Research

Crypto Market Turns Bearish: Expert Analysis on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Top Altcoin Opportunities

Bitcoin, currently trading around $114,000, has experienced what analysts describe as "momentum crashing." Despite reaching an all-time high of $124,000 just last week, the world's largest cryptocurrency has retreated below $115,000, triggering a clear sell signal on technical indicators.
Token Metrics Team
6 min
MIN

The cryptocurrency market has officially shifted into risk-off mode, marking a significant change from the bullish momentum we've witnessed over recent months. According to leading crypto analysts from Token Matrics, while the overall market indicator shows "neutral," the underlying momentum has been declining dramatically – a pattern that demands immediate attention from investors.

Bitcoin's Momentum Crash Signals Market Shift

Bitcoin, currently trading around $114,000, has experienced what analysts describe as "momentum crashing." Despite reaching an all-time high of $124,000 just last week, the world's largest cryptocurrency has retreated below $115,000, triggering a clear sell signal on technical indicators.

This dramatic shift becomes even more apparent when examining the Bitcoin vs Altcoin Season indicator. From July 10th, when 90% of returns were concentrated in Bitcoin during its price discovery phase, the market briefly shifted to an even split between Bitcoin and altcoin returns. However, we're now witnessing a return to Bitcoin dominance – a classic sign of risk-off sentiment among crypto investors.

"I think this is just probably a healthy cooling-off correction. I don't think this is the end per se," explains Ian Belina, highlighting that while the current pullback appears significant, it may represent a necessary market reset rather than a trend reversal.

Ethereum Emerges as the Clear Winner

While Bitcoin struggles with declining momentum, Ethereum has emerged as the standout performer, demonstrating remarkable resilience in the current market environment. Trading around $4,300, Ethereum has surged approximately 70% since June, vastly outperforming Bitcoin's modest 9-10% gains over the same period.

The ETH/BTC ratio has climbed to 2025 highs at 0.037%, signaling a significant shift in investor preference toward Ethereum-based assets. This performance is particularly noteworthy given the regulatory clarity emerging in the United States, which has created favorable conditions for stablecoin protocols and crypto treasury adoption.

Abdullah, Head of Research & Investments at Token Matrics, remains bullish on Ethereum's prospects: "As long as ETH is above 4k, I think ETH holders shouldn't be worried. Ethereum will keep outperforming Bitcoin and Solana within the next one to three months."

Solana Faces Potential 30-40% Correction

Solana presents a more concerning picture, with analysts expecting a potential capitulation event that could see the token decline 30-40% from current levels. Having broken major technical support levels, Solana's momentum indicators have turned decidedly bearish.

However, this bearish outlook comes with a silver lining for long-term investors. "I think it will be a purely buy the dip opportunity before Solana starts to run again for $500 or maybe $1,000 by the end of the cycle," notes Abdullah, suggesting that current weakness may present attractive entry points for patient investors.

Treasury Companies Drive Institutional Adoption

A major catalyst supporting the crypto market's long-term outlook is the continued accumulation by corporate treasuries. MicroStrategy recently purchased an additional 430 Bitcoin for $51 million, bringing its total holdings to approximately $7.2 billion with unrealized gains of $2.6 billion.

The trend extends beyond Bitcoin, with Ethereum treasuries gaining significant momentum. Bitcoin Immersion, led by Tom Lee, has acquired 1.52 million ETH valued at $6.6 billion, making it the second-largest public crypto treasury behind MicroStrategy and the largest for Ethereum specifically.

These institutional moves represent more than mere speculation – they signal a fundamental shift toward crypto as a legitimate treasury asset. As of now, 4% of Bitcoin's supply and 2% of Ethereum's supply is held by public companies and treasury entities.

