Research

Crypto Market Turns Bearish: Expert Analysis on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Top Altcoin Opportunities

Bitcoin, currently trading around $114,000, has experienced what analysts describe as "momentum crashing." Despite reaching an all-time high of $124,000 just last week, the world's largest cryptocurrency has retreated below $115,000, triggering a clear sell signal on technical indicators.
Token Metrics Team
6 min
MIN

The cryptocurrency market has officially shifted into risk-off mode, marking a significant change from the bullish momentum we've witnessed over recent months. According to leading crypto analysts from Token Matrics, while the overall market indicator shows "neutral," the underlying momentum has been declining dramatically – a pattern that demands immediate attention from investors.

Bitcoin's Momentum Crash Signals Market Shift

Bitcoin, currently trading around $114,000, has experienced what analysts describe as "momentum crashing." Despite reaching an all-time high of $124,000 just last week, the world's largest cryptocurrency has retreated below $115,000, triggering a clear sell signal on technical indicators.

This dramatic shift becomes even more apparent when examining the Bitcoin vs Altcoin Season indicator. From July 10th, when 90% of returns were concentrated in Bitcoin during its price discovery phase, the market briefly shifted to an even split between Bitcoin and altcoin returns. However, we're now witnessing a return to Bitcoin dominance – a classic sign of risk-off sentiment among crypto investors.

"I think this is just probably a healthy cooling-off correction. I don't think this is the end per se," explains Ian Belina, highlighting that while the current pullback appears significant, it may represent a necessary market reset rather than a trend reversal.

Ethereum Emerges as the Clear Winner

While Bitcoin struggles with declining momentum, Ethereum has emerged as the standout performer, demonstrating remarkable resilience in the current market environment. Trading around $4,300, Ethereum has surged approximately 70% since June, vastly outperforming Bitcoin's modest 9-10% gains over the same period.

The ETH/BTC ratio has climbed to 2025 highs at 0.037%, signaling a significant shift in investor preference toward Ethereum-based assets. This performance is particularly noteworthy given the regulatory clarity emerging in the United States, which has created favorable conditions for stablecoin protocols and crypto treasury adoption.

Abdullah, Head of Research & Investments at Token Matrics, remains bullish on Ethereum's prospects: "As long as ETH is above 4k, I think ETH holders shouldn't be worried. Ethereum will keep outperforming Bitcoin and Solana within the next one to three months."

Solana Faces Potential 30-40% Correction

Solana presents a more concerning picture, with analysts expecting a potential capitulation event that could see the token decline 30-40% from current levels. Having broken major technical support levels, Solana's momentum indicators have turned decidedly bearish.

However, this bearish outlook comes with a silver lining for long-term investors. "I think it will be a purely buy the dip opportunity before Solana starts to run again for $500 or maybe $1,000 by the end of the cycle," notes Abdullah, suggesting that current weakness may present attractive entry points for patient investors.

Treasury Companies Drive Institutional Adoption

A major catalyst supporting the crypto market's long-term outlook is the continued accumulation by corporate treasuries. MicroStrategy recently purchased an additional 430 Bitcoin for $51 million, bringing its total holdings to approximately $7.2 billion with unrealized gains of $2.6 billion.

The trend extends beyond Bitcoin, with Ethereum treasuries gaining significant momentum. Bitcoin Immersion, led by Tom Lee, has acquired 1.52 million ETH valued at $6.6 billion, making it the second-largest public crypto treasury behind MicroStrategy and the largest for Ethereum specifically.

These institutional moves represent more than mere speculation – they signal a fundamental shift toward crypto as a legitimate treasury asset. As of now, 4% of Bitcoin's supply and 2% of Ethereum's supply is held by public companies and treasury entities.

Top Trading Opportunities in Current Market

Despite the overall bearish sentiment, several tokens continue to show strength and present compelling trading opportunities:

Chainlink (LINK)

Chainlink has emerged as a standout performer, recently breaking through the $22-$23 resistance level that had acted as a range high for over two years. The enterprise L1 narrative is driving adoption, as Wall Street-backed firms launching their own Layer 1 blockchains require reliable oracle services.

