Crypto Basics

What is Bitcoin Halving and How Does it Impact the Market?

Learn everything about Bitcoin halving and its impact on the crypto market, in this descriptive guide.
Token Metrics Team
7 Minutes
MIN

Over the years, Bitcoin has gained significant popularity and adoption as a means of payment and investment, with a growing number of merchants accepting it as a form of payment and an increasing number of investors buying and holding it as a store of value.

What is Bitcoin Halving?

Bitcoin Halving is a highly anticipated event that takes place every four years in the world of cryptocurrency. It is a pre-programmed adjustment in the Bitcoin blockchain protocol that reduces the mining rewards by 50% for each new block added to the network.

The purpose of the halving is to ensure that the rate of Bitcoin inflation remains under control, and that the total supply of Bitcoin never exceeds 21 million.

The upcoming Bitcoin Halving event has generated a lot of buzz and interest among investors and traders, as it is expected to have a significant impact on the price and overall market sentiment. In this blog post, we will dive deep into the topic of Bitcoin Halving, discussing what it is, how it works, and what to expect from the upcoming halving event.

When was the first Bitcoin Halving?

The first Bitcoin halving occurred on November 28, 2012, approximately four years after the cryptocurrency's launch. At that time, the mining reward for each block added to the Bitcoin blockchain was reduced from 50 BTC to 25 BTC.

This event marked a significant milestone in the Bitcoin ecosystem and signaled the beginning of a new era in the cryptocurrency's monetary policy. Since then, there have been two additional Bitcoin halvings, one in 2016 and another in 2020, with the mining reward reduced to 12.5 BTC and 6.25 BTC, respectively.

The next Bitcoin halving is expected to occur in 2024, at which point the mining reward will be further reduced to 3.125 BTC per block.

Bitcoin Halving Chart

A Bitcoin halving chart is a graphical representation that shows the historical and projected future dates of Bitcoin halvings, as well as the corresponding changes in the Bitcoin mining reward. 

“The chart typically includes a timeline of Bitcoin's history, starting with its launch in 2009, and marks the dates of each halving event as vertical lines. The halving events are also accompanied by a reduction in the Bitcoin mining reward, which is depicted on the chart as a downward sloping curve.”

Bitcoin Halving Chart

Bitcoin halving charts are used by investors, traders, and analysts to track the impact of halvings on the Bitcoin price and market sentiment. These charts can help in predicting potential price movements based on historical trends, as well as analyzing the impact of halvings on the overall supply and demand dynamics of Bitcoin.

Several online platforms offer Bitcoin halving charts that are frequently updated with the latest data and projections. These charts typically include additional features such as zooming, filtering, and customization options to allow users to analyze the data in more detail.

Overall, Bitcoin halving charts are a useful tool for anyone interested in understanding the impact of halving events on the Bitcoin ecosystem.

How does Bitcoin Halving work?

Bitcoin halving is a pre-programmed adjustment to the Bitcoin blockchain protocol that occurs approximately every four years. The process is designed to reduce the amount of new Bitcoin created with each block added to the blockchain by 50%.

The halving is a critical aspect of Bitcoin's monetary policy and serves to control the rate of inflation in the Bitcoin ecosystem.

Bitcoin halving works by reducing the mining rewards that Bitcoin miners receive for adding new blocks to the blockchain. When Bitcoin was first launched in 2009, the mining reward was set at 50 BTC per block.

After the first halving in 2012, the mining reward was reduced to 25 BTC per block. The second halving in 2016 further reduced the reward to 12.5 BTC per block, and the most recent halving in 2020 brought the reward down to 6.25 BTC per block.

The process of Bitcoin halving is automatic and built into the Bitcoin protocol, with a predetermined schedule that reduces the mining reward by half after every 210,000 blocks are added to the blockchain.

This cycle continues until the total supply of Bitcoin reaches 21 million, which is the maximum limit set by the protocol. Once the limit is reached, no new Bitcoins will be created, and miners will rely solely on transaction fees for their rewards.

The impact of Bitcoin halving on the mining industry and overall market sentiment can be significant. As the mining reward is reduced, it becomes more difficult and expensive for miners to earn a profit, leading to a potential decrease in the supply of new Bitcoins and an increase in their price.

