HYPE Is Real: How Token Metrics Caught Hyperliquid’s Pump Early

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How Token Metrics Spotted HYPE Before the Breakout — And Why It Matters for Every Crypto Trader

HYPE is still holding strong — and Token Metrics caught it before the crowd.

Token Metrics Team

4 min

The crypto market has been a rollercoaster lately.

Bitcoin is dipping. Altcoins are bleeding. Sentiment across the board is skittish. Fear is gripping retail traders — and in times like these, many are unsure where to turn, what to buy, or when to hold back.

But not everyone’s losing.

Some traders are still finding wins. One example? Hyperliquid (HYPE) — a standout performer in April 2025. And here’s the kicker: Token Metrics called the move before it happened.

While most traders were distracted by meme coins or frozen in fear, Token Metrics users were riding a +51.8% breakout, armed with AI-driven insights and data-backed confidence. This blog breaks down what happened, how Token Metrics spotted the trade before the crowd, and what tools you can use today to find the next HYPE-level breakout before it happens.

The Hyperliquid Surge: What Happened?

On April 14, while much of Crypto Twitter was silent on HYPE, Token Metrics issued a bullish signal on the token. The platform’s AI-powered Trader Grade identified a strong setup forming — based on technical indicators, rising volume, and early momentum shifts.

That signal marked the beginning of a +51.8% price surge, which saw HYPE peak at $38.50 before a broad market correction pulled it back to ~$32.40.

Even with the correction, traders who acted on the early signal locked in solid profits, exited smart, or are now watching for the next move with eyes wide open — guided by grades, not guesswork.

Why Token Metrics Got It Right — When Others Missed It

While most platforms react to price action after it happens, Token Metrics is built to anticipate movement before it’s obvious. Here’s how:

✅ Technical Momentum Detection

The Trader Grade analyzes short-term price action, RSI trends, MACD crossovers, breakout patterns, and dozens of other technical indicators. HYPE’s chart showed tightening consolidation and rising buy volume — and TM’s systems flagged it in real time.

✅ Volume Spike Recognition

One of the earliest clues in any breakout is an uptick in volume. Token Metrics identifies surging liquidity that precedes breakouts — something that traditional screeners miss or catch late.

✅ Narrative Tracking

Hyperliquid was part of a subtle but growing "on-chain perpetuals" narrative — a theme most traders weren’t tracking yet. TM’s AI-powered narrative filters helped surface HYPE as an early player in a trending category.

✅ Signal Strength Confidence

Token Metrics doesn’t just throw out signals randomly. The platform assigns confidence scores based on data quality, historical performance, and AI pattern recognition. HYPE didn’t just look good — it looked statistically strong.

Current Situation: Pullback or Setup?

After topping at $38.50, HYPE retraced — now sitting about 15.8% below its high. Some might see weakness. But Token Metrics helps traders read beyond the price:

📈 Trader Grade still says “Buy” — meaning short-to-mid-term bullish momentum is intact.
🟡 Investor Grade is Neutral — a smart, cautious stance until more long-term data emerges.
🔍 Key Level: $32 — this is the zone bulls need to defend to keep the trend alive.

This context is what makes Token Metrics invaluable. While the crowd panics, TM users stay informed, balanced, and ready.

Token Metrics in Action: Trading with Data, Not Emotion

Let’s zoom out. Why does this matter for your trading journey?

Most traders operate on emotion, social media chatter, or FOMO. Token Metrics flips that model on its head — giving you a complete data-driven crypto trading toolkit:

🧠 AI-Powered Trader Grades

These grades score tokens on a 0–100 scale based on short-term technical momentum. A Trader Grade above 80 often precedes a strong move — as seen with HYPE.

📊 Investor Grades for Long-Term Confidence

Built from 80+ on-chain and off-chain data points — including liquidity, tokenomics, VC backers, exchange listings, community engagement, and developer activity.

📈 Real-Time Market Signals

Get alerted when a new bullish or bearish signal is triggered. These alerts are based on pattern recognition, performance history, and current price action.

