Crypto Basics

Understanding the Altcoin Season Index: Your Complete Guide to Altcoin Market Dominance

Discover the Altcoin Season Index and how Token Metrics' AI platform helps traders identify optimal altcoin opportunities. Complete 2025 guide with current market insights.
Token Metrics Team
6 min
MIN

The cryptocurrency market operates in distinct cycles, with periods where Bitcoin dominates and others where alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) take center stage. Understanding when these shifts occur is crucial for successful crypto trading and investment. The Altcoin Season Index has emerged as the definitive metric for identifying these market transitions, providing traders and investors with essential insights into optimal timing for altcoin investments.

What is the Altcoin Season Index?

The Altcoin Season Index is a sophisticated metric that measures the relative performance of altcoins compared to Bitcoin over specific time periods. This indicator serves as a market sentiment gauge, helping traders identify when alternative cryptocurrencies are outperforming Bitcoin and whether the market has entered what's known as "Altcoin Season."

The index uses the top 100 coins ranked on CMC (excluding stablecoins and wrapped tokens) and compares them based on their rolling 90-day price performances. If 75% of the top 100 coins outperform Bitcoin in the last 90 days, it's Altcoin Season. Conversely, if only 25% or fewer altcoins outperform Bitcoin, the market is considered to be in "Bitcoin Season."

The methodology behind this index is straightforward yet effective. By analyzing the performance of the top-ranked cryptocurrencies against Bitcoin's price movements, the index creates a percentage score ranging from 0 to 100. A score above 75 indicates strong altcoin dominance, while a score below 25 suggests Bitcoin is leading the market.

How the Altcoin Season Index Works?

The calculation process involves several key components that ensure accuracy and relevance. Stablecoins like Tether and DAI, as well as asset-backed tokens (e.g., WBTC, stETH, cLINK), are excluded. This exclusion ensures that the index focuses on genuine price appreciation rather than pegged assets or derivatives.

Different platforms may use slightly varying methodologies. If 75% of the Top 50 coins performed better than Bitcoin over the last season (90 days) it is Altcoin Season. Some platforms focus on the top 50 cryptocurrencies, while others extend to the top 100, but the core principle remains consistent across all implementations.

The 90-day rolling window provides sufficient data to identify meaningful trends while remaining responsive to recent market movements. This timeframe helps filter out short-term volatility and focuses on sustained performance patterns that indicate genuine market shifts.

Current Market Status and Recent Trends

As of mid-2025, the cryptocurrency market is experiencing significant dynamics that reflect the utility of the Altcoin Season Index. The cryptocurrency market shows strong bullish momentum halfway through 2025, with Bitcoin reaching record highs near $122,946.00. This unprecedented Bitcoin performance has created interesting market conditions for altcoin investors.

Recent data shows varying altcoin performance across different categories. As of July 21, 2025, Stellar (XLM) is leading the pack, surging 74% for the week to trade at $0.527. Cardano (ADA) is up 23% at $1.004, and Ripple (XRP) has gained 21% this week to reach $3.92. These gains demonstrate that certain altcoins can achieve significant outperformance even during periods of strong Bitcoin dominance.

The market appears to be in a transitional phase. BTC dominance: ~60–61.5%—declining but not yet low enough. There is a strong interest in major alternative cryptocurrencies (alts) and large-cap coins. Into early/mid-phase alt season, not for quick whale-level meme pumps yet. This suggests that while we're not in full altcoin season, the conditions are developing for increased altcoin outperformance.

Historical Context and Market Cycles

Understanding historical altcoin seasons provides valuable context for current market conditions. The most notable altcoin season occurred in 2021, when the convergence of multiple factors created optimal conditions for alternative cryptocurrency growth. During this period, BTC's market dominance dropped from 70% to 38%, while the total market capitalization doubled from 30% to 62%. The altcoin season index hit 98 on April 16, 2021.

This historical precedent demonstrates the potential magnitude of altcoin seasons. When market conditions align, the shift from Bitcoin dominance to altcoin outperformance can be dramatic and sustained. The 2021 altcoin season was fueled by institutional adoption, decentralized finance (DeFi) growth, and the NFT boom, creating a perfect storm for alternative cryptocurrency appreciation.

