Crypto Basics

Bitcoin Price Prediction for July 2025: Key Trends, Insights, and What Investors Can Expect

Get a detailed Bitcoin price prediction for 2025 using Token Metrics AI signals and on-chain data. Learn how institutional inflows, low supply, and macro trends could push BTC to $230K by 2026.
Token Metrics Team
8 min
MIN

As of July 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a major breakout, surging past $119,000 after breaching the critical $110,000 resistance level. This surge, driven by institutional capital inflows, supply constraints, and favorable macroeconomic trends, has reignited optimism in the broader crypto market.

But how high can Bitcoin go in 2025—and beyond? Is this rally sustainable? What are the risks? In this highly informative and SEO-optimized blog post, we’ll provide a detailed Bitcoin price prediction for 2025, using real-time data from the Token Metrics AI crypto trading and research platform, along with key macro, on-chain, and policy-level insights.

🚀 The Bullish Breakout: Bitcoin Turns Upward in June 2025

On June 28, 2025, the Token Metrics AI signal for Bitcoin turned bullish, signaling a strong shift in momentum. Since then, Bitcoin has:

  • Surged past $118,000
  • Broken the psychological and technical resistance at $110,000
  • Shown strong price action supported by both on-chain and institutional metrics

This wasn’t just a technical rally—it’s been fundamentally driven by several powerful tailwinds.

📊 Institutional Adoption: The Driving Force Behind Bitcoin’s Surge

1. Bitcoin Spot ETFs See Billions in Inflows

Major financial institutions—BlackRock, Fidelity, and Charles Schwab—have led the charge in Bitcoin ETF adoption. As of Q3 2025:

  • Total net inflows to U.S.-based Bitcoin ETFs have surpassed $25 billion
  • These products are now used in 401(k)s, pension funds, and private wealth portfolios

Institutional buyers are not flipping BTC like retail investors. Instead, they’re accumulating and holding, tightening supply and driving long-term demand.

2. Declining Exchange Reserves

Another bullish on-chain indicator: BTC reserves on exchanges have dropped from 3.25 million to just 2.55 million BTC—a level not seen since 2017. This suggests:

  • More Bitcoin is being moved to cold wallets
  • Less BTC is available for sale
  • Market sentiment is shifting from “sell” to “HODL”

When supply tightens while demand rises, prices move up—a simple but powerful formula playing out in real time.

📈 Policy Tailwinds: Pro-Crypto Regulations in the U.S.

The current U.S. regulatory landscape is the most Bitcoin-friendly in history.

🔹 Bitcoin Reserve Proposal

There are growing discussions in U.S. policy circles around holding Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset, similar to gold. This has further validated BTC as:

  • A legitimate sovereign-grade asset
  • A hedge against inflation and geopolitical uncertainty

🔹 Clarity on Custody and Taxes

Clear guidelines on:

  • Crypto tax treatment for institutions
  • Custodianship rules for ETFs and banks
  • Greenlight for banks to hold digital assets

…have dramatically increased institutional confidence in Bitcoin.

💰 Macroeconomic Trends Supporting BTC’s Growth

1. Weakening U.S. Dollar

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen due to:

  • Rising national debt
  • Slowing economic growth
  • High interest rates suppressing consumer demand

This has led investors to rotate into store-of-value assets like Bitcoin.

2. Rising Geopolitical Risk

Tensions in the Middle East (e.g., Israel-Iran) and ongoing trade disputes have fueled demand for assets that are:

  • Borderless
  • Non-sovereign
  • Resistant to censorship

Bitcoin fits all three criteria, increasing its role as a digital safe haven in times of global instability.

⚠️ Risks to Monitor in 2025

While the Bitcoin outlook is bullish, several risks could slow momentum:

❌ 1. Energy Usage Concerns

Bitcoin’s Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism remains energy-intensive. Critics argue this could:

  • Attract stricter environmental regulations
  • Reduce adoption in ESG-conscious portfolios

❌ 2. Regional Regulatory Uncertainty

Not all jurisdictions are as pro-Bitcoin as the U.S. In 2025, some countries (especially in Asia and Europe) continue to:

  • Restrict Bitcoin trading
  • Propose heavy taxation
  • Limit institutional adoption

❌ 3. Price Corrections

With BTC up significantly since the start of 2025, short-term pullbacks are likely. Corrections of 15–25% are common in bull cycles—investors should be prepared with clear entry and exit strategies.

📉 Bear Case Scenario

If institutional inflows slow down or new regulation spooks the market:

  • Bitcoin could retrace to $90,000–$100,000
  • This would represent a healthy correction, not a full trend reversal
  • Long-term fundamentals still remain intact

📊 Token Metrics AI Forecast: Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2025–2026

Using on-chain data, macro indicators, and real-time signals from the Token Metrics platform, the current forecast is:

This outlook is supported by Token Metrics AI signals, which have maintained a bullish position since late June 2025.

