Research

Regime Switching in Crypto: Participate in Upside, Sit Out Drawdowns (2025)

Discover how regime switching crypto indices provide a disciplined, rules-based approach to managing crypto market volatility and trend exposure.
Token Metrics Team
5
MIN

Timing crypto cycles is inherently challenging. Volatility in the crypto markets can lead to sharp swings—either capturing gains during bull runs or avoiding deep drawdowns during unfavorable trends. A regime switching crypto index offers a systematic way to adapt to changing market conditions, using rules-based allocations that switch between risk-on assets and stablecoins accordingly. Token Metrics offers tools to help analyze these strategies with transparency and real-time insights.

Why Indices Matter in October 2025

Crypto markets tend to operate in distinct regimes—periods of momentum followed by corrections that can reverse gains quickly. Investors and analysts seeking to implement regime switching or weekly rebalancing frameworks value simplicity and clarity. These approaches help in maintaining discipline, managing risks, and capturing market trends effectively.

Definition of Regime Switching in Crypto

Regime switching in crypto refers to a rules-based investment method that adjusts portfolio exposure based on prevailing market conditions. Typically, this involves rotating into a diversified basket of tokens in bullish phases and shifting into stablecoins during bearish trends, thus managing risk while seeking to ride upward trends.

Why Now: The Rationale for Regime Switching

  • Cycle Asymmetry: Capturing upward trends while limiting downside drawdowns can influence long-term outcomes positively.
  • Operational Efficiency: Automated, rules-based rebalancing reduces errors and slippage tied to manual adjustments across multiple tokens or exchanges.
  • Transparency: Real-time insight into holdings, rebalancing rationale, and transaction history fosters trust and clarity.

How the TM Global 100 Index Works (Plain English)

This index employs regime switching principles: during bullish periods, it holds the top 100 crypto assets by market cap; during bearish times, it exits into stablecoins and waits for buy signals. The index performs weekly rebalancing based on updated rankings, liquidity, and supply metrics. Transparency is maintained through clear strategy rules, gauges, Treemap views, and detailed transaction logs.

Benefits at a Glance (Why This Beats DIY)

  • Rules, not vibes: Automated logic minimizes emotional decision-making.
  • Fewer operational mistakes: Single, streamlined flows replace manual multi-step trades.
  • Discipline in switching: Full rotation into stablecoins at bearish signals reduces hesitation and second-guessing.
  • Cost visibility: Estimated gas, platform fees, and expected minimum value are shown upfront.
  • Full transparency: Holdings treemaps and transaction histories keep you informed.
  • Consistent cadence: Weekly updates ensure alignment with market trends.

Step-by-Step: How to Get Early Access (Waitlist)

  1. Visit the Token Metrics Indices hub.
  2. Find the TM Global 100 index card and tap “Join Waitlist”.
  3. Add your email to receive launch notifications.
  4. Optionally, connect your wallet in advance to streamline onboarding on launch day.
  5. On launch day, you will receive an email when the index opens for trading. The interface features gauges, strategy details, and holdings for instant review.
  6. Complete the purchase of the index in about 90 seconds by confirming your wallet, reviewing potential fees, and confirming the buy.
  7. Track your position within “My Indices” once active.

Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

Decision Guide: Is This Right for You?

  • Hands-Off Allocator: Ideal for those seeking broad market exposure with minimal management.
  • Active Trader: Useful as a core strategy with rules-based rebalancing, supporting satellite bets.
  • Token Metrics Member/Prospect: For users who value transparent, research-backed rules over discretionary choices.
  • Crypto Newcomer: Simplifies entry with one-button buy, weekly updates, and clear rules.
  • Time-Constrained Pro: Reduces operational overhead while maintaining clarity and predictability.
  • Skeptical of Forecasts: Prefers systematic processes over relying on predictions or forecasts.

FAQs

What is a regime switching crypto index?

A rules-based portfolio that allocates to a diversified token basket during bullish phases and switches to stablecoins during bearish conditions, based on predefined signals. Token Metrics implements this with a top-100 universe and full stablecoin rotation in downturns.

How often does the index rebalance?

It rebalances weekly to reflect changes in rankings and liquidity. Significant regime changes can occur outside the schedule when market signals trigger a switch.

What triggers the move to stablecoins?

A proprietary market signal prompts the index to exit token positions and move into stablecoins during bearish phases, waiting for a bullish signal to re-enter.

Can I fund with USDC or fiat?

Funding occurs via an embedded, self-custodial wallet supporting major chains. USDC payouts are supported when selling. Funding options depend on your wallet and region.

Is the wallet custodial?

No. It is self-custodial, giving you control of keys and funds.

How are fees shown?

Before confirming a trade, estimated gas, platform fee, slippage, and expected minimum value are displayed.

How do I join the waitlist?