Additionally, the halving can create uncertainty and volatility in the Bitcoin market, as investors and traders adjust their strategies based on the changing supply and demand dynamics.

Will BTC price go up or down after halving?

Predicting the exact direction of Bitcoin price movement after halving is difficult, as it is subject to various factors such as market sentiment, demand and supply, and overall adoption of the cryptocurrency. However, based on historical trends, many analysts and experts believe that Bitcoin price tends to go up after halving.

One reason for this belief is the reduction in the rate of new Bitcoin supply. With each halving event, the number of new Bitcoins entering the market decreases, creating a supply shock that can drive the price up due to increased scarcity.

Additionally, the halving can lead to a decrease in the profitability of Bitcoin mining, which could result in some miners leaving the network, reducing the overall supply of new Bitcoin even further.

However, it is also important to note that the impact of halving on Bitcoin price may not be immediate, and the price may experience fluctuations and volatility in the short term.

It is also worth considering that Bitcoin's price is influenced by a range of other factors beyond halving, such as macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and investor sentiment.

Also Read - Is Bitcoin Dead? - Complete Analysis for BTC Investors

Impact of Halving on Bitcoin Miners

Bitcoin halving has a significant impact on Bitcoin miners, as it reduces the reward they receive for adding new blocks to the blockchain. With each halving event, the mining reward is reduced by half, which means that miners must work harder and invest more resources to earn the same amount of Bitcoin.

The reduction in mining rewards can lead to a decrease in profitability for miners, making it more challenging for them to cover their costs and remain profitable. This can lead to smaller miners being pushed out of the market, leaving only the most efficient and well-capitalized miners in the game.

However, there are some ways that miners can adapt to the changing market conditions after halving. For example, miners can lower their operating costs by upgrading their equipment to more efficient models, moving to locations with lower energy costs, or forming mining pools to share resources and reduce competition.

Additionally, as the price of Bitcoin tends to increase after halving, miners may be able to offset the reduced mining rewards by earning more from transaction fees and appreciation in the value of their Bitcoin holdings.

Overall, the impact of halving on Bitcoin miners depends on several factors, such as the cost of mining, the price of Bitcoin, and the level of competition in the market.

While the reduction in mining rewards can create challenges for miners, it is also an essential aspect of Bitcoin's monetary policy, which ensures the controlled release of new Bitcoin into the market and the maintenance of its value over time.

The Bottom Line

In conclusion, Bitcoin halving is a critical aspect of the Bitcoin protocol that serves to control the rate of inflation in the Bitcoin ecosystem.

The process of halving reduces the mining rewards that Bitcoin miners receive for adding new blocks to the blockchain by 50% every four years, until the maximum supply of 21 million Bitcoins is reached.

While the impact of halving on the Bitcoin market and miners can be significant, it is also an essential aspect of Bitcoin's monetary policy, ensuring the controlled release of new Bitcoin into the market and the maintenance of its value over time.

As Bitcoin continues to gain wider adoption and recognition as a legitimate asset, the impact of halving events is likely to become more pronounced, making it an important consideration for investors, traders, and Bitcoin enthusiasts alike.

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Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

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Top Crypto Index for Hands-Off Portfolios (2025)

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If you want broad crypto exposure without babysitting charts, a top crypto index is the simplest way to participate in the market. TM Global 100 was designed for hands-off portfolios: when conditions are bullish, the index holds the top 100 crypto assets by market cap; when signals turn bearish, it moves to stablecoins and waits. You get weekly rebalancing, transparent holdings and transaction logs, and a 90-second buy flow—so you can spend less time tinkering and more time compounding your life.

→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

TL;DR (snippet)

  • What it is: Rules-based index that holds the top-100 in bull markets and moves to stablecoins in bear markets.

  • Why it matters: Weekly rebalances + transparent holdings and transaction logs.

  • Who it’s for: Hands-off allocators and active traders who want a disciplined core.

  • Next step: Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Why Education / Indices Matters in October 2025

Volatility is back, and investors are searching for predictable, rules-based ways to capture crypto upside without micromanaging tokens. Search interest for terms like hands-off crypto investing, weekly rebalancing, and regime switching reflects the same intent: “Give me broad exposure with guardrails.”