"I think it's only a matter of time till Chainlink sees a new all-time high," predicts Abdullah, citing the protocol's dominant market position and recent tokenomics improvements, including a buyback program tied to enterprise revenue.

Pendle (PENDLE)

Despite being undervalued relative to its fundamentals, Pendle continues to show strength with a Total Value Locked (TVL) of approximately $10 billion against a market cap of only $1.4 billion. As the leading yield trading platform, Pendle offers institutional investors the ability to fix yields and trade funding rates with leverage.

Base Ecosystem Tokens

Tokens within the Base ecosystem, including Aerodrome and Zora, have shown resilience despite recent corrections. With Coinbase planning to expand DEX trading access beyond the current 1% of users, these protocols could see significant volume increases.

Market Outlook and Strategy

Looking ahead, analysts expect a consolidation or correction period lasting several weeks into mid-to-late September. However, Q4 remains positioned for potential bullish momentum, particularly if the Federal Reserve delivers dovish commentary at the upcoming Jackson Hole speech.

The key for investors lies in monitoring critical indicators: the market sentiment gauge, Bitcoin vs Altcoin season metrics, and individual token momentum scores. When over 60% of market returns shift to altcoins while the overall market shows strong buy signals, it typically indicates an optimal profit-taking opportunity.

For those navigating this complex environment, focusing on tokens with strong fundamentals, high trader grades (80%+), and positive momentum indicators remains the most prudent approach. While the current market presents challenges, it also offers opportunities for those who can correctly identify and time the strongest performers in each narrative cycle.

The crypto market's evolution continues, and while short-term volatility is inevitable, the underlying infrastructure and institutional adoption trends suggest a maturing asset class with significant long-term potential.

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Token Metrics Team
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Research

A Comprehensive Guide to Minting Your Own NFT

Token Metrics Team
4
MIN

Introduction to NFT Minting

The explosion of interest in non-fungible tokens (NFTs) has opened new opportunities for creators and collectors alike. If you've ever wondered, "How can I mint my own NFT?", this guide will walk you through the essential concepts, processes, and tools involved in creating your unique digital asset on the blockchain.

What is NFT Minting?

Minting an NFT refers to the process of turning a digital file — such as artwork, music, video, or other digital collectibles — into a unique token recorded on a blockchain. This tokenization certifies the originality and ownership of the asset in a verifiable manner. Unlike cryptocurrencies, NFTs are unique and cannot be exchanged on a one-to-one basis.

Choosing the Right Blockchain for NFT

Several blockchains support NFT minting, each with distinct features, costs, and communities. The most popular blockchain for NFTs has been Ethereum due to its widespread adoption and support for ERC-721 and ERC-1155 token standards. However, alternatives such as Binance Smart Chain, Solana, Polygon, and Tezos offer different advantages, such as lower transaction fees or faster processing times.

When deciding where to mint your NFT, consider factors like network fees (also known as gas fees), environmental impact, and marketplace support. Analytical tools, including Token Metrics, can offer insights into blockchain performance and trends, helping you make an informed technical decision.

Selecting an NFT Platform

Once you have chosen a blockchain, the next step is to select an NFT platform that facilitates minting and listing your digital asset. Popular NFT marketplaces such as OpenSea, Rarible, Foundation, and Mintable provide user-friendly interfaces to upload digital files, set metadata, and mint tokens.

Some platforms have specific entry requirements, such as invitation-only access or curation processes, while others are open to all creators. Consider the platform's user base, fees, minting options (e.g., lazy minting or direct minting), and supported blockchains before proceeding.

Step-by-Step Process to Mint Your Own NFT

  1. Prepare Your Digital Asset: Have your digital file ready — this could be an image, audio, video, or 3D model.
  2. Create a Digital Wallet: Set up a cryptocurrency wallet (such as MetaMask or Trust Wallet) compatible with your chosen blockchain and platform.
  3. Fund Your Wallet: Add some cryptocurrency to your wallet to cover minting and transaction fees. For Ethereum-based platforms, this typically means ETH.
  4. Connect Wallet to Platform: Link your wallet to the NFT marketplace where you intend to mint your NFT.
  5. Upload Your File and Add Metadata: Provide necessary details, including title, description, and any unlockable content.
  6. Mint the NFT: Initiate the minting process. The platform will create the token on the blockchain and assign it to your wallet.
  7. Manage and List Your NFT: After minting, you can choose to keep, transfer, or list the NFT for sale on the marketplace.