🧠 How Token Metrics Helps You Navigate Bitcoin and Beyond

While Bitcoin is a macro asset, altcoins often outperform it in bull markets. Token Metrics helps investors identify these opportunities with:

🚀 Moonshots

  • Daily low-cap altcoin picks with 10x–100x potential
  • Live ROI, market cap, and trader grade metrics
  • AI-driven early discovery engine

📈 Real-Time Buy/Sell Signals

  • Use Trader Grade for short-term trades
  • Use Investor Grade for long-term conviction picks

💹 Crypto Indices

  • Thematic portfolios (AI, RWA, Layer 1s, etc.)
  • Easy exposure to sectors likely to boom after BTC leads the rally

🔔 Take Action Today

If you’re looking to ride the current Bitcoin bull cycle and find the next big altcoins to complement your portfolio, start using Token Metrics today:

✅ Track real-time signals
✅ Discover early Moonshots
✅ Analyze risk with AI
✅ Make informed crypto investment decisions

👉 Sign up now at TokenMetrics.com

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Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

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Research

Trader vs. Investor Grade: How to Use Both for Smarter Crypto Bets

Token Metrics Team
4 min
MIN

Crypto trading success often boils down to timing. But how do you know when to enter — and when to stay long? Token Metrics solves this dilemma with a dual-grade system: Trader Grade and Investor Grade. Each grade serves a different investment goal, and together, they help you make more confident decisions, whether you’re day trading or holding for the long run.

What is the Trader Grade?
The Trader Grade measures short-term momentum. It uses AI to analyze price action, volume trends, technical indicators, and recent sentiment shifts. Scores range from 0 to 100, and a score above 80 signals strong short-term potential.

Use Case:

  • Perfect for swing traders and short-term opportunists.
  • Look for tokens with Trader Grade > 80 for potential breakout trades.
  • Example: Launchcoin had a Trader Grade above 90 before its 35x rally began.

What is the Investor Grade?
The Investor Grade focuses on long-term fundamentals. It’s designed for those who want to hold tokens for months or even years. This grade considers tokenomics, development activity, ecosystem strength, narrative alignment, and long-term price structure.

Use Case:

  • Ideal for long-term portfolio builders.
  • A token with Investor Grade > 80 is a strong candidate for accumulation.
  • AI infrastructure tokens and modular blockchains often rank high here.

Why Use Both?
Most traders fail by only looking at hype or short-term charts. Token Metrics lets you blend data:

  • High Trader Grade + Low Investor Grade? Consider a short-term trade, not a long hold.
  • High Investor Grade + Low Trader Grade? Consider waiting for a better entry point.
  • Both High? Green light for confidence in both entry and long-term performance.

Case Study: Balancing Your Portfolio with Grades
Users can use the dual-grade approach for smarter allocation:

  • 30% of capital to high Trader Grade tokens (short-term plays)
  • 70% to high Investor Grade tokens (long-term holds)

This method helps mitigate risk and improve overall ROI.

Where to Find the Grades
Both grades are displayed prominently across:

  • Token Detail Pages – Real-time grade updates with historical data
  • Market Page Filters – Sort tokens by grade thresholds
  • Portfolio Builder Tool – Automatically selects tokens with strong grades

Tips for Grade-Based Trading

  1. Use Trader Grade for volatile markets or when prices are accelerating.
  2. Use Investor Grade when building positions in strong narratives like AI, DeFi, or infrastructure.
  3. Avoid tokens with both grades below 60 unless you’re making a speculative bet.

Conclusion
Trading without context is gambling. Token Metrics’ Trader and Investor Grades give you a proven framework for assessing both momentum and fundamentals. Whether you’re here for a quick flip or a long-term bet, using the dual-grade system can level up your crypto strategy.

Announcements

Inside the Dashboard: How to Monitor API Key Activity and Monthly Usage in Real Time

Token Metrics Team
5 min
MIN

The power of any great API isn’t just in the data it provides — it’s also in the control, visibility, and accountability it gives developers. That’s why the Token Metrics API Dashboard is more than just a place to generate keys — it’s your real-time command center for monitoring API key usage, managing access, and optimizing performance.

In this article, we’ll explore how to use the Token Metrics API Dashboard to stay in control of your app’s data usage, track request history, and ensure your integrations remain secure and efficient.

📍 Where to Find It

To access the dashboard:

  1. Log in to your Token Metrics account.
  2. Go to: https://app.tokenmetrics.com/en/api
  3. Navigate to the API Keys and API Usage sections.

🔐 View and Manage API Keys

The API Keys section gives you a complete overview of every active key associated with your account. For each key, you’ll see:

  • Key Name: Descriptive labels like "Bot A" or "Staging Server"
  • Created Date: When the key was generated
  • Last Used: Timestamp of the most recent request
  • Status: Active or inactive toggle
  • Actions: Trash icon to instantly delete a key

💡 Why It Matters:

  • Spot unused or stale keys that may pose a security risk
  • Instantly disable or delete a key if it’s compromised
  • Monitor which app or environment is making the most requests

📊 Monitor API Usage in Real-Time

In the Usage Dashboard, Token Metrics gives you deep insights into how your API credits are being used.

