Crypto Basics

Understanding the Altcoin Season Index: Your Complete Guide to Altcoin Market Dominance

Discover the Altcoin Season Index and how Token Metrics' AI platform helps traders identify optimal altcoin opportunities. Complete 2025 guide with current market insights.
Token Metrics Team
6 min
MIN

The cryptocurrency market operates in distinct cycles, with periods where Bitcoin dominates and others where alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) take center stage. Understanding when these shifts occur is crucial for successful crypto trading and investment. The Altcoin Season Index has emerged as the definitive metric for identifying these market transitions, providing traders and investors with essential insights into optimal timing for altcoin investments.

What is the Altcoin Season Index?

The Altcoin Season Index is a sophisticated metric that measures the relative performance of altcoins compared to Bitcoin over specific time periods. This indicator serves as a market sentiment gauge, helping traders identify when alternative cryptocurrencies are outperforming Bitcoin and whether the market has entered what's known as "Altcoin Season."

The index uses the top 100 coins ranked on CMC (excluding stablecoins and wrapped tokens) and compares them based on their rolling 90-day price performances. If 75% of the top 100 coins outperform Bitcoin in the last 90 days, it's Altcoin Season. Conversely, if only 25% or fewer altcoins outperform Bitcoin, the market is considered to be in "Bitcoin Season."

The methodology behind this index is straightforward yet effective. By analyzing the performance of the top-ranked cryptocurrencies against Bitcoin's price movements, the index creates a percentage score ranging from 0 to 100. A score above 75 indicates strong altcoin dominance, while a score below 25 suggests Bitcoin is leading the market.

How the Altcoin Season Index Works?

The calculation process involves several key components that ensure accuracy and relevance. Stablecoins like Tether and DAI, as well as asset-backed tokens (e.g., WBTC, stETH, cLINK), are excluded. This exclusion ensures that the index focuses on genuine price appreciation rather than pegged assets or derivatives.

Different platforms may use slightly varying methodologies. If 75% of the Top 50 coins performed better than Bitcoin over the last season (90 days) it is Altcoin Season. Some platforms focus on the top 50 cryptocurrencies, while others extend to the top 100, but the core principle remains consistent across all implementations.

The 90-day rolling window provides sufficient data to identify meaningful trends while remaining responsive to recent market movements. This timeframe helps filter out short-term volatility and focuses on sustained performance patterns that indicate genuine market shifts.

Current Market Status and Recent Trends

As of mid-2025, the cryptocurrency market is experiencing significant dynamics that reflect the utility of the Altcoin Season Index. The cryptocurrency market shows strong bullish momentum halfway through 2025, with Bitcoin reaching record highs near $122,946.00. This unprecedented Bitcoin performance has created interesting market conditions for altcoin investors.

Recent data shows varying altcoin performance across different categories. As of July 21, 2025, Stellar (XLM) is leading the pack, surging 74% for the week to trade at $0.527. Cardano (ADA) is up 23% at $1.004, and Ripple (XRP) has gained 21% this week to reach $3.92. These gains demonstrate that certain altcoins can achieve significant outperformance even during periods of strong Bitcoin dominance.

The market appears to be in a transitional phase. BTC dominance: ~60–61.5%—declining but not yet low enough. There is a strong interest in major alternative cryptocurrencies (alts) and large-cap coins. Into early/mid-phase alt season, not for quick whale-level meme pumps yet. This suggests that while we're not in full altcoin season, the conditions are developing for increased altcoin outperformance.

Historical Context and Market Cycles

Understanding historical altcoin seasons provides valuable context for current market conditions. The most notable altcoin season occurred in 2021, when the convergence of multiple factors created optimal conditions for alternative cryptocurrency growth. During this period, BTC's market dominance dropped from 70% to 38%, while the total market capitalization doubled from 30% to 62%. The altcoin season index hit 98 on April 16, 2021.

This historical precedent demonstrates the potential magnitude of altcoin seasons. When market conditions align, the shift from Bitcoin dominance to altcoin outperformance can be dramatic and sustained. The 2021 altcoin season was fueled by institutional adoption, decentralized finance (DeFi) growth, and the NFT boom, creating a perfect storm for alternative cryptocurrency appreciation.

Recent market activity has shown signs of renewed altcoin interest. The Altcoin Season Index, a widely tracked metric on CoinMarketCap (CMC), surged seven points to reach 84 on December 3, 2024. While this was a temporary spike, it demonstrated that altcoin seasons can emerge quickly when market conditions shift.

