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How Do You Write a Smart Contract? A Complete Guide for 2025

Smart contracts have revolutionized blockchain technology, enabling trustless, automated agreements that execute without intermediaries. As the foundation of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFT marketplaces, and countless blockchain applications, understanding how to write smart contracts has become an essential skill for developers and businesses alike.
Talha Ahmad
5 min
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Smart contracts have revolutionized blockchain technology, enabling trustless, automated agreements that execute without intermediaries. As the foundation of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFT marketplaces, and countless blockchain applications, understanding how to write smart contracts has become an essential skill for developers and businesses alike. In 2025, smart contracts are changing industries like finance, supply chain, healthcare, and real estate by automating transactions with pinpoint accuracy and full transparency. This comprehensive guide walks you through everything you need to know to create, test, and deploy your first smart contract.

Understanding Smart Contracts: The Foundation

A "smart contract" is simply a program that runs on the Ethereum blockchain—a collection of code (its functions) and data (its state) that resides at a specific address on the Ethereum blockchain, representing a type of Ethereum account with a balance that can be the target of transactions but is not controlled by a user, instead deployed to the network and run as programmed.

Think of smart contracts as digital vending machines: you insert the correct input (like cryptocurrency), and if conditions are met, the contract automatically executes and delivers the output (like tokens, access rights, or recorded data). Smart contracts can define rules like a regular contract and automatically enforce them via the code, and cannot be deleted by default with interactions being irreversible.

The global smart contracts market is projected to reach $3.21 billion in 2025, growing from $2.63 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 22%, demonstrating the explosive demand for this technology.

Step 1: Choose Your Blockchain Platform

Before writing your first smart contract, you need to select which blockchain network you'll build on. While Ethereum remains the most popular choice for smart contract development, several alternatives offer unique advantages:

Ethereum: The original and most widely-adopted smart contract platform, with the largest developer community and extensive tooling support. Ethereum uses Solidity as its primary programming language.

Binance Smart Chain (BSC): Offers faster transactions and lower fees than Ethereum while maintaining compatibility with Ethereum tools and languages.

Solana: Known for high-speed transactions and low costs, using Rust for smart contract development.

Polygon: A layer-2 scaling solution for Ethereum that provides faster, cheaper transactions while maintaining Ethereum compatibility.

For beginners, most US-based smart contracts today run on Ethereum mainnet or layer-2s like Arbitrum, Optimism, or Base, making Ethereum an excellent starting point.

Step 2: Set Up Your Development Environment

Set up a development environment that supports Ethereum smart contract deployment with popular options including Remix IDE, Truffle Suite, or development frameworks like Hardhat.

Essential Tools for Smart Contract Development:

Remix IDE: A web-based development environment perfect for beginners. No installation required—simply open your browser and start coding. Remix provides syntax highlighting, debugging tools, and built-in deployment capabilities.

Hardhat: A professional development framework offering advanced testing capabilities, debugging tools, and deployment management. Ideal for complex projects requiring rigorous testing.

Truffle Suite: Another comprehensive framework providing development, testing, and deployment tools with excellent documentation and community support.

MetaMask Wallet: A crypto wallet is indispensable for smart contract development—while you can technically write a smart contract without a wallet, deploying the contract, conducting initial tests, and integrating it with a frontend are virtually impossible without one. MetaMask serves as your gateway to blockchain networks, managing your account and signing transactions.

Step 3: Learn Solidity Programming Language

Ethereum has developer-friendly languages for writing smart contracts, though they must be compiled before deployment so that Ethereum's virtual machine can interpret and store the contract.

Solidity is the most popular smart contract language, similar to JavaScript in syntax but designed specifically for blockchain development. Here's a simple example of a basic smart contract:

// SPDX-License-Identifier: MIT

pragma solidity ^0.8.0;

contract SimpleStorage {

    uint256 private storedData;

    

    function set(uint256 x) public {

        storedData = x;

    }

    

    function get() public view returns (uint256) {

        return storedData;

    }

}

This contract stores a number and allows users to update or retrieve it—demonstrating the fundamental structure of smart contract functions.