Recent market activity has shown signs of renewed altcoin interest. The Altcoin Season Index, a widely tracked metric on CoinMarketCap (CMC), surged seven points to reach 84 on December 3, 2024. While this was a temporary spike, it demonstrated that altcoin seasons can emerge quickly when market conditions shift.

The Role of AI and Advanced Analytics in Altcoin Trading

Modern altcoin trading has been revolutionized by artificial intelligence and advanced analytics platforms. Token Metrics stands at the forefront of this technological evolution, providing traders with unprecedented insights into altcoin markets. Trade and invest crypto with Token Metrics—your AI-powered platform for crypto trading, research, and data analytics.

The platform's sophisticated approach to market analysis sets it apart from traditional trading tools. Token Metrics scans 6,000+ tokens daily and gives each one a score based on technical analysis, on-chain data, fundamental metrics, sentiment and social data, and exchange data. This comprehensive analysis ensures that traders have access to multi-dimensional insights that go far beyond simple price movements.

Token Metrics' AI-driven methodology provides particular value during altcoin seasons. Token Metrics has developed an AI-powered rating system that scans the market 24/7, analyzing over 80 data points per token. Their Moonshots tab is designed specifically for users looking to spot early-stage altcoins before they break out. This capability is crucial for capitalizing on altcoin season opportunities, as the window for maximum gains often occurs in the early stages of market shifts.

Strategic Applications for Traders and Investors

The Altcoin Season Index serves multiple strategic purposes for different types of market participants. For swing traders, the index provides timing signals for portfolio rebalancing. When the index begins climbing toward 75, it may signal an opportune time to increase altcoin exposure while reducing Bitcoin allocation.

Long-term investors can use the index to identify accumulation opportunities. During Bitcoin seasons (index below 25), quality altcoins often trade at relative discounts, presenting attractive entry points for patient investors. This contrarian approach can be particularly effective when combined with fundamental analysis of individual projects.

Day traders benefit from understanding index trends to gauge market sentiment and momentum. Token Metrics' AI-driven platform exemplifies this shift, enabling traders to analyze market sentiment and identify patterns that human traders might overlook. Real-time sentiment analysis becomes crucial during transitional periods when the index hovers around the 50 mark.

Portfolio managers can use the index as a risk management tool. Sharp increases in the index during established bull markets may signal overheated conditions, suggesting the need for profit-taking or risk reduction. Conversely, low index readings during bear markets might indicate oversold conditions and potential accumulation opportunities.

Risk Management and Market Considerations

While the Altcoin Season Index provides valuable insights, it should not be used in isolation. Market conditions can change rapidly, and the 90-day rolling window means the index may lag sudden market shifts. Traders should combine index signals with other technical and fundamental analysis tools for comprehensive market assessment.

Regulatory developments, macroeconomic factors, and technological breakthroughs can all influence altcoin performance independently of historical patterns. The index should be viewed as one component of a broader analytical framework rather than a definitive trading signal.

Market manipulation and coordinated activities can temporarily skew individual altcoin performance, potentially affecting index calculations. This risk is mitigated by focusing on the top-ranked cryptocurrencies, but traders should remain aware of potential anomalies in index readings.

The Future of Altcoin Season Analysis

The evolution of altcoin markets continues to accelerate, driven by technological innovation and institutional adoption. AI-powered platforms like Token Metrics are becoming essential tools for navigating this complexity. Token Metrics, an AI-powered platform, consolidates research, portfolio management, and trading signals into a unified ecosystem.

As the cryptocurrency market matures, the dynamics underlying altcoin seasons may evolve. Increased institutional participation, regulatory clarity, and technological developments in blockchain infrastructure could create new patterns in altcoin performance cycles. The Altcoin Season Index will likely adapt to incorporate these changing market dynamics.

The integration of artificial intelligence and machine learning into market analysis represents the next frontier in cryptocurrency trading. These technologies can process vast amounts of data in real-time, identifying subtle patterns and correlations that human analysts might miss. This capability becomes particularly valuable during volatile market conditions when rapid decision-making is crucial.

