Crypto Basics

What is Bitcoin Halving and How Does it Impact the Market?

Learn everything about Bitcoin halving and its impact on the crypto market, in this descriptive guide.
Token Metrics Team
7 Minutes
MIN

Over the years, Bitcoin has gained significant popularity and adoption as a means of payment and investment, with a growing number of merchants accepting it as a form of payment and an increasing number of investors buying and holding it as a store of value.

What is Bitcoin Halving?

Bitcoin Halving is a highly anticipated event that takes place every four years in the world of cryptocurrency. It is a pre-programmed adjustment in the Bitcoin blockchain protocol that reduces the mining rewards by 50% for each new block added to the network.

The purpose of the halving is to ensure that the rate of Bitcoin inflation remains under control, and that the total supply of Bitcoin never exceeds 21 million.

The upcoming Bitcoin Halving event has generated a lot of buzz and interest among investors and traders, as it is expected to have a significant impact on the price and overall market sentiment. In this blog post, we will dive deep into the topic of Bitcoin Halving, discussing what it is, how it works, and what to expect from the upcoming halving event.

When was the first Bitcoin Halving?

The first Bitcoin halving occurred on November 28, 2012, approximately four years after the cryptocurrency's launch. At that time, the mining reward for each block added to the Bitcoin blockchain was reduced from 50 BTC to 25 BTC.

This event marked a significant milestone in the Bitcoin ecosystem and signaled the beginning of a new era in the cryptocurrency's monetary policy. Since then, there have been two additional Bitcoin halvings, one in 2016 and another in 2020, with the mining reward reduced to 12.5 BTC and 6.25 BTC, respectively.

The next Bitcoin halving is expected to occur in 2024, at which point the mining reward will be further reduced to 3.125 BTC per block.

Bitcoin Halving Chart

A Bitcoin halving chart is a graphical representation that shows the historical and projected future dates of Bitcoin halvings, as well as the corresponding changes in the Bitcoin mining reward. 

“The chart typically includes a timeline of Bitcoin's history, starting with its launch in 2009, and marks the dates of each halving event as vertical lines. The halving events are also accompanied by a reduction in the Bitcoin mining reward, which is depicted on the chart as a downward sloping curve.”

Bitcoin Halving Chart

Bitcoin halving charts are used by investors, traders, and analysts to track the impact of halvings on the Bitcoin price and market sentiment. These charts can help in predicting potential price movements based on historical trends, as well as analyzing the impact of halvings on the overall supply and demand dynamics of Bitcoin.

Several online platforms offer Bitcoin halving charts that are frequently updated with the latest data and projections. These charts typically include additional features such as zooming, filtering, and customization options to allow users to analyze the data in more detail.

Overall, Bitcoin halving charts are a useful tool for anyone interested in understanding the impact of halving events on the Bitcoin ecosystem.

How does Bitcoin Halving work?

Bitcoin halving is a pre-programmed adjustment to the Bitcoin blockchain protocol that occurs approximately every four years. The process is designed to reduce the amount of new Bitcoin created with each block added to the blockchain by 50%.

The halving is a critical aspect of Bitcoin's monetary policy and serves to control the rate of inflation in the Bitcoin ecosystem.

Bitcoin halving works by reducing the mining rewards that Bitcoin miners receive for adding new blocks to the blockchain. When Bitcoin was first launched in 2009, the mining reward was set at 50 BTC per block.

After the first halving in 2012, the mining reward was reduced to 25 BTC per block. The second halving in 2016 further reduced the reward to 12.5 BTC per block, and the most recent halving in 2020 brought the reward down to 6.25 BTC per block.

The process of Bitcoin halving is automatic and built into the Bitcoin protocol, with a predetermined schedule that reduces the mining reward by half after every 210,000 blocks are added to the blockchain.

This cycle continues until the total supply of Bitcoin reaches 21 million, which is the maximum limit set by the protocol. Once the limit is reached, no new Bitcoins will be created, and miners will rely solely on transaction fees for their rewards.

