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Bitcoin Price Prediction for July 2025: Key Trends, Insights, and What Investors Can Expect

Get a detailed Bitcoin price prediction for 2025 using Token Metrics AI signals and on-chain data. Learn how institutional inflows, low supply, and macro trends could push BTC to $230K by 2026.
Token Metrics Team
8 min
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As of July 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a major breakout, surging past $119,000 after breaching the critical $110,000 resistance level. This surge, driven by institutional capital inflows, supply constraints, and favorable macroeconomic trends, has reignited optimism in the broader crypto market.

But how high can Bitcoin go in 2025—and beyond? Is this rally sustainable? What are the risks? In this highly informative and SEO-optimized blog post, we’ll provide a detailed Bitcoin price prediction for 2025, using real-time data from the Token Metrics AI crypto trading and research platform, along with key macro, on-chain, and policy-level insights.

🚀 The Bullish Breakout: Bitcoin Turns Upward in June 2025

On June 28, 2025, the Token Metrics AI signal for Bitcoin turned bullish, signaling a strong shift in momentum. Since then, Bitcoin has:

  • Surged past $118,000
  • Broken the psychological and technical resistance at $110,000
  • Shown strong price action supported by both on-chain and institutional metrics

This wasn’t just a technical rally—it’s been fundamentally driven by several powerful tailwinds.

📊 Institutional Adoption: The Driving Force Behind Bitcoin’s Surge

1. Bitcoin Spot ETFs See Billions in Inflows

Major financial institutions—BlackRock, Fidelity, and Charles Schwab—have led the charge in Bitcoin ETF adoption. As of Q3 2025:

  • Total net inflows to U.S.-based Bitcoin ETFs have surpassed $25 billion
  • These products are now used in 401(k)s, pension funds, and private wealth portfolios

Institutional buyers are not flipping BTC like retail investors. Instead, they’re accumulating and holding, tightening supply and driving long-term demand.

2. Declining Exchange Reserves

Another bullish on-chain indicator: BTC reserves on exchanges have dropped from 3.25 million to just 2.55 million BTC—a level not seen since 2017. This suggests:

  • More Bitcoin is being moved to cold wallets
  • Less BTC is available for sale
  • Market sentiment is shifting from “sell” to “HODL”

When supply tightens while demand rises, prices move up—a simple but powerful formula playing out in real time.

📈 Policy Tailwinds: Pro-Crypto Regulations in the U.S.

The current U.S. regulatory landscape is the most Bitcoin-friendly in history.

🔹 Bitcoin Reserve Proposal

There are growing discussions in U.S. policy circles around holding Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset, similar to gold. This has further validated BTC as:

  • A legitimate sovereign-grade asset
  • A hedge against inflation and geopolitical uncertainty

🔹 Clarity on Custody and Taxes

Clear guidelines on:

  • Crypto tax treatment for institutions
  • Custodianship rules for ETFs and banks
  • Greenlight for banks to hold digital assets

…have dramatically increased institutional confidence in Bitcoin.

💰 Macroeconomic Trends Supporting BTC’s Growth

1. Weakening U.S. Dollar

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen due to:

  • Rising national debt
  • Slowing economic growth
  • High interest rates suppressing consumer demand

This has led investors to rotate into store-of-value assets like Bitcoin.

2. Rising Geopolitical Risk

Tensions in the Middle East (e.g., Israel-Iran) and ongoing trade disputes have fueled demand for assets that are:

  • Borderless
  • Non-sovereign
  • Resistant to censorship

Bitcoin fits all three criteria, increasing its role as a digital safe haven in times of global instability.

⚠️ Risks to Monitor in 2025

While the Bitcoin outlook is bullish, several risks could slow momentum:

❌ 1. Energy Usage Concerns

Bitcoin’s Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism remains energy-intensive. Critics argue this could:

  • Attract stricter environmental regulations
  • Reduce adoption in ESG-conscious portfolios

❌ 2. Regional Regulatory Uncertainty

Not all jurisdictions are as pro-Bitcoin as the U.S. In 2025, some countries (especially in Asia and Europe) continue to:

  • Restrict Bitcoin trading
  • Propose heavy taxation
  • Limit institutional adoption

❌ 3. Price Corrections

With BTC up significantly since the start of 2025, short-term pullbacks are likely. Corrections of 15–25% are common in bull cycles—investors should be prepared with clear entry and exit strategies.