Conclusion

The Altcoin Season Index has established itself as an indispensable tool for cryptocurrency traders and investors seeking to optimize their market timing and portfolio allocation. By providing clear, quantifiable metrics for measuring altcoin performance relative to Bitcoin, the index removes much of the guesswork from market cycle identification.

Success in altcoin trading requires more than just understanding market cycles; it demands sophisticated analytical tools and real-time data processing capabilities. Token Metrics represents the pinnacle of AI-driven cryptocurrency analysis, offering traders the advanced insights necessary to capitalize on altcoin season opportunities.

As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve and mature, the combination of proven indicators like the Altcoin Season Index with cutting-edge AI analysis platforms will become increasingly important for sustained trading success. The future belongs to traders who can effectively combine traditional market wisdom with modern technological capabilities, positioning themselves to capture the significant opportunities that altcoin seasons provide.

Whether you're a seasoned trader or new to cryptocurrency markets, understanding and utilizing the Altcoin Season Index, supported by advanced analytics platforms like Token Metrics, will be crucial for navigating the complex and rewarding world of altcoin investing. The key lies in combining these powerful tools with sound risk management principles and a deep understanding of the underlying market dynamics that drive cryptocurrency performance cycles.

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Research

What Is the MCP Server? Exploring Token Metrics’ Model Context Protocol API and Integrations

Token Metrics Team
8 min
MIN

In today’s fast-moving crypto market, one truth has become clear: data is not enough—intelligence is everything. Traders, developers, and crypto-native builders are overwhelmed with fragmented tools, inconsistent APIs, and incompatible formats. That's where the Token Metrics Crypto MCP Server changes the game.

In this article, we’ll explore what the MCP Server is, how Token Metrics MCP services work, and how this innovative platform is integrated with leading tools like OpenAI Agents SDK, Windsurf, Cursor AI, Zapier, QuickNode, and Cline. If you’re building in crypto, this guide will show you how to unify your stack, streamline development, and unlock the full power of AI-powered crypto analytics.

What Is the Token Metrics MCP Server?

The MCP Server stands for Model Context Protocol—a lightweight gateway designed by Token Metrics to solve one of the crypto industry’s most persistent problems: tool fragmentation.

From ChatGPT-style agents to desktop dashboards, IDE assistants, and CLI tools, every crypto developer or trader juggles multiple keys, schemas, and inconsistent API responses. The MCP Server solves this by acting as a single interface that translates requests from any client into one canonical crypto data schema—all while sharing the same API key and authentication.

In Simple Terms:

  • Paste your key once.
  • Every tool—OpenAI, Claude, Windsurf, Cursor, Cline—gets access to the same data.
  • No more rewriting requests, managing multiple schemas, or troubleshooting mismatched results.

Why Use the MCP Server Instead of Separate APIs?

Here’s why Token Metrics MCP is a breakthrough:

This is more than a convenience—it’s a productivity multiplier for any serious crypto developer or trader.

Token Metrics API: Intelligence Beyond Price Charts

At the core of the MCP Server lies the Token Metrics Crypto API—an industry-leading data source used by funds, traders, DAOs, and builders worldwide.

Key Features:

  • Trader & Investor Grades: AI-powered indicators that rank tokens based on performance potential.
  • Bullish/Bearish Signals: Predictive entries and exits, generated using real-time market conditions.
  • Quant Metrics: Sharpe Ratio, Value at Risk, Volatility Scores, and more.
  • Support & Resistance Levels: Updated dynamically as markets move.
  • AI Sentiment Analysis: Tracks social, on-chain, and momentum signals across narratives.

The API covers 6,000+ tokens across chains, sectors, and market caps—providing both raw and AI-processed data.

MCP Server Integrations: Powering the Future of Autonomous Crypto Tools

Here’s how MCP connects seamlessly with today’s top tools:

1. OpenAI Agents SDK And Token Metrics MCP

OpenAI’s Agents SDK is a new developer-friendly framework for building autonomous AI workflows—like trading bots and research assistants. When integrated with MCP, developers can:

  • Build agents that call Token Metrics tools (Trader Grade, Risk Score, Signals)
  • Share memory across model calls
  • Route responses to dashboards, bots, or UIs

Result: An end-to-end autonomous crypto agent powered by real-time, AI-grade intelligence—without needing a full backend.