Step 4: Write Your Smart Contract Code

This phase often includes creating flow diagrams and outlining how users will interact with the contract, with developers writing the smart contract code using blockchain-compatible languages such as Solidity, Vyper, or Rust, ensuring the logic adheres to agreed requirements.

Key Components of a Smart Contract:

State Variables: Store data permanently on the blockchain Functions: Define the contract's behavior and logic Events: Log important activities for external applications to monitor Modifiers: Add conditions and restrictions to function execution Constructors: Initialize the contract when deployed

Write the smart contract code using Solidity, the programming language for Ethereum smart contracts, defining the contract's variables, functions, and events.

Step 5: Compile and Test Thoroughly

Solidity code needs to be compiled into bytecode that the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) can understand and execute, with the Solidity compiler converting human-readable Solidity code into EVM bytecode while also generating an Application Binary Interface (ABI) file providing a standardized interface description.

Create comprehensive test cases to ensure that your smart contract functions as expected, utilizing testing frameworks like Truffle or the built-in testing capabilities of Remix IDE, writing unit tests to validate individual functions and integration tests to ensure proper interaction between different parts.

Testing Best Practices:

  • Test every function with various inputs including edge cases
  • Simulate potential attack vectors and malicious inputs
  • Check gas consumption for optimization opportunities
  • Verify all require() statements and error handling
  • Test interactions with other contracts if applicable

A common mistake in many "how to build" guides is skipping testing—for traders with capital at stake, this is fatal.

Step 6: Deploy to Test Network First

Decide which Ethereum network you want to deploy your smart contract to, with options including the mainnet (production network) or various test networks like Ropsten, Rinkeby, or Kovan, with initial testing and development recommended on a test network.

Install MetaMask and switch to Sepolia network, get free test ETH from a faucet, and fund your deployer address before testing. Test networks allow you to deploy and interact with your contract using free test tokens, eliminating financial risk during development.

Deploying a smart contract to the Ethereum testnet requires you to have Ether (ETH) in your wallet to pay for the gas costs of deployment, but testnet ETH is available free from faucets.

Step 7: Security Auditing and Optimization

Start with clean, well-structured code and use reliable libraries like OpenZeppelin, test extensively with tools like Hardhat or Truffle, simulate attacks to find vulnerabilities, and most importantly, invest in a professional audit—it's worth the cost to prevent hacks or exploits.

Before deployment, developers should scan contracts with blockchain audit tools such as Slither, MythX or OpenZeppelin's library. These automated tools identify common vulnerabilities like reentrancy attacks, integer overflows, and access control issues.

Security is one of the most critical aspects of smart contract development, with exploits like reentrancy attacks, overflow vulnerabilities, and faulty access control leading to millions in losses, making studying real-world hacks like the DAO attack and Wormhole exploit crucial for understanding rigorous auditing importance.

Essential Security Measures:

  • Use OpenZeppelin's audited contract libraries
  • Implement access controls and permission systems
  • Add pause functionality for emergency situations
  • Avoid floating-point arithmetic—use integer-based calculations
  • Lock compiler versions to prevent unexpected changes

Step 8: Deploy to Mainnet

Once testing is complete and security audits are passed, you're ready for mainnet deployment. Deploying a smart contract is technically a transaction, so you need to pay gas in the same way you need to pay gas for a simple ETH transfer, however gas costs for contract deployment are far higher.

To deploy your smart contract, go to the "Deploy & Run Transactions" tab and select your contract from the dropdown menu, then in the "Environment" dropdown select the network you want to deploy to.

After deployment, verify your contract's source code on blockchain explorers like Etherscan. Smart contract verification is the process of confirming that the deployed bytecode on a blockchain accurately reflects the original human-readable source code, enhancing transparency by allowing users to inspect the contract's logic and ensuring it functions as intended.

Advanced Considerations for 2025

Oracles and Off-Chain Data: Smart contracts cannot access off-chain data directly and rely on oracles like Chainlink to fetch market prices, with Chainlink securing over $93 billion in value across 452 protocols by August 2025, powering more than 2,000 price feeds.