🌐 Narrative Filters

Narratives drive price — from DeFi Summer to AI Agent tokens. TM helps you stay on top of evolving themes and find the tokens leading those trends early.

🔔 Alerts & Watchlists

Set custom alerts for grade movements, bold signals, or top gainer movements — so you never miss a trade even when you’re not glued to the screen.

Key Trading Benefits of Using Token Metrics

Let’s break it down: Why use Token Metrics instead of trading blindly?

1. Spot Breakouts Early

Tools like the Market Page and Top Gainers tab help you spot tokens heating up — before they explode. You won’t be the one buying at the top anymore.

2. Avoid FOMO and Bad Buys

TM’s objective grades help filter out low-quality tokens. You can avoid chasing scams or hype-based pumps with no foundation.

3. Simplify Your Research

Instead of spending hours flipping through charts and Twitter threads, Token Metrics gives you instant, high-signal data — all in one place.

4. Trade With Confidence

Whether you’re swing trading or building a long-term bag, the Trader and Investor Grades help validate (or invalidate) your bias.

5. Stay Ahead of Market Rotations

The crypto market rotates fast. Token Metrics surfaces where capital is flowing — and which narratives are gaining strength — so you can rotate with it.

What to Do Next: Trade the Signal, Not the Crowd

Looking ahead, HYPE’s next move depends on what happens at the $32 support zone:

✅ If it holds: there’s room for upside continuation. The Trader Grade supports it.
❌ If it breaks: eyes shift to $25 — a critical support where new buyers may step in.

Either way, Token Metrics users won’t be guessing. They’ll wait for the next signal — bullish or bearish — and make calculated moves based on real data.

This is the difference between reactive trading and strategic trading.

Final Takeaway: Token Metrics Helps You Trade Smarter, Not Harder

The HYPE breakout wasn’t luck. It was the result of acting on strong, data-backed signals before the crowd caught on.

If you’re tired of chasing pumps, panicking in drawdowns, or wondering why others always seem to find winners early, then it's time to level up.

With Token Metrics, you can:

🔍 Spot early movers like HYPE
📊 Trade with AI-powered confidence
📈 Get in before the trend — and exit before the crash
🧠 Make every trade a calculated decision

Ready to Catch the Next HYPE?

Join thousands of traders using Token Metrics to find breakout tokens before they pump.

👉 Explore the platform now at tokenmetrics.com
👉 Get real-time signals, bold alerts, and daily data updates
👉 Trade with structure — not speculation

Because in crypto, the edge goes to the trader with information, not emotion.

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About Token Metrics

Token Metrics: AI-powered crypto research and ratings platform. We help investors make smarter decisions with unbiased Token Metrics Ratings, on-chain analytics, and editor-curated “Top 10” guides. Our platform distills thousands of data points into clear scores, trends, and alerts you can act on.

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analysts, data scientists, and crypto engineers

30 Employees

analysts, data scientists, and crypto engineers

30 Employees

analysts, data scientists, and crypto engineers

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Hedera (HBAR) 2027 Price Targets: Token Metrics Scenarios

Token Metrics Team

8 min read

Portfolio Context for Hedera: Diversification in the 2027 Landscape

Layer 1 tokens like Hedera represent bets on specific blockchain architectures winning developer and user mindshare. HBAR carries both systematic crypto risk and unsystematic risk from Hedera's technical roadmap execution and ecosystem growth. Multi-chain thesis suggests diversifying across several L1s rather than concentrating in one, since predicting which chains will dominate remains difficult.

The projections below show how HBAR might perform under different market cap scenarios. While Hedera may have strong fundamentals, prudent portfolio construction balances L1 exposure across Ethereum, competing smart contract platforms, and Bitcoin to capture the sector without overexposure to any single chain's fate.

Disclosure

Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.

How to read it: Each band blends cycle analogues and market-cap share math with TA guardrails. Base assumes steady adoption and neutral or positive macro. Moon layers in a liquidity boom. Bear assumes muted flows and tighter liquidity.

