Token Metrics API

Price Prediction API: Model Moon/Base/Bear Scenarios in Minutes

Use the Token Metrics price prediction API to model Moon, Base, and Bear scenarios by market caps. Copy-paste JS/Python, watch the demo, and build planners, dashboards, and alerts fast.
Sam Monac
5 min
MIN

Every trader wonders: how high could this token really go? The price prediction API from Token Metrics lets you explore Moon, Base, and Bear scenarios for any asset—grounded in market-cap assumptions like $2T, $8T, $16T and beyond. In this guide, you’ll call /v2/price-prediction, render scenario bands (with editable caps), and ship a planning feature your users will bookmark. Start by creating a key at Get API Key, then Run Hello-TM and Clone a Template to go live fast.

‍

What You’ll Build in 2 Minutes

  • A minimal script that fetches Price Predictions via /v2/price-prediction for any symbol (e.g., BTC, SUI).

  • A simple UI pattern showing Moon / Base / Bear ranges and underlying market-cap scenarios.

  • Optional one-liner curl to smoke-test your API key.

  • Endpoints to add next: /v2/tm-grade (quality context), /v2/trading-signals / /v2/hourly-trading-signals (timing), /v2/resistance-support (stop/target placement), /v2/quantmetrics (risk/return framing).

Why This Matters

Scenario planning beats guessing. Prices move, narratives change, but market-cap scenarios provide a common yardstick for upside/downside. With the price prediction API, you can give users transparent, parameterized ranges (Moon/Base/Bear) and the assumptions behind them—perfect for research, allocation, and position sizing.

Build investor trust. Pair scenario ranges with TM Grade (quality) and Quantmetrics (risk-adjusted performance) so users see both potential and risk. Add optional alerts when price approaches a scenario level to turn curiosity into action—without promising outcomes.

Where to Find 

Find the cURL request for Price Predictions in the top right corner of the API Reference. Use it to easily pull up predictions for your project.

👉 Keep momentum: Get API Key • Run Hello-TM • Clone a Template

Live Demo & Templates

  • Scenario Planner (Dashboard): Select a token, choose caps (e.g., $2T / $8T / $16T), and display Moon/Base/Bear ranges with tooltips.

  • Portfolio Allocator: Pair scenario bands with Quantmetrics and TM Grade to justify position sizes and rebalances.

  • Alert Bot (Discord/Telegram): Ping when price approaches a scenario level; link to the dashboard for context.

Fork a scenario planner or alerting template, plug in your key, and deploy. Confirm your environment by Running Hello-TM, and when you’re scaling users or need higher limits, review API plans.

How It Works (Under the Hood)

The Price Prediction endpoint maps market-cap scenarios to implied token prices, then categorizes them into Bear, Base, and Moon bands for readability. Your inputs can include a symbol and optional market caps; the response returns a scenario array you can plot or tabulate.

A common UX path is: Token selector → Scenario caps input → Prediction bands + context. For deeper insight, link to TM Grade (quality), Trading Signals (timing), and Support/Resistance (execution levels). This creates a complete plan–decide–act loop without overpromising outcomes.

Polling vs webhooks. Predictions don’t require sub-second updates; short-TTL caching and batched fetches work well for dashboards. If you build alerts (“price within 2% of Base scenario”), use a scheduled job and make notifications idempotent to avoid duplicates.

Production Checklist

  • Rate limits: Understand your tier caps; add client throttling and worker queues.

  • Retries & backoff: Exponential backoff with jitter for 429/5xx; capture request IDs.

  • Idempotency: De-dup alerts and downstream actions (e.g., avoid repeat pings).

  • Caching: Memory/Redis/KV with short TTLs; pre-warm popular symbols.

  • Batching: Fetch multiple symbols per cycle; parallelize within rate limits.

  • User controls: Expose caps (e.g., $2T/$8T/$16T) and save presets per user.

  • Display clarity: Label Bear/Base/Moon and show the implied market cap next to each price.

  • Compliance copy: Add a reminder that scenarios are not financial advice; historical outcomes don’t guarantee future results.

  • Observability: Track p95/p99 latency and error rate; log alert outcomes.

  • Security: Store API keys in secrets managers; rotate regularly.

