Research

Crypto Market Turns Bearish: Expert Analysis on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Top Altcoin Opportunities

Bitcoin, currently trading around $114,000, has experienced what analysts describe as "momentum crashing." Despite reaching an all-time high of $124,000 just last week, the world's largest cryptocurrency has retreated below $115,000, triggering a clear sell signal on technical indicators.
Token Metrics Team
6 min
MIN

The cryptocurrency market has officially shifted into risk-off mode, marking a significant change from the bullish momentum we've witnessed over recent months. According to leading crypto analysts from Token Matrics, while the overall market indicator shows "neutral," the underlying momentum has been declining dramatically – a pattern that demands immediate attention from investors.

Bitcoin's Momentum Crash Signals Market Shift

Bitcoin, currently trading around $114,000, has experienced what analysts describe as "momentum crashing." Despite reaching an all-time high of $124,000 just last week, the world's largest cryptocurrency has retreated below $115,000, triggering a clear sell signal on technical indicators.

This dramatic shift becomes even more apparent when examining the Bitcoin vs Altcoin Season indicator. From July 10th, when 90% of returns were concentrated in Bitcoin during its price discovery phase, the market briefly shifted to an even split between Bitcoin and altcoin returns. However, we're now witnessing a return to Bitcoin dominance – a classic sign of risk-off sentiment among crypto investors.

"I think this is just probably a healthy cooling-off correction. I don't think this is the end per se," explains Ian Belina, highlighting that while the current pullback appears significant, it may represent a necessary market reset rather than a trend reversal.

Ethereum Emerges as the Clear Winner

While Bitcoin struggles with declining momentum, Ethereum has emerged as the standout performer, demonstrating remarkable resilience in the current market environment. Trading around $4,300, Ethereum has surged approximately 70% since June, vastly outperforming Bitcoin's modest 9-10% gains over the same period.

The ETH/BTC ratio has climbed to 2025 highs at 0.037%, signaling a significant shift in investor preference toward Ethereum-based assets. This performance is particularly noteworthy given the regulatory clarity emerging in the United States, which has created favorable conditions for stablecoin protocols and crypto treasury adoption.

Abdullah, Head of Research & Investments at Token Matrics, remains bullish on Ethereum's prospects: "As long as ETH is above 4k, I think ETH holders shouldn't be worried. Ethereum will keep outperforming Bitcoin and Solana within the next one to three months."

Solana Faces Potential 30-40% Correction

Solana presents a more concerning picture, with analysts expecting a potential capitulation event that could see the token decline 30-40% from current levels. Having broken major technical support levels, Solana's momentum indicators have turned decidedly bearish.

However, this bearish outlook comes with a silver lining for long-term investors. "I think it will be a purely buy the dip opportunity before Solana starts to run again for $500 or maybe $1,000 by the end of the cycle," notes Abdullah, suggesting that current weakness may present attractive entry points for patient investors.

Treasury Companies Drive Institutional Adoption

A major catalyst supporting the crypto market's long-term outlook is the continued accumulation by corporate treasuries. MicroStrategy recently purchased an additional 430 Bitcoin for $51 million, bringing its total holdings to approximately $7.2 billion with unrealized gains of $2.6 billion.

The trend extends beyond Bitcoin, with Ethereum treasuries gaining significant momentum. Bitcoin Immersion, led by Tom Lee, has acquired 1.52 million ETH valued at $6.6 billion, making it the second-largest public crypto treasury behind MicroStrategy and the largest for Ethereum specifically.

These institutional moves represent more than mere speculation – they signal a fundamental shift toward crypto as a legitimate treasury asset. As of now, 4% of Bitcoin's supply and 2% of Ethereum's supply is held by public companies and treasury entities.

Top Trading Opportunities in Current Market

Despite the overall bearish sentiment, several tokens continue to show strength and present compelling trading opportunities:

Chainlink (LINK)

Chainlink has emerged as a standout performer, recently breaking through the $22-$23 resistance level that had acted as a range high for over two years. The enterprise L1 narrative is driving adoption, as Wall Street-backed firms launching their own Layer 1 blockchains require reliable oracle services.

"I think it's only a matter of time till Chainlink sees a new all-time high," predicts Abdullah, citing the protocol's dominant market position and recent tokenomics improvements, including a buyback program tied to enterprise revenue.

Pendle (PENDLE)

Despite being undervalued relative to its fundamentals, Pendle continues to show strength with a Total Value Locked (TVL) of approximately $10 billion against a market cap of only $1.4 billion. As the leading yield trading platform, Pendle offers institutional investors the ability to fix yields and trade funding rates with leverage.