📉 Bear Case Scenario

If institutional inflows slow down or new regulation spooks the market:

  • Bitcoin could retrace to $90,000–$100,000
  • This would represent a healthy correction, not a full trend reversal
  • Long-term fundamentals still remain intact

📊 Token Metrics AI Forecast: Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2025–2026

Using on-chain data, macro indicators, and real-time signals from the Token Metrics platform, the current forecast is:

This outlook is supported by Token Metrics AI signals, which have maintained a bullish position since late June 2025.

🧠 How Token Metrics Helps You Navigate Bitcoin and Beyond

While Bitcoin is a macro asset, altcoins often outperform it in bull markets. Token Metrics helps investors identify these opportunities with:

🚀 Moonshots

  • Daily low-cap altcoin picks with 10x–100x potential
  • Live ROI, market cap, and trader grade metrics
  • AI-driven early discovery engine

📈 Real-Time Buy/Sell Signals

  • Use Trader Grade for short-term trades
  • Use Investor Grade for long-term conviction picks

💹 Crypto Indices

  • Thematic portfolios (AI, RWA, Layer 1s, etc.)
  • Easy exposure to sectors likely to boom after BTC leads the rally

🔔 Take Action Today

If you’re looking to ride the current Bitcoin bull cycle and find the next big altcoins to complement your portfolio, start using Token Metrics today:

✅ Track real-time signals
✅ Discover early Moonshots
✅ Analyze risk with AI
✅ Make informed crypto investment decisions

👉 Sign up now at TokenMetrics.com

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About Token Metrics
Token Metrics: AI-powered crypto research and ratings platform. We help investors make smarter decisions with unbiased Token Metrics Ratings, on-chain analytics, and editor-curated “Top 10” guides. Our platform distills thousands of data points into clear scores, trends, and alerts you can act on.
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Recent Posts

Research

NFT Rarity - What it Means and How to Calculate it?

Token Metrics Team
5 minutes

Non-Fungible Tokens, or NFTs, have exploded in popularity in recent years, with many people looking to invest in or collect these unique crypto tokens. However, not all NFTs are created equal – some are more valuable than others. One key factor that determines the value of an NFT is rarity. In this article, we will explore what NFT rarity is, how it works, and how to determine the rarity of an NFT. By understanding these concepts, investors can make more informed decisions when it comes to buying and selling NFTs.

What are Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs)?

Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) are a type of cryptocurrency token, like Bitcoin or Dogecoin. However, what sets NFTs apart from other crypto tokens is their "non-fungibility," meaning that they cannot be mutually exchanged. In other words, every NFT is unique and has its own set of properties, making them distinct from one another.

NFTs have become a popular market, with some tokens having high value compared to others. This has led to a surge in interest in NFTs, with many people wanting to invest in or collect them.

What is NFT Rarity?

One factor that determines the value of an NFT is rarity. NFT rarity refers to how common a specific NFT is within a collection. Typically, the rarer the NFT, the higher its price.

In simple words, NFT rarity refers to the uniqueness or scarcity of a non-fungible token (NFT). Each NFT is created with a unique identifier that makes it distinct from all other NFTs. However, within a collection of NFTs, there can be variations in the rarity or scarcity of the different tokens.

These variations can be based on a variety of factors such as the number of tokens in a collection, the design or artwork of the token, or the properties and attributes assigned to the token. Rarity can impact the value of an NFT, as collectors and investors may be willing to pay more for a rare or highly sought-after NFT. Additionally, NFT creators and collectors may use rarity as a way to create excitement and interest in a particular collection or token.

How Does NFT Rarity Work?

To understand how NFT rarity works, it's important to know that when a new NFT is minted, it has a set of unique properties, known as traits, that cannot be changed. While NFTs can share a trait, no two NFTs are typically identical in a randomized collection.

NFTs with rarer features are more likely to sell for a higher price than those with more common features. As the floor price of a collection increases, the rarer NFTs also tend to increase more in value than the average of the entire collection.

How to Determine NFT Rarity?

Knowing how to spot rarity beforehand can give investors an advantage when it comes to NFT collecting. This can save them time and money, and give them an edge over other traders in the marketplace with information about the value trajectory of a specific type of NFT over time.

There are a few different ways to determine the rarity of an NFT. One way is to use NFT Rarity sites like Rarity Tools. This can help you find if an NFT is rare and in high demand.

Another option is to use a Rarity Ranks Extension, such as the Rarity Ranks extension. However, installing extensions may be risky and steal your confidential data.