The impact of Bitcoin halving on the mining industry and overall market sentiment can be significant. As the mining reward is reduced, it becomes more difficult and expensive for miners to earn a profit, leading to a potential decrease in the supply of new Bitcoins and an increase in their price.

Additionally, the halving can create uncertainty and volatility in the Bitcoin market, as investors and traders adjust their strategies based on the changing supply and demand dynamics.

Will BTC price go up or down after halving?

Predicting the exact direction of Bitcoin price movement after halving is difficult, as it is subject to various factors such as market sentiment, demand and supply, and overall adoption of the cryptocurrency. However, based on historical trends, many analysts and experts believe that Bitcoin price tends to go up after halving.

One reason for this belief is the reduction in the rate of new Bitcoin supply. With each halving event, the number of new Bitcoins entering the market decreases, creating a supply shock that can drive the price up due to increased scarcity.

Additionally, the halving can lead to a decrease in the profitability of Bitcoin mining, which could result in some miners leaving the network, reducing the overall supply of new Bitcoin even further.

However, it is also important to note that the impact of halving on Bitcoin price may not be immediate, and the price may experience fluctuations and volatility in the short term.

It is also worth considering that Bitcoin's price is influenced by a range of other factors beyond halving, such as macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and investor sentiment.

Also Read - Is Bitcoin Dead? - Complete Analysis for BTC Investors

Impact of Halving on Bitcoin Miners

Bitcoin halving has a significant impact on Bitcoin miners, as it reduces the reward they receive for adding new blocks to the blockchain. With each halving event, the mining reward is reduced by half, which means that miners must work harder and invest more resources to earn the same amount of Bitcoin.

The reduction in mining rewards can lead to a decrease in profitability for miners, making it more challenging for them to cover their costs and remain profitable. This can lead to smaller miners being pushed out of the market, leaving only the most efficient and well-capitalized miners in the game.

However, there are some ways that miners can adapt to the changing market conditions after halving. For example, miners can lower their operating costs by upgrading their equipment to more efficient models, moving to locations with lower energy costs, or forming mining pools to share resources and reduce competition.

Additionally, as the price of Bitcoin tends to increase after halving, miners may be able to offset the reduced mining rewards by earning more from transaction fees and appreciation in the value of their Bitcoin holdings.

Overall, the impact of halving on Bitcoin miners depends on several factors, such as the cost of mining, the price of Bitcoin, and the level of competition in the market.

While the reduction in mining rewards can create challenges for miners, it is also an essential aspect of Bitcoin's monetary policy, which ensures the controlled release of new Bitcoin into the market and the maintenance of its value over time.

The Bottom Line

In conclusion, Bitcoin halving is a critical aspect of the Bitcoin protocol that serves to control the rate of inflation in the Bitcoin ecosystem.

The process of halving reduces the mining rewards that Bitcoin miners receive for adding new blocks to the blockchain by 50% every four years, until the maximum supply of 21 million Bitcoins is reached.

While the impact of halving on the Bitcoin market and miners can be significant, it is also an essential aspect of Bitcoin's monetary policy, ensuring the controlled release of new Bitcoin into the market and the maintenance of its value over time.

As Bitcoin continues to gain wider adoption and recognition as a legitimate asset, the impact of halving events is likely to become more pronounced, making it an important consideration for investors, traders, and Bitcoin enthusiasts alike.

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Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

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TL;DR (snippet)

  • What it is: Rules-based index that holds top-100 in bull markets and moves to stablecoins in bear markets.

  • Why it matters: Weekly rebalances + transparent holdings and transaction logs.

  • Who it’s for: Hands-off allocators and active traders who want a disciplined core.

  • Next step: Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

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Definition (snippet-ready): A crypto index is a rules-based basket of digital assets that rebalances on a set schedule and/or when market conditions change, so you don’t have to micromanage individual coins.

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How the TM Global 100 Index Works (Plain English)

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Step-by-Step: How to Get Early Access (Waitlist)

  1. Open the Token Metrics Indices hub and select TM Global 100.

  2. Add your email to the waitlist so you’re first in line at launch.

  3. (Optional) Connect your wallet—our embedded, self-custodial smart wallet supports major chains.