Base Ecosystem Tokens

Tokens within the Base ecosystem, including Aerodrome and Zora, have shown resilience despite recent corrections. With Coinbase planning to expand DEX trading access beyond the current 1% of users, these protocols could see significant volume increases.

Market Outlook and Strategy

Looking ahead, analysts expect a consolidation or correction period lasting several weeks into mid-to-late September. However, Q4 remains positioned for potential bullish momentum, particularly if the Federal Reserve delivers dovish commentary at the upcoming Jackson Hole speech.

The key for investors lies in monitoring critical indicators: the market sentiment gauge, Bitcoin vs Altcoin season metrics, and individual token momentum scores. When over 60% of market returns shift to altcoins while the overall market shows strong buy signals, it typically indicates an optimal profit-taking opportunity.

For those navigating this complex environment, focusing on tokens with strong fundamentals, high trader grades (80%+), and positive momentum indicators remains the most prudent approach. While the current market presents challenges, it also offers opportunities for those who can correctly identify and time the strongest performers in each narrative cycle.

The crypto market's evolution continues, and while short-term volatility is inevitable, the underlying infrastructure and institutional adoption trends suggest a maturing asset class with significant long-term potential.

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Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

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Research

Bearish Signals Ahead? How to Spot Early Warnings Before a Crash

Token Metrics Team
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In crypto, everything can change overnight. One minute the market’s bullish — the next, it’s bleeding red. That’s why the ability to spot bearish signals early is crucial for protecting capital and maximizing long-term gains. Token Metrics gives traders an edge with AI-driven alerts that help you act before the crash hits.

Why Most Traders Miss the Top
Retail traders often get caught in the hype. By the time “everyone” is talking about a token, it’s usually too late. The smartest investors are watching subtle changes in data: volume drops, negative sentiment, weakening momentum.

Token Metrics makes those patterns visible before price crashes.

What Is a Bearish Signal on Token Metrics?
A bearish signal is a warning based on:

  • Declining Trader Grade (below 30)
  • Negative ROI since signal
  • Volume drying up while price holds
  • Bearish crossover in trend indicators
  • Weakening fundamentals or fading narratives

These signals are automatically triggered and displayed on the Market Page.

How to Identify Bearish Tokens Early

  1. Sort by Negative ROI – See which tokens have declined most after a bold signal.
  2. Filter by Trader Grade < 30 – These are tokens losing short-term momentum.
  3. Look for Divergence – If price is flat but volume or sentiment drops, the setup may be turning bearish.

Behavioral Clues You Shouldn’t Ignore

  • Signal stops updating – Token Metrics halts signals when confidence fades.
  • Narrative dies down – No more tweets, community quiets down? Trouble ahead.
  • Trending to Stagnant – Tokens drop from Top Gainers list quickly.

Real Example: Avoiding Losses with Signal Data
Ian Balina mentioned how users avoided major losses by exiting weak tokens early thanks to falling grades and bearish signals. Instead of hoping, they acted — preserving capital and rotating into stronger plays like Launch Coin or AI tokens.

What to Do When You See Bearish Signs

  • Don’t panic – Act on data, not emotion.
  • Set stop-losses based on bold signal entry points.
  • Rotate capital into high-grade tokens or stablecoins.
  • Monitor daily – The market can flip from bullish to bearish in hours.

Combining Risk Management with Signals
Token Metrics isn’t just about finding moonshots. It’s also about knowing when not to buy or when to exit early. By using bearish signals, you protect yourself from downside while staying positioned for the next big opportunity.

Conclusion
The best crypto traders aren’t just profit-hunters — they’re risk managers. Bearish signals from Token Metrics help you anticipate weakness, reduce losses, and trade with clarity. In a volatile market, that edge can make all the difference.

Research

From Retail to Institutions: Who’s Driving the Crypto Market in 2025?

Token Metrics Team
4 min
MIN

Crypto markets are evolving — and fast. In the early days, retail investors dominated the space. But by 2025, the tides are shifting. Institutional investors, family offices, and algorithmic funds are entering the market at scale. This blog explores the growing divide — and how it’s reshaping opportunities for everyday traders.

The Rise of Institutional Money in Crypto
Over the last year, a new class of investors has emerged: professional firms with deep pockets and long-term horizons. They're no longer just “exploring crypto” — they’re actively deploying capital.

Why now?

