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Crypto Market Turns Bearish: Expert Analysis on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Top Altcoin Opportunities

Bitcoin, currently trading around $114,000, has experienced what analysts describe as "momentum crashing." Despite reaching an all-time high of $124,000 just last week, the world's largest cryptocurrency has retreated below $115,000, triggering a clear sell signal on technical indicators.
Token Metrics Team
6 min
MIN

The cryptocurrency market has officially shifted into risk-off mode, marking a significant change from the bullish momentum we've witnessed over recent months. According to leading crypto analysts from Token Matrics, while the overall market indicator shows "neutral," the underlying momentum has been declining dramatically – a pattern that demands immediate attention from investors.

Bitcoin's Momentum Crash Signals Market Shift

Bitcoin, currently trading around $114,000, has experienced what analysts describe as "momentum crashing." Despite reaching an all-time high of $124,000 just last week, the world's largest cryptocurrency has retreated below $115,000, triggering a clear sell signal on technical indicators.

This dramatic shift becomes even more apparent when examining the Bitcoin vs Altcoin Season indicator. From July 10th, when 90% of returns were concentrated in Bitcoin during its price discovery phase, the market briefly shifted to an even split between Bitcoin and altcoin returns. However, we're now witnessing a return to Bitcoin dominance – a classic sign of risk-off sentiment among crypto investors.

"I think this is just probably a healthy cooling-off correction. I don't think this is the end per se," explains Ian Belina, highlighting that while the current pullback appears significant, it may represent a necessary market reset rather than a trend reversal.

Ethereum Emerges as the Clear Winner

While Bitcoin struggles with declining momentum, Ethereum has emerged as the standout performer, demonstrating remarkable resilience in the current market environment. Trading around $4,300, Ethereum has surged approximately 70% since June, vastly outperforming Bitcoin's modest 9-10% gains over the same period.

The ETH/BTC ratio has climbed to 2025 highs at 0.037%, signaling a significant shift in investor preference toward Ethereum-based assets. This performance is particularly noteworthy given the regulatory clarity emerging in the United States, which has created favorable conditions for stablecoin protocols and crypto treasury adoption.

Abdullah, Head of Research & Investments at Token Matrics, remains bullish on Ethereum's prospects: "As long as ETH is above 4k, I think ETH holders shouldn't be worried. Ethereum will keep outperforming Bitcoin and Solana within the next one to three months."

Solana Faces Potential 30-40% Correction

Solana presents a more concerning picture, with analysts expecting a potential capitulation event that could see the token decline 30-40% from current levels. Having broken major technical support levels, Solana's momentum indicators have turned decidedly bearish.

However, this bearish outlook comes with a silver lining for long-term investors. "I think it will be a purely buy the dip opportunity before Solana starts to run again for $500 or maybe $1,000 by the end of the cycle," notes Abdullah, suggesting that current weakness may present attractive entry points for patient investors.

Treasury Companies Drive Institutional Adoption

A major catalyst supporting the crypto market's long-term outlook is the continued accumulation by corporate treasuries. MicroStrategy recently purchased an additional 430 Bitcoin for $51 million, bringing its total holdings to approximately $7.2 billion with unrealized gains of $2.6 billion.

The trend extends beyond Bitcoin, with Ethereum treasuries gaining significant momentum. Bitcoin Immersion, led by Tom Lee, has acquired 1.52 million ETH valued at $6.6 billion, making it the second-largest public crypto treasury behind MicroStrategy and the largest for Ethereum specifically.

These institutional moves represent more than mere speculation – they signal a fundamental shift toward crypto as a legitimate treasury asset. As of now, 4% of Bitcoin's supply and 2% of Ethereum's supply is held by public companies and treasury entities.

Top Trading Opportunities in Current Market

Despite the overall bearish sentiment, several tokens continue to show strength and present compelling trading opportunities:

Chainlink (LINK)

Chainlink has emerged as a standout performer, recently breaking through the $22-$23 resistance level that had acted as a range high for over two years. The enterprise L1 narrative is driving adoption, as Wall Street-backed firms launching their own Layer 1 blockchains require reliable oracle services.

"I think it's only a matter of time till Chainlink sees a new all-time high," predicts Abdullah, citing the protocol's dominant market position and recent tokenomics improvements, including a buyback program tied to enterprise revenue.

Pendle (PENDLE)

Despite being undervalued relative to its fundamentals, Pendle continues to show strength with a Total Value Locked (TVL) of approximately $10 billion against a market cap of only $1.4 billion. As the leading yield trading platform, Pendle offers institutional investors the ability to fix yields and trade funding rates with leverage.

Base Ecosystem Tokens

Tokens within the Base ecosystem, including Aerodrome and Zora, have shown resilience despite recent corrections. With Coinbase planning to expand DEX trading access beyond the current 1% of users, these protocols could see significant volume increases.

Market Outlook and Strategy

Looking ahead, analysts expect a consolidation or correction period lasting several weeks into mid-to-late September. However, Q4 remains positioned for potential bullish momentum, particularly if the Federal Reserve delivers dovish commentary at the upcoming Jackson Hole speech.