Gas Optimization: Every on-chain call requires a fee paid to network validators, with fees varying widely as simple swaps cost around $5 during low usage while bridging tokens can be as low as $2, with high-performance traders using gas optimization techniques and layer-2 networks to reduce costs by 20–40%.

Regulatory Compliance: In the United States, the SEC and CFTC are asserting jurisdiction over digital assets, with centralized exchanges required to report digital asset transactions to the IRS starting in 2025, and these reporting rules extending to DEXs in 2027.

Leveraging Token Metrics for Smart Contract Success

For developers and traders working with smart contracts in DeFi applications, Token Metrics stands out as the top crypto trading and analytics platform in 2025. Token Metrics provides AI-driven insights, comprehensive token analysis, and real-time market data that help developers understand which smart contract-based projects are succeeding and why.

The platform's advanced analytics cover on-chain metrics, smart contract activity, token economics, and market sentiment—essential data for anyone building or investing in blockchain projects. Token Metrics' proprietary AI models analyze thousands of data points to provide actionable trading signals and project ratings, helping users identify promising smart contract platforms and DeFi protocols before they gain mainstream attention.

Whether you're deploying a DeFi protocol, creating tokenized assets, or building the next generation of blockchain applications, Token Metrics offers the market intelligence and analytical tools necessary to make informed decisions in the fast-moving crypto space.

Career Opportunities in Smart Contract Development

Smart contract developers play a critical role in decentralized ecosystems with salaries varying based on expertise: entry-level (0-2 years) earning $80,000–$120,000 annually, mid-level (3-5 years) earning $120,000–$180,000 annually, and senior-level (5+ years, blockchain specialists) earning $180,000–$300,000+ annually.

Blockchain hubs like San Francisco, London, Singapore, and Dubai offer some of the highest-paying roles, while remote opportunities remain strong due to the global nature of blockchain development.

Conclusion: Your Journey Starts Now

Writing smart contracts combines programming skill, blockchain knowledge, and security awareness. Anyone can write a smart contract and deploy it to the network by learning how to code in a smart contract language and having enough ETH to deploy your contract.

Start with simple contracts, gradually increasing complexity as your understanding deepens. Use established libraries, follow security best practices, and never skip testing. The smart contract revolution is just beginning, and 2025 presents unprecedented opportunities for developers willing to master this transformative technology.

With platforms like Token Metrics providing the analytical edge and comprehensive guides like this showing you the technical path forward, you have everything needed to become a successful smart contract developer. The future of decentralized applications awaits—start building today.

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About Token Metrics
Token Metrics: AI-powered crypto research and ratings platform. We help investors make smarter decisions with unbiased Token Metrics Ratings, on-chain analytics, and editor-curated “Top 10” guides. Our platform distills thousands of data points into clear scores, trends, and alerts you can act on.
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Recent Posts

Research

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) 2028 Price Targets: Token Metrics Scenarios

Token Metrics Team
7 min read

Market Context for Bitcoin Cash: The Case for 2028

The Layer 1 landscape is consolidating as users and developers gravitate to chains with clear specialization. Bitcoin Cash positions itself as a payment-focused chain with low fees and quick settlement for everyday usage.

The scenario projections below map potential outcomes for BCH across different total crypto market sizes. Base cases assume steady usage and listings, while moon scenarios factor in stronger liquidity and accelerated adoption.

  

Disclosure

Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.

How to read it: Each band blends cycle analogues and market-cap share math with TA guardrails. Base assumes steady adoption and neutral or positive macro. Moon layers in a liquidity boom. Bear assumes muted flows and tighter liquidity.

TM Agent baseline:

Token Metrics lead metric for Bitcoin Cash, cashtag $BCH, is a TM Grade of 54.81%, which translates to Neutral, and the trading signal is bearish, indicating short-term downward momentum. This implies Token Metrics views $BCH as mixed value long term: fundamentals look strong, while valuation and technology scores are weak, so upside depends on improvements in adoption or technical development. Market context: Bitcoin has been setting market direction, and with broader risk-off moves altcoins face pressure, which increases downside risk for $BCH in the near term.