Use Cases & Patterns

  • Bot Builder (Headless): Size positions relative to scenario distance (smaller size near Moon, larger near Bear) while confirming timing with /v2/trading-signals.

  • Dashboard Builder (Product): Add a Predictions tab on token pages; let users tweak caps and export a CSV of bands.

  • Screener Maker (Lightweight Tools): Rank tokens by upside to Base or distance to Bear; add alert toggles for approach thresholds.

  • PM/Allocator: Create policy rules like “increase weight when upside-to-Base > X% and TM Grade ≥ threshold.”

  • Education/Content: Blog widgets showing scenario bands for featured tokens; link to your app’s detailed page.

Next Steps

  • Get API Key — generate a key and start free.

  • Run Hello-TM — verify your first successful call.

  • Clone a Template — deploy a scenario planner or alerts bot today.

  • Watch the demo: VIDEO_URL_HERE

  • Compare plans: Scale confidently with API plans.

FAQs

1) What does the Price Prediction API return?
A JSON array of scenario objects for a symbol—each with a market cap and implied price, typically labeled Bear, Base, and Moon for clarity.

2) Can I set my own scenarios?
Yes, you can pass custom market caps (e.g., $2T, $8T, $16T) to reflect your thesis. Store presets per user or strategy for repeatability.

3) Is this financial advice? How accurate are these predictions?
No. These are scenario estimates based on your assumptions. They’re for planning and research, not guarantees. Always test, diversify, and manage risk.

4) How often should I refresh predictions?
Scenario bands typically don’t need real-time updates. Refresh on page load or at a reasonable cadence (e.g., hourly/daily), and cache results for speed.

5) Do you offer SDKs and examples?
REST is straightforward—see the JavaScript and Python snippets above. The docs include quickstarts, Postman collections, and templates—start with Run Hello-TM.

6) How do I integrate predictions with execution?
Pair predictions with TM Grade (quality), Trading Signals (timing), and Support/Resistance (SL/TP). Alert when price nears a scenario and route to your broker logic (paper-trade first).

7) Pricing, limits, and SLAs?
Start free and scale up as you grow. See API plans for rate limits and enterprise SLA options.

‍

Build Smarter Crypto Apps &
AI Agents in Minutes, Not Months
Real-time prices, trading signals, and on-chain insights all from one powerful API.
Grab a Free API Key
Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

Recent Posts

Research

See What You Own: Holdings Treemap, Table, and Transactions Log (2025)

Sam Monac
7 min
MIN

If you’ve ever bought a “basket” of coins and then wondered what you actually hold, you’re not alone. The TM Global 100 solves that by pairing a rules-based strategy with radical visibility: an interactive holdings treemap, sortable table, and a real-time transactions log—so you can see what you own at all times. This transparency sits on top of a simple idea: a top-100 crypto index when markets are bullish and stablecoins when they’re not, with weekly rebalancing and one-click buy at launch. The result is clarity for hands-off allocators and discipline for active traders—without spreadsheets or manual rebalances.

→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

TL;DR (snippet)

What it is: A rules-based index that holds the top-100 in bull markets and moves to stablecoins in bear markets—paired with a Holdings Treemap, Table, and Transactions Log for full visibility.

Why it matters: Weekly rebalances and transparent change tracking reduce guesswork and help you understand how and why your exposure evolves.

Who it’s for: Hands-off allocators and active traders who want a disciplined, visible core position.

Next step: Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Why Transparency Matters in October 2025

Today’s crypto investor expects more than a chart and a headline weight. You want to audit your index: which coins, what size, and what changed after each rebalance. That’s exactly why we ship three visibility layers on day one: Gauge → Treemap → Transactions Log—plus a classic holdings table for power users.

In practical terms, a holdings treemap shows proportional weights at a glance, a table lets you sort and export details, and a transactions log chronicles every add/trim/exit during rebalances and regime switches. Together, they answer the search intent behind “crypto index holdings” and “weekly rebalancing” with an immediately scannable source of truth.

How the TM Global 100 Index Works (Plain English)

  • Regime switching: When our market signal is bullish, the index holds the top 100 assets by market cap. When bearish, it exits to stablecoins and waits for a re-entry signal.