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→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Decision Guide: Is This Right for You?

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FAQs

What is a crypto index?
A rules-based basket of assets with scheduled rebalancing and, in TM Global 100’s case, a regime switch between top-100 exposure and stablecoins.

How often does the index rebalance?
Weekly, with additional full-portfolio switches when the market regime changes.

What triggers the move to stablecoins?
A proprietary market signal. When bearish, the index exits tokens into stablecoins and waits for a bullish re-entry.

Can I fund with USDC or fiat?
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Is the wallet custodial?
No. The embedded wallet is self-custodial; you control funds.

How are fees shown?
The Buy flow shows estimated gas, platform fee, max slippage, and minimum expected value before you confirm.

How do I join the waitlist?
Visit the Indices hub → TM Global 100 → enter your email to get notified and first access at launch.

Security, Risk & Transparency

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  • Visibility: Strategy modal, Holdings treemap/table, and Transactions log make changes auditable.

  • Fee & slippage preview: See estimated gas, platform fee, max slippage, and minimum expected value before confirming.

  • Regime logic limits: Signals can be wrong; markets can gap; weekly rebalances can’t eliminate risk.

  • Region/chain notes: Supported chains surface in-product; availability and options may vary.

Crypto is volatile and can lose value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This article is for research/education, not financial advice.

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If you’ve ever missed a rebalance or watched slippage eat into returns, TM Global 100 can help standardize the work: rules-based logic, weekly updates, and a visible log of everything that changed. Join the waitlist to be first to trade, and make a disciplined index your core.

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→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

TL;DR (snippet)

What it is: A rules-based index that holds the top-100 crypto assets in bull markets and moves to stablecoins in bear markets.
Why it matters: Weekly rebalances + transparent holdings and a transactions log encourage discipline and clarity.
Who it’s for: Hands-off allocators and active traders who want a robust, rules-driven core.
Next step: Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Why Education / Indices Matters in October 2025

Crypto runs in regimes—multi-month stretches of risk-on momentum followed by drawdowns that can erase gains quickly. Searchers looking for “regime switching,” “weekly rebalancing,” or “crypto index” want a practical framework that’s simple to follow and easy to execute.

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  • Operational burden: DIY rebalancing across dozens of tokens is error-prone; a standardized process reduces slippage, delays, and missed changes.

  • Clarity: Real-time transparency over what you hold, why you hold it, and when it changed.

How the TM Global 100 Index Works (Plain English)

  • Regime switching:


    • Bullish: Hold the top-100 by market cap across sectors and chains.

    • Bearish: Exit to stablecoins and wait for a bullish re-entry signal.

  • Weekly rebalancing:


    • Reflects updated market-cap rankings and liquidity/supply thresholds. Constituents and weights update on schedule.

  • Transparency:


    • Strategy modal with rules; Gauge → Treemap → Transactions Log so you can verify what you own and what changed.

  • What you’ll see on launch:


    • Price tile, 100 tokens, “rebalances weekly,” one-click Buy Index flow with an embedded, self-custodial wallet.

Soft CTA: See the strategy and rules.

Benefits at a Glance (Why This Beats DIY)

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  • See everything: Holdings treemap/table and transactions log keep you informed.

  • Weekly cadence: A predictable update rhythm that keeps the index aligned with the market.

Step-by-Step: How to Get Early Access (Waitlist)

  1. Open the hub: Visit the Token Metrics Indices hub.

  2. Find TM Global 100: Open the index card and tap Join Waitlist.

  3. Add email: Enter the address you want us to notify at launch.

  4. (Optional) Connect wallet: Pre-connect to streamline the 90-second Buy flow on day one.

  5. Launch day: You’ll receive an email when trading opens; the index page shows Gauge → Strategy → Holdings so you can review in seconds.

  6. Buy in ~90 seconds: Confirm wallet, review fees/slippage, and Buy Index. Track your position in My Indices.

→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Decision Guide: Is This Right for You?