Live details:

Bitcoin Cash Token Details 

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Key Takeaways

  • Scenario driven, outcomes hinge on total crypto market cap, higher liquidity and adoption lift the bands.
  • Fundamentals: Fundamental Grade 80.41% (Community 62%, Tokenomics 100%, Exchange 100%, VC —, DeFi Scanner 72%).
  • Technology: Technology Grade 29.63% (Activity 22%, Repository 70%, Collaboration 48%, Security —, DeFi Scanner 72%).
  • TM Agent gist: Neutral grade, bearish momentum, adoption must improve.
  • Education only, not financial advice.

Scenario Analysis

Token Metrics scenarios span four market cap tiers, each representing different levels of crypto market maturity and liquidity:

  • 8T: At an 8t total crypto market cap, BCH projects to $910.79 in bear conditions, $1,025.20 in the base case, and $1,139.62 in bullish scenarios.  
  • 16T: Doubling the market to 16 trillion expands the range to $1,606.59 (bear), $1,949.83 (base), and $2,293.07 (moon).  
  • 23T: At 23 trillion, the scenarios show $2,302.38, $2,874.46, and $3,446.53 respectively.  
  • 31T: In the maximum liquidity scenario of 31 trillion, BCH could reach $2,998.18 (bear), $3,799.08 (base), or $4,599.99 (moon).  

Each tier assumes progressively stronger market conditions, with the base case reflecting steady growth and the moon case requiring sustained bull market dynamics.

Why Consider the Indices with Top-100 Exposure

Bitcoin Cash represents one opportunity among hundreds in crypto markets. Token Metrics Indices bundle BCH with top one hundred assets for systematic exposure to the strongest projects. Single tokens face idiosyncratic risks that diversified baskets mitigate.

Historical index performance demonstrates the value of systematic diversification versus concentrated positions.

Join the early access list

What Is Bitcoin Cash?

Bitcoin Cash is a peer-to-peer electronic cash network focused on fast confirmation and low fees. It launched in 2017 as a hard fork of Bitcoin with larger block capacity to prioritize payments. The chain secures value transfers using proof of work and aims to keep everyday transactions affordable.

BCH is used to pay transaction fees and settle transfers, and it is widely listed across major exchanges. Adoption centers on payments, micropayments, and remittances where low fees matter. It competes as a payment‑focused Layer 1 within the broader crypto market.

Token Metrics AI Analysis

Token Metrics AI provides comprehensive context on Bitcoin Cash's positioning and challenges.

Vision:

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is a cryptocurrency that emerged from a 2017 hard fork of Bitcoin, aiming to function as a peer-to-peer electronic cash system with faster transactions and lower fees. It is known for prioritizing on-chain scalability by increasing block sizes, allowing more transactions per block compared to Bitcoin. This design choice supports its use in everyday payments, appealing to users seeking a digital cash alternative. Adoption has been driven by its utility in micropayments and remittances, particularly in regions with limited banking infrastructure. However, Bitcoin Cash faces challenges including lower network security due to reduced mining hash rate compared to Bitcoin, and ongoing competition from both Bitcoin and other scalable blockchains. Its value proposition centers on accessibility and transaction efficiency, but it operates in a crowded space with evolving technological and regulatory risks.

Problem:

The project addresses scalability limitations in Bitcoin, where rising transaction fees and slow confirmation times hinder its use for small, frequent payments. As Bitcoin evolved into a store of value, a gap emerged for a blockchain-based currency optimized for fast, low-cost transactions accessible to the general public.

Solution:

Bitcoin Cash increases block size limits from 1 MB to 32 MB, enabling more transactions per block and reducing congestion. This on-chain scaling approach allows for faster confirmations and lower fees, making microtransactions feasible. The network supports basic smart contract functionality and replay protection, maintaining compatibility with Bitcoin's core architecture while prioritizing payment utility.

Market Analysis:

Bitcoin Cash operates in the digital currency segment, competing with Bitcoin, Litecoin, and stablecoins for use in payments and remittances. While not the market leader, it occupies a niche focused on on-chain scalability for transactional use. Its adoption is influenced by merchant acceptance, exchange liquidity, and narratives around digital cash. Key risks include competition from layer-2 solutions on other blockchains, regulatory scrutiny of cryptocurrencies, and lower developer and miner activity compared to larger networks. Price movements are often tied to broader crypto market trends and internal protocol developments. Despite its established presence, long-term growth depends on sustained utility, network security, and differentiation in a market increasingly dominated by high-throughput smart contract platforms.