Understanding Costs and Fees

Minting an NFT typically involves transaction fees known as gas fees, which vary based on blockchain network congestion and platform policies. Costs can fluctuate significantly; therefore, it's prudent to monitor fee trends, potentially using analytical resources like Token Metrics to gain visibility into network conditions.

Some NFT platforms offer "lazy minting," allowing creators to mint NFTs with zero upfront fees, with costs incurred only upon sale. Understanding these financial mechanics is crucial to planning your minting process efficiently.

Leveraging AI Tools in NFT Creation and Analysis

The intersection of artificial intelligence and blockchain has produced innovative tools that assist creators and collectors throughout the NFT lifecycle. AI can generate creative artwork, optimize metadata, and analyze market trends to inform decisions.

Research platforms such as Token Metrics utilize AI-driven methodologies to provide data insights and ratings that support neutral, analytical understanding of blockchain assets, including aspects relevant to NFTs. Employing such tools can help you better understand the technical fundamentals behind NFT platforms and ecosystems.

Key Considerations and Best Practices

  • File Authenticity and Ownership: Ensure you have the rights to tokenize the digital content.
  • Security: Use secure wallets and protect your private keys to prevent unauthorized access.
  • Metadata Accuracy: Properly describe and tag your NFT to enhance discoverability and traceability.
  • Platform Reputation: Choose well-known platforms to benefit from better security and liquidity.
  • Stay Updated: The NFT space evolves rapidly—leveraging analytical tools like Token Metrics can help track developments.

Conclusion

Minting your own NFT involves understanding the technical process of creating a unique token on a blockchain, choosing appropriate platforms, managing costs, and utilizing supporting tools. While the process is accessible to many, gaining analytical insights and leveraging AI-driven research platforms such as Token Metrics can deepen your understanding of underlying technologies and market dynamics.

Disclaimer

This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consult professionals before engaging in digital asset creation or transactions.

Research

Understanding the Risks of Using Centralized Crypto Exchanges

Token Metrics Team
5
MIN

Introduction

Centralized cryptocurrency exchanges have become the primary venues for trading a wide array of digital assets. Their user-friendly interfaces and liquidity pools make them appealing for both new and experienced traders. However, the inherent risks of using such centralized platforms warrant careful consideration. This article explores the risks associated with centralized exchanges, offering an analytical overview while highlighting valuable tools that can assist users in evaluating these risks.

What Are Centralized Exchanges?

Centralized exchanges (CEXs) operate as intermediaries that facilitate buying, selling, and trading cryptocurrencies. Users deposit funds into the exchange's custody and execute trades on its platform. Unlike decentralized exchanges, where users maintain control of their private keys and assets, centralized exchanges hold users' assets on their behalf, which introduces specific vulnerabilities and considerations.

Security Risks

One of the primary risks associated with centralized exchanges is security vulnerability. Holding large sums of digital assets in a single entity makes exchanges prominent targets for hackers. Over the years, numerous high-profile breaches have resulted in the loss of millions of dollars worth of crypto assets. These attacks often exploit software vulnerabilities, insider threats, or phishing campaigns.

Beyond external hacking attempts, users must be aware of the risks posed by potential internal malfeasance within these organizations. Since exchanges control private keys to user assets, trust in their operational security and governance practices is critical.

Custodial Risk and Asset Ownership

Using centralized exchanges means users relinquish direct control over their private keys. This custodial arrangement introduces counterparty risk, fundamentally differing from holding assets in self-custody wallets. In situations of insolvency, regulatory intervention, or technical failures, users may face difficulties accessing or retrieving their funds.

Additionally, the lack of comprehensive insurance coverage on many platforms means users bear the brunt of potential losses. The concept "not your keys, not your coins" encapsulates this risk, emphasizing that asset ownership and control are distinct on centralized platforms.

