Research

Crypto Market Turns Bearish: Expert Analysis on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Top Altcoin Opportunities

Bitcoin, currently trading around $114,000, has experienced what analysts describe as "momentum crashing." Despite reaching an all-time high of $124,000 just last week, the world's largest cryptocurrency has retreated below $115,000, triggering a clear sell signal on technical indicators.
Token Metrics Team
6 min
MIN

The cryptocurrency market has officially shifted into risk-off mode, marking a significant change from the bullish momentum we've witnessed over recent months. According to leading crypto analysts from Token Matrics, while the overall market indicator shows "neutral," the underlying momentum has been declining dramatically – a pattern that demands immediate attention from investors.

Bitcoin's Momentum Crash Signals Market Shift

Bitcoin, currently trading around $114,000, has experienced what analysts describe as "momentum crashing." Despite reaching an all-time high of $124,000 just last week, the world's largest cryptocurrency has retreated below $115,000, triggering a clear sell signal on technical indicators.

This dramatic shift becomes even more apparent when examining the Bitcoin vs Altcoin Season indicator. From July 10th, when 90% of returns were concentrated in Bitcoin during its price discovery phase, the market briefly shifted to an even split between Bitcoin and altcoin returns. However, we're now witnessing a return to Bitcoin dominance – a classic sign of risk-off sentiment among crypto investors.

"I think this is just probably a healthy cooling-off correction. I don't think this is the end per se," explains Ian Belina, highlighting that while the current pullback appears significant, it may represent a necessary market reset rather than a trend reversal.

Ethereum Emerges as the Clear Winner

While Bitcoin struggles with declining momentum, Ethereum has emerged as the standout performer, demonstrating remarkable resilience in the current market environment. Trading around $4,300, Ethereum has surged approximately 70% since June, vastly outperforming Bitcoin's modest 9-10% gains over the same period.

The ETH/BTC ratio has climbed to 2025 highs at 0.037%, signaling a significant shift in investor preference toward Ethereum-based assets. This performance is particularly noteworthy given the regulatory clarity emerging in the United States, which has created favorable conditions for stablecoin protocols and crypto treasury adoption.

Abdullah, Head of Research & Investments at Token Matrics, remains bullish on Ethereum's prospects: "As long as ETH is above 4k, I think ETH holders shouldn't be worried. Ethereum will keep outperforming Bitcoin and Solana within the next one to three months."

Solana Faces Potential 30-40% Correction

Solana presents a more concerning picture, with analysts expecting a potential capitulation event that could see the token decline 30-40% from current levels. Having broken major technical support levels, Solana's momentum indicators have turned decidedly bearish.

However, this bearish outlook comes with a silver lining for long-term investors. "I think it will be a purely buy the dip opportunity before Solana starts to run again for $500 or maybe $1,000 by the end of the cycle," notes Abdullah, suggesting that current weakness may present attractive entry points for patient investors.

Treasury Companies Drive Institutional Adoption

A major catalyst supporting the crypto market's long-term outlook is the continued accumulation by corporate treasuries. MicroStrategy recently purchased an additional 430 Bitcoin for $51 million, bringing its total holdings to approximately $7.2 billion with unrealized gains of $2.6 billion.

The trend extends beyond Bitcoin, with Ethereum treasuries gaining significant momentum. Bitcoin Immersion, led by Tom Lee, has acquired 1.52 million ETH valued at $6.6 billion, making it the second-largest public crypto treasury behind MicroStrategy and the largest for Ethereum specifically.

These institutional moves represent more than mere speculation – they signal a fundamental shift toward crypto as a legitimate treasury asset. As of now, 4% of Bitcoin's supply and 2% of Ethereum's supply is held by public companies and treasury entities.

Top Trading Opportunities in Current Market

Despite the overall bearish sentiment, several tokens continue to show strength and present compelling trading opportunities:

Chainlink (LINK)

Chainlink has emerged as a standout performer, recently breaking through the $22-$23 resistance level that had acted as a range high for over two years. The enterprise L1 narrative is driving adoption, as Wall Street-backed firms launching their own Layer 1 blockchains require reliable oracle services.

"I think it's only a matter of time till Chainlink sees a new all-time high," predicts Abdullah, citing the protocol's dominant market position and recent tokenomics improvements, including a buyback program tied to enterprise revenue.