Definition (for snippets): A crypto index is a rules-based basket of digital assets that tracks a defined universe (e.g., top-100 by market cap) with a transparent methodology and scheduled rebalancing.

For 2025’s cycle, a top crypto index helps you participate in uptrends while a regime-switching rule can step aside during drawdowns—removing guesswork and FOMO from day-to-day decisions.

How the TM Global 100 Index Works (Plain English)

  • Regime switching:


    • Bull: Holds the top-100 crypto assets by market cap.

    • Bear: Exits to stablecoins until a bullish signal returns.

  • Weekly rebalancing: Refreshes constituents and weights to reflect current market-cap rankings.

  • Transparency: A Strategy modal explains the rules; Gauge → Treemap → Transactions Log shows exactly what you hold and when it changes.

  • What you’ll see on launch: Price tile, 100 tokens, “rebalances weekly,” and a one-click Buy flow.

Soft CTA: See the strategy and rules.

Benefits at a Glance (Why This Beats DIY)

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  • Lower slippage risk vs. DIY: One flow vs. dozens of separate orders on multiple chains.

  • No missed rebalances: Weekly updates + regime switches handled by rules, not mood.

  • Discipline on drawdowns: Stablecoin mode may help preserve capital during bears.

  • Full visibility: Gauge, Holdings Treemap/Table, and Transactions Log keep everything auditable.

  • One-click on-ramp: Embedded wallet + 90-second checkout makes first allocation simple.

Step-by-Step: How to Get Early Access (Waitlist)

  1. Open the Indices hub: Go to Token Metrics Indices.

  2. Select TM Global 100: Open the Global 100 card to view price, Gauge, tokens (=100), and “rebalances weekly.”

  3. Tap “Join Waitlist”: Enter your email. (Optional: connect wallet to pre-stage the buy.)

  4. Preview the rules: Read Strategy → Selection Criteria → Rebalancing Methodology.

  5. See holdings: Browse the Treemap and Table; check the Transactions Log.

  6. Launch day: We’ll email you. Connect (or create) the embedded wallet, review fees/slippage, and confirm.

  7. Own it in ~90 seconds: Your position appears in My Indices with P&L and ROI tracking.

→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Decision Guide: Is This Right for You?

  • Hands-Off Allocator: Want the market’s breadth without daily management → Yes, core fit.

  • Active Trader: Need a disciplined core that sits in stables during bears → Strong complement to higher-beta bets.

  • TM Member/Prospect: Already follow TM research; prefer a rules-based implementation → Natural next step.

  • New to Crypto: Prefer transparent, auditable exposure with simple flows → Good starter allocation framework.

  • DIY Basket Builder: Tired of rebalance overhead and slippage → Index can replace heavy lifting.

  • Custody-Sensitive User: Want self-custody with clear logs → Embedded self-custodial wallet.

  • Fee-Aware Investor: Want to see costs upfront → Buy flow shows fees, gas, slippage estimates.

  • Global User: Multi-chain support helps meet you where you are → Check region availability at launch.

FAQs

What is a top crypto index?
A rules-based basket that tracks a defined universe—here, the top 100 assets by market cap—with transparent methodology and scheduled rebalancing.

How often does the index rebalance?
Weekly. Regime switches (tokens ↔ stablecoins) can also occur when the market signal changes.

What triggers the move to stablecoins?
A proprietary market-regime signal. In bearish regimes, the index exits token positions to stablecoins and waits for a bullish re-entry signal.

Can I fund with USDC or fiat?
At launch, the embedded wallet will surface supported funding/settlement options based on your chain/wallet. USDC payout is supported when selling; additional on-ramps may follow.

Is the wallet custodial?
No. It’s an embedded, self-custodial smart wallet—you control the keys.

How are fees shown?
Before confirming, the buy flow shows estimated gas, platform fee, max slippage, and minimum expected value.

How do I join the waitlist?
Visit the Token Metrics Indices hub or the TM Global 100 strategy page and tap Join Waitlist.

Security, Risk & Transparency

  • Self-custody: Embedded smart wallet; you control funds.