2. Windsurf And Token Metrics: Live Dashboards with AI Signals

Windsurf is an automation-first IDE that allows instant deployment of crypto dashboards. Using MCP, Token Metrics powers:

  • Real-time signal updates
  • Token clustering analysis
  • Instant alert systems
  • Risk management dashboards

Windsurf helps you turn Token Metrics signals into live, interactive intelligence—without code bloat or lag.

3. Cursor AI And Token Metrics MCP: Prompt-Driven Agent Development

Cursor is an AI-native IDE where you can write trading logic and agents through plain English prompts. Integrated via MCP, developers can:

  • Ask: “Build a trading agent using Token Metrics signals.”
  • Get: Python scripts powered by real-time API calls.
  • Refine: Run backtests, adjust triggers, and redeploy—all in seconds.

Use case: Build a working DeFi trading agent that watches Trader Grade flips, sentiment surges, and cluster breakouts—no manual research needed.

4. Cline (Roo Code) And Token Metrics: Conversational Bot Building

With Cline’s Roo Code extension inside VS Code, you can:

  • Summon Token Metrics data by prompt
  • Write code to backtest and trade instantly
  • Analyze tokens like Hyperliquid using live grades, quant metrics, and AI sentiment

Thanks to MCP, every API call is pre-authenticated, normalized, and accessible in seconds.

MCP for Teams: Research to Execution in One Stack

The real power of MCP comes from its multi-client coordination. Here’s what that looks like in practice:

Step 1: Analyst asks Claude or ChatGPT:
“Show me the top 5 mid-cap AI tokens with rising grades.”

Step 2: Windsurf pulls a live shortlist with price/sentiment charts.

Step 3: Cursor spins up a trading script based on buy signals.

Step 4: Zapier posts a morning update to Telegram and Sheets.

Step 5: Cline runs backtests on yesterday’s performance.

Step 6: Tome updates your weekly investor pitch deck.

All powered by one API key. One schema. One MCP gateway.

Pricing, Tiers, and $TMAI Savings

Final Thoughts: Build Smarter, Trade Smarter

The Token Metrics Crypto MCP Server is more than an API gateway—it’s the backbone of a modern, AI-powered crypto development stack.

If you want to:

  • Build a Discord bot that explains Trader Grades
  • Deploy a trading strategy that adapts live to the market
  • Stream daily index summaries to your Telegram group
  • Develop a real-time DeFi dashboard in your IDE
  • Let agents summarize token risk for your VC pitch deck


 then you need the MCP Server.

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The future of crypto intelligence is here—and it’s multi-client, AI-powered, and real-time.

Research

Altcoin Season Delayed? 2025 Crypto Market Cap Trends Explained

Token Metrics Team
8 min
MIN

In 2025, much of the altcoin market remains subdued. Prices for many tokens are still down more than 90% from their all-time highs. Despite sporadic rallies and renewed interest in certain sectors like meme coins or AI, a broader altcoin season has yet to materialize. The question facing many crypto investors now is: why?

In this analysis, we explore the macro and structural reasons for altcoin underperformance, unpack the liquidity bottleneck, and discuss what might change this narrative going forward.

The Data: Altcoins Still Deep in the Red

By mid-2025, most altcoins remain far below their PEAQ valuations from the last cycle. While Bitcoin and a few select large caps have recovered or even set new highs, the broader altcoin ecosystem continues to lag. This decoupling is not new—it happens every cycle—but the magnitude and persistence this time are notable.

A combination of market structure changes and supply-side dynamics are likely responsible.

Why Liquidity Hasn’t Returned

The most critical variable is liquidity. In previous bull runs, altcoin rallies were fueled by large inflows of new capital. This fresh money—often speculative—moved quickly through different sectors, inflating valuations across the board.

Today, however, the crypto market cap sits at around $3.3 trillion, with only ~$300 billion in net new capital added since the start of the cycle. At the same time, there are far more tokens than ever before. This mismatch between capital and available supply has diluted flows and suppressed upside for all but the strongest assets.

