Research

Altcoin Season Delayed? 2025 Crypto Market Cap Trends Explained

Altcoins remain under pressure in 2025. Explore why crypto market cap growth hasn't sparked an altcoin season and what needs to change for a breakout.
Token Metrics Team
8 min
MIN

In 2025, much of the altcoin market remains subdued. Prices for many tokens are still down more than 90% from their all-time highs. Despite sporadic rallies and renewed interest in certain sectors like meme coins or AI, a broader altcoin season has yet to materialize. The question facing many crypto investors now is: why?

In this analysis, we explore the macro and structural reasons for altcoin underperformance, unpack the liquidity bottleneck, and discuss what might change this narrative going forward.

The Data: Altcoins Still Deep in the Red

By mid-2025, most altcoins remain far below their PEAQ valuations from the last cycle. While Bitcoin and a few select large caps have recovered or even set new highs, the broader altcoin ecosystem continues to lag. This decoupling is not new—it happens every cycle—but the magnitude and persistence this time are notable.

A combination of market structure changes and supply-side dynamics are likely responsible.

Why Liquidity Hasn’t Returned

The most critical variable is liquidity. In previous bull runs, altcoin rallies were fueled by large inflows of new capital. This fresh money—often speculative—moved quickly through different sectors, inflating valuations across the board.

Today, however, the crypto market cap sits at around $3.3 trillion, with only ~$300 billion in net new capital added since the start of the cycle. At the same time, there are far more tokens than ever before. This mismatch between capital and available supply has diluted flows and suppressed upside for all but the strongest assets.

Instead of every token catching a bid, capital is rotating selectively, often into Bitcoin, a few meme coins, or tokens associated with highly visible narratives.

Token Supply Has Exploded

One major shift is the sheer number of tokens now on the market. Since the last bull run, the number of tradable crypto assets has increased significantly—perhaps by an order of magnitude. Many of these tokens have little to no trading volume, real users, or sustained community.

This oversupply of assets creates a fragmented market where attention and liquidity are spread thin. As a result, the days of altcoin beta—when nearly every token would rally simply because “the market is up”—may be over.

Going forward, performance may rely more on fundamentals, usage, and real demand.

Sector Rotation Dominates

Rather than broad-based rallies, the market is experiencing sectoral rotations. Capital flows aggressively between narratives: from meme coins to AI tokens, then to DePIN, and perhaps next to RWAs or perpetual DEXs.

This “hot potato” behavior means even when a sector performs, it's often short-lived. Many traders chase the next hype wave rather than allocating with conviction. The result is volatility without trend sustainability, and thin liquidity across most altcoins.

Institutions Are Still Focused on Bitcoin

Another reason altcoins lag is that institutional interest remains centered on Bitcoin—and to a lesser extent, Ethereum. This is particularly true in 2025, as the regulatory landscape slowly becomes more defined and risk appetite stays muted.

Bitcoin continues to benefit from a macro narrative that positions it as a hedge against inflation, fiat instability, and geopolitical risk. With potential for further escalation in global conflicts and economic uncertainty, BTC is often the first and only crypto asset to attract serious inflows.

Until altcoins can offer a comparable use case or risk-adjusted return, institutional capital will likely remain concentrated in BTC.

What Needs to Change

There are several potential catalysts that could eventually bring altcoins back into focus. These include:

  • Improved Liquidity: More capital entering crypto markets through new ETFs, stablecoin infrastructure, or sovereign adoption.
  • Macro Stabilization: A return to risk-on environments globally could expand investor appetite for high-beta crypto assets.
  • Real Usage: Tokens that can demonstrate strong on-chain revenue, user growth, or ecosystem traction may attract sustained demand.
  • Narrative Shifts: New technological breakthroughs or mass adoption events (e.g., consumer applications, financial integrations) could lead to renewed enthusiasm.
  • Token Burn and Scarcity: Projects that reduce supply through burns or buybacks may outperform in a low-liquidity world.

Avoiding the “Musical Chairs” Risk

An important takeaway from the current market environment is the growing risk of holding underperforming assets too long. The metaphor of “musical chairs” applies here—when the music stops, not all tokens will have a place.

Just as the dot-com bubble led to a major culling of internet companies, the crypto market may be undergoing a similar filtering process. Those with product-market fit, sustainable economics, and user adoption will likely survive. Others may not recover.

