Crypto Basics

Cryptocurrency Analysis - How to Analyze Cryptocurrencies

Learn everything about crypto analysis and how to analyze cryptocurrencies, in this descriptive guide.
Token Metrics Team
9 minutes
MIN

Crypto has indeed gained significant attention and has been a popular investment option in recent times. However, analyzing a cryptocurrency before investing is crucial to make informed decisions and minimize risks. In this article, we will help you understand the key factors that impact a cryptocurrency's price and demand. By doing so, we aim to make it easier for you to embark on your crypto journey with confidence.

But why is it essential to analyze a cryptocurrency before investing in the first place? The answer lies in the volatile nature of cryptocurrencies. The value of a cryptocurrency can fluctuate significantly within a short time, making it a high-risk investment option. By analyzing a cryptocurrency's underlying factors, you can gain insights into its potential risks and rewards, which can help you make more informed investment decisions. With that in mind, let's dive into the key factors that affect a cryptocurrency's value.

How to Analyze Cryptocurrencies?

There are two popular ways (or types) to analyze a cryptocurrency before investing in it.

  1. Fundamental analysis
  2. Technical analysis 

Fundamental Analysis of Cryptocurrency

Fundamental analysis is the starting point of understanding the history of any crypto asset you want to invest in. 

It involves getting to the Adam and Eve of an asset, the team behind the project, the price history, the white paper, the tokenomics of the crypto asset - the whole deal.

The sole purpose of performing this analysis is to understand if the asset is overvalued or undervalued. Having said that, fundamental analysis needs the support of technical analysis to predict the crypto asset completely. 

The most important factors to consider when performing the fundamental analysis are:

1. Reviewing the white paper

Every crypto asset is backed by a white paper demonstrating the objectives and other technical details. While some details might seem quite difficult to understand for casual investors, it’s crucial to learn about the vision and mission of the project. 

The white paper should clearly explain the goals of the project, how they plan to achieve these goals using their technology, and how the cryptocurrency will function in the market. 

One red flag is a white paper full of generic promises with no proper detailing. 

2. Know the Team behind the project

To estimate the project's future performance, try to get the details of the professional experience that the team holds. 

For this, you can scroll through the LinkedIn profiles of the technical or leadership staff. You can also check the crypto asset's "About Us" page to get the details of who is heading the project. 

If you don't find the identity of the founders and the team anywhere on the website or the internet, consider it a red flag in most cases. 

3. Learn about the leadership

Find the executive team that handles the financials, operations, and vision. Learning about who is leading the project can help you understand the success probability of the crypto asset. 

So, here are a few questions to consider when researching a crypto company’s leadership:

  • Do they have a history of successful leadership positions?
  • Are they reputable/well-known leaders?
  • Is their crypto history good or bad?
  • Are they publicly identified or anonymous?

4. Get to know the community

Crypto is a community-driven space. Knowing whether the project is pure hype and speculation or is genuinely trusted by a community can help you decide the success of a crypto asset. 

Join the community's Discord or Telegram channel to understand it better. No discussion means no growth. 

5. Understand the vision and mission of the project

Crypto assets should have a clear vision and mission if they are genuinely intending to grow.

They should have a direction and a road map and be well-organized in everything they do.

6. Reviewing the roadmap

Similar to traditional companies, cryptocurrencies should have a well-defined roadmap with specific goals and timelines. It is crucial to assess the roadmap before investing in a cryptocurrency to ensure that the asset has a clear path to success. Understanding how the cryptocurrency plans to achieve its goals is essential in making informed investment decisions.

If the goals outlined in the roadmap are too generic and lack specificity, it can be a red flag. Additionally, if the timelines are not well mapped out or appear unrealistic, it could indicate poor planning or execution, which can impact the cryptocurrency's long-term success.

7. Learn about the tokenomics of the project

Tokenomics refers to the economic principles that govern the supply, distribution, and circulation of a cryptocurrency. These principles significantly impact the price and long-term viability of a crypto asset. Understanding the supply and demand dynamics is crucial for investors looking to make informed decisions.