  • Hands-Off Allocator: Want broad market beta when it’s worth it, and stables when it isn’t.

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  • New to Crypto: Want a single button, clear rules, and weekly updates.

  • Time-Strapped Pro: Minimize ops overhead; maximize clarity.

  • Skeptical of “forecasts”: Prefer process over prediction—signals + scheduled rebalances.

FAQs

What is a regime switching crypto index?
A rules-based portfolio that allocates to a diversified token basket in bullish regimes and rotates to stablecoins in bearish regimes, based on pre-defined signals. TM Global 100 implements this with a top-100 universe and a full stablecoin switch in bears.

How often does the index rebalance?
Weekly, to reflect updated rankings and liquidity thresholds; regime changes can occur outside the weekly cycle when the signal flips.

What triggers the move to stablecoins?
A proprietary market signal. When bearish, the index exits token positions into stablecoins and waits for a bullish re-entry signal.

Can I fund with USDC or fiat?
You purchase through an embedded, self-custodial wallet supporting major chains; funding and settlement options surface based on your wallet and chain. USDC payouts are supported when selling. (Region/asset availability may vary.)

Is the wallet custodial?
No. The embedded wallet is self-custodial—you control funds.

How are fees shown?
Before confirming, you’ll see estimated gas, platform fee, max slippage, and minimum expected value.

How do I join the waitlist?
Visit the Token Metrics Indices hub, open TM Global 100, and tap Join Waitlist. You’ll be notified at launch.

Security, Risk & Transparency

  • Self-custody first: Embedded smart wallet; you control keys and funds.

  • Clarity before commit: Fees, slippage, and holdings previewed pre-trade.

  • Logs on-page: Strategy, holdings, and transactions history are visible.

  • Regime logic limits: Signals can be wrong; sudden gaps and spreads can impact outcomes.

  • Geography: Availability and supported rails may differ by region.

Crypto is volatile and can lose value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This article is for research/education, not financial advice.

Conclusion + Related Reads

If you want a disciplined, transparent way to gain broad crypto exposure while sitting out drawdowns, TM Global 100 was built for you. It’s rules-based, weekly-rebalanced, and visible down to the transaction log—so you can focus on allocation, not anxiety.

→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

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If you’ve ever tried to “own the market” in crypto, you know the pain: picking coins, timing rotations, chasing listings, and rebalancing blends research with stress. A crypto index solves this by tracking a defined basket with clear rules—so you don’t babysit a watchlist 24/7. TM Global 100 extends that idea with a rules-based approach: it holds the top 100 assets when the market is bullish, and fully moves to stablecoins when it isn’t, with weekly rebalancing and transparent holdings and transactions. That means less micromanagement, more discipline, and a single place to see what you own and why.

→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

TL;DR (snippet)

  • What it is: A rules-based index that holds the top-100 in bull markets and moves to stablecoins in bear markets.

  • Why it matters: Weekly rebalances + transparent holdings and transaction logs keep exposure aligned with market structure.

  • Who it’s for: Hands-off allocators and active traders who want a disciplined, visible core.

  • Next step: Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Why crypto indices matter in October 2025

Search interest around “what is a crypto index” keeps rising because investors want broad exposure without constant token-picking. Indices meet informational → commercial → transactional intent in one flow: learn the concept, see the rules, then invest. For traders, weekly rebalancing reduces drift from fast-changing market-cap rankings; for allocators, a regime switch (tokens ↔ stablecoins) can help avoid sitting exposed through deep drawdowns. In one sentence: A crypto index is a rules-based basket of crypto assets that rebalances on a schedule to maintain a defined exposure.

How the TM Global 100 Index Works (Plain English)

  • Regime switching:
    Bull: hold the top 100 by market cap.
    Bear: exit to stablecoins and wait for a bullish re-entry signal.

  • Weekly rebalancing:
    Updates weights and constituents to reflect the current top-100 ranking.