  • Weekly rebalancing: We adjust constituents and weights weekly to reflect updated rankings—so the index stays aligned with the market.

  • Transparency: You’ll see a Strategy modal (rules at a glance), a market signal gauge, an interactive Holdings treemap & table, and a Transactions log that records rebalances and regime shifts.

  • What you’ll see on launch: A price tile, “tokens: 100,” “rebalances weekly,” and a Buy Index flow that can complete in about 90 seconds, end-to-end.

See the strategy and rules. (TM Global 100 strategy)

Benefits at a Glance (Why This Beats DIY)

  • Time saved: Skip ranking lists, manual screeners, and cross-exchange rebalances.

  • Lower execution drag: A single indexed flow helps reduce the slippage and fees you’d pay hopping between many tokens.

  • No missed cycles: Weekly rebalances help capture changes in the top-100 while the regime switch avoids guesswork when markets turn.

  • Full visibility: Treemap + table + transactions let you see exactly what changed and why—no black boxes.

  • Rules over vibes: A consistent methodology can reduce emotional decisions during drawdowns and market euphoria.

Step-by-Step: How to Get Early Access (Waitlist)

  1. Open the Indices hub and select TM Global 100. (Token Metrics Indices hub)

  2. Join the waitlist with your email to get launch-day access and updates.

  3. (Optional) Connect your wallet so you’re ready to buy at launch.

  4. On launch: Open TM Global 100, review the Gauge → Treemap → Transactions, and tap Buy Index.

  5. Confirm the buy: You’ll see estimates for fees/slippage and the current token mix.

  6. Track your position: Your holdings and every rebalance appear in My Indices and the Transactions Log.

→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Decision Guide: Is This Right for You?

  • Hands-Off Allocator: Want “own the market” exposure and automatic upkeep. Consider if you dislike micromanaging.

  • Active Trader: Want a disciplined core that moves to stablecoins in bears while you take satellite bets elsewhere.

  • TM Member/Prospect: Already trust TM research and want rules-based execution with full visibility.

  • Starter Portfolio Builder: Prefer a single decision over 20+ token buys and periodic DIY reweights.

  • Transparency Seeker: You won’t tolerate black-box products; you want a real transactions log and holdings you can audit.

  • Tax-Aware Rebalancer: You’d rather not run frequent piecemeal trades yourself.

  • Mobile-First User: Want a fast, on-page buy flow instead of tab-hopping across venues.

  • Analytics Fan: Enjoy comparing weights and changes in the treemap after each weekly rebalance.

FAQs

What is a crypto index with a holdings treemap?
It’s a rules-based basket of cryptocurrencies where you can visually inspect weights via an interactive treemap, alongside a sortable table and a transactions log that records every rebalance and regime switch.

How often does the index rebalance?
Weekly. Rebalances update constituents/weights to reflect current top-100 rankings; separate regime switches can also move the portfolio between tokens and stablecoins when the market signal changes.

What triggers the move to stablecoins?
A proprietary market signal. When bearish, the index exits tokens to stablecoins; when bullish resumes, it re-enters the top-100 basket.

Can I fund with USDC or fiat?
At launch, funding/settlement options surface based on your connected wallet and supported chains. USDC payout is supported on selling; fiat on-ramps may be added later.

Is the wallet custodial?
No. The embedded wallet is self-custodial—you control your funds.

How are fees shown?
Before you confirm, the buy flow surfaces estimated gas, platform fee, max slippage, and min expected value.

How do I join the waitlist?
Open the Indices hub, navigate to TM Global 100, and add your email. You’ll be notified on launch with a direct link to buy.

Security, Risk & Transparency

  • Self-custody: Embedded smart wallet with user control.

  • Operational clarity: Weekly rebalances; regime logic documented in the Strategy modal.

  • Fee & slippage preview: All surfaced before you confirm a trade.

  • Data integrity: Holdings treemap + table and transactions log reflect each executed change.

  • Regional notes: Availability and on-ramps can vary by jurisdiction.
    Crypto is volatile and can lose value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This article is for research/education, not financial advice.

