Crypto Basics

How to Short Bitcoin? - 5 Easy Methods to Try in 2023

Learn how to short Bitcoin with advanced strategies and check what risks are involved in shorting BTC with examples in this descriptive guide.
Token Metrics Team
9 Minutes
MIN

Bitcoin has gained significant attention and popularity in recent years as a decentralized digital currency. While many people invest in Bitcoin for long-term gains, others may be interested in profiting from its price decline. 

This article aims to provide a comprehensive guide on how to short Bitcoin, allowing you to potentially capitalize on downward price movements. 

By understanding the concept of shorting and implementing the right strategies, you can navigate the volatile nature of Bitcoin and make informed investment decisions.

What is the Process of Crypto Shorting?

Shorting, also known as short selling, is an investment strategy that involves betting on the decline in the price of an asset. 

For example, when you short Bitcoin, you're essentially borrowing Bitcoin from a lender and selling it at the current market price. The goal is to buy back the Bitcoin at a lower price in the future, return it to the lender, and profit from the price difference.

How to Short Bitcoin?

Shorting Bitcoin allows you to potentially benefit from downward price movements, even in a bear market. However, it's crucial to note that shorting comes with its own set of risks and considerations.

How to Short Bitcoin?

The method of shorting Bitcoin relies on various factors, such as your inclination towards risk, the funds you have at hand, your level of expertise, and other relevant considerations. Let's explore few widely used methods to short BTC -

1. Leveraging Margin Trading: Margin trading allows you to amplify your trading position by borrowing funds from a cryptocurrency exchange. By utilizing leverage, you can open larger short positions with a smaller initial investment. 

However, it is crucial to exercise caution when using leverage, as it also magnifies potential losses. Proper risk management and setting stop-loss orders are essential to protect your capital.

2. Utilizing Options and Futures: Advanced traders often utilize options and futures contracts to short Bitcoin effectively. Options provide the right, but not the obligation, to sell Bitcoin at a predetermined price within a specified time frame. 

Futures contracts, on the other hand, obligate the parties involved to buy or sell Bitcoin at a predetermined price and date. These derivatives can be employed to hedge positions, manage risk, and execute more complex shorting strategies.

3. Algorithmic Trading: Algorithmic trading has gained popularity in recent years, offering advanced tools for shorting Bitcoin. By using computer algorithms, traders can automate their strategies, execute trades at high speeds, and capitalize on even the smallest price differentials. 

Algorithmic trading requires in-depth programming knowledge and a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics, but it can provide a significant advantage for experienced traders.

4. Shorting Bitcoin on Exchanges: Shorting Bitcoin can be accomplished by creating an account on a cryptocurrency exchange that supports this functionality. 

Several exchanges, such as Kraken, Bitmex, Bitfinex, eToro, and Binance, offer the ability to borrow Bitcoin, sell it at the current market price, and repurchase it later at a potentially lower price. 

However, it's important to note that not all exchanges facilitate short selling of cryptocurrencies.

5. Using Bitcoin CFDs: A financial technique known as a contract for differences (CFD) offers a way to profit from variances in prices between the opening and closing of a trade. 

Bitcoin CFDs operate similarly to Bitcoin futures, as they involve speculating on the price of the cryptocurrency. When you acquire a CFD with the expectation of price decline, you essentially take a short position on Bitcoin. 

Compared to Bitcoin futures, CFDs provide greater flexibility in terms of settlement duration since they don't have predetermined settlement dates.

Moreover, in specific Bitcoin CFD markets, traders can enter into agreements based on Bitcoin's overall performance or its performance relative to fiat currency or another cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin Shorting Strategy

Here is a compilation of factors to consider when contemplating short selling Bitcoin using various shorting strategies:.

In-Depth Technical Analysis

To successfully short Bitcoin, it is crucial to have a solid grasp of technical analysis. This involves analyzing historical price data, chart patterns, and indicators to identify potential entry and exit points.

By utilizing advanced technical analysis tools, such as moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and Fibonacci retracements, you can gain a competitive edge in predicting market trends and making informed shorting decisions.

