Crypto Basics

Bitcoin Price Prediction for July 2025: Key Trends, Insights, and What Investors Can Expect

Get a detailed Bitcoin price prediction for 2025 using Token Metrics AI signals and on-chain data. Learn how institutional inflows, low supply, and macro trends could push BTC to $230K by 2026.
Token Metrics Team
8 min
MIN

As of July 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a major breakout, surging past $119,000 after breaching the critical $110,000 resistance level. This surge, driven by institutional capital inflows, supply constraints, and favorable macroeconomic trends, has reignited optimism in the broader crypto market.

But how high can Bitcoin go in 2025—and beyond? Is this rally sustainable? What are the risks? In this highly informative and SEO-optimized blog post, we’ll provide a detailed Bitcoin price prediction for 2025, using real-time data from the Token Metrics AI crypto trading and research platform, along with key macro, on-chain, and policy-level insights.

🚀 The Bullish Breakout: Bitcoin Turns Upward in June 2025

On June 28, 2025, the Token Metrics AI signal for Bitcoin turned bullish, signaling a strong shift in momentum. Since then, Bitcoin has:

  • Surged past $118,000
  • Broken the psychological and technical resistance at $110,000
  • Shown strong price action supported by both on-chain and institutional metrics

This wasn’t just a technical rally—it’s been fundamentally driven by several powerful tailwinds.

📊 Institutional Adoption: The Driving Force Behind Bitcoin’s Surge

1. Bitcoin Spot ETFs See Billions in Inflows

Major financial institutions—BlackRock, Fidelity, and Charles Schwab—have led the charge in Bitcoin ETF adoption. As of Q3 2025:

  • Total net inflows to U.S.-based Bitcoin ETFs have surpassed $25 billion
  • These products are now used in 401(k)s, pension funds, and private wealth portfolios

Institutional buyers are not flipping BTC like retail investors. Instead, they’re accumulating and holding, tightening supply and driving long-term demand.

2. Declining Exchange Reserves

Another bullish on-chain indicator: BTC reserves on exchanges have dropped from 3.25 million to just 2.55 million BTC—a level not seen since 2017. This suggests:

  • More Bitcoin is being moved to cold wallets
  • Less BTC is available for sale
  • Market sentiment is shifting from “sell” to “HODL”

When supply tightens while demand rises, prices move up—a simple but powerful formula playing out in real time.

📈 Policy Tailwinds: Pro-Crypto Regulations in the U.S.

The current U.S. regulatory landscape is the most Bitcoin-friendly in history.

🔹 Bitcoin Reserve Proposal

There are growing discussions in U.S. policy circles around holding Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset, similar to gold. This has further validated BTC as:

  • A legitimate sovereign-grade asset
  • A hedge against inflation and geopolitical uncertainty

🔹 Clarity on Custody and Taxes

Clear guidelines on:

  • Crypto tax treatment for institutions
  • Custodianship rules for ETFs and banks
  • Greenlight for banks to hold digital assets

…have dramatically increased institutional confidence in Bitcoin.

💰 Macroeconomic Trends Supporting BTC’s Growth

1. Weakening U.S. Dollar

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen due to:

  • Rising national debt
  • Slowing economic growth
  • High interest rates suppressing consumer demand

This has led investors to rotate into store-of-value assets like Bitcoin.

2. Rising Geopolitical Risk

Tensions in the Middle East (e.g., Israel-Iran) and ongoing trade disputes have fueled demand for assets that are:

  • Borderless
  • Non-sovereign
  • Resistant to censorship

Bitcoin fits all three criteria, increasing its role as a digital safe haven in times of global instability.

⚠️ Risks to Monitor in 2025

While the Bitcoin outlook is bullish, several risks could slow momentum:

❌ 1. Energy Usage Concerns

Bitcoin’s Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism remains energy-intensive. Critics argue this could:

  • Attract stricter environmental regulations
  • Reduce adoption in ESG-conscious portfolios

❌ 2. Regional Regulatory Uncertainty

Not all jurisdictions are as pro-Bitcoin as the U.S. In 2025, some countries (especially in Asia and Europe) continue to:

  • Restrict Bitcoin trading
  • Propose heavy taxation
  • Limit institutional adoption

❌ 3. Price Corrections

With BTC up significantly since the start of 2025, short-term pullbacks are likely. Corrections of 15–25% are common in bull cycles—investors should be prepared with clear entry and exit strategies.