The Role of AI and Advanced Analytics in Altcoin Trading

Modern altcoin trading has been revolutionized by artificial intelligence and advanced analytics platforms. Token Metrics stands at the forefront of this technological evolution, providing traders with unprecedented insights into altcoin markets. Trade and invest crypto with Token Metrics—your AI-powered platform for crypto trading, research, and data analytics.

The platform's sophisticated approach to market analysis sets it apart from traditional trading tools. Token Metrics scans 6,000+ tokens daily and gives each one a score based on technical analysis, on-chain data, fundamental metrics, sentiment and social data, and exchange data. This comprehensive analysis ensures that traders have access to multi-dimensional insights that go far beyond simple price movements.

Token Metrics' AI-driven methodology provides particular value during altcoin seasons. Token Metrics has developed an AI-powered rating system that scans the market 24/7, analyzing over 80 data points per token. Their Moonshots tab is designed specifically for users looking to spot early-stage altcoins before they break out. This capability is crucial for capitalizing on altcoin season opportunities, as the window for maximum gains often occurs in the early stages of market shifts.

Strategic Applications for Traders and Investors

The Altcoin Season Index serves multiple strategic purposes for different types of market participants. For swing traders, the index provides timing signals for portfolio rebalancing. When the index begins climbing toward 75, it may signal an opportune time to increase altcoin exposure while reducing Bitcoin allocation.

Long-term investors can use the index to identify accumulation opportunities. During Bitcoin seasons (index below 25), quality altcoins often trade at relative discounts, presenting attractive entry points for patient investors. This contrarian approach can be particularly effective when combined with fundamental analysis of individual projects.

Day traders benefit from understanding index trends to gauge market sentiment and momentum. Token Metrics' AI-driven platform exemplifies this shift, enabling traders to analyze market sentiment and identify patterns that human traders might overlook. Real-time sentiment analysis becomes crucial during transitional periods when the index hovers around the 50 mark.

Portfolio managers can use the index as a risk management tool. Sharp increases in the index during established bull markets may signal overheated conditions, suggesting the need for profit-taking or risk reduction. Conversely, low index readings during bear markets might indicate oversold conditions and potential accumulation opportunities.

Risk Management and Market Considerations

While the Altcoin Season Index provides valuable insights, it should not be used in isolation. Market conditions can change rapidly, and the 90-day rolling window means the index may lag sudden market shifts. Traders should combine index signals with other technical and fundamental analysis tools for comprehensive market assessment.

Regulatory developments, macroeconomic factors, and technological breakthroughs can all influence altcoin performance independently of historical patterns. The index should be viewed as one component of a broader analytical framework rather than a definitive trading signal.

Market manipulation and coordinated activities can temporarily skew individual altcoin performance, potentially affecting index calculations. This risk is mitigated by focusing on the top-ranked cryptocurrencies, but traders should remain aware of potential anomalies in index readings.

The Future of Altcoin Season Analysis

The evolution of altcoin markets continues to accelerate, driven by technological innovation and institutional adoption. AI-powered platforms like Token Metrics are becoming essential tools for navigating this complexity. Token Metrics, an AI-powered platform, consolidates research, portfolio management, and trading signals into a unified ecosystem.

As the cryptocurrency market matures, the dynamics underlying altcoin seasons may evolve. Increased institutional participation, regulatory clarity, and technological developments in blockchain infrastructure could create new patterns in altcoin performance cycles. The Altcoin Season Index will likely adapt to incorporate these changing market dynamics.

The integration of artificial intelligence and machine learning into market analysis represents the next frontier in cryptocurrency trading. These technologies can process vast amounts of data in real-time, identifying subtle patterns and correlations that human analysts might miss. This capability becomes particularly valuable during volatile market conditions when rapid decision-making is crucial.

Conclusion

The Altcoin Season Index has established itself as an indispensable tool for cryptocurrency traders and investors seeking to optimize their market timing and portfolio allocation. By providing clear, quantifiable metrics for measuring altcoin performance relative to Bitcoin, the index removes much of the guesswork from market cycle identification.

Success in altcoin trading requires more than just understanding market cycles; it demands sophisticated analytical tools and real-time data processing capabilities. Token Metrics represents the pinnacle of AI-driven cryptocurrency analysis, offering traders the advanced insights necessary to capitalize on altcoin season opportunities.

As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve and mature, the combination of proven indicators like the Altcoin Season Index with cutting-edge AI analysis platforms will become increasingly important for sustained trading success. The future belongs to traders who can effectively combine traditional market wisdom with modern technological capabilities, positioning themselves to capture the significant opportunities that altcoin seasons provide.