The key for investors lies in monitoring critical indicators: the market sentiment gauge, Bitcoin vs Altcoin season metrics, and individual token momentum scores. When over 60% of market returns shift to altcoins while the overall market shows strong buy signals, it typically indicates an optimal profit-taking opportunity.

For those navigating this complex environment, focusing on tokens with strong fundamentals, high trader grades (80%+), and positive momentum indicators remains the most prudent approach. While the current market presents challenges, it also offers opportunities for those who can correctly identify and time the strongest performers in each narrative cycle.

The crypto market's evolution continues, and while short-term volatility is inevitable, the underlying infrastructure and institutional adoption trends suggest a maturing asset class with significant long-term potential.

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Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

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📈 Launch Coin’s Wild Ride: From 54 SOL to $4 Million

Token Metrics Team
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The crypto world thrives on narratives, and few have captured attention in recent weeks like Launchcoin. Born from a blend of SocialFi innovation and meme-driven virality, Launchcoin has surged into the spotlight—offering both eye-popping returns and warnings of extreme volatility. Powered by Token Metrics’ AI insights, here’s a detailed look at where Launchcoin stands today.

🚀 AI Detected the Breakout Early

On April 20, 2025, Token Metrics’ proprietary AI model flipped bullish on Launchcoin. Since then, the token has rallied over 3x, proving the strength of the signal. Backed by machine learning models that track on-chain data, sentiment, and price action across multiple timeframes, the Trader Grade for Launchcoin is currently at a whopping 93.15%, designating it a Strong Buy in the short term.

However, after such an exponential surge, the platform’s analysts expect natural pullbacks as early buyers and whales begin to take profits. These corrections are healthy and expected in any meteoric price run—and should not be confused with a loss of fundamental strength.

🧠 Token Metrics Investor Grade: A Balanced Perspective

While short-term indicators are overwhelmingly bullish, the Investor Grade remains neutral, pointing to a more measured view on Launchcoin’s long-term potential. This signals that while there’s momentum, there are still structural risks—particularly due to its meme coin characteristics and reliance on hype cycles.

Still, a neutral long-term grade isn’t bearish. It suggests Launchcoin is currently stable at its elevated valuation, but investors should monitor developments carefully—especially as new features and ecosystem growth unfold.

📈 Launchcoin’s Wild Ride: From 54 SOL to $4 Million

The Launchcoin story has already minted millionaires. One trader reportedly turned an $8,191 investment (54 SOL) into $4 million after purchasing 14.62 million LAUNCHCOIN tokens when the market cap was below $500,000. This kind of exponential return is rare—even in crypto—and helped drive speculative interest across social media and trading forums.

Within just 22 days, Launchcoin’s market cap crossed $300 million, illustrating how quickly meme-based projects can capture market momentum, especially when they ride the wave of a compelling narrative.

🔄 Listings and Market Access

Launchcoin’s liquidity and accessibility have improved significantly. The token is now trading on major centralized exchanges:

  • Spot listings: Bitget, KuCoin, Gate.io, and MEXC
  • Futures: Recently launched on ByBit

These listings have broadened exposure, attracting a wider investor base and allowing leveraged traders to participate. Increased liquidity also reduces slippage, enabling larger capital inflows while minimizing execution risk.

🎭 From PASTERNAK to LAUNCHCOIN: The Rebranding

Initially launched as PASTERNAK, named after Believe’s founder Ben Pasternak, the project was rebranded to Launchcoin on May 2, 2025. The new name better reflects its core value proposition: empowering creators to launch tokens through a SocialFi model.

The model is simple but revolutionary—anyone can create a token by posting on social media with the “@launchcoin” tag. This lowers the barrier for entry into token creation and adds viral potential to every social interaction.

🧨 Risk and Volatility: A Speculative Bet

Despite its recent success, Launchcoin remains a highly speculative asset. Its meteoric rise is reminiscent of meme coin cycles seen with tokens like PEPE or DOGE. While Launchcoin offers a unique utility layer with its token-creation feature, its current valuation includes a significant hype premium.

Token Metrics encourages traders to stay nimble. With the AI trading signals, users can track grade changes in real-time, ensuring they’re not caught off guard by sharp reversals or cooldowns.

🧠 Final Thoughts

Launchcoin represents a blend of viral marketing, social token innovation, and AI-predicted trading opportunity. With strong short-term momentum, neutral long-term positioning, and significant ecosystem buzz, it’s a token to watch—but not without caution.

Whether you’re a trader riding the momentum or an investor assessing long-term viability, Token Metrics provides the data-driven edge to navigate Launchcoin’s volatility with confidence.

Research

Best Long-Term Crypto Picks for the 2025 Bull Market

Token Metrics Team
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In a market full of noise, value investors are asking one critical question: what should I hold long-term?

Here are some of our top picks, based on fundamentals, traction, and longevity.