Pendle (PENDLE)

Despite being undervalued relative to its fundamentals, Pendle continues to show strength with a Total Value Locked (TVL) of approximately $10 billion against a market cap of only $1.4 billion. As the leading yield trading platform, Pendle offers institutional investors the ability to fix yields and trade funding rates with leverage.

Base Ecosystem Tokens

Tokens within the Base ecosystem, including Aerodrome and Zora, have shown resilience despite recent corrections. With Coinbase planning to expand DEX trading access beyond the current 1% of users, these protocols could see significant volume increases.

Market Outlook and Strategy

Looking ahead, analysts expect a consolidation or correction period lasting several weeks into mid-to-late September. However, Q4 remains positioned for potential bullish momentum, particularly if the Federal Reserve delivers dovish commentary at the upcoming Jackson Hole speech.

The key for investors lies in monitoring critical indicators: the market sentiment gauge, Bitcoin vs Altcoin season metrics, and individual token momentum scores. When over 60% of market returns shift to altcoins while the overall market shows strong buy signals, it typically indicates an optimal profit-taking opportunity.

For those navigating this complex environment, focusing on tokens with strong fundamentals, high trader grades (80%+), and positive momentum indicators remains the most prudent approach. While the current market presents challenges, it also offers opportunities for those who can correctly identify and time the strongest performers in each narrative cycle.

The crypto market's evolution continues, and while short-term volatility is inevitable, the underlying infrastructure and institutional adoption trends suggest a maturing asset class with significant long-term potential.

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Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

Recent Posts

Research

Should I Use Leverage When Trading Crypto?

Token Metrics Team
8 min
MIN

Leverage trading has become a hot topic in the crypto world. Many traders are attracted by the promise of amplified profits—but fail to realize it also magnifies losses. If you’ve been wondering, “Should I use leverage when trading crypto?” the short answer is: only if you fully understand the risks and have a solid strategy.

In this guide, we’ll break down what leverage trading is, how it works, its pros and cons, and how AI-powered tools like Token Metrics can help you make smarter decisions when trading with leverage.

What Is Leverage Trading in Crypto?

Leverage trading lets you borrow funds from an exchange to increase your position size, allowing you to control more capital than you actually own.

For example:

  • If you have $1,000 and use 10x leverage, you’re trading with $10,000.
  • A 10% price increase can give you a 100% profit on your original investment.
  • But a 10% price drop could wipe out your position completely.

Popular platforms like Binance, Bybit, and OKX offer leverage levels from 2x to 125x for certain assets.

Pros of Leverage Trading

Leverage isn’t all bad. When used responsibly, it offers several benefits:

1. Higher Profit Potential

Even small price movements can generate significant returns when using leverage.

2. Portfolio Efficiency

Traders can free up capital for other positions while maintaining large exposure in a leveraged trade.

3. Opportunities in Bear Markets

Leverage allows for short selling, enabling you to profit when prices go down.

Cons of Leverage Trading

The same factors that make leverage attractive also make it high-risk:

1. Amplified Losses

Just as leverage magnifies profits, it magnifies losses. A minor price drop could liquidate your entire position.

2. Liquidation Risk

When your collateral falls below a certain threshold, the exchange automatically closes your position, locking in your losses.

3. Emotional Stress

Leverage trading is fast-paced and stressful, often leading to panic selling or revenge trading after losses.

Should Beginners Use Leverage?

No.
If you’re new to trading, avoid leverage until you have:

  • A proven strategy with consistent results in spot trading.
  • Strong risk management skills (e.g., using stop-loss orders).
  • The ability to stay disciplined under pressure.

For beginners, leveraged trading can be a fast track to losing your capital.

When Does It Make Sense to Use Leverage?

For experienced traders, leverage can make sense when:

  • You’re hedging your portfolio against downside risk.
  • You have high conviction in a trade and want to maximize gains.
  • You’re trading high-liquidity assets like BTC or ETH with well-defined stop-losses.

How Token Metrics Helps You Trade Smarter with Leverage

Leverage trading requires precision, and that’s where Token Metrics gives you an edge.

1. AI-Powered Bullish & Bearish Signals

Identify high-probability trades with real-time AI signals based on 80+ technical indicators. This helps you avoid entering positions blindly.

2. Trader & Investor Grades

Use Trader Grades for short-term trading opportunities and Investor Grades for long-term positions—helping you decide when to scale up or reduce leverage.

3. Risk Assessment Tools

Token Metrics evaluates crypto projects and market trends to reduce exposure to high-risk assets—a must for leveraged positions.