Regulatory and Compliance Risks

Centralized exchanges typically operate under jurisdictional regulations which can vary widely. Regulatory scrutiny may lead to sudden operational restrictions, asset freezes, or delisting of certain cryptocurrencies. Users of these platforms should be aware that regulatory changes can materially impact access to their assets.

Furthermore, compliance requirements such as Know Your Customer (KYC) and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) procedures involve sharing personal information, posing privacy considerations. Regulatory pressures could also compel exchanges to surveil or restrict user activities.

Liquidity and Market Risks

Large centralized exchanges generally offer high liquidity, facilitating quick trade execution. However, liquidity can vary significantly between platforms and tokens, possibly leading to slippage or failed orders during volatile conditions. In extreme scenarios, liquidity crunches may limit the ability to convert assets efficiently.

Moreover, centralized control over order books and matching engines means that trade execution transparency is limited compared to decentralized protocols. Users should consider market structure risks when interacting with centralized exchanges.

Operational and Technical Risks

System outages, software bugs, or maintenance periods pose operational risks on these platforms. Unexpected downtime can prevent users from acting promptly in dynamic markets. Moreover, technical glitches could jeopardize order accuracy, deposits, or withdrawals.

Best practices involve users staying informed about platform status and understanding terms of service that govern incident responses. Awareness of past incidents can factor into decisions about trustworthiness.

Mitigating Risks Using Analytical Tools

While the risks highlighted are inherent to centralized exchanges, utilizing advanced research and analytical tools can enhance users’ understanding and management of these exposures. AI-driven platforms like Token Metrics offer data-backed insights into exchange security practices, regulatory compliance, liquidity profiles, and overall platform reputation.

Such tools analyze multiple risk dimensions using real-time data, historical performance, and fundamental metrics. This structured approach allows users to make informed decisions based on factual assessments rather than anecdotal information.

Additionally, users can monitor news, community sentiment, and technical analytics collectively via these platforms to evaluate evolving conditions that may affect centralized exchange risk profiles.

Practical Tips for Users

  • Research exchange reputation: Evaluate past security incidents, user reviews, and transparency of operations.
  • Stay updated on regulations: Understand how regulatory environments may impact exchange functionality and asset accessibility.
  • Limit exposure: Avoid holding large balances long-term on any single exchange.
  • Utilize research platforms: Leverage AI-powered tools like Token Metrics for detailed risk analysis.
  • Consider withdrawal security: Enable multi-factor authentication and regularly verify withdrawal addresses.
  • Diversify custody approaches: When appropriate, combine exchange use with self-custody solutions for asset diversification.

Conclusion

Centralized cryptocurrency exchanges continue to play a significant role in digital asset markets, providing accessibility and liquidity. Nevertheless, they carry multifaceted risks ranging from security vulnerabilities to regulatory uncertainties and operational challenges. Understanding these risks through a comprehensive analytical framework is crucial for all participants.

Non-investment-focused, AI-driven research platforms like Token Metrics can support users in navigating the complexity of exchange risks by offering systematic, data-driven insights. Combining such tools with prudent operational practices paves the way for more informed engagement with centralized exchanges.

Disclaimer

This content is provided solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Readers should conduct their own research and consult qualified professionals before making any financial decisions.

Research

Exploring Investments in Crypto and Web3 Companies: An Analytical Overview

Token Metrics Team
4
MIN

Introduction

The landscape of digital assets and blockchain technology has expanded rapidly over recent years, bringing forth a new realm known as Web3 alongside the burgeoning crypto ecosystem. For individuals curious about allocating resources into this sphere, questions often arise: should the focus be on cryptocurrencies or Web3 companies? This article aims to provide an educational and analytical perspective on these options, highlighting considerations without providing direct investment advice.

Understanding Crypto and Web3

Before exploring the nuances between investing in crypto assets and Web3 companies, it's important to clarify what each represents.

  • Cryptocurrencies are digital currencies that operate on blockchain technology, enabling peer-to-peer transactions with varying protocols and use cases.
  • Web3 broadly refers to a decentralized internet infrastructure leveraging blockchain technologies to create applications, platforms, and services that prioritize user control, privacy, and decentralization.