  • Visibility: Gauge → Treemap → Transactions Log shows holdings and all changes.

  • Fee/slippage clarity: All estimates shown pre-trade; transaction logs post-trade.

  • Regime logic limits: Signals can be wrong; switching may lag sudden moves.

  • Region notes: Availability and funding paths can vary by region/chain and may expand over time.

Crypto is volatile and can lose value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This article is for research/education, not financial advice.

Conclusion + Related Reads

If you want hands-off, rules-based exposure to crypto’s upside—with a stablecoin backstop in bears—TM Global 100 is built for you. See the strategy, join the waitlist, and be ready to allocate on launch.

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→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

TL;DR (snippet)

  • What it is: A rules-based index that holds the top-100 assets in bull markets and moves to stablecoins in bear markets.

  • Why it matters: Weekly rebalances + transparent holdings and transactions logs.

  • Who it’s for: Hands-off allocators and active traders who want a disciplined core.

  • Next step: Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Why a “Top 100 Crypto Index” Matters in October 2025

The market keeps cycling. New leaders emerge quickly. A “set-and-forget” bag can fall behind, while manual baskets burn hours and rack up slippage. Search interest for crypto index, regime switching, and weekly rebalancing keeps growing because people want a simple, disciplined core that adapts.

Definition (for featured snippets): A top 100 crypto index is a rules-based basket that tracks the largest 100 crypto assets by market cap, typically rebalanced on a schedule to keep weights aligned with the market.

In 2025, that alone isn’t enough. You also need discipline for downtrends. TM Global 100 adds a regime-switching layer to move to stablecoins during bear phases—so you can participate in upside and sit out major drawdowns with a consistent, rules-based approach.

‍

How the TM Global 100 Index Works (Plain English)

Regime switching:

  • Bullish: The index holds the top-100 assets by market cap.

  • Bearish: The index exits positions and moves fully to stablecoins until a bullish re-entry signal.

Weekly rebalancing:

  • Every week, the composition and weights update to reflect current market-cap rankings. No manual list maintenance. No “oops, I missed the new entrant.”

Transparency:

  • Strategy modal explains selection criteria and regime logic.

  • Gauge → Treemap → Transactions Log shows the signal, the real-time holdings view, and every rebalance/regime switch.

  • You’ll always see what you own, how it changed, and why.

What you’ll see on launch:

  • Price tile, 100 tokens, “rebalances weekly,” and one-click Buy.

  • Gauge to visualize the market signal.

  • Holdings Treemap and Table to inspect exposure.

  • Transactions Log to review every rebalance.

Soft CTA: See the strategy and rules.

Benefits at a Glance (Why This Beats DIY)

  • Time saved: Skip hours of asset chasing and manual spreadsheets; rebalances happen automatically.

  • Lower execution drag: One index buy can reduce slippage vs. piecing together 20–50 small orders across chains.

  • Never miss a rebalance: Weekly updates and on/off risk switches run by rules, not vibes.

  • Rules-based switching: A clear trigger defines when to sit in stablecoins—no second-guessing.

  • Full visibility: The gauge, treemap, table, and log make the process auditable at a glance.

  • Operational simplicity: An embedded wallet, 90-second buy flow, fee and slippage estimates upfront.

Step-by-Step: How to Get Early Access (Waitlist)

  1. Open the Indices hub and tap TM Global 100.

  2. Join the waitlist with your email—this flags you for day-one access.

  3. (Optional) Connect your wallet so you’re ready for the embedded checkout.

  4. Launch day: You’ll get an email and in-app prompt when trading opens.

  5. Buy in ~90 seconds: Connect, review fees/slippage/estimated value, confirm.

  6. Track positions: See your holdings, rebalances, and P&L in My Indices.

  7. Repeat or add funds: Rebalancing is handled weekly; you can add or sell anytime.

→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Decision Guide: Is This Right for You?

  • Hands-Off Allocator: Want broad market exposure without managing coin lists? Consider it.

  • Active Trader: Want a disciplined core you don’t have to watch while you chase setups? Consider it.

  • TM Member (Research-Heavy): Prefer to keep your picks, but want a market base layer? Consider it.

  • New to Crypto: Need transparency + clear rules? Consider it, with a small test first.