Conclusion + Related Reads

TM Global 100 is built for investors who want broad market exposure and the receipts to prove what they hold—treemap, table, and transactions on every rebalance. If you value rules, discipline, and transparency, join the waitlist and be ready on launch day.

Related Reads:

‍

Research

How to Buy a Crypto Index in 90 Seconds (Step-by-Step, 2025)

Sam Monac
7 min
MIN

If you’ve ever tried to “own the market” in crypto, you know the pain: opening multiple exchanges, hunting for the right tokens, praying you rebalance on time, and second-guessing every move. This guide shows you how to buy a crypto index in 90 seconds—and why a rules-based approach can save time, reduce mistakes, and keep you aligned with the trend. Our flagship TM Global 100 is a rules-based crypto index that holds the top-100 assets in bull markets and moves to stablecoins in bear markets, with weekly rebalancing and fully transparent holdings/transactions. Below, you’ll see exactly what the flow looks like and how to join early.

→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

TL;DR (snippet)

  • What it is: Rules-based index that holds the top-100 in bull markets and moves to stablecoins in bear markets.

  • Why it matters: Weekly rebalances + transparent holdings and transaction logs.

  • Who it’s for: Hands-off allocators and active traders who want a disciplined core.

  • Next step: Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Why Education / How-To Matters in October 2025

Crypto’s gotten faster, not simpler. Between regime switching, weekly rebalancing, and dozens of venues, DIY baskets are easy to get wrong. A clear, step-by-step how to buy a crypto index guide helps you execute with confidence, whether you’re optimizing a core position or setting up a long-term plan.
Definition (featured-snippet friendly): A crypto index is a rules-based basket of digital assets that rebalances on a set schedule and may switch to stablecoins during bearish regimes.

Related terms we’ll touch on: crypto index, weekly rebalancing, regime switching.

How the TM Global 100 Index Works (Plain English)

  • Regime switching:


    • Bullish → the index holds the top 100 crypto assets by market cap.

    • Bearish → the index moves fully to stablecoins and waits for a re-entry signal.

  • Weekly rebalancing: Reflects updated market-cap rankings and weights each week.

  • Transparency: Strategy modal explains rules; Gauge → Treemap → Transactions Log show exactly what you hold and when it changes.

  • What you’ll see on launch:


    • Live price tile & market signal “Gauge”

    • 100 tokens (bull regime) & “rebalances weekly”

    • Holdings Treemap + Transactions Log

    • One-click Buy flow with fee/slippage preview

Soft CTA: See the strategy and rules.

Benefits at a Glance (Why This Beats DIY)

  • Time saved: Skip hours of research, sorting, and executing dozens of buys/sells.

  • Missed rebalances avoided: Weekly, rules-based updates reduce “I forgot to rebalance” risk.

  • Disciplined switching: Automated stablecoin exit during bears can help preserve capital.

  • Lower slippage chaos: One flow instead of many fragmented trades across venues.

  • Radical visibility: Gauge → Treemap → Transactions Log show positions and changes—no black box.

  • One-click upkeep: You focus on allocation size; the index handles the rest.

Step-by-Step: How to Get Early Access (Waitlist)

  1. Open the Indices hub: Go to Token Metrics Indices hub.

  2. Join the waitlist: Enter your email to get notified at go-live and receive the 90-second buy instructions.

  3. (Optional) Prepare your wallet: If prompted at launch, create/connect the embedded self-custodial wallet.

  4. Launch day email: We’ll send a direct link to TM Global 100 with the Buy Index button.

  5. Review before you buy: See fees, max slippage, min expected value, and current holdings.

  6. Confirm purchase (~90 seconds): Approve the transaction; you’ll see status and a link to My Indices.

  7. Track updates: Weekly rebalances and any regime switches appear in Holdings and Transactions.

→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

‍

Decision Guide: Is This Right for You?

  • Hands-Off Allocator: Want broad market exposure without micromanaging coins.

  • Active Trader: Prefer to keep a rules-based core while you take satellite bets elsewhere.

  • TM Member/Prospect: Already use TM research and want a simpler path to execution.

  • Rebalance-Fatigued: You’ve missed updates or paid excess fees trying to DIY.

  • Transparency-First: You want clear rules, visible holdings, and a public transactions log.

