Crypto Basics

What is Bitcoin Halving and How Does it Impact the Market?

Learn everything about Bitcoin halving and its impact on the crypto market, in this descriptive guide.
Token Metrics Team
7 Minutes
MIN

Over the years, Bitcoin has gained significant popularity and adoption as a means of payment and investment, with a growing number of merchants accepting it as a form of payment and an increasing number of investors buying and holding it as a store of value.

What is Bitcoin Halving?

Bitcoin Halving is a highly anticipated event that takes place every four years in the world of cryptocurrency. It is a pre-programmed adjustment in the Bitcoin blockchain protocol that reduces the mining rewards by 50% for each new block added to the network.

The purpose of the halving is to ensure that the rate of Bitcoin inflation remains under control, and that the total supply of Bitcoin never exceeds 21 million.

The upcoming Bitcoin Halving event has generated a lot of buzz and interest among investors and traders, as it is expected to have a significant impact on the price and overall market sentiment. In this blog post, we will dive deep into the topic of Bitcoin Halving, discussing what it is, how it works, and what to expect from the upcoming halving event.

When was the first Bitcoin Halving?

The first Bitcoin halving occurred on November 28, 2012, approximately four years after the cryptocurrency's launch. At that time, the mining reward for each block added to the Bitcoin blockchain was reduced from 50 BTC to 25 BTC.

This event marked a significant milestone in the Bitcoin ecosystem and signaled the beginning of a new era in the cryptocurrency's monetary policy. Since then, there have been two additional Bitcoin halvings, one in 2016 and another in 2020, with the mining reward reduced to 12.5 BTC and 6.25 BTC, respectively.

The next Bitcoin halving is expected to occur in 2024, at which point the mining reward will be further reduced to 3.125 BTC per block.

Bitcoin Halving Chart

A Bitcoin halving chart is a graphical representation that shows the historical and projected future dates of Bitcoin halvings, as well as the corresponding changes in the Bitcoin mining reward. 

“The chart typically includes a timeline of Bitcoin's history, starting with its launch in 2009, and marks the dates of each halving event as vertical lines. The halving events are also accompanied by a reduction in the Bitcoin mining reward, which is depicted on the chart as a downward sloping curve.”

Bitcoin Halving Chart

Bitcoin halving charts are used by investors, traders, and analysts to track the impact of halvings on the Bitcoin price and market sentiment. These charts can help in predicting potential price movements based on historical trends, as well as analyzing the impact of halvings on the overall supply and demand dynamics of Bitcoin.

Several online platforms offer Bitcoin halving charts that are frequently updated with the latest data and projections. These charts typically include additional features such as zooming, filtering, and customization options to allow users to analyze the data in more detail.

Overall, Bitcoin halving charts are a useful tool for anyone interested in understanding the impact of halving events on the Bitcoin ecosystem.

How does Bitcoin Halving work?

Bitcoin halving is a pre-programmed adjustment to the Bitcoin blockchain protocol that occurs approximately every four years. The process is designed to reduce the amount of new Bitcoin created with each block added to the blockchain by 50%.

The halving is a critical aspect of Bitcoin's monetary policy and serves to control the rate of inflation in the Bitcoin ecosystem.

Bitcoin halving works by reducing the mining rewards that Bitcoin miners receive for adding new blocks to the blockchain. When Bitcoin was first launched in 2009, the mining reward was set at 50 BTC per block.

After the first halving in 2012, the mining reward was reduced to 25 BTC per block. The second halving in 2016 further reduced the reward to 12.5 BTC per block, and the most recent halving in 2020 brought the reward down to 6.25 BTC per block.

The process of Bitcoin halving is automatic and built into the Bitcoin protocol, with a predetermined schedule that reduces the mining reward by half after every 210,000 blocks are added to the blockchain.

This cycle continues until the total supply of Bitcoin reaches 21 million, which is the maximum limit set by the protocol. Once the limit is reached, no new Bitcoins will be created, and miners will rely solely on transaction fees for their rewards.

The impact of Bitcoin halving on the mining industry and overall market sentiment can be significant. As the mining reward is reduced, it becomes more difficult and expensive for miners to earn a profit, leading to a potential decrease in the supply of new Bitcoins and an increase in their price.

Additionally, the halving can create uncertainty and volatility in the Bitcoin market, as investors and traders adjust their strategies based on the changing supply and demand dynamics.

Will BTC price go up or down after halving?

Predicting the exact direction of Bitcoin price movement after halving is difficult, as it is subject to various factors such as market sentiment, demand and supply, and overall adoption of the cryptocurrency. However, based on historical trends, many analysts and experts believe that Bitcoin price tends to go up after halving.

One reason for this belief is the reduction in the rate of new Bitcoin supply. With each halving event, the number of new Bitcoins entering the market decreases, creating a supply shock that can drive the price up due to increased scarcity.

Additionally, the halving can lead to a decrease in the profitability of Bitcoin mining, which could result in some miners leaving the network, reducing the overall supply of new Bitcoin even further.