TM Agent baseline:

Token Metrics lead metric for Hedera, cashtag $HBAR, is a TM Grade of 61.8%, which maps to Hold, and the trading signal is bearish, indicating short-term downward momentum. This means Token Metrics views $HBAR as having reasonably solid fundamentals but limited conviction for strong outperformance in the near term.

A concise long-term numeric view for a 12-month horizon: Token Metrics scenarios center around a range of about $0.06 to $0.18, with a base case near $0.10, reflecting steady ecosystem growth, moderate adoption of Hedera services, and continued enterprise partnerships. Implication: if Bitcoin and broader crypto risk appetite improve, $HBAR could revisit the higher end, while a risk-off market or slower-than-expected developer traction would keep it toward the lower bound.

Live details: Token Details

Key Takeaways

Scenario driven, outcomes hinge on total crypto market cap, higher liquidity and adoption lift the bands.
Single-asset concentration amplifies both upside and downside versus diversified approaches.
Fundamentals: Fundamental Grade 81.08% (Community 74%, Tokenomics 100%, Exchange 100%, VC 59%, DeFi Scanner 85%).
Technology: Technology Grade 62.39% (Activity 58%, Repository 68%, Collaboration 74%, Security 56%, DeFi Scanner 85%).
TM Agent gist: bearish short term, range view with upside if crypto risk appetite improves.
Education only, not financial advice.

Scenario Analysis

Token Metrics scenarios span four market cap tiers, each representing different levels of crypto market maturity and liquidity:

8T: At an 8 trillion dollar total crypto market cap, HBAR projects to $0.27 in bear conditions, $0.32 in the base case, and $0.37 in bullish scenarios.
16T: Doubling the market to 16 trillion expands the range to $0.42 (bear), $0.57 (base), and $0.72 (moon).
23T: At 23 trillion, the scenarios show $0.56, $0.82, and $1.07 respectively.
31T: In the maximum liquidity scenario of 31 trillion, HBAR could reach $0.71 (bear), $1.07 (base), or $1.42 (moon).

These ranges illustrate potential outcomes for concentrated HBAR positions, but investors should weigh whether single-asset exposure matches their risk tolerance or whether diversified strategies better suit their objectives.

The Case for Diversified Index Exposure

Professional investors across asset classes prefer diversified exposure over concentrated bets for good reason. Hedera faces numerous risks - technical vulnerabilities, competitive pressure, regulatory targeting, team execution failure - any of which could derail HBAR performance independent of broader market conditions. Token Metrics Indices spread this risk across one hundred tokens, ensuring no single failure destroys your crypto portfolio.

Diversification becomes especially critical in crypto given the sector's nascency and rapid evolution. Technologies and narratives that dominate today may be obsolete within years as the space matures. By holding HBAR exclusively, you're betting not only on crypto succeeding but on Hedera specifically remaining relevant. Index approaches hedge against picking the wrong horse while maintaining full crypto exposure.

Tax efficiency and rebalancing challenges also favor indices over managing concentrated positions. Token Metrics Indices handle portfolio construction, rebalancing, and position sizing systematically, eliminating the emotional and logistical burden of doing this manually with multiple tokens.

Early access to Token Metrics Indices

What Is Hedera?

Hedera is a high-performance public ledger that emphasizes speed, low fees, and energy efficiency, positioning itself for enterprise and decentralized applications. It uses a unique Hashgraph consensus that enables fast finality and high throughput, paired with a council-governed model that targets real-world use cases like payments, tokenization, and decentralized identity.

HBAR is the native token used for fees, staking, and network security, and it supports smart contracts and decentralized file storage. Adoption draws from partnerships and integrations, though decentralization levels and reliance on institutional demand are often discussed in the community.

Token Metrics AI Analysis

Token Metrics AI provides comprehensive context on Hedera's positioning and challenges.