  • Drawdown-Wary: You value an automatic stablecoin stance during bearish regimes.

FAQs

What is a “how to buy a crypto index” flow?
It’s a streamlined checkout to buy a rules-based basket (index) in one place. For TM Global 100, you’ll see fees/slippage upfront, then confirm in a single flow.

How often does the index rebalance?
Weekly. Rebalances update constituents/weights. If the regime flips, the portfolio can switch between top-100 tokens and stablecoins outside the weekly cycle.

What triggers the move to stablecoins?
A proprietary market signal. In bearish conditions, the index exits tokens into stablecoins and waits for a bullish re-entry signal.

Can I fund with USDC or fiat?
At launch, you’ll follow the on-page instructions shown in the Buy Index flow. Funding options may vary by chain/wallet; USDC payout is supported when selling.

Is the wallet custodial?
No—self-custodial embedded smart wallet. You control funds; the flow simplifies execution.

How are fees shown?
Before confirming, you’ll see estimated gas, platform fee, max slippage, and minimum expected value. Nothing’s hidden.

How do I join the waitlist?
Head to the Token Metrics Indices hub and submit your email, or follow the waitlist CTA on the TM Global 100 page.

Security, Risk & Transparency

  • Self-custody: Embedded smart wallet keeps you in control.

  • 2-step clarity: Fees/slippage displayed before you confirm.

  • Transparent by design: Strategy modal, Holdings Treemap, and Transactions Log show what changed and why.

  • Regime logic limits: Signals can be wrong; rules aim for discipline, not perfection.

  • Regional notes: Availability and on-ramp options may vary by jurisdiction.

Crypto is volatile and can lose value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This article is for research/education, not financial advice.

Conclusion + Related Reads

If you want broad market exposure without babysitting a portfolio, TM Global 100 gives you a rules-based, transparent way to participate in the upside and sit in stablecoins when conditions turn. The 90-second buy flow removes friction so you can focus on allocation—not logistics.

→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Related Reads:

  • TM Global 100 strategy

  • Token Metrics Indices hub

  • Best Cryptocurrency Exchanges 2025

Research

Crypto Index vs DIY Basket: Time, Slippage, and Missed Rebalances (2025)

Sam Monac
7 min
MIN

Building your own crypto basket sounds simple—until you’re juggling 10–50 tickers, spreadsheets, rebalance rules, spreads across chains, and the constant fear of missing regime turns. A crypto index removes that manual grind: TM Global 100 holds the top 100 assets when the market is bullish and moves fully to stablecoins when it’s not, with weekly rebalancing and full transparency of holdings and transactions. One click to buy, zero maintenance to keep up.

→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

TL;DR (snippet)

  • What it is: Rules-based index that holds top-100 in bull markets and moves to stablecoins in bear markets.

  • Why it matters: Weekly rebalances + transparent holdings and transaction logs.

  • Who it’s for: Hands-off allocators and active traders who want a disciplined core.

  • Next step: Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Why Education / Indices Matters in October 2025

In 2025, time and execution quality are alpha. Manually maintaining a DIY basket multiplies complexity: fragmented liquidity, multiple wallets, chain fees, and coordination across exchanges—all while markets move. A rules-based index compresses that overhead into a single, auditable product with pre-declared logic and scheduled upkeep.

Definition (snippet-ready): A crypto index is a rules-based basket of digital assets that rebalances on a set schedule and/or when market conditions change, so you don’t have to micromanage individual coins.

Traders searching “DIY crypto basket,” “regime switching,” or “weekly rebalancing” usually want one thing: broad exposure without the constant maintenance and the regret of missed rebalances. That’s the exact problem TM Global 100 addresses with weekly updates and regime switching to stablecoins when signals turn bearish.

How the TM Global 100 Index Works (Plain English)

  • Regime switching: When signals are bullish, the index holds the top 100 by market cap; when bearish, it exits fully to stablecoins to wait for re-entry.

  • Weekly rebalancing: Aligns weights and constituents with updated rankings; regime changes can also trigger full portfolio shifts.

  • Transparency: Strategy modal explains selection & rebalancing rules; Holdings show a treemap/table; Index Transactions log all changes.