Bitcoin as the Benchmark

Bitcoin has become the benchmark asset for crypto, both in terms of performance and narrative. It remains the asset most closely tied to global macro conditions and institutional flows.

Its relative strength has made it a measuring stick for evaluating the rest of the market. Many altcoins are now being judged not just in fiat terms, but in BTC-relative performance. If they can’t outperform Bitcoin on a risk-adjusted basis, they may struggle to justify their place in portfolios.

Long-Term Outlook: Selective Optimism

Despite short-term underperformance, we remain open to altcoin opportunities—but with greater caution and selectivity. The current environment favors a “barbell strategy”: holding a core position in Bitcoin while selectively allocating to altcoins with verifiable traction.

This is no longer a market where every token rides the same wave. Success in 2025 likely comes from identifying the few that can break out due to clear product value, strong teams, and real-world adoption.

Conclusion

The altcoin market in 2025 reflects a maturing, more fragmented crypto ecosystem. The free liquidity and speculative exuberance of previous cycles have given way to a more competitive, filtered environment.

For investors and builders alike, this isn’t a reason to despair—but a reason to be more focused. As the market resets, those who adapt their frameworks to the new reality may find long-term success. The next wave of winners may already be building—quietly, under the surface.

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Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

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Research

Understanding Cryptocurrency: A Comprehensive Guide

Token Metrics Team
4
MIN

What is Cryptocurrency?

Cryptocurrency is a form of digital or virtual currency that uses cryptography for security, making it difficult to counterfeit or double-spend. Unlike traditional currencies issued by governments and central banks, cryptocurrencies operate on decentralized networks based on blockchain technology. This decentralization allows for peer-to-peer transactions without intermediaries such as banks.

The concept emerged with the introduction of Bitcoin in 2009, which paved the way for numerous other cryptocurrencies designed to serve various purposes within digital ecosystems.

Blockchain Technology Basics

At the core of cryptocurrencies lies blockchain, a distributed ledger that records all transactions across a network of computers (nodes). Each transaction is grouped into a block, which is then cryptographically linked to the previous block, forming a chain.

  • Decentralization: No single entity controls the blockchain; this distributes trust among participants and enhances security.
  • Transparency: All transactions are visible to participants, ensuring accountability.
  • Immutability: Once recorded, transactions cannot be altered, ensuring data integrity.

This technology underpins various cryptocurrencies and offers applications beyond currency, including smart contracts and decentralized applications (dApps).

How Cryptocurrency Works

When a user initiates a cryptocurrency transaction, it is broadcast to the network of nodes. These nodes verify the transaction’s validity through consensus mechanisms such as Proof of Work (PoW) or Proof of Stake (PoS).

  • Verification: Nodes confirm that the sender has sufficient funds and that the transaction follows protocol rules.
  • Consensus: The network agrees on the transaction's legitimacy via consensus algorithms.
  • Recording: Verified transactions are added to the blockchain as blocks.

Users store cryptocurrencies in digital wallets protected by private keys, which are critical for accessing and authorizing transactions.

Types of Cryptocurrencies

The cryptocurrency landscape is diverse, including:

  • Bitcoin (BTC): The first and most widely recognized cryptocurrency, mainly used as digital gold.
  • Altcoins: Alternative cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum (ETH), which supports smart contracts and decentralized applications.
  • Stablecoins: Cryptocurrencies pegged to stable assets like fiat currencies to reduce volatility.
  • Tokens: Digital assets created on existing blockchains representing various utilities or assets.

Understanding these distinctions is essential for analyzing different crypto projects and their use cases.

Researching Cryptocurrency

Due to the complexity and rapid evolution of the crypto space, thorough research is essential. Key approaches include:

  • Fundamental Analysis: Assess project goals, team credibility, technology, and market applicability.
  • Technical Analysis: Study price charts and market trends, while acknowledging the volatility inherent in crypto markets.
  • Security Considerations: Evaluate the blockchain’s robustness and the security of wallets and exchanges.
  • Utilizing Analytical Tools: Platforms like Token Metrics leverage AI to offer ratings and insights, aiding users in making informed evaluations.

Benefits and Challenges of Cryptocurrency

Benefits:

  • Decentralization: Reduces reliance on centralized institutions.
  • Financial Inclusion: Provides access to financial services globally, especially to unbanked populations.
  • Transparency and Security: Blockchain's design increases trust and reduces fraud.