Vision: Hedera's vision is to provide a secure, fair, and scalable distributed ledger technology platform that supports decentralized applications and enterprise use cases globally. It emphasizes governed decentralization, aiming to combine the benefits of distributed systems with responsible oversight through its council-based governance model.
Problem: Many blockchain networks face trade-offs between scalability, security, and decentralization, often resulting in high transaction fees, slow processing times, or environmental concerns. Hedera aims to address these limitations by offering a system that supports high throughput and fast finality without sacrificing security or incurring significant energy costs, making it suitable for both enterprise and decentralized applications.
Solution: Hedera uses the Hashgraph consensus algorithm, a directed acyclic graph (DAG)-based approach that achieves asynchronous Byzantine fault tolerance, enabling fast, secure, and fair transaction processing. The network supports smart contracts, tokenization, and decentralized file storage, with HBAR serving as the native token for fees, staking, and network security. Its council-governed model aims to ensure stability and trust, particularly for institutional and enterprise users.
Market Analysis: Hedera operates in the Layer 1 blockchain space, competing with high-throughput platforms like Solana, Avalanche, and Algorand, while differentiating through its Hashgraph consensus and governed governance model. It targets enterprise adoption, focusing on use cases in supply chain, payments, and asset tokenization, which sets it apart from more community-driven or DeFi-centric networks. Adoption is influenced by strategic partnerships, developer engagement, and real-world integrations rather than speculative activity. Key risks include competition from established and emerging blockchains, regulatory scrutiny around governance tokens, and challenges in achieving broad decentralization.

Fundamental and Technology Snapshot from Token Metrics

Fundamental Grade: 81.08% (Community 74%, Tokenomics 100%, Exchange 100%, VC 59%, DeFi Scanner 85%).

Technology Grade: 62.39% (Activity 58%, Repository 68%, Collaboration 74%, Security 56%, DeFi Scanner 85%).

Catalysts That Skew Bullish

Institutional and retail access expands with ETFs, listings, and integrations.
Macro tailwinds from lower real rates and improving liquidity.
Product or roadmap milestones such as upgrades, scaling, or partnerships.

Risks That Skew Bearish

Macro risk-off from tightening or liquidity shocks.
Regulatory actions or infrastructure outages.
Concentration or validator economics and competitive displacement.
Protocol-specific execution risk and competitive pressure from alternatives.

FAQs

Can HBAR reach $1.00?

Yes. Based on the scenarios, HBAR could reach $1.00 or above in the higher tiers. The 23T tier projects $1.07 in the moon case and the 31T tier projects $1.42 in the moon case. Achieving this requires broad market cap expansion and Hedera maintaining competitive position. Not financial advice.

What price could HBAR reach in the moon case?

Moon case projections range from $0.37 at 8T to $1.42 at 31T. These scenarios assume maximum liquidity expansion and strong Hedera adoption. Diversified strategies aim to capture upside across multiple tokens rather than betting exclusively on any single moon scenario. Not financial advice.

What's the risk/reward profile for HBAR?

Risk and reward span from $0.27 in the lowest bear case to $1.42 in the highest moon case. Downside risks include regulatory or infrastructure setbacks and competitive pressure, while upside drivers include improved liquidity and enterprise adoption. Concentrated positions amplify both tails, while diversified strategies smooth outcomes.

Next Steps

Disclosure

Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, concentration amplifies risk, and diversification is a fundamental principle of prudent portfolio construction. Do your own research and manage risk appropriately.

Research

Predicting LEO Token Price in 2027: Scenario Analysis & On-Chain Scores

Token Metrics Team

5 min read

LEO Token Valuation Framework: Market Cap Scenarios

Exchange tokens desrive value from trading volume and platform revenue, creating linkage between crypto market activity and LEO price action. LEO Token delivers utility through reduced trading fees and enhanced platform services on Bitfinex and iFinex across Ethereum and EOS. Token Metrics scenarios below model LEO outcomes across different total crypto market cap environments.

Disclosure

Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.

TM Agent baseline: Token Metrics probabilities favor a modest range between about $5 and $15, with a base case around current levels near $9, conditional on exchange token utility remaining steady, and downside risk if centralized exchange macro pressure increases.

Live details: Token Details