Monitoring Market Sentiment

Understanding market sentiment is another key aspect of successful Bitcoin shorting. Keeping a close eye on news, social media trends, and influential figures' opinions can provide valuable insights into the market's overall mood. 

By monitoring sentiment indicators, you can gauge market expectations and position yourself strategically to capitalize on potential price drops.

Monitoring Whales and Institutional Investors

Large investors, commonly referred to as "whales," and institutional players have a significant impact on Bitcoin's price movements. By monitoring their activities, such as large-scale sell-offs or accumulations, you can gain insights into potential market trends. 

Various platforms provide whale tracking tools that allow you to track these influential market participants and adjust your shorting strategies accordingly.

Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental indicators, such as Bitcoin's adoption rate, network activity, and overall market capitalization, can help in assessing the long-term value and potential price trends of the cryptocurrency. 

By staying informed about these indicators and market trends, you can make more informed decisions when shorting Bitcoin.

Factors to Consider While Shorting Bitcoin

When engaging in Bitcoin shorting, it is crucial to have a thorough understanding of the key factors that significantly impact the strategy's effectiveness

Market Analysis: Conduct a thorough analysis of the Bitcoin market, examining price trends, historical data, and market indicators. This will help you identify potential opportunities for short selling.

Risk Assessment: Evaluate the risks associated with short selling Bitcoin, including market volatility, regulatory changes, and potential price fluctuations. Assessing and managing these risks is crucial for successful short selling.

Timing: Timing is key when short selling Bitcoin. Identify potential entry and exit points based on market conditions, news events, and technical analysis indicators. A well-timed short position can maximize your profits.

Stop Loss and Take Profit Orders: Set up stop loss and take profit orders to manage your risk and protect your investment. These orders automatically trigger a trade closure when the price reaches a specified level, ensuring you exit the trade at a desirable point.

Diversification: Consider diversifying your short positions by including other cryptocurrencies or financial instruments in your strategy. This can help mitigate risk and optimize your portfolio's performance.

Monitoring and Adjustments: Continuously monitor the market conditions and your short positions. Stay vigilant and be prepared to make adjustments to your strategy if market dynamics change. Regularly reassess your positions based on new information and market trends.

Professional Guidance: Consider seeking guidance from experienced traders or financial advisors who specialize in cryptocurrency investments. Their expertise can provide valuable insights and help you navigate the complexities of short selling Bitcoin.

Popular Examples of Shorting Bitcoin

These are few popular and real life examples of shorting BTC -

Example 1: The Bitcoin Bubble Burst of 2017

The cryptocurrency market experienced unprecedented growth in 2017, driven primarily by the surge in Bitcoin's price. However, this euphoria was short-lived. 

In December of that year, Bitcoin's price experienced a dramatic correction, plunging from its all-time high of nearly $20,000 to around $3,000 within a year. 

Many investors who had shorted Bitcoin during this period saw substantial profits as the market sentiment turned bearish.

Example 2: The China Ban on Cryptocurrency

China, a significant player in the cryptocurrency space, has often made headlines with its regulatory actions. In 2017, the Chinese government announced a ban on initial coin offerings (ICOs) and shut down numerous cryptocurrency exchanges. 

These actions led to a significant drop in Bitcoin's price as market participants anticipated a decline in demand. Traders who were short on Bitcoin during this period benefited from the downward trend caused by the ban.

Example 3: The Tesla Short Squeeze

In early 2021, Tesla, the electric vehicle manufacturer led by Elon Musk, announced a $1.5 billion investment in Bitcoin. This move sparked a rally in Bitcoin's price and caught many short sellers off guard. 

However, a few months later, Tesla announced that it would no longer accept Bitcoin as payment, causing the cryptocurrency's price to plummet. Short sellers who had anticipated the reversal profited from this volatility in the market.

These examples demonstrate the diverse range of events and circumstances where shorting Bitcoin has been a profitable strategy.

Is Shorting Bitcoin Risky?

Shorting Bitcoin carries significant risks due to its unpredictable price fluctuations. Traders who short Bitcoin borrow and sell it with the expectation of buying it back at a lower price. 

However, if the price rises instead, losses can occur. Bitcoin's decentralized nature and susceptibility to market manipulation increase the risk further. 