Similar to the stock market, the crypto market's price is influenced by the intersection of demand and supply. When demand exceeds supply, the price of a cryptocurrency tends to increase, and vice versa. Therefore, it is essential to consider the following three data points when evaluating a cryptocurrency investment opportunity:

  1. Circulating supply: This is the amount of cryptocurrency currently in circulation and available in the market. It is a critical factor in determining the current market value of a cryptocurrency.
  2. Total supply: This is the maximum amount of cryptocurrency that will ever be available, including tokens that are not yet in circulation. It is important to consider the total supply when evaluating the potential long-term value of a cryptocurrency.
  3. Maximum supply: Many cryptocurrencies have a mechanism to mint new tokens, and the maximum supply represents the upper limit of the number of tokens that will ever be in existence. Understanding the maximum supply is crucial in assessing the potential dilution of a cryptocurrency's value over time.

In summary, evaluating a cryptocurrency's supply dynamics is an essential aspect of making informed investment decisions. Understanding the circulating, total, and maximum supply of a cryptocurrency can provide valuable insights into its potential value and long-term viability.

8. Review the price history

Cryptocurrencies are known for their high volatility, but there are various factors that impact their price. Understanding these factors, such as token supply and marketing efforts, is crucial in determining the dependability of a cryptocurrency's price. Additionally, reviewing a cryptocurrency's price history can provide valuable insights into its growth or decline over time.

Analyzing price fluctuations in a given time period can help you determine whether a cryptocurrency is thriving or dying. For instance, if a cryptocurrency experienced a significant price spike but failed to recover over subsequent months or years, it could be a warning sign for investors. Similarly, market capitalization and trading volume are crucial indicators of a cryptocurrency's potential. If a cryptocurrency's market cap continues to decline over time, or if there is little trading volume, it may not be a viable investment option.

Technical Analysis of Cryptocurrency

Technical analysis of a crypto asset involves analyzing historical price and volume data to identify patterns and trends that can provide insight into future price movements.

Here are 5 factors to consider in the technical analysis of a crypto asset:

  1. Price charts and patterns: Technical analysis typically involves using price charts to identify trends and patterns. Common patterns include support and resistance levels, trend lines, and chart formations such as triangles and head-and-shoulders patterns.
  2. Volume: Volume refers to the number of cryptocurrency shares or units traded during a given period. High trading volume can indicate a strong trend, while low trading volume may suggest that a market is consolidating or lacks momentum.
  3. Moving averages: Moving averages are widely used in technical analysis. They are used to smooth out price fluctuations and identify trends. Popular moving averages include the simple moving average (SMA) and the exponential moving average (EMA).
  4. Oscillators: Oscillators are indicators that oscillate between two extremes, such as overbought and oversold conditions. Common oscillators used in technical analysis include the relative strength index (RSI) and the stochastic oscillator.
  5. Market sentiment: Market sentiment refers to investors' overall mood or attitude towards a particular cryptocurrency. Sentiment can be measured using various methods, such as social media sentiment analysis or surveys of market participants. Considering market sentiment when analyzing a crypto asset is important because it can impact price movements. 

Technical analysis can provide valuable insights into a cryptocurrency's price movements, but it requires expertise in the field. The term "technical" refers to the complex algorithms and charts used to analyze market trends and predict future price movements.

Therefore, it may be too complicated for casual investors who do not have a strong understanding of the underlying principles. Here at Token Metrics, we automated Technical Analysis for thousands of cryptocurrencies with the help of AI and Machine Learning.

Just visit the page of a crypto you want to analyze, click on "Trader" from the left menu, and then click on the "Resistance and Support Levels" tab to start analyzing.

The Bottom Line

A cryptocurrency analysis involves examining and verifying a lot of information about a digital asset.

To get the deepest understanding of an asset, you can start with a fundamental analysis followed by a technical analysis.

We, at Token Metrics, work hard to make all of these tools available to you with a click of a button, automated and powered by AI to help you analyze thousands of cryptocurrencies fast.

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Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

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Research

Moonshot Tokens in 2025: High-Risk, High-Reward Plays in the Crypto Market

Token Metrics Team
6 min
MIN

Introduction

The crypto market has always been fertile ground for high-risk, high-reward opportunities. While blue-chip assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum dominate headlines, the real thrill — and sometimes the highest returns — often comes from what the industry calls “moonshots.”

These are small-cap tokens, often under $50 million in market cap, with explosive potential and equally high volatility. In 2025, moonshots remain a core part of speculative trading strategies. But what exactly are they? How do you find them? And most importantly, how can you manage the outsized risks they carry?

Let’s dive into the world of moonshots, drawing insights from recent market trends and real-world data.

What Are Moonshot Tokens?

Moonshot tokens are early-stage, low-cap cryptocurrencies that carry massive upside potential. They often represent experimental ideas or emerging narratives — think AI integration, meme culture, or social tokens — that haven’t yet been fully recognized by the broader market.