📉 Bear Case Scenario

If institutional inflows slow down or new regulation spooks the market:

  • Bitcoin could retrace to $90,000–$100,000
  • This would represent a healthy correction, not a full trend reversal
  • Long-term fundamentals still remain intact

📊 Token Metrics AI Forecast: Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2025–2026

Using on-chain data, macro indicators, and real-time signals from the Token Metrics platform, the current forecast is:

This outlook is supported by Token Metrics AI signals, which have maintained a bullish position since late June 2025.

🧠 How Token Metrics Helps You Navigate Bitcoin and Beyond

While Bitcoin is a macro asset, altcoins often outperform it in bull markets. Token Metrics helps investors identify these opportunities with:

🚀 Moonshots

  • Daily low-cap altcoin picks with 10x–100x potential
  • Live ROI, market cap, and trader grade metrics
  • AI-driven early discovery engine

📈 Real-Time Buy/Sell Signals

  • Use Trader Grade for short-term trades
  • Use Investor Grade for long-term conviction picks

💹 Crypto Indices

  • Thematic portfolios (AI, RWA, Layer 1s, etc.)
  • Easy exposure to sectors likely to boom after BTC leads the rally

🔔 Take Action Today

If you’re looking to ride the current Bitcoin bull cycle and find the next big altcoins to complement your portfolio, start using Token Metrics today:

✅ Track real-time signals
✅ Discover early Moonshots
✅ Analyze risk with AI
✅ Make informed crypto investment decisions

👉 Sign up now at TokenMetrics.com

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Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

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Research

What Are Trading Fees and How Do They Work?

Token Metrics Team
8 min
MIN

If you’ve ever bought or sold cryptocurrency, you’ve likely noticed that exchanges charge trading fees. While these fees may seem small at first glance, they can add up significantly over time, especially for frequent traders.

Understanding how trading fees work is essential for maximizing your profits and choosing the right platform and strategy. In this guide, we’ll explain what trading fees are, how they’re calculated, the different types of fees, and how Token Metrics can help you minimize costs while optimizing your trades.

What Are Trading Fees?

Trading fees are charges imposed by cryptocurrency exchanges whenever you execute a trade—whether you’re buying, selling, or swapping digital assets.

  • Purpose:

    • They compensate exchanges for providing liquidity, security, and order-matching services.
    • They discourage spam orders that could overload the exchange.

Example:
If you buy $1,000 worth of Bitcoin with a 0.1% trading fee, you’ll pay $1 in fees for that transaction.

How Are Trading Fees Calculated?

Most crypto exchanges calculate fees based on:

  1. Trade Value (Percentage):

    • The most common model.
    • Fees are a percentage of the total trade amount (e.g., 0.1% per trade).

  2. Flat Fees:

    • Some platforms charge a fixed fee per trade, regardless of trade size.

  3. Tiered Fee Structures:

    • Frequent traders often benefit from lower fees when they reach certain monthly trading volumes.

Maker vs. Taker Fees

Many exchanges use a maker-taker model to incentivize liquidity:

  • Maker Fees:

    • You pay a lower fee (or sometimes nothing) when you add liquidity by placing a limit order that isn’t immediately matched.

  • Taker Fees:

    • You pay a higher fee when you remove liquidity by placing a market order that is filled instantly.

Example:
On Binance, makers might pay 0.08%, while takers pay 0.1%.

Types of Crypto Trading Fees

When trading crypto, you’ll encounter more than just trading fees:

1. Trading (Transaction) Fees

  • Charged when buying or selling crypto.
  • Often range from 0.05%–0.5% depending on the exchange.

2. Deposit Fees

  • Some exchanges charge when funding accounts via credit card, PayPal, or bank transfers.
  • Crypto deposits are typically free.

3. Withdrawal Fees

  • Charged when moving funds off the exchange.
  • Often fixed per withdrawal (e.g., 0.0005 BTC).

4. Network (Gas) Fees

  • Separate from exchange fees, paid to blockchain validators.
  • Ethereum and other networks can have high gas fees during peak demand.

Why Do Trading Fees Matter?

Even small fees can significantly impact your profits, especially if you trade often.

Example:

  • A day trader making 50 trades/month with a 0.1% fee per trade on $1,000 positions will pay $50/month in fees.
  • Over a year, that’s $600 lost to fees—before considering withdrawal or gas costs.

This is why reducing fees is crucial for active traders.

