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How Do DAOs Function and Make Decisions? The Complete Guide to Decentralized Governance in 2025

Discover how DAOs operate and make decisions in this comprehensive overview. Learn the benefits and challenges, and understand their impact. Read more!
Talha Ahmad
5 min
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Decentralized Autonomous Organizations, commonly known as DAOs, have rapidly become a cornerstone of the blockchain ecosystem, redefining how organizations function and make decisions. Unlike traditional organizations with centralized leadership, DAOs operate on principles of decentralized governance. DAOs rely on a decentralized network of nodes to validate and secure transactions, ensuring transparency and resilience. They leverage blockchain technology to enable transparent, collective decision-making. DAOs follow a blockchain protocol, which sets the rules for how transactions are verified and added to the ledger. As of 2025, with thousands of DAOs managing billions in treasury funds, understanding how do DAOs function and make decisions is essential for anyone involved in decentralized networks or blockchain projects, as DAOs leverage distributed ledger technology to maintain an immutable and transparent record of all activities.

Understanding DAOs: Beyond Traditional Organizations

A decentralized autonomous organization DAO is fundamentally different from conventional organizations. Unlike traditional organizations that depend on centralized control and hierarchical leadership, DAOs are managed collectively by their community members. These organization members participate directly in the governance and decision-making processes of the DAO. These self-executing smart contracts automate governance processes, removing the need for a central authority and enabling decisions to be made transparently and efficiently.

At the heart of every DAO is blockchain technology, which provides a distributed ledger that records all transactions and governance activities immutably. This ensures network security and transparency, as all actions are verifiable and cannot be altered without consensus. DAO members hold governance tokens or dao tokens, which represent their voting power and grant them voting rights in governance proposals. These tokens are often utility tokens or non-fungible tokens that enable users to participate actively in the DAO ecosystem.

The organizational structure of a DAO is designed to be decentralized. The governance structure of a DAO outlines how proposals are submitted, discussed, and voted on, ensuring inclusivity and transparency for all organization members. A DAO operates through mechanisms such as on-chain and off-chain voting, where token-based voting power determines the influence of each participant, and various stakeholders are involved in the decision-making process. This decentralized nature fosters community building and aligns incentives among participants, creating a more democratic and resilient governance model compared to centralized leadership in traditional organizations.

The History and Evolution of DAOs

Decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) have experienced remarkable growth and transformation since their inception. The idea behind DAOs emerged from the desire to create organizations that operate without centralized leadership, relying instead on decentralized governance and transparent decision-making. Early blockchain pioneers envisioned DAOs as a way to automate organizational processes and empower communities through self-executing smart contracts.

Over the years, DAOs have evolved to incorporate advanced features such as decentralized finance (DeFi) integrations, sophisticated voting systems, and innovative governance models. These developments have enabled DAOs to manage everything from digital assets to complex financial protocols, all while maintaining transparency and security through blockchain technology. As decentralized autonomous organizations DAOs continue to mature, they are redefining how decision making occurs in both digital and real-world environments.

Early Beginnings and Milestones

The journey of DAOs began with the launch of “The DAO” in 2016 on the Ethereum blockchain. As the first large-scale experiment in decentralized governance, The DAO aimed to democratize investment decisions using a smart contract-based structure and token-weighted voting systems. Despite its ambitious vision, The DAO suffered a major setback due to a smart contract vulnerability, resulting in a high-profile hack and subsequent hard fork of the Ethereum network.

This early failure, however, served as a catalyst for innovation. Developers and DAO proponents learned valuable lessons, leading to the creation of more secure and resilient governance models. The introduction of new voting systems, such as quadratic voting and conviction voting, as well as improvements in smart contract design, marked significant milestones in the evolution of DAOs. Today, DAOs leverage a variety of governance models to suit different organizational needs, ensuring greater security, flexibility, and community engagement.

The Anatomy of DAO Decision-Making

The Governance Triangle

DAO governance revolves around three key components often referred to as the governance triangle:

  1. Proposers: These are community members who submit governance proposals. Proposers typically need to meet certain requirements, such as holding a minimum number of governance tokens, to prevent spam and ensure serious participation.
  2. Voters: Token holders who engage in the voting process. Their voting power is proportional to the amount and type of dao tokens they possess, which reflects their stake and influence within the organization.
  3. Executors: Once a proposal passes, executors—either automated smart contracts or designated parties—implement the approved decisions. In fully autonomous DAOs, smart contracts automatically execute governance outcomes without human intervention.

