flipped bullish in the last 3 days
    • Low market-cap tokens with strong on-chain activity

These tools help find exceptions in a weak market.

Conclusion: Bearish Doesn’t Mean Broken

Markets cycle — and AI sees it before headlines do.

Token Metrics' bearish signal wasn’t a call to panic. It was a calibrated, data-backed alert that the trend had shifted — and that it was time to switch from offense to defense.

If you’re navigating this new phase, listen to the data. Use the tools. And most importantly, avoid trading emotionally.

The bull market might return. When it does, Token Metrics AI will flip bullish again — and you’ll be ready.

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