Challenges:

  • Volatility: Cryptocurrency prices can be highly volatile.
  • Regulatory Uncertainty: Evolving regulations vary by jurisdiction, affecting use and development.
  • Scalability: Some networks face issues processing large volumes of transactions rapidly.
  • Security Risks: Risks such as theft of private keys and vulnerabilities in smart contracts.

How AI and Analytical Tools Support Cryptocurrency Analysis

The introduction of AI-driven research tools has transformed how individuals dissect the vast and complex cryptocurrency markets. Platforms like Token Metrics employ machine learning and natural language processing techniques to analyze various data streams including market sentiment, on-chain metrics, and project fundamentals.

These tools provide:

  • Quantitative Ratings: Assessing the strength and potential of different cryptocurrencies.
  • Scenario Modelling: Projecting possible market developments under various conditions.
  • Risk Analysis: Identifying vulnerabilities and risk factors in crypto projects.

Users can complement traditional research methods with AI insights to foster a balanced understanding.

Conclusion and Disclaimer

Cryptocurrency represents a revolutionary shift in digital finance, enabled by blockchain technology and supported increasingly by AI analytics. Understanding its fundamentals, technology, and associated risks is essential for meaningful engagement.

This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Readers should conduct independent research and consult professionals before making decisions related to cryptocurrencies.

Crypto Basics

How Do Taxes Work for Crypto Trading?

Token Metrics Team
5 min
MIN

Cryptocurrency trading can be exciting and profitable, but one thing many traders overlook is taxation. Whether you’re buying Bitcoin, trading altcoins, or earning staking rewards, your activities can create taxable events—and failure to report them properly can lead to hefty penalties.

If you’ve been wondering, “How do taxes work for crypto trading?”, this guide breaks it all down. We’ll explain how crypto taxes work, the most common taxable events, and how Token Metrics can help you make smarter, tax-conscious trading decisions.

Are Cryptocurrencies Taxed?

Yes. In most countries, cryptocurrencies are treated as property, not currency, for tax purposes. This means:

  • Buying crypto with fiat (e.g., USD → BTC) is not taxable by itself.

  • Selling, swapping, or spending crypto is a taxable event.

  • Earning crypto (through staking, mining, or airdrops) is taxable income.

While tax laws vary by country, the principle is the same: any gain or income from crypto is subject to taxation.

Common Taxable Events in Crypto

To manage your taxes effectively, you need to know what counts as a taxable event.

1. Selling Crypto for Fiat

If you sell Bitcoin, Ethereum, or any other crypto for fiat currency, you must report capital gains or losses.

Example:

  • You bought 1 BTC for $20,000 and sold it for $40,000.

  • Your capital gain is $20,000—which is taxable.

2. Trading One Crypto for Another

Swapping one crypto for another (e.g., BTC → ETH) is also a taxable event.

Why?

  • You’re considered to have “sold” BTC at its fair market value and “bought” ETH.

3. Spending Crypto on Goods or Services

Using crypto to buy a car, laptop, or coffee? That’s a taxable event too.

Example:

  • You bought 1 ETH at $1,000.

  • You used it to buy goods when ETH was worth $2,000.

  • The $1,000 gain is taxable.

4. Earning Crypto

  • Staking & Mining Rewards: Counted as ordinary income at the time you receive them.

  • Airdrops & Hard Forks: The value at the time you receive them is taxable income.

5. DeFi & NFT Transactions

DeFi activities like yield farming, lending, or NFT trading may also trigger complex taxable events depending on jurisdiction.

Capital Gains: Short-Term vs. Long-Term

When you sell crypto, your profit is classified as a capital gain—either short-term or long-term.

  • Short-Term Gains:


    • Assets held less than 12 months.

    • Taxed at your ordinary income tax rate (higher).

  • Long-Term Gains:


    • Assets held more than 12 months.

    • Taxed at reduced capital gains rates (in many jurisdictions).

Pro Tip: Holding crypto for at least a year can significantly lower your tax burden.

How to Calculate Your Crypto Taxes

Step 1: Track Every Transaction

Record:

  • Date & time of the trade.

  • Type of transaction (buy, sell, swap).

  • Amount & value in fiat currency.