Fundamental and Technology Snapshot from Token Metrics

Fundamental Grade: 80.41% (Community 62%, Tokenomics 100%, Exchange 100%, VC —, DeFi Scanner 72%).  

Technology Grade: 29.63% (Activity 22%, Repository 70%, Collaboration 48%, Security —, DeFi Scanner 72%).  

Catalysts That Skew Bullish

  • Institutional and retail access expands with ETFs, listings, and integrations.
  • Macro tailwinds from lower real rates and improving liquidity.
  • Product or roadmap milestones such as upgrades, scaling, or partnerships.

Risks That Skew Bearish

  • Macro risk-off from tightening or liquidity shocks.
  • Regulatory actions or infrastructure outages.
  • Concentration or validator economics and competitive displacement.

FAQs

Can BCH reach $3,000?

Based on the scenarios, BCH could reach $3,000 in the 23T moon case and 31T base case. The 23T tier projects $3,446.53 in the moon case. Not financial advice.

Can BCH 10x from current levels?

At current price of $553.54, a 10x would reach $5,535.40. This falls within the 31T base and moon cases. Bear in mind that 10x returns require substantial market cap expansion. Not financial advice.

Should I buy BCH now or wait?

Timing depends on your risk tolerance and macro outlook. Current price of $553.54 sits below the 8T bear case in our scenarios. Dollar-cost averaging may reduce timing risk. Not financial advice.  

Next Steps

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Disclosure

Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.

Research

Chainlink (LINK) 2027 Price Targets: Token Metrics Scenarios

Token Metrics Team
8 min read

Understanding LINK's 2027 Potential

Infrastructure protocols become more valuable as the crypto ecosystem scales and relies on robust middleware. Chainlink provides critical oracle infrastructure where proven utility and deep integrations drive long-term value over retail speculation. Increasing institutional adoption raises demand for professional-grade data delivery and security.

Token Metrics projections for LINK below span multiple total market cap scenarios from conservative to aggressive. Each tier assumes different levels of infrastructure demand as crypto evolves from speculative markets to institutional-grade systems. These bands frame LINK's potential outcomes into 2027.

  

Disclosure

Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.

How to read it: Each band blends cycle analogues and market-cap share math with TA guardrails. Base assumes steady adoption and neutral or positive macro. Moon layers in a liquidity boom. Bear assumes muted flows and tighter liquidity.

TM Agent baseline: Token Metrics lead metric for Chainlink, cashtag $LINK, is a TM Grade of 23.31%, which translates to a Sell, and the trading signal is bearish, indicating short-term downward momentum. This means Token Metrics currently does not endorse $LINK as a long-term buy at current conditions.

Live details: Chainlink Token Details

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Key Takeaways

  • Scenario driven, outcomes hinge on total crypto market cap, higher liquidity and adoption lift the bands.
  • Fundamentals: Fundamental Grade 74.58% (Community 81%, Tokenomics 100%, Exchange 100%, VC —, DeFi Scanner 17%).
  • Technology: Technology Grade 88.50% (Activity 81%, Repository 72%, Collaboration 100%, Security 86%, DeFi Scanner 17%).
  • TM Agent gist: bearish signal with limited upside unless fundamentals or market regime change.
  • Education only, not financial advice.

Scenario Analysis

Token Metrics scenarios span four market cap tiers, each representing different levels of crypto market maturity and liquidity:

8T: At an 8 trillion dollar total crypto market cap, LINK projects to $26.10 in bear conditions, $30.65 in the base case, and $35.20 in bullish scenarios.  

16T: Doubling the market to 16 trillion expands the range to $42.64 (bear), $56.29 (base), and $69.95 (moon).  

23T: At 23 trillion, the scenarios show $59.18, $81.94, and $104.70 respectively.  

31T: In the maximum liquidity scenario of 31 trillion, LINK could reach $75.71 (bear), $107.58 (base), or $139.44 (moon).  