The Decision-Making Process

The process of how do DAOs function and make decisions follows a clear, transparent workflow:

  • Proposal Submission: Any qualified DAO member can submit a governance proposal. This document outlines the intended change, resource allocation, or strategic initiative, complete with rationale and implementation details.
  • Discussion Phase: The proposal undergoes community discussion on platforms like Discord or specialized forums. This stage encourages active participation, refinement, and debate to ensure well-informed decision-making.
  • Voting Period: During a defined voting period, token holders cast their votes using the DAO’s established voting mechanisms. The voting period’s length and rules depend on the specific governance model adopted.
  • Execution: If the proposal achieves the required quorum and majority, self-executing smart contracts or designated executors carry out the decision, such as allocating treasury funds or updating protocol parameters. Effective DAO management requires transparent implementation of approved proposals and ongoing oversight to ensure alignment with organizational goals.

This structured governance process ensures that decisions are managed collectively and transparently, reflecting the will of the community rather than centralized control.

Key Components of DAOs

At the core of every decentralized autonomous organization are several key components that enable effective decentralized governance. Smart contracts form the backbone of DAOs, automating essential processes such as proposal submission, voting, and execution. These self-executing agreements ensure that rules are enforced transparently and without human intervention.

Voting systems are another critical element, allowing DAO members to participate in decision making by casting votes on governance proposals. Whether through token-weighted, quadratic, or conviction voting, these systems ensure that the collective will of the community is reflected in organizational outcomes.

Blockchain technology underpins the entire DAO structure, providing a secure, immutable ledger for all transactions and governance activities. This transparency not only enhances trust among members but also ensures that every action is verifiable and tamper-proof. Together, these key components create a robust framework for decentralized organizations to operate efficiently and securely.

Voting Mechanisms: The Heart of DAO Governance

Voting mechanisms are critical to how DAOs function and make decisions, as they determine how voting power is allocated and how proposals are approved.

Token-Weighted Voting

The most common governance model is token-weighted voting, where each governance token corresponds to one vote. A DAO's token is often issued to represent voting rights and facilitate governance within the organization. DAOs use their tokens to enable voting, governance, and automatic transactions, ensuring that decisions are made transparently and efficiently. This model aligns voting power with financial stake, encouraging long-term investment and commitment to the DAO’s success. Protocols like Uniswap DAO, Aave, and ENS DAO utilize token-weighted voting to manage protocol upgrades and strategic decisions.

While straightforward and effective, token-weighted voting can lead to whale dominance, where large token holders disproportionately influence outcomes, potentially compromising decentralization.

Quadratic Voting

To address the limitations of token-weighted voting, quadratic voting introduces a system where the cost of additional votes increases quadratically. For example, casting two votes costs four tokens, and three votes cost nine tokens. This mechanism reduces the influence of whales by diminishing returns on voting power and encourages broader participation.

Quadratic voting allows DAO participants to express the intensity of their preferences without enabling any single entity to dominate decision making. It promotes fairness and inclusion, making it a popular choice in DAOs seeking to balance power distribution.

Conviction Voting

Conviction voting is an innovative governance mechanism where voting power accumulates over time as members maintain their support for a proposal. Instead of discrete voting periods, this continuous process allows proposals to gain momentum gradually, reflecting sustained community interest.

This model reduces the urgency of decision-making, accommodates changing preferences, and encourages active participation over time, making it suitable for dynamic DAO ecosystems.

Multi-Signature Governance

In some cases, DAOs adopt multi-signature (multi-sig) governance, where a predefined number of representatives must approve actions before execution. This approach enhances security, especially for managing treasury funds or critical infrastructure, by distributing control among trusted community members.

SafeDAO is an example of a DAO that uses multi-sig governance to coordinate decisions securely while maintaining transparency.

Token Metrics: Essential Analytics for DAO Governance Success

As the DAO ecosystem grows, tools like Token Metrics have become indispensable for participants seeking to navigate governance complexities effectively. Token Metrics offers comprehensive analytics on governance tokens, voting patterns, and treasury management across thousands of decentralized organizations. In addition, Token Metrics analyzes blockchain data to provide insights into voting patterns and proposal outcomes, helping to ensure transparency and integrity within decentralized networks.