How to Minimize Trading Fees

1. Use Low-Fee Exchanges

Compare platforms—Binance, Bybit, and Kraken often offer competitive rates for high-volume traders.

2. Increase Your Trading Volume

Many exchanges lower fees as your monthly trading volume increases.

3. Use Limit Orders

Save on fees by acting as a maker instead of a taker whenever possible.

4. Pay with Exchange Tokens

Some exchanges offer discounts when fees are paid with their native token (e.g., BNB on Binance).

5. Optimize Your Trading Strategy with AI

Instead of making dozens of small trades, use data-driven insights from Token Metrics to make high-probability trades—reducing overall fee impact.

How Token Metrics Helps You Save on Fees

Token Metrics isn’t an exchange—it’s an AI-powered crypto research and trading platform designed to maximize your profits.

Here’s how it helps with trading fees:

1. AI-Powered Trade Optimization

Token Metrics provides bullish/bearish trading signals based on 80+ technical indicators, helping you enter fewer but higher-quality trades—minimizing unnecessary fees.

2. Trader & Investor Grades

Our proprietary grading system helps you identify top-performing cryptos, reducing guesswork and avoiding costly trial-and-error trading.

3. AI-Managed Indices

Instead of manually rebalancing portfolios (and paying multiple trading fees), use Token Metrics AI-driven crypto indices, which rebalance intelligently while keeping transaction costs low.

4. Narrative Tracking

Our AI detects emerging crypto narratives early, helping you position yourself before the market gets crowded—reducing the need for excessive short-term trading.

Practical Example: Using Token Metrics to Reduce Fees

Imagine you’re trading altcoins manually and make 20 trades/month.

  • At 0.2% per trade on $1,000 positions, you pay $40/month in fees.
  • With Token Metrics AI signals, you cut this down to 8 high-probability trades per month—reducing your fees by 60% while increasing win rates.

This is how data-driven trading saves both money and stress.

Final Thoughts

So, what are trading fees and how do they work? They’re the charges exchanges take for facilitating trades, withdrawals, and transactions—and while they may seem small, they can eat into your profits quickly.

The good news? You can minimize trading fees with the right strategies—and Token Metrics can help.

By providing AI-powered trading signals, long-term Investor Grades, and automated crypto indices, Token Metrics helps you reduce unnecessary trades, make smarter decisions, and maximize your returns—all while minimizing the impact of trading fees.

Whether you’re a beginner or advanced trader, using Token Metrics means trading smarter, not harder.

Research

Should I Use Leverage When Trading Crypto?

Token Metrics Team
8 min
MIN

Leverage trading has become a hot topic in the crypto world. Many traders are attracted by the promise of amplified profits—but fail to realize it also magnifies losses. If you’ve been wondering, “Should I use leverage when trading crypto?” the short answer is: only if you fully understand the risks and have a solid strategy.

In this guide, we’ll break down what leverage trading is, how it works, its pros and cons, and how AI-powered tools like Token Metrics can help you make smarter decisions when trading with leverage.

What Is Leverage Trading in Crypto?

Leverage trading lets you borrow funds from an exchange to increase your position size, allowing you to control more capital than you actually own.

For example:

  • If you have $1,000 and use 10x leverage, you’re trading with $10,000.
  • A 10% price increase can give you a 100% profit on your original investment.
  • But a 10% price drop could wipe out your position completely.

Popular platforms like Binance, Bybit, and OKX offer leverage levels from 2x to 125x for certain assets.

Pros of Leverage Trading

Leverage isn’t all bad. When used responsibly, it offers several benefits:

1. Higher Profit Potential

Even small price movements can generate significant returns when using leverage.

2. Portfolio Efficiency

Traders can free up capital for other positions while maintaining large exposure in a leveraged trade.

3. Opportunities in Bear Markets

Leverage allows for short selling, enabling you to profit when prices go down.

Cons of Leverage Trading

The same factors that make leverage attractive also make it high-risk:

1. Amplified Losses

Just as leverage magnifies profits, it magnifies losses. A minor price drop could liquidate your entire position.

2. Liquidation Risk

When your collateral falls below a certain threshold, the exchange automatically closes your position, locking in your losses.

3. Emotional Stress

Leverage trading is fast-paced and stressful, often leading to panic selling or revenge trading after losses.

Should Beginners Use Leverage?