Key metrics include:

  • API Calls Graph
    A daily call volume chart so you can identify peaks in usage, anomalies, or unexpected surges.

  • Total Monthly API Calls
    Example:
    8,750 / 20,000
    See how much of your monthly quota you’ve used — and when it resets.

  • Remaining API Credits
    Know exactly how many calls you have left in your current cycle.

  • API Call Statistics Table
    Each row includes:

    • Endpoint accessed (e.g., /trader-grade)
    • Timestamp of the request
    • Status code (200 = success, 401 = unauthorized, etc.)
    • Originating IP address
    • Success/failure response

🔄 Debugging & Insights Made Easy

This dashboard doesn’t just monitor—it helps you debug and optimize.

  • Quickly identify if your integration is repeatedly hitting 400 or 403 errors
  • Check whether a specific key is being overused or underused
  • Pinpoint spikes in usage that may indicate unauthorized access
  • See which endpoints are called most often — and consider caching results

⚠️ Avoid Rate Limit Surprises

If you’re on a Basic or Advanced plan, you’ll have a rate limit (e.g., 1 req/min for free users, up to 600 req/min for VIPs). The dashboard helps ensure you stay within your limits — and scale appropriately when needed.

🚀 Build Better with Transparency

In a production environment, visibility into API activity is critical. With Token Metrics, you’re never flying blind. You always know:

  • Which app is using which key
  • How many credits you’re using
  • When to optimize or upgrade

From security to scaling, the Token Metrics API Dashboard gives you the insight you need to build with clarity and control.

👉 Launch Your API Dashboard Now → tokenmetrics.com/api

Research

Is the Crypto Market Bullish or Bearish? Why 2025 Is the Year of Neutral Momentum

Token Metrics Team
3 min
MIN

The crypto market isn't clearly bullish or bearish in mid-2025 — it's neutral. This article explores why this 'in-between' momentum could signal a maturing market cycle, and what investors should watch for as signals normalize after a sharp $1T rebound in total market cap.

As we navigate through the midpoint of 2025, one question dominates trading desks and Telegram groups alike: Is the crypto market bullish or bearish? Surprisingly, the answer might be neither. Current indicators suggest that we are in a neutral zone — an ambiguous space where the market is no longer surging with euphoric gains but isn’t plunging into panic either.

From January through mid-May, the total crypto market cap has grown from $1 trillion to $2 trillion. This swift rebound signals recovery, but not full-blown optimism. Instead, many analysts — ourselves included — interpret this as a healthy correction and stabilization following intense early-year volatility.

This kind of environment often marks the early stages of a maturing cycle. Unlike the sharp swings we saw in previous bull and bear markets, 2025’s trend suggests more measured growth, driven by fundamentals rather than hype. In other words, the market might finally be learning from its past.

That doesn’t mean the space lacks activity. Sectors like DeFi lending and AI-related tokens continue to gain traction, with significant TVL inflows. Retail interest in meme coins also remains high in select regions. But overall, what we’re seeing is consolidation — not chaos.

In this neutral setting, strategy matters more than sentiment. It's no longer about jumping into trending narratives or panic-selling on dips. Instead, identifying projects with real use cases, sustainable economics, and strong communities has become the foundation of long-term success.

For traders and builders alike, the current landscape offers both challenges and opportunities. Risk-adjusted returns are key, and disciplined portfolio rebalancing could be one of the most underrated strategies right now.

As we continue monitoring market signals, we remain committed to surfacing actionable insights backed by real-time data, not just narratives. Whether the next breakout is weeks or months away, staying informed — and unemotional — may prove to be your best edge.

How Token Metrics Helps in a Neutral Market Environment:

In times of neutral momentum, making profitable crypto decisions becomes more complex — and that's where Token Metrics shines:

  1. Actionable AI Signals:
    Token Metrics scans thousands of tokens daily, using over 80 data points to identify bullish and bearish trends even when market sentiment is flat. This helps users cut through noise and act on real opportunities.
  2. Investor & Trader Grades:
    When hype fades, fundamentals matter. Our proprietary grades evaluate both short-term momentum and long-term viability, helping users discover tokens with staying power — not just temporary pumps.
  3. Smart Rebalancing Alerts:
    In a consolidating market, maintaining the right portfolio mix is crucial. Token Metrics' indices and alerts help users rebalance regularly to lock in gains and minimize downside risks.
  4. Sector-Based Insights:
    With DeFi, AI, and meme coins behaving differently, Token Metrics allows users to dive deep into sector-specific analytics — so you can position ahead of capital flows.
  5. Sentiment & Volume Monitoring:
    Our platform tracks shifts in on-chain activity, social sentiment, and volume trends to spot early signs of market reversals — especially useful when traditional signals stall.

In a market where being early beats being emotional, Token Metrics equips you with the clarity and tools to trade with confidence.

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