By analyzing token distribution, participation rates, and governance proposal outcomes, Token Metrics helps DAO members and investors assess the health and sustainability of various governance models. This intelligence is crucial for avoiding DAOs with excessive centralization or low community engagement.

Token Metrics also provides investment insights through dual scoring systems that evaluate governance tokens for both short-term trading and long-term participation. These analytics platforms play a crucial role in enabling users to participate more effectively in DAO governance. This enables users to optimize their portfolios and make informed decisions about where to allocate their voting power and resources.

Advanced Governance Models in 2025

Hybrid Governance Systems

In 2025, many DAOs employ hybrid governance models that integrate multiple voting mechanisms to suit different decision types. For example, Decentraland DAO combines token-weighted voting with reputation-based systems to balance fairness and flexibility.

SubDAOs, or specialized sub-organizations within a DAO, are increasingly common. Arbitrum DAO pioneered multi-layered governance structures, delegating specific tasks like grants or infrastructure maintenance to subDAOs, streamlining decision-making and enhancing efficiency.

Reputation-Based Systems

Some decentralized organizations incorporate reputation alongside token holdings to determine voting power. Reputation reflects a member’s past contributions, expertise, and engagement, rewarding active participants while reducing the influence of passive token holders.

Delegated Voting

To combat voter apathy and increase participation, many DAOs implement delegated voting, allowing token holders to entrust their voting rights to knowledgeable representatives. This system resembles representative democracy and ensures informed decision-making without sacrificing broad community representation.

Compound and MakerDAO are notable examples that use delegation to enhance governance effectiveness.

Moloch DAO and Other DAO Models

Moloch DAO stands out as a pioneering decentralized autonomous organization that has influenced the broader DAO landscape. Operating on the Ethereum blockchain, Moloch DAO introduced a streamlined governance model focused on funding Ethereum infrastructure projects. Its unique approach, which emphasizes simplicity and security, has inspired the creation of numerous similar DAOs.

Other notable DAO models include Decentraland DAO, which governs a virtual real estate platform, and Compound DAO, a leader in the decentralized finance sector. Each of these DAOs utilizes distinct governance structures tailored to their specific missions, demonstrating the versatility and adaptability of the decentralized autonomous organization model. As the ecosystem expands, new DAO models continue to emerge, each contributing innovative solutions to the challenges of decentralized governance.

Digital Assets and DAOs

Digital assets play a central role in the operation and governance of DAOs. Governance tokens and non-fungible tokens (NFTs) are commonly used to represent voting power and facilitate participation in decision-making processes. These assets enable DAO members to propose and vote on governance proposals, allocate resources, and shape the direction of the organization.

The integration of digital assets has expanded the capabilities of DAOs, allowing them to engage in activities such as investing, lending, and managing digital portfolios within the DAO ecosystem. Unlike traditional organizations, DAOs leverage blockchain technology and smart contracts to automate processes, resolve conflicts, and provide a secure, transparent environment for their members.

As regulatory bodies continue to assess the legal status of DAOs, it is increasingly important for DAO proponents to prioritize transparency, network security, and compliance with evolving legal frameworks. DAO members are at the heart of the governance process, using governance tokens to represent voting power and participate in the voting process. The outcome of these votes determines the strategic direction and operational decisions of the DAO.

Looking ahead, the future of DAOs is filled with potential for innovation across various sectors, from finance to healthcare and beyond. As blockchain technology matures and new governance models are developed, DAOs are poised to offer even more efficient, secure, and transparent alternatives to centralized leadership and traditional organizational structures. The continued success of DAOs will depend on their ability to foster active participation, adapt to regulatory changes, and maintain robust governance processes that empower their communities.

Challenges and Solutions in DAO Governance

The Whale Problem

Despite the decentralized organization model, large token holders—whales—can still exert disproportionate influence on governance outcomes. This concentration of voting power risks undermining the democratic ideals of DAOs.

Solutions include quadratic voting to limit whale dominance, vote delegation to concentrate expertise, multi-tiered governance to separate decision types, and time-locked voting to prevent last-minute vote manipulation.

Participation Inequality

Low voter turnout remains a challenge in many DAOs, where a small percentage of active voters control the majority of decisions. Encouraging active participation is essential for healthy governance.