4. AI-Driven Indices

Don’t want to trade manually? Use our AI-managed crypto indices to gain diversified exposure without taking unnecessary leveraged risks.

5. Narrative Detection

Our AI identifies emerging narratives before they hit mainstream attention, giving you a strategic edge in timing trades—crucial when using leverage.

Best Practices for Using Leverage in Crypto

If you decide to use leverage, follow these rules:

  1. Start Small: Use low leverage (2x–3x) instead of going all in at 20x or 50x.
  2. Set Stop-Loss Orders: Always predetermine your maximum loss tolerance.
  3. Trade Liquid Assets: Stick to high-volume coins like BTC and ETH to avoid slippage.
  4. Don’t Overtrade: Only use leverage on trades with strong conviction and proper analysis.
  5. Use AI Tools: Let Token Metrics guide your entries and exits with data-driven insights.

Why Overleveraging Is Dangerous

Many traders lose money by overleveraging, which leads to:

  • Margin calls and forced liquidations.
  • Revenge trading, where losses push traders into reckless decisions.
  • Complete portfolio wipeouts from one bad trade.

Pro Tip: Only trade with leverage on funds you can afford to lose.

Final Thoughts

So, should you use leverage when trading crypto?

For beginners, the answer is no—focus on mastering spot trading first. For experienced traders, leverage can be a powerful tool when used with strict risk management and data-driven insights.

That’s where Token Metrics makes a difference. With AI-powered trading signals, real-time risk analysis, and narrative tracking, Token Metrics helps you trade smarter, reduce emotional mistakes, and optimize your leverage strategy.

Leverage can make you or break you—so don’t go in blind. Use Token Metrics to guide your trades and stay ahead of the market.

Research

What Are the Biggest Risks in Crypto Trading?

Token Metrics Team
8 min
MIN

Cryptocurrency trading can be highly rewarding, but it’s also one of the riskiest financial activities you can engage in. Prices can swing wildly within minutes, markets are largely unregulated, and scams remain rampant. Whether you’re a beginner investor or a seasoned trader, understanding these risks is critical for protecting your capital and making informed decisions.

In this guide, we’ll break down the biggest risks in crypto trading, how to recognize them, and how Token Metrics can help you minimize those risks using AI-driven insights.

1. Extreme Volatility

The crypto market is famous for its rapid price fluctuations. Unlike traditional stocks, which typically move in small percentages daily, cryptocurrencies can experience 10–50% swings in a single day.

  • Why it matters:

    • Quick price drops can wipe out profits or even your entire portfolio.
    • Leverage trading amplifies these risks, often leading to liquidations.

  • Example:
    In May 2021, Bitcoin fell from $64,000 to $30,000 in just weeks, catching many traders off guard.

How Token Metrics Helps:
Token Metrics provides AI-powered trading signals and market trend analysis to help you avoid trading blindly. Our Trader Grades let you know when an asset is trending bullish or bearish, giving you data-driven entry and exit points.

2. Lack of Regulation

Unlike traditional finance, cryptocurrency operates in a largely unregulated space. This creates both opportunities and risks.

  • Key risks:

    • Exchanges can shut down or get hacked with little recourse.
    • Bad actors can manipulate prices (pump-and-dump schemes).
    • Regulatory crackdowns in certain regions can cause market crashes.

How Token Metrics Helps:
We track regulatory trends and narratives using AI-driven sentiment analysis, alerting you to shifts that could impact your holdings.

3. Security Risks & Hacking

Crypto traders often store their assets on exchanges or hot wallets—prime targets for hackers.

  • Risks include:

    • Exchange hacks leading to stolen funds.
    • Phishing scams that trick users into giving away private keys.
    • Rug pulls in DeFi projects that drain liquidity.

How Token Metrics Helps:
Token Metrics evaluates crypto projects with AI-based risk scoring, helping you avoid tokens and platforms with poor security practices or suspicious activity.

4. Scams & Fraud

From rug pulls to fake ICOs and Ponzi schemes, crypto has become a hotbed for scams targeting inexperienced traders.

  • Examples of common scams:

    • Pump-and-dump groups on Telegram.
    • Fake airdrops asking for wallet connections.
    • Impersonation scams on social media.

How Token Metrics Helps:
Our Moonshot Finder doesn’t just find hidden gem tokens—it uses AI-driven vetting to filter out high-risk projects, helping you spot potential scams before you invest.