Why Consider the Indices with Top-100 Exposure

Chainlink represents one opportunity among hundreds in crypto markets. Token Metrics Indices bundle LINK with top one hundred assets for systematic exposure to the strongest projects. Single tokens face idiosyncratic risks that diversified baskets mitigate.

Historical index performance demonstrates the value of systematic diversification versus concentrated positions.

Join the early access list

What Is Chainlink?

Chainlink is a decentralized oracle network that connects smart contracts to real-world data and systems. It enables secure retrieval and verification of off-chain information, supports computation, and integrates across multiple blockchains. As adoption grows, Chainlink serves as critical infrastructure for reliable data feeds and automation.

The LINK token is used to pay node operators and secure the network’s services. Common use cases include DeFi price feeds, insurance, and enterprise integrations, with CCIP extending cross-chain messaging and token transfers.

Token Metrics AI Analysis

Vision: Chainlink aims to create a decentralized, secure, and reliable network for connecting smart contracts with real-world data and systems. Its vision is to become the standard for how blockchains interact with external environments, enabling trust-minimized automation across industries.

Problem: Smart contracts cannot natively access data outside their blockchain, limiting their functionality. Relying on centralized oracles introduces single points of failure and undermines the security and decentralization of blockchain applications. This creates a critical need for a trustless, tamper-proof way to bring real-world information onto blockchains.

Solution: Chainlink solves this by operating a decentralized network of node operators that fetch, aggregate, and deliver data from off-chain sources to smart contracts. It uses cryptographic proofs, reputation systems, and economic incentives to ensure data integrity. The network supports various data types and computation tasks, allowing developers to build complex, data-driven decentralized applications.

Market Analysis: Chainlink is a market leader in the oracle space and a key infrastructure component in the broader blockchain ecosystem, particularly within Ethereum and other smart contract platforms. It faces competition from emerging oracle networks like Band Protocol and API3, but maintains a strong first-mover advantage and widespread integration across DeFi, NFTs, and enterprise blockchain solutions. Adoption is driven by developer activity, partnerships with major blockchain projects, and demand for secure data feeds. Key risks include technological shifts, regulatory scrutiny on data providers, and execution challenges in scaling decentralized oracle networks. As smart contract usage grows, so does the potential for oracle services, positioning Chainlink at the center of a critical niche, though its success depends on maintaining security and decentralization over time.

Fundamental and Technology Snapshot from Token Metrics

Fundamental Grade: 74.58% (Community 81%, Tokenomics 100%, Exchange 100%, VC —, DeFi Scanner 17%).  

Technology Grade: 88.50% (Activity 81%, Repository 72%, Collaboration 100%, Security 86%, DeFi Scanner 17%).  

Catalysts That Skew Bullish

  • Institutional and retail access expands with ETFs, listings, and integrations.
  • Macro tailwinds from lower real rates and improving liquidity.
  • Product or roadmap milestones such as upgrades, scaling, or partnerships.

Risks That Skew Bearish

  • Macro risk-off from tightening or liquidity shocks.
  • Regulatory actions or infrastructure outages.
  • Concentration or validator economics and competitive displacement.

FAQs

Can LINK reach $100?

Yes. Based on the scenarios, LINK could reach $100+ in the 23T moon case. The 23T tier projects $104.70 in the moon case. Not financial advice.

What price could LINK reach in the moon case?

Moon case projections range from $35.20 at 8T to $139.44 at 31T. These scenarios assume maximum liquidity expansion and strong Chainlink adoption. Not financial advice.  

Should I buy LINK now or wait?

Timing depends on risk tolerance and macro outlook. Current price of $18.09 sits below the 8T bear case in the scenarios. Dollar-cost averaging may reduce timing risk. Not financial advice.

Next Steps

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Disclosure

Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.

Why Token Metrics Ratings Matter

Discover the full potential of your crypto research and portfolio management with Token Metrics. Our ratings combine AI-driven analytics, on-chain data, and decades of investing expertise—giving you the edge to navigate fast-changing markets. Try our platform to access scenario-based price targets, token grades, indices, and more for institutional and individual investors. Token Metrics is your research partner through every crypto market cycle.