Strategies to boost engagement include offering incentives, simplifying voting interfaces, employing conviction voting for continuous involvement, and using off-chain signaling to reduce transaction fees and barriers.

Information Overload

DAOs often face an overwhelming number of proposals, making it difficult for members to stay informed and vote effectively.

To address this, DAOs utilize proposal summaries, expert delegate systems, staged voting processes, and AI-powered tools that analyze and recommend proposals, helping members focus on key decisions.

Real-World DAO Success Stories

DeFi Governance Excellence

Uniswap DAO exemplifies successful decentralized governance by managing protocol upgrades, fee distributions, and partnerships through community voting, impacting billions in trading volume.

MakerDAO governs the DAI stablecoin system, making critical decisions about collateral and risk parameters, demonstrating resilience through volatile market cycles.

Community and Investment DAOs

ENS DAO manages the Ethereum Name Service with token-weighted voting, ensuring effective governance for vital Web3 infrastructure.

Investment DAOs like MetaCartel Ventures operate as decentralized venture funds, with members collectively voting on funding and portfolio management, showcasing the power of decentralized finance.

The Future of DAO Governance

Emerging Trends for 2025 and Beyond

The future of DAOs includes cross-chain governance, enabling decision-making across multiple blockchain networks and expanding operational scope. AI-assisted decision making will support voters by processing proposals and predicting outcomes.

As regulatory frameworks evolve, DAOs are integrating legal compliance into their governance structures while preserving decentralization. Scalability solutions like layer-2 protocols and off-chain voting are making participation more accessible and cost-effective.

Performance Metrics and Success Factors

Research confirms that DAOs with higher active participation outperform others. The system aims to foster communities focused on governance quality rather than purely financial returns. Transparency, inclusivity, and responsiveness remain key to sustainable DAO governance.

Technical Implementation: Smart Contract Architecture

Modern DAOs rely on sophisticated smart contract architectures, such as OpenZeppelin’s Governor framework, which provide modular, customizable governance functionalities. These smart contracts automate the entire governance process, including proposal creation, voting, execution, and treasury management, ensuring that DAO operations are secure, transparent, and efficient. Optimizing transaction speed is essential for efficient DAO operations, especially during periods of high network activity. Smart contracts and blockchain nodes work together to verify transactions, ensuring the integrity and security of the DAO's activities.

Best Practices for DAO Participants

For Token Holders

To maximize the benefits of DAO governance, token holders should stay informed by regularly reviewing proposals and engaging in community discussions. Delegating votes wisely to trusted representatives enhances governance quality. Adopting a long-term perspective and actively participating beyond voting—such as contributing to proposal development—strengthens the DAO ecosystem.

For DAO Creators

Creators should establish clear governance structures with defined roles and responsibilities. Balanced token distribution prevents excessive concentration of voting power. Employing multiple voting mechanisms tailored to different decision types enhances flexibility. Prioritizing community building fosters active participation and sustainable governance.

Conclusion: The Evolution of Collective Decision-Making

DAOs signify a profound shift from centralized control to collective governance, enabled by blockchain-based systems and smart contracts. While challenges such as whale dominance and participation inequality persist, the innovations emerging in 2025 demonstrate the potential for more inclusive, transparent, and effective governance models.

The DAO ecosystem continues to mature, integrating advanced governance structures, AI tools, and legal frameworks to meet the demands of a decentralized future. For participants in this evolving landscape, understanding how do DAOs function and make decisions—and leveraging analytical platforms like Token Metrics—is essential for meaningful involvement and success.

Ultimately, DAOs are reshaping organizational governance, not by achieving perfect decentralization, but by creating systems that empower communities, automate processes, and respond dynamically to member needs. As blockchain adoption expands across industries, the influence of DAOs will only grow, heralding a new era of decentralized decision-making.

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Research

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) 2028 Price Targets: Token Metrics Scenarios

Token Metrics Team
7 min read

Market Context for Bitcoin Cash: The Case for 2028

The Layer 1 landscape is consolidating as users and developers gravitate to chains with clear specialization. Bitcoin Cash positions itself as a payment-focused chain with low fees and quick settlement for everyday usage.

The scenario projections below map potential outcomes for BCH across different total crypto market sizes. Base cases assume steady usage and listings, while moon scenarios factor in stronger liquidity and accelerated adoption.