Instead of every token catching a bid, capital is rotating selectively, often into Bitcoin, a few meme coins, or tokens associated with highly visible narratives.

Token Supply Has Exploded

One major shift is the sheer number of tokens now on the market. Since the last bull run, the number of tradable crypto assets has increased significantly—perhaps by an order of magnitude. Many of these tokens have little to no trading volume, real users, or sustained community.

This oversupply of assets creates a fragmented market where attention and liquidity are spread thin. As a result, the days of altcoin beta—when nearly every token would rally simply because “the market is up”—may be over.

Going forward, performance may rely more on fundamentals, usage, and real demand.

Sector Rotation Dominates

Rather than broad-based rallies, the market is experiencing sectoral rotations. Capital flows aggressively between narratives: from meme coins to AI tokens, then to DePIN, and perhaps next to RWAs or perpetual DEXs.

This “hot potato” behavior means even when a sector performs, it's often short-lived. Many traders chase the next hype wave rather than allocating with conviction. The result is volatility without trend sustainability, and thin liquidity across most altcoins.

Institutions Are Still Focused on Bitcoin

Another reason altcoins lag is that institutional interest remains centered on Bitcoin—and to a lesser extent, Ethereum. This is particularly true in 2025, as the regulatory landscape slowly becomes more defined and risk appetite stays muted.

Bitcoin continues to benefit from a macro narrative that positions it as a hedge against inflation, fiat instability, and geopolitical risk. With potential for further escalation in global conflicts and economic uncertainty, BTC is often the first and only crypto asset to attract serious inflows.

Until altcoins can offer a comparable use case or risk-adjusted return, institutional capital will likely remain concentrated in BTC.

What Needs to Change

There are several potential catalysts that could eventually bring altcoins back into focus. These include:

  • Improved Liquidity: More capital entering crypto markets through new ETFs, stablecoin infrastructure, or sovereign adoption.
  • Macro Stabilization: A return to risk-on environments globally could expand investor appetite for high-beta crypto assets.
  • Real Usage: Tokens that can demonstrate strong on-chain revenue, user growth, or ecosystem traction may attract sustained demand.
  • Narrative Shifts: New technological breakthroughs or mass adoption events (e.g., consumer applications, financial integrations) could lead to renewed enthusiasm.
  • Token Burn and Scarcity: Projects that reduce supply through burns or buybacks may outperform in a low-liquidity world.

Avoiding the “Musical Chairs” Risk

An important takeaway from the current market environment is the growing risk of holding underperforming assets too long. The metaphor of “musical chairs” applies here—when the music stops, not all tokens will have a place.

Just as the dot-com bubble led to a major culling of internet companies, the crypto market may be undergoing a similar filtering process. Those with product-market fit, sustainable economics, and user adoption will likely survive. Others may not recover.

Bitcoin as the Benchmark

Bitcoin has become the benchmark asset for crypto, both in terms of performance and narrative. It remains the asset most closely tied to global macro conditions and institutional flows.

Its relative strength has made it a measuring stick for evaluating the rest of the market. Many altcoins are now being judged not just in fiat terms, but in BTC-relative performance. If they can’t outperform Bitcoin on a risk-adjusted basis, they may struggle to justify their place in portfolios.

Long-Term Outlook: Selective Optimism

Despite short-term underperformance, we remain open to altcoin opportunities—but with greater caution and selectivity. The current environment favors a “barbell strategy”: holding a core position in Bitcoin while selectively allocating to altcoins with verifiable traction.

This is no longer a market where every token rides the same wave. Success in 2025 likely comes from identifying the few that can break out due to clear product value, strong teams, and real-world adoption.

Conclusion

The altcoin market in 2025 reflects a maturing, more fragmented crypto ecosystem. The free liquidity and speculative exuberance of previous cycles have given way to a more competitive, filtered environment.

For investors and builders alike, this isn’t a reason to despair—but a reason to be more focused. As the market resets, those who adapt their frameworks to the new reality may find long-term success. The next wave of winners may already be building—quietly, under the surface.