No.
If you’re new to trading, avoid leverage until you have:

  • A proven strategy with consistent results in spot trading.
  • Strong risk management skills (e.g., using stop-loss orders).
  • The ability to stay disciplined under pressure.

For beginners, leveraged trading can be a fast track to losing your capital.

When Does It Make Sense to Use Leverage?

For experienced traders, leverage can make sense when:

  • You’re hedging your portfolio against downside risk.
  • You have high conviction in a trade and want to maximize gains.
  • You’re trading high-liquidity assets like BTC or ETH with well-defined stop-losses.

How Token Metrics Helps You Trade Smarter with Leverage

Leverage trading requires precision, and that’s where Token Metrics gives you an edge.

1. AI-Powered Bullish & Bearish Signals

Identify high-probability trades with real-time AI signals based on 80+ technical indicators. This helps you avoid entering positions blindly.

2. Trader & Investor Grades

Use Trader Grades for short-term trading opportunities and Investor Grades for long-term positions—helping you decide when to scale up or reduce leverage.

3. Risk Assessment Tools

Token Metrics evaluates crypto projects and market trends to reduce exposure to high-risk assets—a must for leveraged positions.

4. AI-Driven Indices

Don’t want to trade manually? Use our AI-managed crypto indices to gain diversified exposure without taking unnecessary leveraged risks.

5. Narrative Detection

Our AI identifies emerging narratives before they hit mainstream attention, giving you a strategic edge in timing trades—crucial when using leverage.

Best Practices for Using Leverage in Crypto

If you decide to use leverage, follow these rules:

  1. Start Small: Use low leverage (2x–3x) instead of going all in at 20x or 50x.
  2. Set Stop-Loss Orders: Always predetermine your maximum loss tolerance.
  3. Trade Liquid Assets: Stick to high-volume coins like BTC and ETH to avoid slippage.
  4. Don’t Overtrade: Only use leverage on trades with strong conviction and proper analysis.
  5. Use AI Tools: Let Token Metrics guide your entries and exits with data-driven insights.

Why Overleveraging Is Dangerous

Many traders lose money by overleveraging, which leads to:

  • Margin calls and forced liquidations.
  • Revenge trading, where losses push traders into reckless decisions.
  • Complete portfolio wipeouts from one bad trade.

Pro Tip: Only trade with leverage on funds you can afford to lose.

Final Thoughts

So, should you use leverage when trading crypto?

For beginners, the answer is no—focus on mastering spot trading first. For experienced traders, leverage can be a powerful tool when used with strict risk management and data-driven insights.

That’s where Token Metrics makes a difference. With AI-powered trading signals, real-time risk analysis, and narrative tracking, Token Metrics helps you trade smarter, reduce emotional mistakes, and optimize your leverage strategy.

Leverage can make you or break you—so don’t go in blind. Use Token Metrics to guide your trades and stay ahead of the market.

Research

What Are the Biggest Risks in Crypto Trading?

Token Metrics Team
8 min
MIN

Cryptocurrency trading can be highly rewarding, but it’s also one of the riskiest financial activities you can engage in. Prices can swing wildly within minutes, markets are largely unregulated, and scams remain rampant. Whether you’re a beginner investor or a seasoned trader, understanding these risks is critical for protecting your capital and making informed decisions.

In this guide, we’ll break down the biggest risks in crypto trading, how to recognize them, and how Token Metrics can help you minimize those risks using AI-driven insights.

1. Extreme Volatility

The crypto market is famous for its rapid price fluctuations. Unlike traditional stocks, which typically move in small percentages daily, cryptocurrencies can experience 10–50% swings in a single day.

  • Why it matters:

    • Quick price drops can wipe out profits or even your entire portfolio.
    • Leverage trading amplifies these risks, often leading to liquidations.

  • Example:
    In May 2021, Bitcoin fell from $64,000 to $30,000 in just weeks, catching many traders off guard.

How Token Metrics Helps:
Token Metrics provides AI-powered trading signals and market trend analysis to help you avoid trading blindly. Our Trader Grades let you know when an asset is trending bullish or bearish, giving you data-driven entry and exit points.

2. Lack of Regulation

Unlike traditional finance, cryptocurrency operates in a largely unregulated space. This creates both opportunities and risks.

  • Key risks:

    • Exchanges can shut down or get hacked with little recourse.
    • Bad actors can manipulate prices (pump-and-dump schemes).
    • Regulatory crackdowns in certain regions can cause market crashes.

