Regime Switching in Crypto: Participate in Upside, Sit Out Drawdowns (2025)

Timing crypto cycles is hard. Volatility cuts both ways: you want broad upside when markets run, and you want the discipline to step aside when trend and liquidity flip. That’s exactly what a regime switching crypto index does—using rules to allocate into the market during bullish conditions and to stablecoins during bearish conditions. TM Global 100 is our flagship implementation: a rules-based, top-100 crypto index when bullish that moves fully to stablecoins when not, with weekly rebalancing and transparent holdings/transactions you can verify at a glance. It’s built for people who want market exposure without micromanaging tokens—or their emotions.
→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.
TL;DR (snippet)
What it is: A rules-based index that holds the top-100 crypto assets in bull markets and moves to stablecoins in bear markets.
Why it matters: Weekly rebalances + transparent holdings and a transactions log encourage discipline and clarity.
Who it’s for: Hands-off allocators and active traders who want a robust, rules-driven core.
Next step: Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.
Why Education / Indices Matters in October 2025
Crypto runs in regimes—multi-month stretches of risk-on momentum followed by drawdowns that can erase gains quickly. Searchers looking for “regime switching,” “weekly rebalancing,” or “crypto index” want a practical framework that’s simple to follow and easy to execute.
Definition (for snippets): Regime switching in crypto is a rules-based method that changes portfolio exposure based on market conditions, typically rotating between a diversified token basket in uptrends and stablecoins in downtrends.
Why now:
- Cycle asymmetry: Capturing trend while limiting drawdown time can meaningfully affect long-term outcomes.
- Operational burden: DIY rebalancing across dozens of tokens is error-prone; a standardized process reduces slippage, delays, and missed changes.
- Clarity: Real-time transparency over what you hold, why you hold it, and when it changed.

How the TM Global 100 Index Works (Plain English)
- Regime switching:
- Bullish: Hold the top-100 by market cap across sectors and chains.
- Bearish: Exit to stablecoins and wait for a bullish re-entry signal.
- Bullish: Hold the top-100 by market cap across sectors and chains.
- Weekly rebalancing:
- Reflects updated market-cap rankings and liquidity/supply thresholds. Constituents and weights update on schedule.
- Reflects updated market-cap rankings and liquidity/supply thresholds. Constituents and weights update on schedule.
- Transparency:
- Strategy modal with rules; Gauge → Treemap → Transactions Log so you can verify what you own and what changed.
- Strategy modal with rules; Gauge → Treemap → Transactions Log so you can verify what you own and what changed.
- What you’ll see on launch:
- Price tile, 100 tokens, “rebalances weekly,” one-click Buy Index flow with an embedded, self-custodial wallet.
- Price tile, 100 tokens, “rebalances weekly,” one-click Buy Index flow with an embedded, self-custodial wallet.
Soft CTA: See the strategy and rules.

Benefits at a Glance (Why This Beats DIY)
- Rules, not vibes: Mechanized regime logic aims to reduce emotional whipsaws.
- Fewer ops mistakes: One flow vs. dozens of manual trades across chains/exchanges every rebalance.
- Switching discipline: Full rotation to stablecoins on bearish signals—no second-guessing.
- Slippage & fees surfaced: Estimated gas, platform fee, and minimum expected value shown before you confirm.
- See everything: Holdings treemap/table and transactions log keep you informed.
- Weekly cadence: A predictable update rhythm that keeps the index aligned with the market.

Step-by-Step: How to Get Early Access (Waitlist)
- Open the hub: Visit the Token Metrics Indices hub.
- Find TM Global 100: Open the index card and tap Join Waitlist.
- Add email: Enter the address you want us to notify at launch.
- (Optional) Connect wallet: Pre-connect to streamline the 90-second Buy flow on day one.
- Launch day: You’ll receive an email when trading opens; the index page shows Gauge → Strategy → Holdings so you can review in seconds.
- Buy in ~90 seconds: Confirm wallet, review fees/slippage, and Buy Index. Track your position in My Indices.
→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Decision Guide: Is This Right for You?
- Hands-Off Allocator: Want broad market beta when it’s worth it, and stables when it isn’t.
- Active Trader: Keep this as a rules-based core, take satellite bets around it.
- TM Member/Prospect: Prefer research-backed rules and transparent logs over discretionary churn.
- New to Crypto: Want a single button, clear rules, and weekly updates.
- Time-Strapped Pro: Minimize ops overhead; maximize clarity.
- Skeptical of “forecasts”: Prefer process over prediction—signals + scheduled rebalances.
FAQs
What is a regime switching crypto index?
A rules-based portfolio that allocates to a diversified token basket in bullish regimes and rotates to stablecoins in bearish regimes, based on pre-defined signals. TM Global 100 implements this with a top-100 universe and a full stablecoin switch in bears.
How often does the index rebalance?
Weekly, to reflect updated rankings and liquidity thresholds; regime changes can occur outside the weekly cycle when the signal flips.
What triggers the move to stablecoins?
A proprietary market signal. When bearish, the index exits token positions into stablecoins and waits for a bullish re-entry signal.
Can I fund with USDC or fiat?
You purchase through an embedded, self-custodial wallet supporting major chains; funding and settlement options surface based on your wallet and chain. USDC payouts are supported when selling. (Region/asset availability may vary.)
Is the wallet custodial?
No. The embedded wallet is self-custodial—you control funds.
How are fees shown?
Before confirming, you’ll see estimated gas, platform fee, max slippage, and minimum expected value.
How do I join the waitlist?
Visit the Token Metrics Indices hub, open TM Global 100, and tap Join Waitlist. You’ll be notified at launch.
Security, Risk & Transparency
- Self-custody first: Embedded smart wallet; you control keys and funds.
- Clarity before commit: Fees, slippage, and holdings previewed pre-trade.
- Logs on-page: Strategy, holdings, and transactions history are visible.
- Regime logic limits: Signals can be wrong; sudden gaps and spreads can impact outcomes.
- Geography: Availability and supported rails may differ by region.
Crypto is volatile and can lose value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This article is for research/education, not financial advice.
Conclusion + Related Reads
If you want a disciplined, transparent way to gain broad crypto exposure while sitting out drawdowns, TM Global 100 was built for you. It’s rules-based, weekly-rebalanced, and visible down to the transaction log—so you can focus on allocation, not anxiety.
→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.
Related Reads
- TM Global 100 strategy
- Token Metrics Indices hub
- Best Cryptocurrency Exchanges 2025
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