Research

Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price Prediction to 2028: Scenario Ranges, Scores and Key Drivers

Token Metrics Team
7 min read

Why 2026 Looks Bullish, And What It Could Mean for HYPE

The crypto market is tilting bullish into 2026 as liquidity, infrastructure, and participation improve across the board. Clearer rules and standards are reshaping the classic four-year cycle, flows can arrive earlier, and strength can persist longer than in prior expansions.

Institutional access is widening through ETFs and custody, while L2 scaling and real-world integrations help sustain on‑chain activity. This healthier backdrop frames our scenario work for HYPE. The ranges below reflect different total crypto market sizes and the share Hyperliquid could capture under each regime.

  

Disclosure

Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.

How to read it: Each band blends cycle analogues and market-cap share math with TA guardrails. Base assumes steady adoption and neutral or positive macro. Moon layers in a liquidity boom. Bear assumes muted flows and tighter liquidity.

TM Agent baseline: Token Metrics TM Grade is 73.9%, a Buy, and the trading signal is bearish, indicating short-term downward momentum. This means Token Metrics judges HYPE as fundamentally attractive over the long term, while near-term momentum is negative and may limit rallies.

Live details: Hyperliquid Token Details

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Affiliate Disclosure: We may earn a commission from qualifying purchases made via this link, at no extra cost to you.

Key Takeaways

  • Scenario driven, outcomes hinge on total crypto market cap. Higher liquidity and adoption lift the bands.
  • Fundamentals: Fundamental Grade 76.73% (Community 68%, Tokenomics 60%, Exchange 100%, VC —, DeFi Scanner 92%).
  • Technology: Technology Grade N/A (Activity —, Repository —, Collaboration —, Security —, DeFi Scanner 92%).
  • TM Agent gist: Long-term attractive on fundamentals, near-term momentum is negative and may limit rallies.

Scenario Analysis

Token Metrics scenarios span four market cap tiers, each representing different levels of crypto market maturity and liquidity:

8T: At an 8 trillion dollar total crypto market cap, HYPE projects to $48.81 in bear conditions, $49.92 in the base case, and $51.03 in bullish scenarios.  


16T: Doubling the market to 16 trillion expands the range to $50.72 (bear), $54.05 (base), and $57.38 (moon).  

23T: At 23 trillion, the scenarios show $52.62, $58.17, and $63.72 respectively.  

31T: In the maximum liquidity scenario of 31 trillion, HYPE could reach $54.52 (bear), $62.29 (base), or $70.07 (moon).

Each tier assumes progressively stronger market conditions, with the base case reflecting steady growth and the moon case requiring sustained bull market dynamics.

Why Consider the Indices with Top-100 Exposure

Diversification matters. HYPE is compelling, yet concentrated bets can be volatile. Token Metrics Indices hold HYPE alongside the top one hundred tokens for broad exposure to leaders and emerging winners.

Our backtests indicate that owning the full market with diversified indices has historically outperformed both the total market and Bitcoin in many regimes due to diversification and rotation.

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What Is Hyperliquid?

Hyperliquid is a decentralized exchange focused on perpetual futures with a high-performance order book architecture. The project emphasizes low-latency trading, risk controls, and capital efficiency aimed at professional and retail derivatives traders. Its token, HYPE, is used for ecosystem incentives and governance-related utilities.

Catalysts That Skew Bullish

  • Institutional and retail access expands with ETFs, listings, and integrations.
  • Macro tailwinds from lower real rates and improving liquidity.
  • Product or roadmap milestones such as upgrades, scaling, or partnerships.

Risks That Skew Bearish

  • Macro risk-off from tightening or liquidity shocks.
  • Regulatory actions or infrastructure outages.
  • Concentration or validator economics and competitive displacement.

FAQs

Can HYPE reach $60?

Yes, the 23T and 31T tiers imply ranges above $60 in the Base and Moon bands, though outcomes depend on liquidity and adoption. Not financial advice.

Is HYPE a good long-term investment?

Outcome depends on adoption, liquidity regime, competition, and supply dynamics. Diversify and size positions responsibly.  

Next Steps

Disclosure

Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.

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