Because they trade at relatively low valuations, even small inflows of capital can cause outsized price swings. It’s not uncommon for a moonshot to deliver 10x or even 50x gains within a short time. But the flip side is brutal: these same tokens can plummet to zero just as quickly.

Key characteristics of moonshots:

  • Market cap: Typically under $50 million.
  • Narrative-driven: Often tied to strong trends like AI, gaming, or DeFi experiments.
  • Volatility: Sharp, frequent price swings.
  • Liquidity: Thin order books, making large trades difficult without impacting price.

Why Are Moonshots Gaining Traction in 2025?

The current market environment — with crypto market capitalization hovering around $4 trillion — has created room for risk-taking. Investors who missed early gains on Bitcoin or Ethereum are now searching for the next big thing, leading to renewed interest in small-cap tokens.

Emerging narratives also fuel the fire:

  • AI-Crypto Fusion: Projects like Sahara AI and Mobi AI are proving that the AI narrative isn’t slowing down.
  • Social Tokens & Web3 Platforms: Zora’s creator-focused token model demonstrates how social media and crypto can intersect.
  • Community-First DeFi: Protocols like Blackhole DEX show the power of grassroots tokenomics.

These narratives often spill over into the moonshot arena, as smaller projects attempt to replicate the success of these headline-grabbing platforms.

How to Identify Promising Moonshots

Identifying moonshots is part research, part intuition, and part risk tolerance. Here’s what to look for:

1. Strong Narrative Alignment

The most successful moonshots ride on current narratives. In this cycle, AI agents, decentralized social platforms, and community-owned DeFi projects are leading themes. Projects in these categories often experience rapid hype-driven adoption.

2. On-Chain Data

Tools like Dune Analytics and on-chain scanners can reveal whale accumulation, new liquidity pools, or spikes in active addresses — all early indicators of growing interest.

3. Tokenomics

Evaluate supply schedules:

  • How many tokens are in circulation?
  • Are there large unlocks coming soon?
  • Does the project have mechanisms like buybacks or burns to support price stability?

4. Developer & Investor Backing

While many moonshots are grassroots projects, strong teams or backing from reputable funds (e.g., Polychain, Binance Labs) can boost credibility.

Case Studies: Recent Moonshots to Watch

1. Vine (Meme Token):
A meme coin leveraging the Vine brand, this token has gained traction despite limited documentation. Its appeal lies largely in nostalgia and speculative hype.

2. Moby AI: What started as an AI-driven whale-tracking agent has evolved into Mobi Screener, a Dexscreener competitor with integrated social features. The token model ties platform usage to token value — a promising experiment in utility-driven moonshots.

3. Graphite Protocol:
Developers behind Bonk Fun (a leading meme token platform), Graphite has created a buyback and burn model linked to Bonk’s success, aligning token value directly with ecosystem growth.

4. CookieDAO:
Initially positioned as an AI agent platform, CookieDAO is now expanding into proof-of-belief systems, adding new utilities and campaign features for Web3 projects.

The Risk Side: Why Moonshots Can Go to Zero

Moonshots are inherently speculative. Common pitfalls include:

  • Team Abandonment or Rug Pulls: Some projects vanish overnight.
  • Unsustainable Hype: Many moonshots rely on short-term narratives that fade.
  • Low Liquidity: Thin markets make it difficult to enter or exit without significant slippage.

A recent example is SpaceMesh, once hyped as a “next Bitcoin.” Despite strong tech, internal disputes and poor execution led to a near-total collapse — a stark reminder that good code doesn’t always equal good investment.

Managing Risk: A Practical Approach

If you’re trading moonshots, risk management is everything.

1. Position Sizing:
Never allocate more than 1% of your portfolio to any single moonshot. Spreading capital across multiple small positions reduces the impact of one token collapsing.

2. Diversification:
Balance moonshots with higher-cap tokens to stabilize overall portfolio performance.

3. Predefined Exits:
Set clear take-profit and stop-loss levels before entering a trade. Emotional decisions often lead to losses.

4. Time Your Entries:
Consider entering after initial hype cools but before major announcements or roadmap milestones.

The Future of Moonshots: Are They Worth It?

While moonshots can be risky, they remain an integral part of crypto’s DNA. For many traders, they serve as lottery tickets in a market where early discovery can lead to life-changing gains.