  

Disclosure

Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.

How to read it: Each band blends cycle analogues and market-cap share math with TA guardrails. Base assumes steady adoption and neutral or positive macro. Moon layers in a liquidity boom. Bear assumes muted flows and tighter liquidity.

TM Agent baseline:

Token Metrics lead metric for Bitcoin Cash, cashtag $BCH, is a TM Grade of 54.81%, which translates to Neutral, and the trading signal is bearish, indicating short-term downward momentum. This implies Token Metrics views $BCH as mixed value long term: fundamentals look strong, while valuation and technology scores are weak, so upside depends on improvements in adoption or technical development. Market context: Bitcoin has been setting market direction, and with broader risk-off moves altcoins face pressure, which increases downside risk for $BCH in the near term.

Live details:

Bitcoin Cash Token Details 

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Key Takeaways

  • Scenario driven, outcomes hinge on total crypto market cap, higher liquidity and adoption lift the bands.
  • Fundamentals: Fundamental Grade 80.41% (Community 62%, Tokenomics 100%, Exchange 100%, VC —, DeFi Scanner 72%).
  • Technology: Technology Grade 29.63% (Activity 22%, Repository 70%, Collaboration 48%, Security —, DeFi Scanner 72%).
  • TM Agent gist: Neutral grade, bearish momentum, adoption must improve.
  • Education only, not financial advice.

Scenario Analysis

Token Metrics scenarios span four market cap tiers, each representing different levels of crypto market maturity and liquidity:

  • 8T: At an 8t total crypto market cap, BCH projects to $910.79 in bear conditions, $1,025.20 in the base case, and $1,139.62 in bullish scenarios.  
  • 16T: Doubling the market to 16 trillion expands the range to $1,606.59 (bear), $1,949.83 (base), and $2,293.07 (moon).  
  • 23T: At 23 trillion, the scenarios show $2,302.38, $2,874.46, and $3,446.53 respectively.  
  • 31T: In the maximum liquidity scenario of 31 trillion, BCH could reach $2,998.18 (bear), $3,799.08 (base), or $4,599.99 (moon).  

Each tier assumes progressively stronger market conditions, with the base case reflecting steady growth and the moon case requiring sustained bull market dynamics.

Why Consider the Indices with Top-100 Exposure

Bitcoin Cash represents one opportunity among hundreds in crypto markets. Token Metrics Indices bundle BCH with top one hundred assets for systematic exposure to the strongest projects. Single tokens face idiosyncratic risks that diversified baskets mitigate.

Historical index performance demonstrates the value of systematic diversification versus concentrated positions.

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What Is Bitcoin Cash?

Bitcoin Cash is a peer-to-peer electronic cash network focused on fast confirmation and low fees. It launched in 2017 as a hard fork of Bitcoin with larger block capacity to prioritize payments. The chain secures value transfers using proof of work and aims to keep everyday transactions affordable.

BCH is used to pay transaction fees and settle transfers, and it is widely listed across major exchanges. Adoption centers on payments, micropayments, and remittances where low fees matter. It competes as a payment‑focused Layer 1 within the broader crypto market.

Token Metrics AI Analysis

Token Metrics AI provides comprehensive context on Bitcoin Cash's positioning and challenges.

Vision:

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is a cryptocurrency that emerged from a 2017 hard fork of Bitcoin, aiming to function as a peer-to-peer electronic cash system with faster transactions and lower fees. It is known for prioritizing on-chain scalability by increasing block sizes, allowing more transactions per block compared to Bitcoin. This design choice supports its use in everyday payments, appealing to users seeking a digital cash alternative. Adoption has been driven by its utility in micropayments and remittances, particularly in regions with limited banking infrastructure. However, Bitcoin Cash faces challenges including lower network security due to reduced mining hash rate compared to Bitcoin, and ongoing competition from both Bitcoin and other scalable blockchains. Its value proposition centers on accessibility and transaction efficiency, but it operates in a crowded space with evolving technological and regulatory risks.

Problem:

The project addresses scalability limitations in Bitcoin, where rising transaction fees and slow confirmation times hinder its use for small, frequent payments. As Bitcoin evolved into a store of value, a gap emerged for a blockchain-based currency optimized for fast, low-cost transactions accessible to the general public.