Top Trading Opportunities in Current Market

Despite the overall bearish sentiment, several tokens continue to show strength and present compelling trading opportunities:

Chainlink (LINK)

Chainlink has emerged as a standout performer, recently breaking through the $22-$23 resistance level that had acted as a range high for over two years. The enterprise L1 narrative is driving adoption, as Wall Street-backed firms launching their own Layer 1 blockchains require reliable oracle services.

"I think it's only a matter of time till Chainlink sees a new all-time high," predicts Abdullah, citing the protocol's dominant market position and recent tokenomics improvements, including a buyback program tied to enterprise revenue.

Pendle (PENDLE)

Despite being undervalued relative to its fundamentals, Pendle continues to show strength with a Total Value Locked (TVL) of approximately $10 billion against a market cap of only $1.4 billion. As the leading yield trading platform, Pendle offers institutional investors the ability to fix yields and trade funding rates with leverage.

Base Ecosystem Tokens

Tokens within the Base ecosystem, including Aerodrome and Zora, have shown resilience despite recent corrections. With Coinbase planning to expand DEX trading access beyond the current 1% of users, these protocols could see significant volume increases.

Market Outlook and Strategy

Looking ahead, analysts expect a consolidation or correction period lasting several weeks into mid-to-late September. However, Q4 remains positioned for potential bullish momentum, particularly if the Federal Reserve delivers dovish commentary at the upcoming Jackson Hole speech.

The key for investors lies in monitoring critical indicators: the market sentiment gauge, Bitcoin vs Altcoin season metrics, and individual token momentum scores. When over 60% of market returns shift to altcoins while the overall market shows strong buy signals, it typically indicates an optimal profit-taking opportunity.

For those navigating this complex environment, focusing on tokens with strong fundamentals, high trader grades (80%+), and positive momentum indicators remains the most prudent approach. While the current market presents challenges, it also offers opportunities for those who can correctly identify and time the strongest performers in each narrative cycle.

The crypto market's evolution continues, and while short-term volatility is inevitable, the underlying infrastructure and institutional adoption trends suggest a maturing asset class with significant long-term potential.

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Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

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Crypto Basics

What Are Crypto ETFs? A Beginner’s Guide to Cryptocurrency Exchange-Traded Funds

Token Metrics Team
5 mins
MIN

Understanding Crypto ETFs

Cryptocurrency ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) are a revolutionary way for investors to gain exposure to digital assets without directly buying or managing them. Just like traditional ETFs that track stock indexes or commodities, crypto ETFs track the price movements of one or more cryptocurrencies, offering a simpler way to invest in the market.

How Do Crypto ETFs Work?

Crypto ETFs operate on traditional stock exchanges, allowing investors to buy and sell shares just like they would with any other ETF. These funds can be structured in two main ways:

  1. Physically-Backed Crypto ETFs – These funds hold actual cryptocurrencies in reserves, ensuring that the ETF's value closely follows the price of the underlying asset.
  2. Futures-Based Crypto ETFs – These ETFs invest in crypto futures contracts rather than holding the physical asset, allowing for exposure without direct ownership.

Benefits of Crypto ETFs

  • Easier Access: No need to set up a crypto wallet or use an exchange—investors can trade ETFs via traditional brokerage accounts.
  • Regulated Investment Option: Since ETFs are traded on regulated stock exchanges, they provide a safer entry point for institutional and retail investors.
  • Diversification: Some ETFs track multiple cryptocurrencies, reducing risk compared to holding a single digital asset.
  • Tax Efficiency: Crypto ETFs may offer certain tax advantages compared to directly holding cryptocurrencies.

The Possibility of Solana and Other Altcoin ETFs

While Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have made headlines, investors are now eyeing potential altcoin ETFs. One of the most anticipated developments is the possibility of a Solana (SOL) ETF. Given Solana’s growing adoption, high-speed transactions, and institutional interest, many analysts believe it could be the next cryptocurrency to receive ETF approval.

Other Altcoins, such as Cardano (ADA), Polkadot (DOT), and Avalanche (AVAX), are also being considered as candidates for ETFs. Regulatory hurdles remain, but as the crypto industry matures, we could see more diversified crypto ETFs in the future.