Whether you're a seasoned trader or new to cryptocurrency markets, understanding and utilizing the Altcoin Season Index, supported by advanced analytics platforms like Token Metrics, will be crucial for navigating the complex and rewarding world of altcoin investing. The key lies in combining these powerful tools with sound risk management principles and a deep understanding of the underlying market dynamics that drive cryptocurrency performance cycles.

Build Smarter Crypto Apps &
AI Agents in Minutes, Not Months
Real-time prices, trading signals, and on-chain insights all from one powerful API.
Grab a Free API Key
Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

Recent Posts

Research

Andrena and the Rise of DePIN: Decentralized Internet in 2025

Token Metrics Team
8 min
MIN

Introduction:
Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks (DePINs) are rapidly emerging as one of the most transformative sectors in the blockchain space. In 2025, projects like Andrena are pushing the boundaries of what’s possible by bridging real-world hardware with decentralized protocols. This blog takes a closer look at the DePIN thesis, Andrena’s approach, and why this project is on the radar of top investors and analysts.

What Is DePIN?

DePIN stands for Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks. It refers to blockchain-powered networks that coordinate real-world infrastructure using token-based incentives. Use cases include:

  • Wireless internet (e.g., Helium)
  • Sensor networks (e.g., WeatherXM)
  • Storage and compute (e.g., Filecoin, Akash, Arweave)
  • Energy grids (e.g., PowerPod)

In short, DePINs decentralize infrastructure deployment and management using blockchain-based coordination tools.

Why DePIN Matters in 2025

  1. Infrastructure Gaps: Billions remain unconnected to the internet or lack access to basic digital services. DePINs offer a way to close these gaps without reliance on centralized telecoms.
  2. Token Incentives for Network Participation: Hardware operators are rewarded for contributing bandwidth, compute, or coverage—creating a new economic model.
  3. Real-World Utility: Unlike speculative tokens, DePIN projects often provide visible, tangible value from day one.

Introducing Andrena: The Helium of the Internet?

Andrena is a DePIN project building a decentralized internet backbone through a combination of physical devices and blockchain protocols. The project is developing a hardware device called Black Box, expected to launch in July.

Key features:

  • Distributed, peer-to-peer wireless coverage
  • Web3 native incentives for node operators
  • No reliance on centralized ISPs
  • Tentative deployments in New York City, Mexico City, and Accra
  • Deep integration with Helium Network and its infrastructure

Andrena aims to give individuals and communities the power to run their own internet access points and be compensated in a decentralized system.

Why It’s Generating Buzz

Token Metrics researchers flagged Andrena as a top pick for long-term infrastructure exposure. Here's why:

  • Backed by Top VCs: In its upcoming Series B, Andrena is reportedly raising funds from major firms including Polychain Capital, Archetype, Wintermute, and Coinbase Ventures.
  • Mass Market Vision: The goal is not just to serve crypto-native users, but also everyday consumers who simply want affordable, decentralized internet access.
  • Multi-layered Integration: Andrena will offer both physical routers and a browser extension, enabling different levels of participation.

Strategic Partnerships and Rollout

The project is currently in soft-launch mode with localized pilots and is pursuing exchange listings later this year. While details remain limited, the focus is on building a global decentralized ISP layer—a radical shift from the existing internet access model.

Why Andrena Could Succeed Where Others Struggled

Previous attempts at decentralized internet often failed due to:

  • Poor hardware UX
  • Limited adoption outside of crypto users
  • Unclear monetization models

Andrena appears to be addressing these pain points with:

  • Consumer-grade devices
  • Partner integrations (e.g., Helium)
  • Clear token utility tied to network usage and coverage
  • A well-capitalized, experienced founding team

Risks and Unknowns

As with all early-stage infrastructure projects, there are risks:

  • Uncertain regulatory frameworks around ISPs
  • Capital intensity of hardware production and distribution
  • Network growth dependent on physical deployment
  • Limited token utility details at this stage

Investors and builders should stay informed as more information becomes public.

How Token Metrics Is Tracking DePIN Growth

The Token Metrics platform is actively monitoring the DePIN space through metrics such as:

  • TVL (Total Value Locked) in related ecosystems
  • Developer activity and GitHub velocity
  • On-chain signal strength and token accumulation
  • Fundamental and technical ratings

Projects like Andrena and its ecosystem partners are closely watched for early indicators of momentum.

Final Thoughts

DePIN is one of the most compelling frontiers in crypto. It offers real-world, real-time applications that go far beyond speculation. Andrena is at the center of this movement, blending telecom hardware, Web3 incentives, and global deployment.

While it's still early, the signs are promising. From reputable backers to ambitious global plans, Andrena is a project worth watching in 2025 and beyond.