In 2025, moonshots are evolving. They’re no longer just meme-driven gambles. Increasingly, they represent experimental innovation — blending DeFi models, AI integrations, and community governance in ways that push the boundaries of blockchain technology.

Conclusion

Moonshots are not for the faint-hearted. They require research, timing, and above all, discipline. In 2025, with themes like AI-driven platforms, decentralized social networks, and community-focused DeFi reshaping the market, the next breakout token could be hiding in plain sight.

Whether you’re a seasoned trader or a curious newcomer, understanding the dynamics of moonshots — and respecting their risks — is essential for navigating this volatile but potentially rewarding segment of crypto.

Research

DeFi and AI Tokens Dominate as Crypto Market Nears $4 Trillion

Token Metrics Team
6 min
MIN

The cryptocurrency market continues to show resilience, with total market capitalization maintaining a strong foothold near $4 trillion. While Bitcoin remains the cornerstone of this cycle, the spotlight is shifting toward altcoins — especially those at the forefront of decentralized finance (DeFi) and artificial intelligence (AI) integration.

In this blog, we’ll explore the top narratives shaping today’s market, focusing on DeFi protocols like Blackhole DEX and PancakeSwap, alongside emerging AI projects such as Sahara AI and Moby AI.

Why DeFi Is Surging Again

DeFi has staged an impressive comeback in 2025. After a period of stagnation, several protocols have redefined their models to prioritize community engagement and sustainable growth.

Black Hole DEX:
Launched on Avalanche, Blackhole DEX has quickly become the network’s largest decentralized exchange, overtaking Trader Joe. The platform uses a community-first approach: no team allocation, weekly token emissions to liquidity providers, and a bribe-based voting mechanism for rewards distribution.

Impact:
This design has created a powerful flywheel effect. As token prices rise, APYs increase, attracting more liquidity, which in turn boosts trading volume and revenue. Within days, Blackhole DEX grew its TVL from $7 million to $193 million — a staggering feat.

PancakeSwap: A Sleeping Giant?

PancakeSwap, the dominant DEX on Binance Smart Chain (BSC), has been quietly outperforming its competitors in trading volumes and fee generation. Recent data shows PancakeSwap generating more than 4x the daily fees of Uniswap, yet its fully diluted valuation remains significantly lower.

Growth Catalysts:

  • Integration with the Binance Wallet ecosystem.
  • Expansion into other ecosystems like Solana.
  • All-time-high trading volumes despite broader market corrections.

For investors seeking a large-cap DeFi protocol with strong fundamentals and potential upside, PancakeSwap’s metrics warrant attention.

AI Meets Crypto: The Next Frontier

Artificial intelligence continues to transform multiple industries, and crypto is no exception.

Sahara AI:
Sahara AI is building a full-stack AI infrastructure for decentralized applications. Backed by heavyweights like Binance and Polychain, its mission is to bridge Web3 and AI — a theme that’s likely to dominate innovation cycles in the coming years.

Moby AI:
Initially launched as an AI trading agent, Moby AI has expanded into building tools like Moby Screener, a competitor to Dexscreener. Its unique tokenomics link user engagement directly to the platform’s utility, making it an experiment worth watching.

The Broader Altcoin Landscape

Beyond DeFi and AI, other notable projects are also gaining ground:

  • Graphite Protocol: The developer behind LetsBonk.Fun, sharing revenue with its ecosystem tokens through buyback strategies.

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  • Zora: A social media-meets-crypto platform allowing creators to monetize their content directly on-chain.

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  • Project X: A cross-chain DEX on Hyperliquid, amassing $28 million in TVL within 24 hours of launch.

These projects underscore the diversity of innovation happening outside Bitcoin’s shadow.

Risk Management in a Volatile Market

The excitement around DeFi and AI tokens comes with elevated risk. Here are some best practices:

  • Allocate wisely: Keep high-risk allocations (like low-cap “moonshots”) small — no more than 1% per trade.
  • Monitor narratives: Rapid shifts in market sentiment can create both opportunities and pitfalls.
  • Stay updated: Protocol changes, tokenomics adjustments, and ecosystem partnerships can significantly impact valuations.

Conclusion

As the crypto market edges closer to $4 trillion, the narratives driving growth are evolving. DeFi is proving its staying power with innovative models like Black Hole DEX, while AI-focused projects like Sahara AI are pushing the boundaries of what blockchain can achieve.

For market participants, the challenge lies in identifying which of these trends have lasting potential — and positioning themselves accordingly.