5. Emotional Trading

The fear of missing out (FOMO) and panic selling are two of the biggest psychological pitfalls in crypto trading.

  • How it affects traders:

    • FOMO causes impulsive buying at peaks.
    • Panic selling during dips leads to unnecessary losses.
    • Overtrading erodes profits through excessive fees and bad timing.

How Token Metrics Helps:
By offering objective, AI-driven market insights, Token Metrics removes the emotional bias from trading. Our data-backed signals tell you when to hold, sell, or accumulate—reducing emotionally driven mistakes.

6. Liquidity Risks

Some cryptocurrencies—especially low-cap altcoins—have low liquidity, making it difficult to buy or sell without significantly impacting the price.

  • Why this matters:

    • You may be unable to exit a position when needed.
    • Large trades can cause slippage and losses.

How Token Metrics Helps:
Our platform tracks liquidity metrics for thousands of tokens, ensuring you know the trading conditions before entering or exiting a position.

7. Leverage & Margin Trading Dangers

While leverage trading can amplify profits, it can also wipe out your portfolio quickly.

  • Risks include:

    • Liquidation if prices move against your position.
    • Amplified emotional stress and poor decision-making.

How Token Metrics Helps:
Token Metrics identifies high-probability trades using AI-based technical analysis, reducing the guesswork in leveraged trading.

8. Narrative & Hype Cycles

Crypto prices are often driven by hype, social media trends, and narratives, which can be unpredictable and short-lived.

  • Example:
    The rapid rise and fall of meme tokens like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, which surged based on social media buzz but saw massive corrections.

How Token Metrics Helps:
Our AI detects emerging narratives early—whether it’s AI tokens, DeFi, or RWA projects—so you can position yourself before the hype cycle peaks.

How to Mitigate These Risks

Here are some best practices for reducing crypto trading risks:

  1. Diversify your portfolio: Don’t put all your funds into one token.
  2. Use AI-powered tools like Token Metrics: Let data, not emotions, guide your trades.
  3. Practice good security hygiene: Use hardware wallets and enable two-factor authentication.
  4. Avoid leverage until experienced: Trade with spot assets before exploring margin.
  5. Stay updated: Monitor news and regulatory developments.

Why Token Metrics Is the Best Tool for Risk Management

Token Metrics is more than a research platform—it’s your AI-powered trading assistant. Here’s why traders trust it:

  • AI-Powered Signals: Get real-time bullish/bearish alerts for smarter trading.
  • Risk Scoring: Avoid scams and unsafe projects with our proprietary evaluations.
  • Moonshot Finder: Discover promising low-cap tokens with AI-vetted potential.
  • Trader & Investor Grades: Balance short-term trading with long-term investing.
  • AI Indices: Use auto-managed portfolios to reduce risk through diversification.

‍
Whether you’re a beginner looking to avoid common pitfalls or an advanced trader seeking data-driven edge, Token Metrics helps you trade smarter and safer.

Final Thoughts

So, what are the biggest risks in crypto trading? From extreme volatility and scams to emotional decision-making and security threats, the dangers are real. But with the right strategies and tools, you can navigate the market with confidence.

By using Token Metrics’ AI-powered insights, you can reduce emotional bias, avoid high-risk tokens, and make smarter, data-driven trades—turning crypto’s volatility from a threat into an opportunity.

Research

How Do I Analyze Cryptocurrency Prices?

Token Metrics Team
8 min
MIN

Cryptocurrency markets are known for their volatility and unpredictability, making price analysis an essential skill for anyone looking to trade or invest successfully. Whether you’re a beginner trying to understand Bitcoin’s price swings or an advanced trader looking for early opportunities in altcoins, knowing how to analyze crypto prices can make or break your portfolio.

In this guide, we’ll break down the main methods for analyzing cryptocurrency prices, explain the key tools you need, and show you why Token Metrics is the best AI-powered platform for making smarter, data-driven trading decisions.

Why Is Crypto Price Analysis Important?

Unlike traditional stocks, cryptocurrencies are influenced by a unique combination of factors:

  • Market sentiment driven by news, social media, and narratives.
  • Blockchain data such as transaction volumes and network activity.
  • Macroeconomic trends including regulations and global adoption.

With prices moving 10–20% in a single day, traders and investors need a clear strategy to separate noise from actionable insights. That’s where price analysis comes in.