Web3 companies often develop decentralized applications (dApps), offer blockchain-based services, or build infrastructure layers for the decentralized web.

Key Considerations When Evaluating Investment Options

Deciding between crypto assets or Web3 companies involves analyzing different dynamics:

  1. Market Maturity and Volatility
    Cryptocurrencies generally exhibit higher price volatility influenced by market sentiment, regulatory news, and technology updates. Web3 companies, often in startup or growth phases, carry inherent business risk but may relate more to traditional company valuation metrics.
  2. Fundamental Drivers
    Crypto assets derive value from network utility, adoption, scarcity mechanisms, and consensus protocols. Web3 firms generate value through product innovation, user engagement, revenue models, and ability to scale decentralized solutions.
  3. Regulatory Environment
    Both realms face evolving regulatory landscapes globally, with different degrees of scrutiny around cryptocurrencies and blockchain enterprises. Awareness of legal considerations is essential for educational understanding.
  4. Technological Innovation
    Web3 companies typically focus on developing novel decentralized infrastructures and applications. Crypto projects may emphasize improvements in consensus algorithms, interoperability, or token economics.

Analytical Frameworks for Assessment

To approach these complex investment types thoughtfully, frameworks can assist in structuring analysis:

  • Scenario Analysis: Evaluate various future scenarios for cryptocurrency adoption and Web3 technology evolution to understand possible outcomes and risks.
  • Fundamental Analysis: For crypto, analyze network activity, token utility, and supply models. For Web3 companies, consider business plans, technological edge, leadership quality, and market positioning.
  • Technology Evaluation: Examine the underlying blockchain protocols and development communities supporting both crypto projects and Web3 startups, assessing innovation and sustainability.

Leveraging AI-Driven Tools for Research

Due to the rapidly evolving and data-intensive nature of crypto and Web3 industries, AI-powered platforms can enhance analysis by processing vast datasets and providing insights.

For instance, Token Metrics utilizes machine learning to rate crypto assets by analyzing market trends, project fundamentals, and sentiment data. Such tools support an educational and neutral perspective by offering data-driven research support rather than speculative advice.

When assessing Web3 companies, AI tools can assist with identifying emerging technologies, tracking developmental progress, and monitoring regulatory developments relevant to the decentralized ecosystem.

Practical Tips for Conducting Due Diligence

To gain a well-rounded understanding, consider the following steps:

  • Research Whitepapers and Roadmaps: For crypto tokens and Web3 startups, review technical documentation and strategic plans.
  • Evaluate Team Credentials: Analyze the experience and transparency of project founders and teams.
  • Monitor Community Engagement: Observe activity levels in forums, GitHub repositories, and social media to gauge project vitality.
  • Use Analytical Tools: Incorporate platforms like Token Metrics for data-supported insights on token metrics and project evaluations.
  • Consider Regulatory Developments: Stay informed about jurisdictional policies impacting blockchain projects and cryptocurrencies.

Understanding Risk Factors

Both crypto assets and Web3 companies involve unique risks that warrant careful consideration:

  • Market Risk: Price volatility and market sentiment swings can impact crypto tokens significantly.
  • Technological Risk: Innovative technologies may have bugs or scalability challenges affecting project viability.
  • Regulatory Risk: Changes in legal frameworks can alter operational capacities or market access for Web3 entities and crypto tokens.
  • Business Model Risk: Web3 startups may face competitive pressures, funding challenges, or adoption hurdles.

Conclusion

Deciding between crypto assets and Web3 companies involves analyzing different dimensions including technological fundamentals, market dynamics, and risk profiles. Employing structured evaluation frameworks along with AI-enhanced research platforms such as Token Metrics can provide clarity in this complex landscape.

It is essential to approach this domain with an educational mindset focused on understanding rather than speculative intentions. Staying informed and leveraging analytical tools supports sound comprehension of the evolving world of blockchain-based digital assets and enterprises.

Disclaimer

This article is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Readers should conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making any decisions related to cryptocurrencies or Web3 companies.

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