However, it is also important to note that the impact of halving on Bitcoin price may not be immediate, and the price may experience fluctuations and volatility in the short term.

It is also worth considering that Bitcoin's price is influenced by a range of other factors beyond halving, such as macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and investor sentiment.

Also Read - Is Bitcoin Dead? - Complete Analysis for BTC Investors

Impact of Halving on Bitcoin Miners

Bitcoin halving has a significant impact on Bitcoin miners, as it reduces the reward they receive for adding new blocks to the blockchain. With each halving event, the mining reward is reduced by half, which means that miners must work harder and invest more resources to earn the same amount of Bitcoin.

The reduction in mining rewards can lead to a decrease in profitability for miners, making it more challenging for them to cover their costs and remain profitable. This can lead to smaller miners being pushed out of the market, leaving only the most efficient and well-capitalized miners in the game.

However, there are some ways that miners can adapt to the changing market conditions after halving. For example, miners can lower their operating costs by upgrading their equipment to more efficient models, moving to locations with lower energy costs, or forming mining pools to share resources and reduce competition.

Additionally, as the price of Bitcoin tends to increase after halving, miners may be able to offset the reduced mining rewards by earning more from transaction fees and appreciation in the value of their Bitcoin holdings.

Overall, the impact of halving on Bitcoin miners depends on several factors, such as the cost of mining, the price of Bitcoin, and the level of competition in the market.

While the reduction in mining rewards can create challenges for miners, it is also an essential aspect of Bitcoin's monetary policy, which ensures the controlled release of new Bitcoin into the market and the maintenance of its value over time.

The Bottom Line

In conclusion, Bitcoin halving is a critical aspect of the Bitcoin protocol that serves to control the rate of inflation in the Bitcoin ecosystem.

The process of halving reduces the mining rewards that Bitcoin miners receive for adding new blocks to the blockchain by 50% every four years, until the maximum supply of 21 million Bitcoins is reached.

While the impact of halving on the Bitcoin market and miners can be significant, it is also an essential aspect of Bitcoin's monetary policy, ensuring the controlled release of new Bitcoin into the market and the maintenance of its value over time.

As Bitcoin continues to gain wider adoption and recognition as a legitimate asset, the impact of halving events is likely to become more pronounced, making it an important consideration for investors, traders, and Bitcoin enthusiasts alike.

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Token Metrics Team

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Crypto Basics

Can AI or Data Tools Help Identify Moonshots?

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From Hype to Science — The Role of AI in Finding Moonshots

In the past, finding a 100x moonshot often meant trolling crypto Twitter threads, scanning Discord servers, or jumping into Telegram groups filled with bots and hype. But times have changed. In 2025, the smartest investors use AI and data analytics tools to uncover hidden gems before they explode.

This blog explores how AI and crypto-specific data platforms like Token Metrics are transforming moonshot discovery into a science — removing the guesswork and helping investors spot massive opportunities early.

Why Human-Only Research Isn’t Enough Anymore

With over 2 million crypto tokens and hundreds launching weekly, it’s virtually impossible to manually research everything. Retail traders are often overwhelmed, relying on gut feelings or influencer tweets.

AI levels the playing field by:

  • Analyzing massive datasets at scale
  • Spotting hidden patterns in price, volume, and sentiment
  • Scoring tokens based on fundamentals, momentum, and risk
  • Filtering out noise, scams, and pump-and-dumps

Simply put, AI sees what the human eye misses.

How AI Tools Detect Moonshots

AI models trained on crypto data can identify early-stage projects by analyzing:

These insights allow you to rank tokens and prioritize research efforts.

How Token Metrics AI Grades Work

Token Metrics, a pioneer in AI-driven crypto analytics, uses machine learning to generate Investor Grades, Trader Grades, and Bullish/Bearish Signals for thousands of tokens.

Here's how:

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  • Trader Grade – Short-term potential based on price action, momentum, liquidity
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  • Bearish Signal – Warns of likely downturns or profit-taking zones

Moonshots that rank highly across these metrics are often early movers with breakout potential.

Top Tools to Find Moonshots with AI & Data

Use these tools together to spot patterns others miss.

Case Study: AI Spotting a Moonshot Early

Let’s say a low-cap AI token called NeuroLink AI launches. It’s not yet on CEXs but shows:

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  • 24h price up 18%, volume 400%
  • Mentioned in 3 Token Metrics Bullish Signals in one week
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That’s a prime moonshot candidate worth further analysis — and most retail traders wouldn’t catch it until it’s up 5x.

Human + AI = The Winning Formula

AI doesn't replace human judgment — it enhances it. The best approach is:

  1. Use AI to scan, sort, and filter top candidates
  2. Manually research the top 5–10 picks
  3. Evaluate community, product, team, and roadmap
  4. Use risk metrics and technicals for entry/exit planning

This hybrid approach minimizes FOMO and maximizes precision.