  • What you’ll see on launch: Price tile, signal gauge, tokens=100, “rebalances weekly,” contract address, and a Buy Index button with a ~90-second live demo flow showcased in launch content.

→ See the strategy and rules. (TM Global 100 strategy)

Benefits at a Glance (Why This Beats DIY)

  • Time saved: Replace multi-exchange shopping, wallet hops, and manual allocations with one click.

  • Fewer missed rebalances: Weekly cadence + visible transactions log reduce the cost of “I’ll do it tomorrow.”

  • Slippage discipline: Centralized execution with declared slippage/fee previews helps contain surprises vs piecemeal orders.

  • Regime switching: Codified “risk-off” behavior into stablecoins during bears, so you don’t have to white-knuckle exits. (No performance promises.)

  • Transparency: Strategy modal → Holdings treemap/table → Transactions log—see exactly what you hold and when it changed.

  • Proof cues (What you’ll see): Gauge (market signal) → Treemap (allocations) → Transactions Log → ~90-second Buy flow.

Step-by-Step: How to Get Early Access (Waitlist)

  1. Open the Token Metrics Indices hub and select TM Global 100.

  2. Add your email to the waitlist so you’re first in line at launch.

  3. (Optional) Connect your wallet—our embedded, self-custodial smart wallet supports major chains.

  4. On launch day, you’ll see the price tile, signal gauge, and “Buy Index.”

  5. Review the strategy, expected fees/slippage, and holdings; confirm to purchase.

  6. Track your position in My Indices; rebalances and any regime switches will appear in the transactions log.

→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Decision Guide: Is This Right for You?

  • Hands-Off Allocator: Want broad exposure without micromanaging? Consider a rules-based core that updates weekly.

  • Active Trader: Keep your bets, but use an index core that may step to stablecoins during bears.

  • TM Member/Prospect: Prefer transparent holdings, logs, and a simple buy/sell flow.

  • Time-Strapped Professional: Reduce ops work (wallets, slippage math, spreadsheets) to nearly zero.

  • New to Crypto: Learn with training wheels—strategy modal, tooltips, and clear risk language.

  • DIY Purist: If you enjoy tinkering with weights daily, DIY could still fit—just know weekly index upkeep is handled for you.

FAQs

What is a crypto index?
A rules-based basket of assets with scheduled rebalancing and, in TM Global 100’s case, a regime switch between top-100 exposure and stablecoins.

How often does the index rebalance?
Weekly, with additional full-portfolio switches when the market regime changes.

What triggers the move to stablecoins?
A proprietary market signal. When bearish, the index exits tokens into stablecoins and waits for a bullish re-entry.

Can I fund with USDC or fiat?
Funding options surface based on your connected wallet and supported chains; USDC payouts are supported on selling. (Stablecoin entry may come later.)

Is the wallet custodial?
No. The embedded wallet is self-custodial; you control funds.

How are fees shown?
The Buy flow shows estimated gas, platform fee, max slippage, and minimum expected value before you confirm.

How do I join the waitlist?
Visit the Indices hub → TM Global 100 → enter your email to get notified and first access at launch.

Security, Risk & Transparency

  • Self-custody: You transact via an embedded, self-custodial smart wallet.

  • Visibility: Strategy modal, Holdings treemap/table, and Transactions log make changes auditable.

  • Fee & slippage preview: See estimated gas, platform fee, max slippage, and minimum expected value before confirming.

  • Regime logic limits: Signals can be wrong; markets can gap; weekly rebalances can’t eliminate risk.

  • Region/chain notes: Supported chains surface in-product; availability and options may vary.

Crypto is volatile and can lose value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This article is for research/education, not financial advice.

Conclusion + Related Reads

If you’ve ever missed a rebalance or watched slippage eat into returns, TM Global 100 can help standardize the work: rules-based logic, weekly updates, and a visible log of everything that changed. Join the waitlist to be first to trade, and make a disciplined index your core.

Related Reads:

→ Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

‍

Choose from Platinum, Gold, and Silver packages
Reach with 25–30% open rates and 0.5–1% CTR
Craft your own custom ad—from banners to tailored copy
Perfect for Crypto Exchanges, SaaS Tools, DeFi, and AI Products