How Token Metrics Helps:
We track regulatory trends and narratives using AI-driven sentiment analysis, alerting you to shifts that could impact your holdings.

3. Security Risks & Hacking

Crypto traders often store their assets on exchanges or hot wallets—prime targets for hackers.

  • Risks include:

    • Exchange hacks leading to stolen funds.
    • Phishing scams that trick users into giving away private keys.
    • Rug pulls in DeFi projects that drain liquidity.

How Token Metrics Helps:
Token Metrics evaluates crypto projects with AI-based risk scoring, helping you avoid tokens and platforms with poor security practices or suspicious activity.

4. Scams & Fraud

From rug pulls to fake ICOs and Ponzi schemes, crypto has become a hotbed for scams targeting inexperienced traders.

  • Examples of common scams:

    • Pump-and-dump groups on Telegram.
    • Fake airdrops asking for wallet connections.
    • Impersonation scams on social media.

How Token Metrics Helps:
Our Moonshot Finder doesn’t just find hidden gem tokens—it uses AI-driven vetting to filter out high-risk projects, helping you spot potential scams before you invest.

5. Emotional Trading

The fear of missing out (FOMO) and panic selling are two of the biggest psychological pitfalls in crypto trading.

  • How it affects traders:

    • FOMO causes impulsive buying at peaks.
    • Panic selling during dips leads to unnecessary losses.
    • Overtrading erodes profits through excessive fees and bad timing.

How Token Metrics Helps:
By offering objective, AI-driven market insights, Token Metrics removes the emotional bias from trading. Our data-backed signals tell you when to hold, sell, or accumulate—reducing emotionally driven mistakes.

6. Liquidity Risks

Some cryptocurrencies—especially low-cap altcoins—have low liquidity, making it difficult to buy or sell without significantly impacting the price.

  • Why this matters:

    • You may be unable to exit a position when needed.
    • Large trades can cause slippage and losses.

How Token Metrics Helps:
Our platform tracks liquidity metrics for thousands of tokens, ensuring you know the trading conditions before entering or exiting a position.

7. Leverage & Margin Trading Dangers

While leverage trading can amplify profits, it can also wipe out your portfolio quickly.

  • Risks include:

    • Liquidation if prices move against your position.
    • Amplified emotional stress and poor decision-making.

How Token Metrics Helps:
Token Metrics identifies high-probability trades using AI-based technical analysis, reducing the guesswork in leveraged trading.

8. Narrative & Hype Cycles

Crypto prices are often driven by hype, social media trends, and narratives, which can be unpredictable and short-lived.

  • Example:
    The rapid rise and fall of meme tokens like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, which surged based on social media buzz but saw massive corrections.

How Token Metrics Helps:
Our AI detects emerging narratives early—whether it’s AI tokens, DeFi, or RWA projects—so you can position yourself before the hype cycle peaks.

How to Mitigate These Risks

Here are some best practices for reducing crypto trading risks:

  1. Diversify your portfolio: Don’t put all your funds into one token.
  2. Use AI-powered tools like Token Metrics: Let data, not emotions, guide your trades.
  3. Practice good security hygiene: Use hardware wallets and enable two-factor authentication.
  4. Avoid leverage until experienced: Trade with spot assets before exploring margin.
  5. Stay updated: Monitor news and regulatory developments.

Why Token Metrics Is the Best Tool for Risk Management

Token Metrics is more than a research platform—it’s your AI-powered trading assistant. Here’s why traders trust it:

  • AI-Powered Signals: Get real-time bullish/bearish alerts for smarter trading.
  • Risk Scoring: Avoid scams and unsafe projects with our proprietary evaluations.
  • Moonshot Finder: Discover promising low-cap tokens with AI-vetted potential.
  • Trader & Investor Grades: Balance short-term trading with long-term investing.
  • AI Indices: Use auto-managed portfolios to reduce risk through diversification.


Whether you’re a beginner looking to avoid common pitfalls or an advanced trader seeking data-driven edge, Token Metrics helps you trade smarter and safer.

Final Thoughts

So, what are the biggest risks in crypto trading? From extreme volatility and scams to emotional decision-making and security threats, the dangers are real. But with the right strategies and tools, you can navigate the market with confidence.

By using Token Metrics’ AI-powered insights, you can reduce emotional bias, avoid high-risk tokens, and make smarter, data-driven trades—turning crypto’s volatility from a threat into an opportunity.

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