  • Hyper-Niche Maxi: If you only want 1–2 coins, an index may be too broad.

  • Short-Term Scalper: You may still benefit from a core allocation, but active trading stays your main driver.

  • Tax-/Jurisdiction-Sensitive Users: Check your local rules before investing.

  • Institutional Explorers: Looking for transparent rules, logs, and weekly governance? Worth evaluating.

FAQs

What is a top 100 crypto index?
A rules-based basket tracking the largest 100 assets by market cap, typically with scheduled rebalancing. TM Global 100 adds regime switching to stablecoins during bear markets.

How often does the index rebalance?
Weekly. In addition, if the market signal flips, the entire portfolio may switch between tokens ↔ stablecoins outside the weekly cycle.

What triggers the move to stablecoins?
A proprietary market-regime signal. When it’s bearish, the index exits tokens to stablecoins and waits for a bullish re-entry signal.

Can I fund with USDC or fiat?
On launch, funding options surface based on your connected wallet and supported chains. USDC payouts are supported when selling.

Is the wallet custodial?
The embedded wallet is self-custodial—you control your funds.

How are fees shown?
Before you confirm a buy, you’ll see estimated gas, platform fee, max slippage, and minimum expected value—all up front.

How do I join the waitlist?
Go to the TM Global 100 page or the Indices hub and click Join Waitlist. You’ll get notified at launch with simple steps to buy.

Security, Risk & Transparency

  • Self-custody: Embedded, self-custodial smart wallet; you control keys.

  • 2FA & device checks: Standard authentication best practices.

  • Fee/slippage transparency: All estimates are shown pre-trade; you confirm with eyes open.

  • On-chain visibility: Holdings, rebalances, and regime switches appear in the Transactions Log.

  • Rule constraints: Signals can be wrong; spreads and volatility can impact outcomes.

  • Regional considerations: Availability and tax treatment vary by jurisdiction.

Crypto is volatile and can lose value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This article is for research/education, not financial advice.

Conclusion + Related Reads

A top 100 crypto index is the simplest path to broad market exposure—if it’s built with discipline. TM Global 100 combines transparent rules, weekly rebalancing, and a regime switch to stablecoins, so you can focus on your strategy while the core maintains itself.
Now’s the time to claim early access.
→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

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The Case for Rules-Based Crypto Indexing After a Volatile Cycle (2025)

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7 min
MIN

After a whipsaw year, many investors are asking how to stay exposed to crypto’s upside without riding every drawdown. Rules-based crypto indexing is a simple, disciplined answer: follow a transparent set of rules rather than gut feelings. The TM Global 100 puts this into practice—own the top-100 in bullish regimes, rotate to stablecoins in bearish regimes, and rebalance weekly. On top of that, you can see what you own in real time with a Holdings Treemap, Table, and Transactions Log. Less second-guessing, more process.

→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

TL;DR (snippet)

What it is: A rules-based index that holds the top-100 in bull markets and moves to stablecoins in bear markets—paired with transparent holdings and transaction logs.

Why it matters: Weekly rebalances and clear regime logic bring structure after volatile cycles.

Who it’s for: Hands-off allocators and active traders who want a disciplined core with visibility.

Next step: Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Why Rules-Based Crypto Indexing Matters in October 2025

In a volatile cycle, emotion creeps in: chasing winners late, cutting losers early, or missing re-entry after fear. Rules-based crypto indexing applies consistent criteria—constituent selection, weighting, and rebalancing—so you don’t have to improvise in stress.

For readers comparing crypto index options, think of it as a codified playbook. A rules-based crypto index is a methodology-driven basket that follows predefined signals (e.g., market regime) and maintenance schedules (e.g., weekly rebalancing), aiming for repeatable behavior across cycles.

Featured snippet definition: Rules-based crypto indexing is a systematic approach that tracks a defined universe (e.g., top-100 by market cap) and maintains it on a fixed cadence, with explicit rules for when to hold tokens and when to de-risk into stablecoins.

How the TM Global 100 Index Works (Plain English)

  • Regime switching: When the market signal is bullish, the index holds the top 100 assets by market cap; when bearish, it moves to stablecoins until conditions improve.