The 3 Main Methods for Analyzing Cryptocurrency Prices

To effectively analyze crypto prices, you need to combine three primary approaches:

1. Technical Analysis (TA)

Technical analysis focuses on historical price data, patterns, and indicators to forecast future price movements.

Key Tools & Indicators:

  • Candlestick charts – Help visualize price action and trends.
  • Moving averages (MA) – Smooth out price data to identify trends.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI) – Measures overbought or oversold conditions.
  • Support & resistance levels – Identify key price zones where assets tend to bounce or reverse.

How Token Metrics Helps:
Token Metrics enhances traditional TA by incorporating AI-driven market signals. Our system analyzes 80+ technical indicators across thousands of assets to deliver real-time bullish or bearish signals, helping traders know when to enter or exit positions.

2. Fundamental Analysis (FA)

Fundamental analysis evaluates the intrinsic value of a cryptocurrency by examining factors beyond price.

Key Metrics:

  • Project fundamentals: Whitepapers, use cases, and team credibility.
  • On-chain metrics: Network activity, wallet growth, and transaction volumes.
  • Tokenomics: Supply, inflation rates, and distribution.
  • Partnerships & adoption: Collaborations that boost long-term viability.

How Token Metrics Helps:
Token Metrics uses Investor Grades to assess cryptocurrencies based on their long-term growth potential. This AI-powered scoring system combines project fundamentals, tokenomics, and on-chain data to help investors focus on projects with real staying power.

3. Sentiment Analysis

The crypto market is heavily influenced by emotions, hype, and narratives. Sentiment analysis involves monitoring social media trends, news coverage, and community discussions to gauge overall market mood.

Key Sentiment Indicators:

  • Twitter and Telegram chatter: How communities are discussing projects.
  • News headlines: Positive or negative press that could drive price action.
  • Fear and Greed Index: Measures market sentiment extremes.

How Token Metrics Helps:
Our platform goes beyond surface-level sentiment analysis by using AI to detect narrative-driven opportunities before they hit the mainstream. This is especially useful for finding Moonshot tokens—low-cap projects with high potential for explosive growth.

How to Combine These Methods for Better Decisions

The most successful traders don’t rely on just one method—they combine technical, fundamental, and sentiment analysis to form a complete market picture.

Here’s how you can use this in practice:

  1. Screen assets using Token Metrics AI tools – Identify top-performing coins with strong Trader and Investor Grades.
  2. Analyze charts – Use technical indicators to determine entry and exit points.
  3. Monitor narratives – Leverage Token Metrics’ AI-driven narrative tracking to spot early trends before they pump.

Why Token Metrics Is the Best Tool for Analyzing Crypto Prices

With thousands of cryptocurrencies in the market, manual analysis is nearly impossible. Token Metrics simplifies and supercharges your analysis using AI.

Here’s what makes it the best platform for crypto price analysis:

1. AI-Powered Trading Signals

Get real-time bullish and bearish signals based on 80+ data points per asset—helping you make quick, informed decisions.

2. Proprietary Trader & Investor Grades

Our scoring system helps you find short-term trading opportunities (Trader Grade) and long-term investment picks (Investor Grade).

3. Moonshot Finder

Discover low-cap hidden gems before they gain mainstream attention—ideal for high-risk, high-reward plays.

4. AI-Driven Indices

Don’t want to analyze every token? Token Metrics offers AI-managed portfolios that automatically rebalance based on market conditions.

5. Advanced API & MCP Server

Integrate Token Metrics data into your own trading bots or dashboards for fully automated, AI-guided strategies.

Practical Tips for Analyzing Cryptocurrency Prices

  1. Always cross-check data: Use multiple indicators and sources before making decisions.
  2. Stay updated: Follow market news and emerging narratives.
  3. Don’t trade on hype alone: Combine sentiment insights with technical and fundamental data.
  4. Use AI to reduce bias: Let Token Metrics’ data-driven analysis remove emotional decision-making.
  5. Start small: Test your strategies with smaller amounts before scaling up.

Final Thoughts

So, how do you analyze cryptocurrency prices? The best approach is to combine technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and sentiment analysis to get a well-rounded view of the market.

But doing this manually is overwhelming—which is why Token Metrics is the best AI-powered solution for crypto analysis. By blending real-time data, AI-driven insights, and actionable trading signals, Token Metrics helps you trade smarter, minimize risks, and uncover opportunities that others miss.

Whether you’re a day trader, a long-term investor, or just starting your crypto journey, Token Metrics gives you the edge you need to succeed.

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