Moonshot AI Checklist

Before diving in, check:

âś… High AI Trader or Investor Grade (85+)
âś… Momentum score surging
âś… Early-stage narrative (AI, DePIN, RWA, etc.)
âś… Community growth across socials
âś… Smart money inflows on-chain
âś… No major unlocks in next 30 days

If all boxes are ticked, you may have found your next 10x.

Final Thoughts: AI is the Ultimate Edge in 2025

Crypto moonshots are no longer found in meme threads and TikTok videos alone. In 2025, the best investors use AI-powered research to systematically uncover explosive opportunities before they go viral.

By leveraging platforms like Token Metrics, you turn chaos into clarity — and emotion into execution.

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How to Build On-Chain Crypto Trading Bots Using Token Metrics Crypto API and Chainlink Functions

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In the evolving world of Web3 development, the need for real-time, reliable, and institutional-grade crypto data has never been greater. Whether you’re building decentralized trading bots, DeFi apps, or smart contract platforms, accessing powerful off-chain data is key to creating intelligent and profitable on-chain systems.

That’s where the Token Metrics Crypto API comes in.

In this guide, we’ll walk you through how to integrate the Token Metrics API with Chainlink Functions, enabling you to deploy live smart contracts that interact with real-time crypto signals, token prices, and trader grades. You’ll learn how to use more than 20 API endpoints and smart contract adapters to power decentralized apps with actionable data.

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What Is the Token Metrics Crypto API?

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Here’s why this combo is so powerful:

  • đź”— Chainlink decentralizes your execution
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This integration enables the creation of intelligent trading bots, dynamic token allocations, and governance proposals backed by hard data—not speculation.

Step-by-Step: How to Integrate Token Metrics API with Chainlink Functions

Let’s walk through how to connect the best crypto API—Token Metrics—with Chainlink Functions to build and deploy a live smart contract.

1. Clone the GitHub Repo

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âś… Free Crypto API Tier Available

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🚀 Ready to Get Started?

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  • âś… Join the Token Metrics Dev Telegram community
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Crypto Basics

How Risky Are Moonshot Investments?

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 Introduction: The High Stakes of Moonshot Crypto

Moonshot investing in crypto is a double-edged sword. On one side, you have tokens that can 10x, 50x, or even 100x your portfolio. On the other side? Complete capital loss. While these asymmetric bets can lead to explosive profits, they also carry extreme risk—especially for uninformed or impulsive investors.

This guide will break down the risk landscape of moonshots: what makes them so volatile, common pitfalls to avoid, risk management strategies, and how tools like Token Metrics help reduce blind spots when betting on the next big thing.

What Makes Moonshot Investments So Risky?

Moonshots live in the outer rim of the crypto market. They are typically:

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  • Light on liquidity
  • Not listed on major exchanges
  • Lacking product-market fit
  • Speculative or narrative-driven

These factors create an environment where price moves fast—but fundamentals are often thin. You're betting more on potential than proof.

Common Risks in Moonshot Investing

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‍

You must assume every moonshot has some of these risk factors — and plan accordingly.

Risk Profile: Moonshots vs. Blue Chips

‍

‍

Moonshots = high variance. Don’t treat them like stable assets.

🛡️ How to Manage Moonshot Risk (and Stay Sane)

  1. Use Proper Position Sizing
    Never allocate more than 1–3% of your total portfolio to a single moonshot.

  2. Diversify Your Moonshots
    Build a “moonshot basket” of 5–10 different bets across categories (AI, DePIN, L1s, Meme, etc).

  3. Set Clear Entry and Exit Plans
    Know your take-profit and stop-loss targets before entering.

  4. Track Vesting & Unlock Schedules
    Use tools like Token Unlocks to avoid buying before big token dumps.

  5. Don’t Fall in Love With Your Bags
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đź§Ş Risk Evaluation Checklist

If you answer “no” to 2 or more of these, tread cautiously.

How Token Metrics Minimizes Risk Exposure

Token Metrics helps de-risk moonshots by analyzing over 80+ data points using AI and quant models:

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You get a comprehensive view of upside and downside before making a decision.

Mental Models for Risky Investing

  • “Play with house money” – Take profits early and only risk profits.
  • “Barbell strategy” – Majority in stable assets, small % in high-risk/high-reward.
  • “Expected Value (EV)” – Even if 8/10 fail, 1 big win covers losses.
  • “Don’t chase losses” – Accept failures quickly and move on.

Moonshot investing is mental warfare. Stick to frameworks, not FOMO.

Final Thoughts: Risk is Inevitable — Manage It, Don’t Fear It

The path to 100x gains in crypto will always be riddled with landmines. But risk isn’t inherently bad — it’s the price of asymmetric upside. The real danger is unmanaged risk, impulsive decisions, and poor research.

With the right approach, the right tools, and a clear head, moonshot investing can be one of the most rewarding strategies in crypto.

Just remember: You only need to be right once.

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