  • Fees paid.

Step 2: Determine Cost Basis

Your cost basis is how much you paid for the asset (including fees).

Step 3: Calculate Gains/Losses

Subtract your cost basis from the selling price:

  • Profit = Taxable gain

  • Loss = Tax-deductible (in some countries).

Step 4: Report Income

Report staking, mining, and airdrop rewards as ordinary income at their market value when received.

How Token Metrics Helps with Tax-Efficient Trading

Staying compliant doesn’t just mean reporting correctly—it means trading smartly to reduce your tax burden. That’s where Token Metrics can help.

1. AI-Powered Portfolio Tracking

Track all your crypto holdings across exchanges and wallets, making tax reporting easier.

2. Long-Term vs. Short-Term Insights

Use Investor Grades to identify cryptos worth holding long-term, reducing your tax liability on gains.

3. Strategic Trade Timing

Get AI-powered trading signals to make smarter decisions on when to sell—balancing profits and taxes.

4. Narrative Tracking

Spot emerging narratives (AI tokens, DeFi trends) early, allowing you to plan tax-friendly entries and exits.

Strategies to Minimize Crypto Taxes

  1. Hold for Over a Year: Qualify for long-term capital gains rates.

  2. Harvest Losses: Sell underperforming assets to offset taxable gains.

  3. Use Tax-Friendly Accounts: Some countries allow crypto investments in tax-advantaged accounts.

  4. Gift Crypto: In certain jurisdictions, gifting crypto can reduce tax exposure.

  5. Use AI for Smart Exits: Token Metrics can help you plan trades strategically to minimize taxable events.

Common Mistakes to Avoid

  • Not tracking transactions: Without records, you can’t calculate accurate gains/losses.

  • Ignoring swaps: Trading crypto-to-crypto is still taxable.

  • Forgetting airdrops/staking rewards: These are considered income at receipt.

  • Panic-selling without strategy: Leads to high taxes and missed opportunities.

Global Variations in Crypto Taxes

Tax treatment varies by country:

  • U.S.: IRS treats crypto as property.

  • UK: HMRC applies Capital Gains Tax on disposals.

  • Australia: ATO taxes crypto as property.

  • EU: Policies vary by member state but generally treat crypto as assets.

Always consult a crypto tax professional for advice in your jurisdiction.

Practical Example

Let’s say you:

  • Bought 2 ETH at $1,500 each ($3,000 total).

  • Sold 1 ETH at $3,000.

  • Your gain: $1,500 (minus fees).

  • If you held for over a year, you pay long-term capital gains tax. If not, it’s short-term at a higher rate.

With Token Metrics, you could track purchase dates and AI signals to time your exit strategically—potentially saving on taxes.

Final Thoughts

So, how do taxes work for crypto trading?

  • Selling, swapping, and spending crypto are taxable events.

  • Staking, mining, and airdrops are taxed as income.

  • Holding for over a year often reduces your tax bill.

The key to staying compliant and minimizing taxes is tracking transactions, planning trades strategically, and using the right tools.

That’s where Token Metrics helps. With AI-driven portfolio tracking, tax-efficient trading insights, and market analytics, Token Metrics empowers you to trade smarter, reduce taxable events, and keep more of your profits.

Don’t just trade crypto—trade tax-smart.

Research

What Are Limit Orders vs. Market Orders?

Token Metrics Team
8 min
MIN

When you trade cryptocurrency, you’ll come across different types of orders—market orders and limit orders being the two most common. Understanding how they work is essential for controlling your entry and exit points, minimizing slippage, and making better trading decisions.

If you’ve ever wondered, “What’s the difference between limit orders and market orders?”, you’re in the right place. This guide will break it down in detail, explain when to use each, and show how Token Metrics helps you execute smarter trades with AI-powered insights.

What Is a Market Order?

A market order is the simplest type of trade. It tells an exchange:

“Buy or sell this cryptocurrency at the best available price right now.”

How It Works:

  • When you place a market order to buy, the system instantly matches you with sellers at the lowest available price.

  • When you place a market order to sell, it instantly matches you with buyers at the highest available price.