Solution:

Bitcoin Cash increases block size limits from 1 MB to 32 MB, enabling more transactions per block and reducing congestion. This on-chain scaling approach allows for faster confirmations and lower fees, making microtransactions feasible. The network supports basic smart contract functionality and replay protection, maintaining compatibility with Bitcoin's core architecture while prioritizing payment utility.

Market Analysis:

Bitcoin Cash operates in the digital currency segment, competing with Bitcoin, Litecoin, and stablecoins for use in payments and remittances. While not the market leader, it occupies a niche focused on on-chain scalability for transactional use. Its adoption is influenced by merchant acceptance, exchange liquidity, and narratives around digital cash. Key risks include competition from layer-2 solutions on other blockchains, regulatory scrutiny of cryptocurrencies, and lower developer and miner activity compared to larger networks. Price movements are often tied to broader crypto market trends and internal protocol developments. Despite its established presence, long-term growth depends on sustained utility, network security, and differentiation in a market increasingly dominated by high-throughput smart contract platforms.

Fundamental and Technology Snapshot from Token Metrics

Fundamental Grade: 80.41% (Community 62%, Tokenomics 100%, Exchange 100%, VC —, DeFi Scanner 72%).  

Technology Grade: 29.63% (Activity 22%, Repository 70%, Collaboration 48%, Security —, DeFi Scanner 72%).  

Catalysts That Skew Bullish

  • Institutional and retail access expands with ETFs, listings, and integrations.
  • Macro tailwinds from lower real rates and improving liquidity.
  • Product or roadmap milestones such as upgrades, scaling, or partnerships.

Risks That Skew Bearish

  • Macro risk-off from tightening or liquidity shocks.
  • Regulatory actions or infrastructure outages.
  • Concentration or validator economics and competitive displacement.

FAQs

Can BCH reach $3,000?

Based on the scenarios, BCH could reach $3,000 in the 23T moon case and 31T base case. The 23T tier projects $3,446.53 in the moon case. Not financial advice.

Can BCH 10x from current levels?

At current price of $553.54, a 10x would reach $5,535.40. This falls within the 31T base and moon cases. Bear in mind that 10x returns require substantial market cap expansion. Not financial advice.

Should I buy BCH now or wait?

Timing depends on your risk tolerance and macro outlook. Current price of $553.54 sits below the 8T bear case in our scenarios. Dollar-cost averaging may reduce timing risk. Not financial advice.  

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Disclosure

Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.

Research

Chainlink (LINK) 2027 Price Targets: Token Metrics Scenarios

Token Metrics Team
8 min read

Understanding LINK's 2027 Potential

Infrastructure protocols become more valuable as the crypto ecosystem scales and relies on robust middleware. Chainlink provides critical oracle infrastructure where proven utility and deep integrations drive long-term value over retail speculation. Increasing institutional adoption raises demand for professional-grade data delivery and security.

Token Metrics projections for LINK below span multiple total market cap scenarios from conservative to aggressive. Each tier assumes different levels of infrastructure demand as crypto evolves from speculative markets to institutional-grade systems. These bands frame LINK's potential outcomes into 2027.

  

Disclosure

Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.

How to read it: Each band blends cycle analogues and market-cap share math with TA guardrails. Base assumes steady adoption and neutral or positive macro. Moon layers in a liquidity boom. Bear assumes muted flows and tighter liquidity.

TM Agent baseline: Token Metrics lead metric for Chainlink, cashtag $LINK, is a TM Grade of 23.31%, which translates to a Sell, and the trading signal is bearish, indicating short-term downward momentum. This means Token Metrics currently does not endorse $LINK as a long-term buy at current conditions.

Live details: Chainlink Token Details

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Key Takeaways

  • Scenario driven, outcomes hinge on total crypto market cap, higher liquidity and adoption lift the bands.
  • Fundamentals: Fundamental Grade 74.58% (Community 81%, Tokenomics 100%, Exchange 100%, VC —, DeFi Scanner 17%).
  • Technology: Technology Grade 88.50% (Activity 81%, Repository 72%, Collaboration 100%, Security 86%, DeFi Scanner 17%).
  • TM Agent gist: bearish signal with limited upside unless fundamentals or market regime change.
  • Education only, not financial advice.

Scenario Analysis

Token Metrics scenarios span four market cap tiers, each representing different levels of crypto market maturity and liquidity:

8T: At an 8 trillion dollar total crypto market cap, LINK projects to $26.10 in bear conditions, $30.65 in the base case, and $35.20 in bullish scenarios.  