To mitigate these risks, traders should assess their risk tolerance and employ robust risk management strategies, such as setting stop-loss orders and diversifying their portfolios.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. Can I short Bitcoin without using a broker?

Shorting Bitcoin typically requires using a broker as they facilitate the borrowing and selling of the cryptocurrency. Brokers provide the necessary infrastructure and regulatory compliance to execute short trades effectively.

Q2. What risks are associated with shorting Bitcoin?

Shorting Bitcoin carries several risks, including potential losses if the price rises instead of falling. Additionally, market volatility and unexpected events can lead to significant price fluctuations, making it crucial to carefully manage your position and implement risk management strategies.

Q3. Can I short Bitcoin using leverage?

Yes, many brokers offer leverage, allowing traders to amplify their short positions. However, it's important to exercise caution when using leverage, as it also increases the potential for losses.

Q4. Are there any tax implications when shorting Bitcoin?

Tax regulations regarding shorting Bitcoin vary across different jurisdictions. It's crucial to consult with a tax professional to understand the specific tax obligations and implications associated with shorting Bitcoin in your country.

Q5. Is shorting Bitcoin suitable for beginners?

Shorting Bitcoin can be complex and involves a certain level of risk. It's generally recommended for experienced traders who have a solid understanding of market dynamics and risk management strategies. 

Beginners are advised to first gain a thorough understanding of cryptocurrency trading before attempting to short Bitcoin.

Conclusion

Shorting Bitcoin in 2023 can be a profitable strategy if executed with careful planning and a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics. 

Remember to choose a reliable broker, conduct thorough market analysis, and employ risk management strategies to protect your investments. 

However, it's crucial to note that shorting Bitcoin carries inherent risks, and traders should only risk what they can afford to lose.

Disclaimer

The information provided on this website does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website's content as such.

Token Metrics does not recommend that any cryptocurrency should be bought, sold, or held by you. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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Understanding the Risks of Using Centralized Crypto Exchanges

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Introduction

Centralized cryptocurrency exchanges have become the primary venues for trading a wide array of digital assets. Their user-friendly interfaces and liquidity pools make them appealing for both new and experienced traders. However, the inherent risks of using such centralized platforms warrant careful consideration. This article explores the risks associated with centralized exchanges, offering an analytical overview while highlighting valuable tools that can assist users in evaluating these risks.

What Are Centralized Exchanges?

Centralized exchanges (CEXs) operate as intermediaries that facilitate buying, selling, and trading cryptocurrencies. Users deposit funds into the exchange's custody and execute trades on its platform. Unlike decentralized exchanges, where users maintain control of their private keys and assets, centralized exchanges hold users' assets on their behalf, which introduces specific vulnerabilities and considerations.

Security Risks

One of the primary risks associated with centralized exchanges is security vulnerability. Holding large sums of digital assets in a single entity makes exchanges prominent targets for hackers. Over the years, numerous high-profile breaches have resulted in the loss of millions of dollars worth of crypto assets. These attacks often exploit software vulnerabilities, insider threats, or phishing campaigns.

Beyond external hacking attempts, users must be aware of the risks posed by potential internal malfeasance within these organizations. Since exchanges control private keys to user assets, trust in their operational security and governance practices is critical.

Custodial Risk and Asset Ownership

Using centralized exchanges means users relinquish direct control over their private keys. This custodial arrangement introduces counterparty risk, fundamentally differing from holding assets in self-custody wallets. In situations of insolvency, regulatory intervention, or technical failures, users may face difficulties accessing or retrieving their funds.

Additionally, the lack of comprehensive insurance coverage on many platforms means users bear the brunt of potential losses. The concept "not your keys, not your coins" encapsulates this risk, emphasizing that asset ownership and control are distinct on centralized platforms.

Regulatory and Compliance Risks

Centralized exchanges typically operate under jurisdictional regulations which can vary widely. Regulatory scrutiny may lead to sudden operational restrictions, asset freezes, or delisting of certain cryptocurrencies. Users of these platforms should be aware that regulatory changes can materially impact access to their assets.