  • Transparency:
    Strategy modal (rules), Gauge → Treemap → Transactions Log, and an index price tile with “rebalances weekly” note.

  • What you’ll see on launch:
    Price tile, token count (100), one-click Buy Index, and post-buy visibility in My Indices.

Soft CTA: See the strategy and rules.

Benefits at a Glance (Why This Beats DIY)

  • Time saved: No weekly scramble across exchanges to add/remove names after rankings shift.

  • Lower drift risk: Scheduled weekly rebalances help keep the basket aligned with the evolving top-100.

  • Switching discipline: Automated bear-market stablecoin posture enforces a plan when emotions run hot.

  • Fewer missed moves: Rotations into/out of constituents are handled by rules, not vibes.

  • Single dashboard: Gauge → Treemap → Transactions Log show what changed and when.

  • One-click execution: Fund, confirm, done—no manual multi-token shopping cart.

Step-by-Step: How to Get Early Access (Waitlist)

  1. Go to the Token Metrics Indices hub.

  2. Open TM Global 100 and tap Join Waitlist; add your email.

  3. (Optional) Connect wallet so you’re set for the 90-second Buy flow at launch.

  4. We’ll notify you on go-live—you’ll see the price tile, signal Gauge, and Buy Index.

  5. Preview fees/slippage, confirm, and your position appears in My Indices with full transactions history.

  6. Revisit weekly to see updated holdings and rebalances; we log everything.

  7. Repeat the waitlist CTA to share with a friend who wants “one-click top-100.”

→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Decision Guide: Is This Right for You?

  • Hands-Off Allocator: Want market exposure without coin-picking? Consider Global 100.

  • Active Trader: Want a rules-based core that moves to stables in bears while you run side bets?

  • TM Member/Prospect: Prefer transparent holdings & logs you can actually audit.

  • Rebalance-Skeptic: You know drift is real; weekly cadence may help keep you aligned.

  • Risk-Aware: Like the idea of stablecoin mode when signals flip—no promises, just rules.

  • Time-Poor, Thesis-Rich: You believe in crypto’s upside but can’t manage 100 positions manually.

FAQs

What is a crypto index?
A crypto index is a rules-based basket that tracks a defined set of assets (e.g., the top-100 by market cap), with a scheduled rebalance to keep exposure aligned. Global 100 applies that idea and adds a regime switch to stablecoins.

How often does TM Global 100 rebalance?
Weekly. Constituents and weights update on schedule; if the market regime changes, the portfolio can switch between tokens and stablecoins outside that cadence.

What triggers the move to stablecoins?
A proprietary market signal. Bullish: hold the top-100 basket. Bearish: exit to stablecoins and wait for a re-entry signal.

Can I fund with USDC or fiat?
At launch you’ll see wallet-funding options supported by the embedded smart wallet and supported chains; USDC payouts are available on selling. Details show in the Buy/Sell flow.

Is the wallet custodial?
No. The embedded wallet is self-custodial—you control funds.

How are fees shown?
Before confirming you’ll see estimated gas, platform fee, max slippage, and minimum expected value.

How do I join the waitlist?
Visit the Token Metrics Indices hub, open TM Global 100, and tap Join Waitlist. We’ll email when trading opens.

Security, Risk & Transparency

  • Self-custody: Embedded smart wallet; you control keys.

  • Clear rules: Strategy modal explains selection criteria and rebalancing methodology.

  • Full visibility: Holdings Treemap, Table, and Transactions Log show every change after rebalances/regime switches.

  • Fee clarity: Buy flow shows fees and slippage before you confirm.

  • Regime logic limits: Signals can be wrong; no performance is promised.

  • Regional notes: Availability may vary by region and wallet support at launch.

Crypto is volatile and can lose value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This article is for research/education, not financial advice.

Conclusion + Related Reads

If you want broad market exposure without herding coins—or a disciplined core you can trust to step aside in bad regimes—TM Global 100 was built for you: rules-based, weekly rebalancing, stablecoins when warranted, and full transparency. Join the waitlist now to be first to trade on launch.

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