Visit the Token Metrics Indices hub, open TM Global 100, and tap “Join Waitlist”. You will be notified at launch.

Security, Risk & Transparency

  • Self-custody is prioritized: You control your keys and funds.
  • Transparency is built into the process: Fees, holdings, and transaction logs are visible before and after trades.
  • Market signals are based on rules; sudden gaps and spreads can impact outcomes.
  • Supported regions and asset options may vary due to geography.

Crypto markets are volatile and can fluctuate rapidly. Past performance does not predict future results. This article aims to educate and inform, not provide financial advice.

Conclusion

For a disciplined, transparent approach to broad crypto exposure that adapts to market regimes, the TM Global 100 index offers a rules-based platform with weekly rebalancing and full visibility. It enables investors to focus on allocation without the stress of micromanagement.

Join the waitlist to be first to trade TM Global 100.

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Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

Recent Posts

Research

Crypto Trading Signals API: Put Bullish/Bearish Calls Right in Your App

Token Metrics Team
4
MIN

Timing makes or breaks every trade. The crypto trading signals API from Token Metrics lets you surface bullish and bearish calls directly in your product—no spreadsheet wrangling, no chart gymnastics. In this guide, you’ll hit the /v2/trading-signals endpoint, display actionable signals on a token (e.g., SOL, BTC, ETH), and ship a conversion-ready feature for bots, dashboards, or Discord. Start by creating a key on Get API Key, then Run Hello-TM and Clone a Template to go live fast.

What You’ll Build in 2 Minutes

  • A minimal script that fetches Trading Signals via /v2/trading-signals for one symbol (e.g., SOL).
  • A copy-paste curl to smoke-test your key.
  • A UI pattern to render signal, confidence/score, and timestamp in your dashboard or bot.

Endpoints to add next

  • /v2/hourly-trading-signals (intraday updates)
  • /v2/resistance-support (risk placement)
  • /v2/tm-grade (one-score view)
  • /v2/quantmetrics (risk/return context)

Why This Matters

Action over analysis paralysis. Traders don’t need more lines on a chart—they need an opinionated call they can automate. The trading signals API compresses technical momentum and regime reads into Bullish/Bearish events you can rank, alert on, and route into strategies.

Built for dev speed and reliability. A clean schema, predictable performance, and straightforward auth make it easy to wire signals into bots, dashboards, and community tools. Pair with short-TTL caching or webhooks to minimize polling and keep latency low.

Where to Find

You can find the cURL request for Crypto Trading Signals in the top right corner of the API Reference. Use it to access the latest signals!

Live Demo & Templates

  • Trading Bot Starter: Use Bullish/Bearish calls to trigger paper trades; add take-profit/stop rules with Support/Resistance.
  • Dashboard Signal Panel: Show the latest call, confidence, and last-updated time; add a history table for context.
  • Discord/Telegram Alerts: Post signal changes to a channel with a link back to your app.

How It Works (Under the Hood)

Trading Signals distill model evidence (e.g., momentum regimes and pattern detections) into Bullish or Bearish calls with metadata such as confidence/score and timestamp. You request /v2/trading-signals?symbol=<ASSET> and render the most recent event, or a small history, in your UI.

For intraday workflows, use /v2/hourly-trading-signals to update positions or alerts more frequently. Dashboards typically use short-TTL caching or batched fetches; headless bots lean on webhooks, queues, or short polling with backoff to avoid spiky API usage.

Production Checklist

  • Rate limits: Know your tier caps; add client-side throttling and queues.
  • Retries/backoff: Exponential backoff with jitter; treat 429/5xx as transient.
  • Idempotency: Guard downstream actions (don’t double-trade on retries).
  • Caching: Memory/Redis/KV with short TTLs for reads; pre-warm popular symbols.
  • Webhooks & jobs: Prefer webhooks or scheduled workers for signal change alerts.
  • Pagination/Bulk: Batch symbols; parallelize with care; respect limits.
  • Error catalog: Map common 4xx/5xx to clear fixes; log request IDs.
  • Observability: Track p95/p99 latency, error rate, and alert delivery success.
  • Security: Keep keys in a secrets manager; rotate regularly.

Use Cases & Patterns

  • Bot Builder (Headless): Route Bullish into candidate entries; confirm with /v2/resistance-support for risk and TM Grade for quality.
  • Dashboard Builder (Product): Add a “Signals” module per token; color-code state and show history for credibility.
  • Screener Maker (Lightweight Tools): Filter lists by Bullish state; sort by confidence/score; add alert toggles.
  • Community/Discord: Post signal changes with links to token pages; throttle to avoid noise.
  • Allocator/PM Tools: Track signal hit rates by sector/timeframe to inform position sizing (paper-trade first).