Furthermore, compliance requirements such as Know Your Customer (KYC) and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) procedures involve sharing personal information, posing privacy considerations. Regulatory pressures could also compel exchanges to surveil or restrict user activities.

Liquidity and Market Risks

Large centralized exchanges generally offer high liquidity, facilitating quick trade execution. However, liquidity can vary significantly between platforms and tokens, possibly leading to slippage or failed orders during volatile conditions. In extreme scenarios, liquidity crunches may limit the ability to convert assets efficiently.

Moreover, centralized control over order books and matching engines means that trade execution transparency is limited compared to decentralized protocols. Users should consider market structure risks when interacting with centralized exchanges.

Operational and Technical Risks

System outages, software bugs, or maintenance periods pose operational risks on these platforms. Unexpected downtime can prevent users from acting promptly in dynamic markets. Moreover, technical glitches could jeopardize order accuracy, deposits, or withdrawals.

Best practices involve users staying informed about platform status and understanding terms of service that govern incident responses. Awareness of past incidents can factor into decisions about trustworthiness.

Mitigating Risks Using Analytical Tools

While the risks highlighted are inherent to centralized exchanges, utilizing advanced research and analytical tools can enhance users’ understanding and management of these exposures. AI-driven platforms like Token Metrics offer data-backed insights into exchange security practices, regulatory compliance, liquidity profiles, and overall platform reputation.

Such tools analyze multiple risk dimensions using real-time data, historical performance, and fundamental metrics. This structured approach allows users to make informed decisions based on factual assessments rather than anecdotal information.

Additionally, users can monitor news, community sentiment, and technical analytics collectively via these platforms to evaluate evolving conditions that may affect centralized exchange risk profiles.

Practical Tips for Users

  • Research exchange reputation: Evaluate past security incidents, user reviews, and transparency of operations.
  • Stay updated on regulations: Understand how regulatory environments may impact exchange functionality and asset accessibility.
  • Limit exposure: Avoid holding large balances long-term on any single exchange.
  • Utilize research platforms: Leverage AI-powered tools like Token Metrics for detailed risk analysis.
  • Consider withdrawal security: Enable multi-factor authentication and regularly verify withdrawal addresses.
  • Diversify custody approaches: When appropriate, combine exchange use with self-custody solutions for asset diversification.

Conclusion

Centralized cryptocurrency exchanges continue to play a significant role in digital asset markets, providing accessibility and liquidity. Nevertheless, they carry multifaceted risks ranging from security vulnerabilities to regulatory uncertainties and operational challenges. Understanding these risks through a comprehensive analytical framework is crucial for all participants.

Non-investment-focused, AI-driven research platforms like Token Metrics can support users in navigating the complexity of exchange risks by offering systematic, data-driven insights. Combining such tools with prudent operational practices paves the way for more informed engagement with centralized exchanges.

Disclaimer

This content is provided solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Readers should conduct their own research and consult qualified professionals before making any financial decisions.

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Introduction

The landscape of digital assets and blockchain technology has expanded rapidly over recent years, bringing forth a new realm known as Web3 alongside the burgeoning crypto ecosystem. For individuals curious about allocating resources into this sphere, questions often arise: should the focus be on cryptocurrencies or Web3 companies? This article aims to provide an educational and analytical perspective on these options, highlighting considerations without providing direct investment advice.

Understanding Crypto and Web3

Before exploring the nuances between investing in crypto assets and Web3 companies, it's important to clarify what each represents.

  • Cryptocurrencies are digital currencies that operate on blockchain technology, enabling peer-to-peer transactions with varying protocols and use cases.
  • Web3 broadly refers to a decentralized internet infrastructure leveraging blockchain technologies to create applications, platforms, and services that prioritize user control, privacy, and decentralization.

Web3 companies often develop decentralized applications (dApps), offer blockchain-based services, or build infrastructure layers for the decentralized web.