Announcements

Token Metrics Launches $200K Grant Program to Back Crypto Builders

Token Metrics Team
8 min
MIN

In an era where crypto is moving faster than ever, the next generation of innovation will be driven by bold builders who fuse AI with blockchain. Whether it’s a project that analyzes sentiment across the market, scores tokens with precision, or generates real-time trading signals—Token Metrics is here to fund the future.

That’s why we’re excited to announce the Token Metrics $200K Grant Program — a bold initiative to empower crypto innovators at any stage.

💾 Why We’re Launching This Grant

Crypto innovation has always thrived on open experimentation. But we know firsthand how tough it can be to go from idea to product. You need the right tools, data, support, and—yes—capital.

We’re opening the doors to all Web3 builders, researchers, hackers, and startup teams with one goal: to supercharge the creation of AI-powered crypto tools that change the game.

If you're building anything in:

  • Crypto market intelligence
  • Sentiment analysis
  • Token scoring systems
  • AI trading bots
  • On-chain analytics
  • DeFi strategy tools


then this program is for you.

🎁 What You Get

Here’s what each selected project receives:

✅ Up to $5,000 in Grants

No strings attached. We’re offering non-dilutive microgrants to help you push your project forward—whether it's hosting costs, engineering hours, or marketing.

✅ Free Access to Token Metrics API

You’ll get direct access to our AI-powered crypto data platform, including investor and trader grades, signal alerts, technical indicators, and more. Build with institutional-grade tools.

✅ Technical Support and Mentorship

Our engineering and product team is on standby to help you with integration, use cases, and product guidance. Get real feedback from people who live and breathe crypto trading and AI.

✅ Community of Builders

You’ll join a thriving ecosystem of developers, analysts, and AI tinkerers who are all solving similar challenges. Share feedback, collaborate, and level up together.

🛠 Who Can Apply?

The grant is open to all stages of projects:

  • 💡 Idea Stage – Have an idea and a plan to build? You’re eligible.
  • đŸ§Ș Beta/Prototype – Already building and testing? Let’s accelerate you.
  • 🚀 Launched Product – Need support to scale? We’re here for it.
  • 💰 Paying Users – Time to expand? We can help you get there faster.

No matter your background, location, or company size—if you’re building something innovative at the intersection of crypto + AI, we want to hear from you.

🌐 What You Can Build with the Token Metrics API

The possibilities are vast. Some ideas we’d love to see:

  • AI-powered Token Rating Tools – Use our Trader and Investor Grades to generate insights.
  • Crypto Sentiment Dashboards – Analyze and visualize market sentiment.
  • Trading Signal Generators – Build bots or dashboards using our buy/sell indicators.
  • Risk Analysis Engines – Combine our technical metrics with your models.
  • DeFi Portfolio Managers – Use our price predictions and volatility data to manage risk.
  • Educational Crypto Apps – Leverage our AI grades to teach users how to DYOR.

Want to create something we haven’t thought of? Even better.

📆 Timeline & Application

The $200K will be distributed over multiple rounds across 2025, with applications reviewed on a rolling basis.

Apply once and you’ll be considered for current and upcoming rounds.

Deadline: First batch review begins July 15, 2025.

👉 Apply here now

đŸ€ Why Build with Token Metrics?

At Token Metrics, we believe the future of investing is intelligent, data-driven, and decentralized. That’s why we’re opening up our core infrastructure—so you can build tools that make crypto smarter for everyone.

We’ve spent years perfecting our AI models, data pipelines, and trading signals. Now, we’re putting that power in your hands.

Whether you’re a student hacking on weekends, a startup looking for product-market fit, or a solo dev with a bold vision—we want to help you win.

🚀 Let’s Build the Future

This isn’t just a grant—it’s a launchpad.

With $5K in non-dilutive funding, direct access to cutting-edge crypto data, and a community of top-tier builders, you’ll have everything you need to bring your project to life.

The next breakthrough tool might be yours. All it takes is one application.

🔗 Ready to apply? Click here → https://forms.gle/T3WGexLdGr9nF1hj9

Let’s build the future of crypto—together.‍

The Token Metrics Team

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