Another way to determine NFT rarity is to use a tool like OpenSea, which allows users to create, buy, and sell NFTs. By viewing an entire collection when clicking on an NFT, users can get a sense of the rarity of a specific token. The average collection size is 10,000 items, though this can vary for different projects.

Best NFT Rarity Checker

Determining the rarity of an NFT (Non-Fungible Token) is an important aspect of the NFT market. It can help buyers make informed decisions about the value and potential appreciation of a particular NFT. While there are several NFT rarity checkers available, it's difficult to identify the "best" one as different checkers may use different algorithms and data sources. Some popular NFT rarity checkers include Rarity.tools and Rarity Sniper.

Rarity.tools is a widely used platform that allows users to check rarity scores for a variety of NFT collections. Rarity Sniper provides a rarity score for each NFT, along with data on its trading history and price trends. Ultimately, the best NFT rarity checker depends on individual preferences and needs.

Why is Rarity Important for NFTs?

Rarity is important in the NFT market because it can affect the value and demand for a specific token. Because each look is limited to a specific number across the collection, some are statistically harder to come by – just like a Shiny Pokémon in the Pokémon universe. An NFT with a combination of rare attributes is more likely to sell for a higher price than those with more common traits.

Conclusion

In conclusion, NFT rarity is a key factor in determining the value of an NFT. By understanding how to spot and assess rarity, investors can make more informed decisions when it comes to buying and selling NFTs.

Tools like the NFT Rarity App and the Rarity Ranks Extension can be helpful in determining the rarity of a specific NFT. With this knowledge, investors can make more strategic decisions about their NFT investments and potentially maximize their returns.

Disclaimer

The information provided on this website does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website's content as such.

Token Metrics does not recommend that any cryptocurrency/NFT should be bought, sold, or held by you. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Research

Non-Fungible Token (NFT): What It Means and How It Works?

Token Metrics Team
12 minutes

The most expensive NFT sale to date was Beeple's Everydays: The First 5000 Days, which sold for $69.3 million. This highlights the growing interest in NFTs and the potential for them to be used as a vehicle for sharing virtually any form of media using the blockchain.

But what is an NFT? Let's find out.

What is an NFT?

NFTs, or non-fungible tokens, are unique digital assets with blockchain-managed ownership. They are stored on a blockchain and cannot be replicated or destroyed, making them resistant to tampering. NFTs can represent a wide range of items, including game items, digital art, collectibles, event tickets, and even ownership records for physical assets.

Unlike traditional cryptocurrencies, which are interchangeable and can be easily replicated, NFTs are non-fungible, meaning they have unique qualities that make them one-of-a-kind. This is why NFTs have gained popularity in the art world, where they can be used to verify the authenticity of a digital artwork and ensure that it cannot be copied or stolen.

How Can We Ensure Unique Authenticity?

When someone purchases an NFT, they not only receive the artwork itself, but also a digital receipt that proves that the piece is original, unique, and authentic. This receipt is stored on the blockchain and can be easily accessed and verified by anyone who wants to confirm the ownership and authenticity of the NFT.

While it is technically possible for someone to take a screenshot of an NFT and claim that they own it, this does not give them legal ownership of the artwork. Just like taking a picture of the Mona Lisa at the Louvre does not mean that you own the painting, taking a screenshot of an NFT does not give you ownership of the artwork.

To legally own an NFT, you must purchase it using cryptocurrency and store it in a virtual showcase. This allows you to own and display your artwork in a way that is secure and verifiable, and it ensures that you are the legal owner of the NFT.

NFT Basics You Need To Know

Non-fungible tokens (NFTs) are unique digital files that are stored on a blockchain. A blockchain is a decentralized, public digital ledger that records every transaction that takes place on the decentralized web. This means that the entire history of an NFT, including its creator, properties, transactions, and smart contracts, is backed by a powerful blockchain.

NFTs are different from fungible tokens, such as Bitcoin or Ethereum, which are interchangeable and store value. In contrast, NFTs store data on the blockchain, making them unique and non-replicable.

Important Traits Of NFTs

Some key characteristics of NFTs include:

  • Digital ownership: NFTs are owned and controlled by the individuals who hold them in their digital wallets.
  • Permanent: The data associated with an NFT is permanently stored within the token itself. This can include images, messages, signatures, or any other data.
  • Permission-less: NFTs can be built on a permission-less blockchain, such as Ethereum, meaning that anyone can create and use them.
  • Programmable: Because an NFT is just a piece of code on a blockchain, it can be programmed to have various attributes. For example, an NFT artwork might be programmed to pay the artist royalties on every secondary sale of that artwork.
  • Unique: The uniqueness of an NFT can be verified on the blockchain, ensuring that it is one-of-a-kind and cannot be replicated.