Key Considerations When Evaluating Investment Options

Deciding between crypto assets or Web3 companies involves analyzing different dynamics:

  1. Market Maturity and Volatility
    Cryptocurrencies generally exhibit higher price volatility influenced by market sentiment, regulatory news, and technology updates. Web3 companies, often in startup or growth phases, carry inherent business risk but may relate more to traditional company valuation metrics.
  2. Fundamental Drivers
    Crypto assets derive value from network utility, adoption, scarcity mechanisms, and consensus protocols. Web3 firms generate value through product innovation, user engagement, revenue models, and ability to scale decentralized solutions.
  3. Regulatory Environment
    Both realms face evolving regulatory landscapes globally, with different degrees of scrutiny around cryptocurrencies and blockchain enterprises. Awareness of legal considerations is essential for educational understanding.
  4. Technological Innovation
    Web3 companies typically focus on developing novel decentralized infrastructures and applications. Crypto projects may emphasize improvements in consensus algorithms, interoperability, or token economics.

Analytical Frameworks for Assessment

To approach these complex investment types thoughtfully, frameworks can assist in structuring analysis:

  • Scenario Analysis: Evaluate various future scenarios for cryptocurrency adoption and Web3 technology evolution to understand possible outcomes and risks.
  • Fundamental Analysis: For crypto, analyze network activity, token utility, and supply models. For Web3 companies, consider business plans, technological edge, leadership quality, and market positioning.
  • Technology Evaluation: Examine the underlying blockchain protocols and development communities supporting both crypto projects and Web3 startups, assessing innovation and sustainability.

Leveraging AI-Driven Tools for Research

Due to the rapidly evolving and data-intensive nature of crypto and Web3 industries, AI-powered platforms can enhance analysis by processing vast datasets and providing insights.

For instance, Token Metrics utilizes machine learning to rate crypto assets by analyzing market trends, project fundamentals, and sentiment data. Such tools support an educational and neutral perspective by offering data-driven research support rather than speculative advice.

When assessing Web3 companies, AI tools can assist with identifying emerging technologies, tracking developmental progress, and monitoring regulatory developments relevant to the decentralized ecosystem.

Practical Tips for Conducting Due Diligence

To gain a well-rounded understanding, consider the following steps:

  • Research Whitepapers and Roadmaps: For crypto tokens and Web3 startups, review technical documentation and strategic plans.
  • Evaluate Team Credentials: Analyze the experience and transparency of project founders and teams.
  • Monitor Community Engagement: Observe activity levels in forums, GitHub repositories, and social media to gauge project vitality.
  • Use Analytical Tools: Incorporate platforms like Token Metrics for data-supported insights on token metrics and project evaluations.
  • Consider Regulatory Developments: Stay informed about jurisdictional policies impacting blockchain projects and cryptocurrencies.

Understanding Risk Factors

Both crypto assets and Web3 companies involve unique risks that warrant careful consideration:

  • Market Risk: Price volatility and market sentiment swings can impact crypto tokens significantly.
  • Technological Risk: Innovative technologies may have bugs or scalability challenges affecting project viability.
  • Regulatory Risk: Changes in legal frameworks can alter operational capacities or market access for Web3 entities and crypto tokens.
  • Business Model Risk: Web3 startups may face competitive pressures, funding challenges, or adoption hurdles.

Conclusion

Deciding between crypto assets and Web3 companies involves analyzing different dimensions including technological fundamentals, market dynamics, and risk profiles. Employing structured evaluation frameworks along with AI-enhanced research platforms such as Token Metrics can provide clarity in this complex landscape.

It is essential to approach this domain with an educational mindset focused on understanding rather than speculative intentions. Staying informed and leveraging analytical tools supports sound comprehension of the evolving world of blockchain-based digital assets and enterprises.

Disclaimer

This article is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Readers should conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making any decisions related to cryptocurrencies or Web3 companies.

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Introduction to Web3 UX

The evolution from Web2 to Web3 marks a significant paradigm shift in how we interact with digital services. While Web2 platforms have delivered intuitive and seamless user experiences, Web3—the decentralized internet leveraging blockchain technology—still faces considerable user experience (UX) challenges. This article explores the reasons behind the comparatively poor UX in Web3 and the technical, design, and infrastructural hurdles contributing to this gap.

Contextual Understanding: Web2 vs Web3

Web2 represents the current mainstream internet experience characterized by centralized servers, interactive social platforms, and streamlined services. Its UX benefits from consistent standards, mature design patterns, and direct control over data.