Advantages of Market Orders:

  1. Instant Execution: Your trade goes through immediately.

  2. Simplicity: Perfect for beginners who want fast transactions.

  3. Useful in High-Volatility Conditions: If you need to enter or exit a trade quickly, market orders are your best bet.

Disadvantages of Market Orders:

  1. Slippage: If liquidity is low or the market moves quickly, you might pay more (or receive less) than expected.

  2. No Price Control: You accept whatever price the market offers at that moment.

Example:
If Bitcoin is trading at $40,000 and you place a market order for 1 BTC, you may end up paying $40,050 if the price moves up in the milliseconds it takes to execute your trade.

What Is a Limit Order?

A limit order gives you more control. It tells an exchange:

“Buy or sell this cryptocurrency at this specific price (or better).”

How It Works:

  • When you place a buy limit order, you set the maximum price you’re willing to pay.

  • When you place a sell limit order, you set the minimum price you’re willing to accept.

  • The order stays open until the market reaches your price—or until you cancel it.

Advantages of Limit Orders:

  1. Price Control: You won’t pay more (or sell for less) than your chosen price.

  2. Better for Planning: Ideal for setting up trades without constantly watching the market.

  3. Lower Fees: Some exchanges offer lower “maker” fees for limit orders since they add liquidity.

Disadvantages of Limit Orders:

  1. No Guarantee of Execution: If the market doesn’t reach your price, your order won’t go through.

  2. Slower Execution: Not suitable for urgent trades in fast-moving markets.

Example:
If Bitcoin is trading at $40,000, you could set a buy limit order at $39,500. If the price dips to that level, your order fills. If it doesn’t, you won’t buy.

Limit Orders vs. Market Orders: Key Differences

When Should You Use Market Orders?

Market orders are best when:

  • You need speed: Entering or exiting a trade quickly.

  • The market is highly liquid: For large-cap coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum, slippage is minimal.

  • News-based trading: When reacting to breaking news or sudden price surges.

When Should You Use Limit Orders?

Limit orders are best when:

  • You want price control: Setting entries at discount levels or selling at specific profit targets.

  • You’re trading low-liquidity coins: Prevents overpaying due to slippage.

  • You’re building a strategy: Setting multiple entries and exits without active monitoring.

How Token Metrics Helps You Use Market & Limit Orders Effectively

Placing orders is one thing—placing them at the right time is what makes you profitable. That’s where Token Metrics helps.

1. AI-Powered Trading Signals

Get real-time bullish and bearish alerts based on 80+ technical indicators, helping you know when to execute market or limit orders for maximum efficiency.

2. Trader & Investor Grades

Use Trader Grades for short-term trading opportunities (perfect for market orders) and Investor Grades for long-term accumulation (ideal for limit orders).

3. Narrative Tracking

Our AI identifies emerging narratives—like AI tokens or DeFi plays—so you can strategically place limit orders before trends take off.

4. AI-Managed Indices

Don’t want to place manual orders? Token Metrics’ AI-managed portfolios automatically rebalance based on market conditions, helping you avoid constant order management.

Practical Example: Combining Both Orders

Imagine you’re trading Ethereum (ETH):

  • Step 1: Token Metrics issues a bullish signal at $2,400, projecting a potential breakout.

  • Step 2: You place a market order to enter quickly at $2,400 to catch the momentum.

  • Step 3: You set a limit sell order at $2,700 to automatically secure profits without monitoring the chart.

This combination allows you to enter fast and exit smart—with less emotional stress.

Advanced Tips for Using Limit & Market Orders

  1. Use Stop-Limit Orders: Combine stop-loss and limit functions to protect against big losses.

  2. Layer Your Limit Orders: Place multiple buy/sell limits at different price levels for better cost averaging.

  3. Avoid Market Orders on Illiquid Coins: Slippage can cost you significantly.

  4. Use AI for Timing: Token Metrics helps you time entries and exits—so you’re not just placing random orders.

Final Thoughts

So, what’s the difference between limit orders and market orders?

  • Market orders are for speed—you get the trade done instantly at the best available price.

  • Limit orders are for control—you set the exact price you want to buy or sell.

The key is knowing when to use each—and using data-driven insights to make those decisions.

That’s where Token Metrics gives you an edge. With AI-powered trading signals, narrative tracking, and automated portfolio tools, Token Metrics helps you decide when to use market vs. limit orders, so you can trade confidently and profitably.

In crypto trading, timing is everything—and Token Metrics makes timing smarter.

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