Research

Altcoins on the Rise: How Bitcoin’s Stability Is Fueling the Next Market Wave

Token Metrics Team
6 min
MIN

As Bitcoin stabilizes near its recent highs, the crypto market is witnessing a familiar pattern — altcoins are beginning to surge. While Bitcoin often leads during the early phases of a bullish cycle, history shows that capital tends to flow into altcoins as confidence builds. In the past two weeks, this transition has become increasingly evident, with several promising projects capturing significant market attention.

Bitcoin’s Stabilization and What It Means

Since early July, Bitcoin has managed to hold above key resistance levels, cementing its role as the market’s anchor. At the time of writing, total crypto market capitalization hovers near $4 trillion — a level that hasn’t been seen since the previous cycle’s peaks. Historically, when Bitcoin consolidates above its former highs, capital begins rotating into altcoins. This shift often marks the start of a broader rally across the market.

Key takeaway: The current market appears to be in the early stages of this altcoin rotation.

Altcoins Leading the Charge

Several altcoins have emerged as strong contenders in recent weeks.

1. Zora: The Social Token Platform
Zora, an on-chain social platform that allows creators to tokenize posts and earn from their content, has seen exponential growth following its integration into the Base App (Coinbase’s rebranded wallet). Creator activity and transaction volumes have surged, driving up demand for the Zora token. With each creator post paired to the Zora token, this integration has created a direct link between platform usage and token utility.

Why it matters: The combination of Web3 social media and creator monetization is a powerful narrative, and Zora appears well-positioned to capitalize on this trend.

2. Spark: A MakerDAO-Connected Lending Platform
Spark, a DeFi lending protocol linked to Sky Protocol, has also been a standout performer. It recently experienced a sharp increase in liquidity and price action, fueled by its integration with CookieDAO’s campaign and ongoing airdrop programs.

Why it matters: With DeFi gaining renewed interest, protocols offering sustainable yields through established ecosystems like Sky Protocol (formerly MakerDAO) are likely to remain attractive to both retail and institutional participants.

3. Sahara AI: Building the AI-Crypto Intersection
Sahara AI has positioned itself at the intersection of AI and blockchain. Backed by Binance, Polychain, and Foresight Ventures, this project offers a full-stack AI solution tailored for decentralized applications. Its long-term vision of creating AI-enabled Web3 services is attracting both developers and investors.

Why it matters: AI and crypto remain two of the most dominant narratives in tech, and projects combining these sectors could drive the next wave of innovation.

4. PancakeSwap: Undervalued Giant?
Despite being one of the largest DEXs by trading volume and daily fee generation, PancakeSwap appears significantly undervalued compared to peers like Uniswap. The platform recently expanded its operations to other chains, including Solana, and benefits from strong integration with the Binance Wallet ecosystem.

Why it matters: Fundamentals suggest PancakeSwap has room for growth if the market re-rates its value relative to competitors.

Market Themes to Watch

Bitcoin vs. Altcoin Season:
Our analysis shows we are still in a Bitcoin-dominant phase. Historically, altcoins outperform when Bitcoin consolidates or cools off. This implies that the current rotation into altcoins could continue as capital flows down the risk curve.

DeFi Revival:
Protocols like Blackhole DEX on Avalanche — which has grown its TVL from $7 million to $193 million in less than 2 weeks — highlight a renewed interest in decentralized finance. Unlike VC-backed models, Blackhole’s community-first tokenomics have resonated with users seeking fairer distribution.

Social Tokens & AI Integration:
Platforms like Zora and Sahara AI are tapping into major growth narratives: decentralized social media and artificial intelligence. Both sectors are likely to see continued experimentation and adoption.

Managing Risk in Altcoin Investing

While the upside potential in altcoins is high, so is the volatility. For high-risk trades, such as “moonshots” (low-cap tokens under $50 million market cap), we recommend:

  • Position sizing: Limit exposure to 1% per trade.
  • Diversification: Spread investments across multiple projects to reduce single-token risk.
  • Exit planning: Pre-define take-profit and stop-loss levels.

Conclusion

The crypto market is entering an exciting phase. Bitcoin’s consolidation above key levels suggests a healthy backdrop for risk assets, and altcoins are beginning to benefit. From creator monetization platforms like Zora to cross-chain DeFi protocols like Spark and Black Hole, this new wave of projects represents the diversity and innovation driving the next cycle.

As always, measured participation and disciplined risk management remain essential.

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