  • Regulatory clarity in major jurisdictions
  • Bitcoin ETF approvals and crypto fund launches
  • Better custody, risk management, and analytics tools (including Token Metrics)

What Are Institutions Buying?
Institutions tend to avoid meme coins and hyper-volatility. Instead, they focus on:

  • Layer 1 Infrastructure – Ethereum alternatives like Sui and Avalanche
  • AI Tokens – Leveraging real-world utility and strong narratives
  • DeFi Blue Chips – Projects with consistent TVL and governance upgrades
  • Stable Yield Strategies – On-chain bonds, staking, and real-world asset tokens

Token Metrics has seen a spike in institutional users filtering by Investor Grade and project fundamentals.

Retail Traders Still Dominate One Arena
Retail traders are far from out — they dominate high-volatility narratives:

  • Meme tokens
  • Social coin launches (e.g., Launchcoin)
  • Short-term speculation based on influencer sentiment

Retail’s edge? Speed, risk tolerance, and virality. Many of Token Metrics’ bold signals still originate from this activity before institutions catch on.

Token Metrics Bridging the Divide
What makes Token Metrics powerful in 2025 is its ability to serve both segments:

  • Institutions use it for due diligence, grades, and long-term planning.
  • Retail traders use it for short-term signals, alerts, and narrative tracking.

This dual capability creates a level playing field, where data, not capital, is the edge.

How to Trade Based on Who’s in Control

  1. When institutions lead – expect slower but more sustainable growth. Focus on high Investor Grade tokens.
  2. When retail leads – expect fast-moving pumps and dumps. Use high Trader Grade + bold signals.
  3. Hybrid phase (now) – Use both metrics to balance volatility and long-term conviction.

Market Behavior Patterns to Watch

  • Low volatility + high inflows → Institutional buildup
  • High volume + sudden spikes → Retail-driven narratives
  • Diverging BTC vs. altcoin trends → Mixed sentiment cycles

Conclusion
The crypto market in 2025 is being driven by both the old guard and the new wave. Institutions bring maturity. Retail brings momentum. Smart investors use tools like Token Metrics to read the room — and position themselves accordingly.

Research

Trader vs. Investor Grade: How to Use Both for Smarter Crypto Bets

Token Metrics Team
4 min
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Crypto trading success often boils down to timing. But how do you know when to enter — and when to stay long? Token Metrics solves this dilemma with a dual-grade system: Trader Grade and Investor Grade. Each grade serves a different investment goal, and together, they help you make more confident decisions, whether you’re day trading or holding for the long run.

What is the Trader Grade?
The Trader Grade measures short-term momentum. It uses AI to analyze price action, volume trends, technical indicators, and recent sentiment shifts. Scores range from 0 to 100, and a score above 80 signals strong short-term potential.

Use Case:

  • Perfect for swing traders and short-term opportunists.
  • Look for tokens with Trader Grade > 80 for potential breakout trades.
  • Example: Launchcoin had a Trader Grade above 90 before its 35x rally began.

What is the Investor Grade?
The Investor Grade focuses on long-term fundamentals. It’s designed for those who want to hold tokens for months or even years. This grade considers tokenomics, development activity, ecosystem strength, narrative alignment, and long-term price structure.

Use Case:

  • Ideal for long-term portfolio builders.
  • A token with Investor Grade > 80 is a strong candidate for accumulation.
  • AI infrastructure tokens and modular blockchains often rank high here.

Why Use Both?
Most traders fail by only looking at hype or short-term charts. Token Metrics lets you blend data:

  • High Trader Grade + Low Investor Grade? Consider a short-term trade, not a long hold.
  • High Investor Grade + Low Trader Grade? Consider waiting for a better entry point.
  • Both High? Green light for confidence in both entry and long-term performance.

Case Study: Balancing Your Portfolio with Grades
Users can use the dual-grade approach for smarter allocation:

  • 30% of capital to high Trader Grade tokens (short-term plays)
  • 70% to high Investor Grade tokens (long-term holds)

This method helps mitigate risk and improve overall ROI.

Where to Find the Grades
Both grades are displayed prominently across:

  • Token Detail Pages – Real-time grade updates with historical data
  • Market Page Filters – Sort tokens by grade thresholds
  • Portfolio Builder Tool – Automatically selects tokens with strong grades

Tips for Grade-Based Trading

  1. Use Trader Grade for volatile markets or when prices are accelerating.
  2. Use Investor Grade when building positions in strong narratives like AI, DeFi, or infrastructure.
  3. Avoid tokens with both grades below 60 unless you’re making a speculative bet.

Conclusion
Trading without context is gambling. Token Metrics’ Trader and Investor Grades give you a proven framework for assessing both momentum and fundamentals. Whether you’re here for a quick flip or a long-term bet, using the dual-grade system can level up your crypto strategy.

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