How to Own One? 

To create an NFT, there are several steps that you can follow:

  1. Get your media ready: NFTs support a variety of file types, such as MP3 audio, JPG and PNG images, and 3D files like GLB.
  2. Set up a non-custodial wallet: This will allow you to securely store the cryptocurrency that you will use to buy, sell, and create NFTs. Wallets are also necessary for signing in and creating accounts on NFT marketplaces.
  3. Buy Ethereum or other fungible tokens: You will need to purchase cryptocurrency to cover the cost of minting your NFT.
  4. Connect your wallet to an NFT marketplace: Popular options include Rarible and OpenSea. Connect your wallet by tapping the "Connect" button in the top right corner of the screen. This will create your account and allow you to start creating, minting, and selling your NFTs.
  5. Upload your file and describe your asset: Once you have connected your wallet, you can upload your file to the marketplace and provide a description of your asset. Decide if you want to create a standalone piece or multiple copies of the same NFT.
  6. Mint your NFT: The minting process requires Ethereum for transaction approvals. Once complete, your digital artwork will be ready to be traded and purchased on the marketplace.

Once you have created your NFT, there are several things that you can do with it:

  • Buy and sell it on a marketplace
  • Trade or gift it to others
  • Use it in apps or games
  • Showcase your public NFT inventory on a platform or social media.

The Secondary Markets for NFTs

NFT minting platforms enable creators to create non-fungible tokens (NFTs) to retain more control over their creative output. These NFTs can be sold on the following secondary marketplaces:

  • OpenSea: The first and largest marketplace for NFTs, OpenSea is committed to using open protocols like Ethereum and interoperable standards like ERC-721 and ERC-1155 to enable new digital economies. The platform allows consumers to trade items freely, creators to launch new digital works, and developers to build marketplaces for their digital items. It recently launched the beta version of its Solana-based NFT marketplace.
  • Coinbase NFT: Coinbase recently opened its NFT marketplace to the public in beta. The marketplace acts as a social media platform where users can buy, sell, and interact with NFTs. It aims to make minting, purchasing, showcasing, and discovering NFTs easier.
  • Solanart: Solanart is the first and largest fully-fledged NFT marketplace on Solana. Users can easily access digital collectibles and explore, buy, and sell NFTs that run on the Solana blockchain.
  • Rarible: Rarible is a do-it-yourself NFT marketplace where creators can mint NFTs with ease. The platform's native governance token, "RARI," is used to incentivize users and give the community a voice. However, unrestricted access means that Rarible has become a place for people to mint counterfeit versions of existing NFTs.
  • Nifty Gateway: Owned by the Gemini crypto exchange, Nifty Gateway is a popular NFT marketplace that focuses on user-friendly and viral drops by celebrated artists.
  • SuperRare: SuperRare (SR) is one of Ethereum's first crypto-art NFT marketplaces. Only accepted artists can participate in the platform, where users can discover, buy, and sell tokenized digital art and showcase their collections.

The demand for secondary NFT sales is growing rapidly, leading to increased competition among these marketplaces. Like the early days of Web 1 and 2.0, the emergence of Web 3.0 has created an open market where these platforms must find ways to attract and retain customers.

Some Notable NFT Projects

The thriving NFT market has led to the launch of several high-value projects, including the following companies:

  • Yuga Labs: a blockchain technology company that develops Ethereum-based NFTs and digital collectibles. Yuga's first project, Bored Ape Yacht Club, is one of the most valuable NFT collectibles in the space. The company has also rewarded its holders with free NFTs and other perks. Yuga Labs recently acquired Larva Labs, which brings high-value projects like Cryptopunks and Meebits under the Yuga brand. The company is backed by investors like Coinbase, Samsung, and Mark Cuban.
  • Doodles: a collection of 10,000 Ethereum-based NFTs featuring unique visual traits designed by BurntToast. The Doodles collection includes rare heads, costumes, and colorways, and the universe is ever-expanding. Owners of Doodles have exclusive access to new products, merchandise, and events.
  • Okay Bears: a collection of 10,000 Solana-based NFTs. Ownership of an Okay Bear grants access to a virtuous community that will extend beyond the internet into the real world.