16T: Doubling the market to 16 trillion expands the range to $42.64 (bear), $56.29 (base), and $69.95 (moon).  

23T: At 23 trillion, the scenarios show $59.18, $81.94, and $104.70 respectively.  

31T: In the maximum liquidity scenario of 31 trillion, LINK could reach $75.71 (bear), $107.58 (base), or $139.44 (moon).  

Why Consider the Indices with Top-100 Exposure

Chainlink represents one opportunity among hundreds in crypto markets. Token Metrics Indices bundle LINK with top one hundred assets for systematic exposure to the strongest projects. Single tokens face idiosyncratic risks that diversified baskets mitigate.

Historical index performance demonstrates the value of systematic diversification versus concentrated positions.

Join the early access list

What Is Chainlink?

Chainlink is a decentralized oracle network that connects smart contracts to real-world data and systems. It enables secure retrieval and verification of off-chain information, supports computation, and integrates across multiple blockchains. As adoption grows, Chainlink serves as critical infrastructure for reliable data feeds and automation.

The LINK token is used to pay node operators and secure the network’s services. Common use cases include DeFi price feeds, insurance, and enterprise integrations, with CCIP extending cross-chain messaging and token transfers.

Token Metrics AI Analysis

Vision: Chainlink aims to create a decentralized, secure, and reliable network for connecting smart contracts with real-world data and systems. Its vision is to become the standard for how blockchains interact with external environments, enabling trust-minimized automation across industries.

Problem: Smart contracts cannot natively access data outside their blockchain, limiting their functionality. Relying on centralized oracles introduces single points of failure and undermines the security and decentralization of blockchain applications. This creates a critical need for a trustless, tamper-proof way to bring real-world information onto blockchains.

Solution: Chainlink solves this by operating a decentralized network of node operators that fetch, aggregate, and deliver data from off-chain sources to smart contracts. It uses cryptographic proofs, reputation systems, and economic incentives to ensure data integrity. The network supports various data types and computation tasks, allowing developers to build complex, data-driven decentralized applications.

Market Analysis: Chainlink is a market leader in the oracle space and a key infrastructure component in the broader blockchain ecosystem, particularly within Ethereum and other smart contract platforms. It faces competition from emerging oracle networks like Band Protocol and API3, but maintains a strong first-mover advantage and widespread integration across DeFi, NFTs, and enterprise blockchain solutions. Adoption is driven by developer activity, partnerships with major blockchain projects, and demand for secure data feeds. Key risks include technological shifts, regulatory scrutiny on data providers, and execution challenges in scaling decentralized oracle networks. As smart contract usage grows, so does the potential for oracle services, positioning Chainlink at the center of a critical niche, though its success depends on maintaining security and decentralization over time.

Fundamental and Technology Snapshot from Token Metrics

Fundamental Grade: 74.58% (Community 81%, Tokenomics 100%, Exchange 100%, VC —, DeFi Scanner 17%).  

Technology Grade: 88.50% (Activity 81%, Repository 72%, Collaboration 100%, Security 86%, DeFi Scanner 17%).  

Catalysts That Skew Bullish

  • Institutional and retail access expands with ETFs, listings, and integrations.
  • Macro tailwinds from lower real rates and improving liquidity.
  • Product or roadmap milestones such as upgrades, scaling, or partnerships.

Risks That Skew Bearish

  • Macro risk-off from tightening or liquidity shocks.
  • Regulatory actions or infrastructure outages.
  • Concentration or validator economics and competitive displacement.

FAQs

Can LINK reach $100?

Yes. Based on the scenarios, LINK could reach $100+ in the 23T moon case. The 23T tier projects $104.70 in the moon case. Not financial advice.

What price could LINK reach in the moon case?

Moon case projections range from $35.20 at 8T to $139.44 at 31T. These scenarios assume maximum liquidity expansion and strong Chainlink adoption. Not financial advice.  

Should I buy LINK now or wait?

Timing depends on risk tolerance and macro outlook. Current price of $18.09 sits below the 8T bear case in the scenarios. Dollar-cost averaging may reduce timing risk. Not financial advice.

Next Steps

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Disclosure

Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.