1. Grass – AI + Revenue

Grass stands out in the AI space. With over $15M in revenue from its browser extension and data resale model, it’s one of the few protocols generating real-world value. It’s a top AI blue chip we’re confident holding over multiple cycles.

2. Peaq – DePIN Infrastructure

Peaq positions itself as the Chainlink of decentralized physical infrastructure. While still under $1B FDV, it’s been consistent in development and narrative strength.

3. Sui – Consumer-Focused L1

Sui isn’t just another L1. Between Phantom wallet support, SuiPlay hardware, and growing dApp adoption, Sui has the elements to outpace older chains like Solana or Avalanche in user growth.

4. Parcl – Real Estate Derivatives

For exposure to real-world assets, Parcl offers a compelling play. Their UI is retail-friendly, listings are strong, and the market cap remains under $150M. This is one to watch as RWA adoption grows.

5. BitTensor – AI Infrastructure Layer

With a unique emission model and growing subnet usage, BitTensor remains the top AI infra token. Some even compare its long-term potential to early Bitcoin.

Bonus Mentions:

  • Uniswap / Aave / Compound – battle-tested DeFi with upcoming fee-sharing upgrades

  • Chainlink – oracle king still dominating infrastructure

  • Hyperliquid – sustainable revenue, EVM chain, and perps dominance

Final Words

The 2025 bull market will create noise—but also opportunity. These tokens aren’t just trendy—they’re infrastructure plays with real utility and upside. Allocate accordingly.

Research

SUI Price Analysis: Short-Term Momentum Builds Amid Long-Term Uncertainty

Token Metrics Team
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SUI, a rising Layer 1 blockchain network, has been gaining traction recently—and Token Metrics' AI-powered tools were ahead of the curve in identifying its bullish momentum. On April 24th, the Token Metrics Trader Grade issued a bullish signal for SUI, and since then, the price has climbed nearly 22%, confirming the strength of the short-term trend.

But there’s more to this move than just price action. Token Metrics offers a unique perspective by analyzing both short-term and long-term signals through its proprietary Trader Grade and Investor Grade ratings. These grades offer a layered view of an asset's potential by using machine learning to evaluate over 80 on-chain, off-chain, and technical indicators.

Token Metrics AI: Bullish for Traders, Bearish for Investors

As of the latest data, SUI holds a “Strong Buy” rating on the Token Metrics Trader Grade, signaling powerful momentum for short-term traders. This suggests that swing traders and scalpers could benefit from the current trend, particularly if the price can decisively break through the immediate resistance at $4.25.

However, the Investor Grade tells a different story. While the short-term outlook is bullish, the long-term view remains cautious. The Investor Grade currently recommends a Sell, suggesting SUI may face challenges in sustaining gains over a multi-month time frame. This divergence highlights the importance of aligning your investment strategy with the appropriate time horizon.

TVL Growth Validates SUI’s Ecosystem Expansion

Beyond AI ratings, Token Metrics also factors in fundamental metrics—and one of the strongest tailwinds for SUI right now is its rapidly growing Total Value Locked (TVL). According to DeFi Llama, SUI’s TVL has surged to a new all-time high of $2.11 billion, cementing its position as the 8th largest blockchain by TVL.

This growth in TVL indicates that more capital is being deployed in the SUI ecosystem. It reflects increased user engagement with decentralized applications (dApps) on the network and signals rising confidence among DeFi participants. From a fundamental standpoint, this bodes well for SUI’s long-term utility—even if its price action hasn't yet caught up to the full extent of this growth.

Key Technical Levels: Breakout or Pullback?

From a technical analysis standpoint, SUI is now testing a major resistance at $4.25. A confirmed breakout above this level could send the asset surging toward new all-time highs, potentially igniting a new wave of momentum-driven buying.

However, if the price fails to breach this resistance zone, a pullback is likely. In that scenario, the $3.00 to $3.20 range should act as a solid support area. These levels will be critical for traders to monitor, and Token Metrics' real-time alerts can help users stay on top of such breakouts or reversals.

Trading Smarter with Token Metrics

Whether you're trading short-term breakouts or evaluating long-term positions, Token Metrics helps crypto investors make data-driven decisions. The platform’s dual-grade system—Trader Grade for momentum-based insights and Investor Grade for long-term trends—equips users with nuanced information to act with confidence.

Moreover, Token Metrics integrates this data directly into its AI Trading Agent and custom alerts system, ensuring you never miss an opportunity or warning signal. With instant access to heatmaps, technical breakdowns, and AI-based predictions, SUI traders can manage risk more efficiently and capitalize on emerging trends before the rest of the market catches on.

Final Thoughts

SUI is showing promising signs, especially with its network fundamentals improving rapidly and short-term momentum turning bullish. Still, the cautious long-term outlook suggests that traders should proceed with a balanced approach—watching both breakout levels and support zones, while leveraging tools like Token Metrics for real-time decision-making support.

As always, combining AI-driven insights with strong risk management is the key to navigating volatile markets like crypto. SUI is one to watch—and Token Metrics helps you stay one step ahead.

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