In contrast, Web3 aims at decentralization, enabling peer-to-peer interactions through blockchain protocols, decentralized applications (dApps), and user-owned data ecosystems. While promising increased privacy and autonomy, Web3 inherently introduces complexity in UX design.

Technical Complexities Affecting Web3 UX

Several intrinsic technical barriers impact the Web3 user experience:

  • Decentralization and Interoperability: Decentralized networks operate without centralized control, making transaction speed and reliability variable compared to Web2's central servers.
  • Blockchain Transaction Latency: Block confirmation times, network congestion, and gas fees create delays and unpredictability in user interactions.
  • Wallet and Key Management: Users must manage private keys and wallets, which can be confusing and risky for non-technical audiences.
  • User Onboarding Frictions: Requirements like acquiring cryptocurrency tokens for transaction fees create an additional barrier unique to Web3.

Design and Usability Issues in Web3

The nascent nature of Web3 results in inconsistent and sometimes opaque design standards:

  • Complex Terminology and Concepts: Terms like gas, smart contracts, staking, and cryptographic signatures are unfamiliar to average users.
  • Poorly Standardized UI Components: Unlike Web2, where UI/UX libraries and guidelines are well-established, Web3 lacks uniform design principles, leading to fragmented experiences.
  • Minimal User Feedback: Web3 apps sometimes provide limited real-time feedback during transactions, causing uncertainty.
  • Security and Trust Indicators: The responsibility to confirm transaction legitimacy often falls on users, which can be overwhelming.

Ecosystem Maturity and Resource Constraints

Web2 giants have invested billions over decades fostering developer communities, design systems, and customer support infrastructure. In contrast, Web3 is still an emerging ecosystem characterized by:

  • Smaller Development Teams: Many dApps are developed by startups or hobbyists with limited UX expertise or resources.
  • Rapidly Evolving Protocols: Frequent changes impact stability and user familiarity.
  • Limited Educational Resources: Users often lack accessible tutorials and support channels.

Such factors contribute to a user experience that feels fragmented and inaccessible to mainstream audiences.

Leveraging AI and Analytics to Improve Web3 UX

Emerging tools powered by artificial intelligence and data analytics can help mitigate some UX challenges in Web3 by:

  • Analyzing User Interaction Data: Identifying pain points and optimizing workflows in dApps.
  • Automated Risk Assessment: Platforms like Token Metrics offer AI-driven analysis to help users understand token metrics and project fundamentals, supporting better-informed user decisions without direct financial advice.
  • Personalized User Guidance: Contextual prompts and chatbot assistants could help users navigate complex steps.

Integrating such AI-driven research and analytic tools enables developers and users to progressively enhance Web3 usability.

Practical Tips for Users and Developers

For users trying to adapt to Web3 environments, the following tips may help:

  • Engage with Educational Content: Prioritize learning foundational blockchain concepts to reduce confusion.
  • Use Trusted Tools: Platforms providing in-depth analytics and ratings, such as Token Metrics, can offer valuable insights into projects.
  • Start with Simple dApps: Experiment with established, user-friendly applications before engaging in more complex services.

For developers, focusing on the following can improve UX outcomes:

  • Adopt Consistent UI/UX Patterns: Align interfaces with familiar Web2 standards where possible to flatten the learning curve.
  • Enhance Feedback and Transparency: Clearly communicate transaction statuses and risks.
  • Streamline Onboarding: Reduce or abstract away wallet configurations and gas fee complexities.
  • Prioritize Accessibility: Make interfaces usable for non-technical and diverse user groups.

Conclusion: Web3 UX Future Outlook

The current disparity between Web3 and Web2 user experience primarily stems from decentralization complexities, immature design ecosystems, and educational gaps. However, ongoing innovation in AI-driven analytics, comprehensive rating platforms like Token Metrics, and community-driven UX improvements are promising. Over time, these efforts could bridge the UX divide to make Web3 more accessible and user-friendly for mainstream adoption.

Disclaimer

This article is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or an endorsement. Users should conduct their own research and consider risks before engaging in any blockchain or cryptocurrency activities.

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