  • Weekly rebalancing: Constituents and weights update weekly to reflect the latest market-cap rankings—capturing leadership changes without manual effort.

  • Transparency: A Strategy modal and Gauge → Treemap → Transactions Log show the signal, current mix, and every change recorded.

  • What you’ll see on launch: Price tile, “tokens: 100,” “rebalances weekly,” and a fast ~90-second Buy flow with fee/slippage previews.

See the strategy and rules. (TM Global 100 strategy)

Benefits at a Glance (Why This Beats DIY)

  • Time & operational drag: Skip juggling 20–100 tickers, wallets, and venues.

  • Execution quality: A single indexed flow can help reduce piecemeal slippage and duplicated fees.

  • No missed rotations: Weekly rebalancing and regime switching reduce the cost of being late to trends—or late to de-risk.

  • Always-on visibility: Holdings treemap + table + transactions log remove the black box.

  • Behavioral edge: Clear rules can limit panic sells and FOMO buys during turbulence.

  • Portfolio role: A disciplined core that you can complement with selective satellites.

Step-by-Step: How to Get Early Access (Waitlist)

  1. Open the Token Metrics Indices hub and select TM Global 100. (Token Metrics Indices hub)

  2. Click Join Waitlist and enter your email for launch-day access.

  3. (Optional) Connect your wallet so you’re ready to fund.

  4. On launch, review the Gauge → Treemap → Transactions to confirm the current mix.

  5. Tap Buy Index, review fees/slippage, and confirm (about 90 seconds end-to-end).

  6. Track your position and every weekly rebalance in My Indices and the Transactions Log.

→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Decision Guide: Is This Right for You?

  • Hands-Off Allocator: Want broad market beta with an explicit de-risking rule. Consider if you resist micromanaging.

  • Active Trader: Prefer a disciplined core that moves to stablecoins in bears while you express edge with satellites.

  • Long-Term Believer: Seek systematic participation in leadership changes via weekly rebalancing.

  • Transparency-First User: Require auditable holdings and a transactions log—no black boxes.

  • Tax/Compliance Conscious: Prefer consolidated rebalances over many ad hoc trades.

  • TM Research Follower: Want to pair TM insights with a rules-based execution layer.

  • New to Crypto Baskets: Want to avoid building and maintaining a DIY index.

FAQs

What is a rules-based crypto index?
A methodology-driven basket that follows predefined rules for asset selection, weighting, and maintenance. In TM Global 100, that means top-100 exposure in bullish regimes and stablecoins in bearish regimes, with weekly rebalancing and full transparency.

How often does the index rebalance?
Weekly. This cadence refreshes constituents and weights to align with current market-cap rankings; separate regime switches can move between tokens and stablecoins.

What triggers the move to stablecoins?
A documented market signal. When it turns bearish, the index exits to stablecoins; when bullish resumes, it re-enters the top-100 basket.

Can I fund with USDC or fiat?
Funding options will surface based on your connected wallet and supported rails. USDC settlement on sells is supported; fiat on-ramps may be added over time.

Is the wallet custodial?
No. The embedded wallet is self-custodial—you control your keys and assets.

How are fees shown?
Before confirming a trade, you’ll see estimated gas, platform fee, max slippage, and min expected value—so you can proceed with clarity.

How do I join the waitlist?
Go to the Indices hub, open TM Global 100, and enter your email. You’ll receive a launch-day link to buy.

Security, Risk & Transparency

  • Self-custody by default: You control your wallet.

  • Defense-in-depth: 2FA/account security features and explicit transaction prompts.

  • Clear economics: Fee and slippage previews before you confirm.

  • Auditability: Holdings treemap + table + transactions log document every change.

  • Methodology limits: Regime logic may not capture every market nuance; weekly cadence can differ from intraday moves.

  • Regional availability: On-ramps and features can vary by jurisdiction.
    Crypto is volatile and can lose value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This article is for research/education, not financial advice.

Conclusion + Related Reads

After a volatile cycle, the edge is process. TM Global 100 combines rules-based crypto indexing, weekly rebalancing, and full transparency so you can participate in upside and step aside during bears—without running your own spreadsheets. If that’s the core you’ve been missing, join the waitlist now.

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