Research

Meme Coins in 2025: Why They’re Still Outperforming the Crypto Market

Token Metrics Team
8 min
MIN

Introduction:
Even in a sluggish crypto market, meme coins continue to outperform many other asset classes. In 2025, these highly speculative assets are not only surviving—some are thriving. This blog examines the current state of the meme coin market, what’s driving the activity, and how on-chain data and crypto analytics can help decode the chaos.

Meme Coins: Still Relevant in 2025?

Despite a broadly bearish macro environment, meme coins remain among the few bright spots in the crypto market. In the latest Token Metrics research webinar, several meme tokens showed outsized returns, including:

  • Gorbagana – up over 50% in a day
  • Useless Coin – jumped 40% in 24 hours
  • Startup Coin – nearly 9x returns over the past month

These tokens operate at low market caps and often launch with little or no formal whitepaper or utility. However, the power of narrative, social engagement, and rapid speculation continues to drive short-term gains.

Why Meme Coins Are Performing in a Bear Market

1. Low Liquidity, High Volatility:
Small-cap meme tokens can easily generate parabolic moves with modest capital inflows.

2. Community-Led Narratives:
Tokens like Useless Coin and Startup thrive on viral momentum from crypto-native communities, particularly on X (Twitter) and Telegram.

3. Whale Activity as a Signal:
Token Metrics analysts observed that whales have been accumulating select meme coins. This isn’t an endorsement—but it’s a data point. Monitoring on-chain whale behavior offers clues about where smart money is moving.

The Gobagana Case Study

Gobagana was cited as a high-risk Solana fork with minimal public information, yet it rapidly gained traction. On-chain analysis revealed:

  • Whale wallets accumulating in the early phase
  • Early VC insiders (e.g., those connected to Big Brain VC) engaging with the token
  • Rapid social engagement despite a small follower base

The takeaway? Even opaque meme coins can trigger major rallies—particularly if accumulation patterns align with social volume.

Risk Management and Red Flags

The meme coin market is not without risk. The Token Metrics team emphasized several cautions:

  • Illiquidity: Many meme tokens have low volume and limited exchange listings.
  • Exit scams or soft rugs: Teams can abandon the project after price pumps.
  • Price discovery volatility: Tokens may have no clear valuation baseline and can retrace sharply.

As such, these assets are often best approached with a high-risk tolerance and clear entry/exit rules.

How to Track Meme Coins Like a Quant

Using crypto analytics platforms like Token Metrics can help make sense of meme coin volatility. Tools that help include:

  • Real-time sentiment analysis
  • Whale wallet tracking
  • Price-to-volume anomaly detection
  • Bullish/bearish signal tracking

In 2025, data is more important than hype. While memes may dominate the narrative, only data reveals when the momentum shifts.

Meme Coins vs. Infrastructure Projects

Interestingly, while meme coins have been surging, many infrastructure or protocol tokens remain flat. This divergence suggests that retail attention is still focused on short-term speculation.

That said, once Bitcoin breaks key resistance levels, we could see capital rotate into AI, DeFi, and infrastructure themes. Meme coins may be the “canary in the coal mine” indicating renewed retail appetite.

Final Thoughts

Meme coins remain the wild west of crypto—but they aren’t going away. In fact, they’re becoming more sophisticated, with deeper liquidity pools, faster launches, and increased integration with social media bots and automated token creators.

As always, meme coin trading demands discipline, skepticism, and a robust toolkit. Watch the whales, follow the data, and never trade what you don’t understand.

Research

How to Find Hidden Crypto Gems with 100x Potential (Step-by-Step Guide) | Token Metrics Moonshots

Token Metrics Team
8 min
MIN

In the fast-paced world of cryptocurrency, discovering hidden gems—often called moonshots—can lead to life-changing returns. But the real challenge lies in separating hype from actual potential. In this guide, we’ll break down what crypto moonshots are, how they work, and how you can use Token Metrics to reliably find tokens with 100x upside.

What Are Moonshot Tokens?

The term moonshot comes from the idea of a crypto token “going to the moon,” or rapidly increasing in price. These are usually low-cap tokens with a compelling narrative, innovative technology, or early-stage market presence that give them high upside potential.

Key Characteristics of Moonshot Tokens:

  • Market Cap Below $50M – Smaller market caps have more room to grow.
  • High Risk / High Reward – Volatility is expected, but the upside can be enormous.
  • Early Entry – Timing matters. Getting in early before mainstream awareness is key.
  • Backed by Fundamentals – Even moonshots need solid technology, use cases, or backing.