The Future of NFTs

Blockchain technology is known for its ability to represent assets and prove ownership. NFTs take this a step further by enabling people to potentially purchase non-fungible assets like land and gold. The global market cap for gold and real estate is over $300 trillion, so even a small percentage of that being tokenized would greatly increase the total crypto market cap. Tokenized real estate offers ordinary people the opportunity to invest in real estate, which has traditionally been difficult for the average person to participate in.

NFTs also have applications in other industries. For example, Nike recently filed a patent for NFT-enabled sneakers called "CryptoKicks." In 2019, Louis Vuitton announced plans to use NFTs to track the ownership of luxury fashion items. NFTs can also be used to tokenize certifications, degrees, and licenses, as well as sensitive data like medical records. The potential for NFTs to show ownership of any non-fungible commodity, whether real or virtual, is vast.

In conclusion, the use of non-fungible tokens (NFTs) has expanded beyond digital art and collectibles to include a wide range of real and virtual assets. The ability of NFTs to represent and prove ownership offers exciting possibilities for industries such as real estate, fashion, and even healthcare. As the technology and market continue to evolve, the potential applications for NFTs are endless.

Research

Future of Cryptocurrency - Is Crypto the Future?

Token Metrics Team
5 minutes

If you are wondering about the future of cryptocurrency, we did some digging to answer that, and more.

Cryptocurrency has gained popularity and value in recent years, with the most well-known cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, reaching an all-time high in late 2021. However, the future of the crypto market is uncertain and the subject of much debate. Some analysts predict continued growth, while others foresee a potential crash. In this article, we will explore the potential future of cryptocurrency, including potential growth, crashes, and the role of regulation. We will also discuss predictions for specific cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin and Ether, as well as altcoins and decentralized finance (DeFi) and autonomous organizations (DAOs).

Will cryptocurrencies take off? Understanding the potential future of the crypto market can help investors make informed decisions about their investments.

11 Significant Crypto Predictions for 2023

By examining the past trends and indications in the crypto market, it appears that the future of crypto holds exciting opportunities for investors. Here are some notable crypto predictions to keep an eye on in 2023:

Continued Popularity and Growth

Some analysts predict that the popularity and value of cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, will continue to rise in 2023. This could be due to increased acceptance by businesses and higher demand for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Steep Crash

However, others believe that the crypto market is unstable and vulnerable to a crash. In 2022, Bitcoin's price fell by roughly 40% due to factors such as slowing economic growth and rising interest rates. This bearish market may continue into 2023, leading to a potential crash.

Volatility and Regulation

Regardless of whether the market experiences growth or a crash, it is likely that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies will continue to be volatile. This volatility could be mitigated by increased regulation of the crypto market, which some predict will play a more significant role in 2023.

DeFi and DAOs

The shift toward decentralized finance (DeFi) and autonomous organizations (DAOs) is expected to continue in 2023. DeFi aims to remove the need for middlemen in traditional financial products, while DAOs are a new type of internet community based on blockchain technology. These developments could help to increase the stability and growth of the crypto market.

Bitcoin's Price

Some analysts predict that Bitcoin's price will continue to rise, potentially reaching $100,000 by the end of the year. Others believe that the market is unstable and could experience a crash.

Increased Adoption

It is predicted that over 500 million people worldwide will invest in and own Bitcoin by the end of 2023. This could be due to increased awareness and acceptance of the cryptocurrency.

ETF Approval

The approval of the first spot Bitcoin ETF in the US is possible in 2023. This would allow investors to have direct exposure to the cryptocurrency itself, rather than just tracking Bitcoin futures contracts.

DeFi and DAOs

The shift toward DeFi and DAOs is expected to continue and could become the highest growth areas of the crypto market.

Ether's Performance

Some analysts predict that Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market value, will outperform Bitcoin again in 2023.

Regulation

It is possible that regulation of the crypto market will play a more significant role in 2023, potentially helping to stabilize the market.

Altcoins

The performance of altcoins, or alternative cryptocurrencies, is uncertain. Some may experience growth, while others could struggle. It is important for investors to carefully research and evaluate individual altcoins before making any investments.

Key Takeaways

When we see crypto from the growth perspective, there is a fair chance of getting the climb in 2023, especially for Bitcoin. However, Ether can take over the throne owing to the stats of 2022.

If you are seeking expert research and analysis to inform your investment decisions, consider signing up for Token Metrics. Our platform can provide you with access to the best performing cryptocurrencies with just a click. Explore our plans to learn more.

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