Why Token Metrics Ratings Matter

Discover the full potential of your crypto research and portfolio management with Token Metrics. Our ratings combine AI-driven analytics, on-chain data, and decades of investing expertise—giving you the edge to navigate fast-changing markets. Try our platform to access scenario-based price targets, token grades, indices, and more for institutional and individual investors. Token Metrics is your research partner through every crypto market cycle.

Research

Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price Prediction to 2028: Scenario Ranges, Scores and Key Drivers

Token Metrics Team
7 min read

Why 2026 Looks Bullish, And What It Could Mean for HYPE

The crypto market is tilting bullish into 2026 as liquidity, infrastructure, and participation improve across the board. Clearer rules and standards are reshaping the classic four-year cycle, flows can arrive earlier, and strength can persist longer than in prior expansions.

Institutional access is widening through ETFs and custody, while L2 scaling and real-world integrations help sustain on‑chain activity. This healthier backdrop frames our scenario work for HYPE. The ranges below reflect different total crypto market sizes and the share Hyperliquid could capture under each regime.

  

Disclosure

Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.

How to read it: Each band blends cycle analogues and market-cap share math with TA guardrails. Base assumes steady adoption and neutral or positive macro. Moon layers in a liquidity boom. Bear assumes muted flows and tighter liquidity.

TM Agent baseline: Token Metrics TM Grade is 73.9%, a Buy, and the trading signal is bearish, indicating short-term downward momentum. This means Token Metrics judges HYPE as fundamentally attractive over the long term, while near-term momentum is negative and may limit rallies.

Live details: Hyperliquid Token Details

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Key Takeaways

  • Scenario driven, outcomes hinge on total crypto market cap. Higher liquidity and adoption lift the bands.
  • Fundamentals: Fundamental Grade 76.73% (Community 68%, Tokenomics 60%, Exchange 100%, VC —, DeFi Scanner 92%).
  • Technology: Technology Grade N/A (Activity —, Repository —, Collaboration —, Security —, DeFi Scanner 92%).
  • TM Agent gist: Long-term attractive on fundamentals, near-term momentum is negative and may limit rallies.

Scenario Analysis

Token Metrics scenarios span four market cap tiers, each representing different levels of crypto market maturity and liquidity:

8T: At an 8 trillion dollar total crypto market cap, HYPE projects to $48.81 in bear conditions, $49.92 in the base case, and $51.03 in bullish scenarios.  


16T: Doubling the market to 16 trillion expands the range to $50.72 (bear), $54.05 (base), and $57.38 (moon).  

23T: At 23 trillion, the scenarios show $52.62, $58.17, and $63.72 respectively.  

31T: In the maximum liquidity scenario of 31 trillion, HYPE could reach $54.52 (bear), $62.29 (base), or $70.07 (moon).

Each tier assumes progressively stronger market conditions, with the base case reflecting steady growth and the moon case requiring sustained bull market dynamics.

Why Consider the Indices with Top-100 Exposure

Diversification matters. HYPE is compelling, yet concentrated bets can be volatile. Token Metrics Indices hold HYPE alongside the top one hundred tokens for broad exposure to leaders and emerging winners.

Our backtests indicate that owning the full market with diversified indices has historically outperformed both the total market and Bitcoin in many regimes due to diversification and rotation.

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What Is Hyperliquid?

Hyperliquid is a decentralized exchange focused on perpetual futures with a high-performance order book architecture. The project emphasizes low-latency trading, risk controls, and capital efficiency aimed at professional and retail derivatives traders. Its token, HYPE, is used for ecosystem incentives and governance-related utilities.

Catalysts That Skew Bullish

  • Institutional and retail access expands with ETFs, listings, and integrations.
  • Macro tailwinds from lower real rates and improving liquidity.
  • Product or roadmap milestones such as upgrades, scaling, or partnerships.

Risks That Skew Bearish

  • Macro risk-off from tightening or liquidity shocks.
  • Regulatory actions or infrastructure outages.
  • Concentration or validator economics and competitive displacement.

FAQs

Can HYPE reach $60?

Yes, the 23T and 31T tiers imply ranges above $60 in the Base and Moon bands, though outcomes depend on liquidity and adoption. Not financial advice.

Is HYPE a good long-term investment?

Outcome depends on adoption, liquidity regime, competition, and supply dynamics. Diversify and size positions responsibly.  

Next Steps

Disclosure

Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.

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