Stay Updated with Token Metrics

The crypto market is constantly evolving, and staying informed is key to making the best investment decisions. Follow Token Metrics and subscribe to our newsletter to stay up-to-date with the latest ETF news, market trends, and AI-powered investment insights.

Want to be the first to know about potential altcoin ETFs? Stay connected with Token Metrics today!

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0xTMAI: Your AI-Powered Crypto Analyst Is Now on X

Token Metrics Team
5 min
MIN

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Research

How Trump's New Tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China Triggered a Crypto Market Crash

Token Metrics Team
4 min
MIN

The Crypto Market Reacts to Trump's Latest Tariff Policy

The cryptocurrency market has been in turmoil following the latest announcement from former U.S. President Donald Trump regarding new tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China. These aggressive trade policies have sent shockwaves through global financial markets, and crypto has not been spared.

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and major altcoins have suffered steep declines, with billions wiped out from the market in just a few hours. But why did Trump’s tariff move lead to such a sharp selloff in crypto? Let’s break it down.

Understanding Trump’s New Tariffs and Their Economic Impact

In his recent address, Trump proposed heavy tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China, citing the need to protect American industries and jobs. The specifics include:

  • Mexico & Canada: Increased tariffs on steel, aluminum, and automotive parts.
  • China: Higher tariffs on electronics, semiconductors, and consumer goods.

These tariffs threaten to disrupt global supply chains, raise production costs, and escalate tensions between the U.S. and its biggest trading partners. The uncertainty surrounding these policies has created panic across financial markets, with investors seeking safer assets amid the volatility.

Why Crypto Crashed Following Trump’s Tariff Announcement?

1. Risk-Off Sentiment Dominates the Market

Historically, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have been viewed as high-risk assets. When geopolitical uncertainty increases, institutional investors tend to shift away from riskier investments and move into traditional safe havens like gold, bonds, and the U.S. dollar. The tariff news led to a wave of panic selling in crypto, pushing prices down sharply.

2. Stock Market Decline Spills Over to Crypto

Traditional stock markets reacted negatively to the tariff announcement, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropping significantly. Since crypto markets are increasingly correlated with equities, Bitcoin and altcoins followed suit, experiencing major declines.

3. Institutional Liquidations and Margin Calls

With growing institutional involvement in crypto, macroeconomic events like trade wars have a direct impact on digital assets. Large funds and traders holding leveraged positions were forced to liquidate, adding further downward pressure on crypto prices.

4. Fears of a Slowing Global Economy

Tariffs can lead to reduced international trade, higher consumer prices, and slower economic growth. A sluggish economy means less disposable income, which can hurt retail investments in speculative assets like crypto. With fears of a global recession looming, investors opted to cash out of their crypto holdings.

Could This Be a Buying Opportunity?

While the short-term reaction to Trump’s tariff announcement has been bearish for crypto, some analysts view this as a potential buying opportunity. Historically, Bitcoin has rebounded strongly from macro-driven selloffs, and long-term holders may see this dip as a chance to accumulate.

Additionally, if tensions escalate further and inflation fears return, crypto could eventually regain its appeal as an alternative store of value. With the upcoming Bitcoin halving in 2024, some investors are already positioning for a recovery.

Conclusion: Navigating the Crypto Market Amid Political Uncertainty

Trump’s new tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China have triggered a sharp decline in crypto markets, as investors react to increased uncertainty and risk-off sentiment. While the immediate impact has been bearish, long-term crypto believers may see this as an opportunity to buy at lower prices.

As the situation unfolds, traders should stay informed and monitor global economic trends. Whether this downturn is a temporary panic or the start of a deeper correction remains to be seen, but one thing is certain—political and economic developments will continue to shape the crypto landscape in unexpected ways.

Stay updated with the latest crypto insights and market trends by following Token Metrics and 0xTMAI.

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