How Do Crypto Moonshots Work?

Moonshots rely on the combination of innovation, market timing, and community adoption. They often start unnoticed, then experience exponential growth once crypto traders and influencers catch on.

The Lifecycle of a Typical Moonshot:

  1. Discovery Phase – A few savvy investors or analysts spot the token.
  2. Accumulation Phase – Early adopters buy in quietly, keeping prices low.
  3. Breakout Phase – News spreads, and trading volume spikes.
  4. Parabolic Run – FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) kicks in, driving price up rapidly.
  5. Profit-Taking or Collapse – Smart traders exit with gains; latecomers may be left holding the bag.

To avoid the trap of hype-driven tokens, it's essential to use data and analytics, not emotions. That’s where Token Metrics becomes your secret weapon.

How to Use Token Metrics to Find Monshots?

Token Metrics is an AI-powered crypto analytics platform that helps you discover high-potential tokens with real-time data, grades, and backtested indicators. Here’s a step-by-step guide to using Token Metrics to uncover 100x opportunities:

Step 1: Go to the Ratings Page

Start from the main dashboard of the Token Metrics app.

  • Navigate to the “Ratings” tab.
  • This page ranks thousands of tokens using AI-based Trader Grade and Investor Grade, factoring in technical indicators, on-chain metrics, sentiment, and more.

Pro Tip: Look for tokens with rising Trader Grades and strong historical performance.

Step 2: Click on the “Moonshots” Tab

Once you’re in the Ratings section:

  • Click the “Moonshots” tab at the top of the page.
  • This will filter the list down to tokens the AI model flags as having moonshot potential—i.e., tokens likely to perform exceptionally well in the short term.

These are automatically generated by Token Metrics AI models using over 80+ data points, including:

  • Price momentum
  • On-chain activity
  • Sentiment analysis
  • Volume spikes
  • Market structure

Step 3: Review Key Moonshot Metrics

Each Moonshot token is presented with a rich dataset to help you make informed decisions:

  • Trader Grade (with % change in past 24h or 7d)
  • 24H Trading Volume – Gauge market interest
  • Market Cap – Lower caps typically offer more upside
  • Date of Entry – See when the token was first flagged
  • Live ROI Since Moonshot – Know exactly how past picks performed

Bonus Feature: Toggle to “Past Moonshots” to review previous winners and assess the track record of the platform.

Step 4: Choose a Token to Explore

Click on any token in the Moonshots list to open its Token Details Page.

Here, you can:

  • Analyze real-time charts
  • Review fundamentals, like project utility, tokenomics, roadmap, and team
  • See top holders and whale activity
  • Examine price volatility and volume patterns

This is where research and intuition meet. Use the available data to decide if this token fits your risk tolerance and investment thesis.

Step 5: Buy in Seconds

Token Metrics makes the process seamless:

  • Just click the “Buy” button on the Moonshots page.
  • This opens a swap widget powered by integrated DEX aggregators.
  • Choose your wallet, approve the transaction, and you're done—no need to leave the platform.

This integration eliminates the hassle of going to third-party platforms to execute trades, saving time and reducing risk.

Why Use Token Metrics for Finding Moonshots?

Token Metrics isn’t just about flashy picks—it’s about using data science and AI to gain an edge.

Key Benefits:

  • AI-Driven Insights – No emotional bias; just pure data analysis.
  • Transparency – View past moonshot performance, live ROI, and update dates.
  • Speed to Trade – Instant buy options right from the dashboard.
  • Performance Tracking – Evaluate your results based on entry/exit signals.

Real Examples: Token Metrics in Action

  • Euler Finance was flagged as a Moonshot before its 30% rally—validated by a bullish AI signal.
  • Morpho gained traction after appearing in the Moonshots list, later becoming a top TVL gainer.
  • Hyperliquid made the list before capturing major perp trading market share.

By combining early AI alerts with your own due diligence, you can position yourself ahead of the crowd.

Final Thoughts

Finding the next 100x crypto gem doesn’t have to be a guessing game. While the crypto space remains volatile, tools like Token Metrics help stack the odds in your favor. From real-time ratings to instant buy options and performance metrics, you have everything you need to make smart, data-driven bets on the future of crypto.

So if you're serious about turning small investments into big wins, start using Token Metrics to uncover moonshots before they go mainstream.

Try Token Metrics today and unlock the power of AI-driven crypto investing.

Choose from Platinum, Gold, and Silver packages
Reach with 25–30% open rates and 0.5–1% CTR
Craft your own custom ad—from banners to tailored copy
Perfect for Crypto Exchanges, SaaS Tools, DeFi, and AI Products