Next Steps

  1. Get API Key — create a key and start free.
  2. Run Hello-TM — confirm your first successful call.
  3. Clone a Template — deploy a bot, dashboard, or alerting tool today.

FAQs

1) What does the Trading Signals API return?

A JSON payload with the latest Bullish/Bearish call for a symbol, typically including a confidence/score and generated_at timestamp. You can render the latest call or a recent history for context.

2) Is it real-time? What about latency/SLOs?

Signals are designed for timely, programmatic use with predictable latency. For faster cycles, use /v2/hourly-trading-signals. Add caching and queues/webhooks to reduce round-trips.

3) Can I use the signals in a live trading bot?

Yes—many developers do. A common pattern is: Signals → candidate entry, Support/Resistance → stop/targets, Quantmetrics → risk sizing. Always backtest and paper-trade before going live.

4) How accurate are the signals?

Backtests are illustrative, not guarantees. Treat signals as one input in a broader framework with risk controls. Evaluate hit rates and drawdowns on your universe/timeframe.

5) Do you provide SDKs and examples?

You can integrate via REST using JavaScript and Python snippets above. The docs include quickstarts, Postman collections, and templates—start with Run Hello-TM.

6) Polling vs webhooks for alerts?

Dashboards often use cached polling. For bots/alerts, prefer webhooks or scheduled jobs and keep retries idempotent to avoid duplicate trades or messages.

7) Pricing, limits, and enterprise SLAs?

Begin free and scale as you grow. See API plans for allowances; enterprise SLAs and support are available.

Research

Fundamental Grade Crypto API: Real Crypto Fundamentals in One Score

Token Metrics Team
3
MIN

Most traders chase price action; Fundamental Grade Crypto API helps you see the business behind the token—community traction, tokenomics design, exchange presence, VC signals, and DeFi health—consolidated into one score you can query in code. In a few minutes, you’ll fetch Fundamental Grade, render it in your product, and ship a due-diligence UX that drives trust. Start by grabbing your key at the Get API Key page, Run Hello-TM to verify your first call, then Clone a Template to go live fast.

What You’ll Build in 2 Minutes

A minimal script to fetch Fundamental Grade from /v2/fundamental-grade for any symbol (e.g., BTC).

  • Optional curl to smoke-test your key in seconds.
  • A drop-in pattern to display the grade + key drivers in dashboards, screeners, and research tools.

Endpoints to consider next

  • /v2/tm-grade (technical/sentiment/momentum)
  • /v2/price-prediction (scenario planning)
  • /v2/resistance-support (risk levels)
  • /v2/quantmetrics (risk/return stats)

Why This Matters

Beyond price, toward quality. Markets are noisy—hype rises and fades. Fundamental Grade consolidates hard-to-track signals (community growth, token distribution, liquidity venues, investor quality, DeFi integrations) into a clear, comparable score. You get a fast “is this worth time and capital?” answer for screening, allocation, and monitoring.

Build trust into your product. Whether you run an investor terminal, exchange research tab, or a portfolio tool, Token Metrics discovery helps users justify positions. Pair it with TM Grade or Quantmetrics for a balanced picture: what to buy (fundamentals) and when to act (signals/levels).

Where to Find

The Fundamental Grade is easily accessible in the top right of the API Reference. Grab the cURL request for seamless access!

Ready to build?

  • Get API Key — generate a key and start free.
  • Run Hello-TM — verify your first successful call.
  • Clone a Template — deploy a screener or token page today.

Watch the demo: VIDEO_URL_HERE. Compare plans: Scale confidently with API plans.

FAQs

1) What does the Fundamental Grade API return?

A JSON payload with the overall score/grade plus component scores (e.g., community, tokenomics, exchange presence, VC backing, DeFi health) and timestamps. Use the overall grade for ranking and component scores for explanations.

2) How fast is the endpoint? Do you publish SLOs?

The API is engineered for predictable latency. For high-traffic dashboards, add short-TTL caching and batch requests; for alerts, use jobs/webhooks to minimize round-trips.

3) Can I combine Fundamental Grade with TM Grade or signals?

Yes. A common pattern is Fundamental Grade for quality filter + TM Grade for technical/sentiment context + Trading Signals for timing and Support/Resistance for risk placement.

4) How “accurate” is the grade?

It’s an opinionated synthesis of multiple inputs—not financial advice. Historical studies can inform usage, but past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always layer risk management and testing.

5) Do you offer SDKs and examples?

You can use REST directly (see JS/Python above). The docs include quickstarts, Postman, and ready-to-clone templates—start with Run Hello-TM.

6) Polling vs webhooks for fundamentals updates?

For UI pages, cached polling works well. For event-style notifications (upgrades/downgrades), prefer webhooks or scheduled jobs to avoid spiky traffic.

7) What about pricing, limits, and enterprise SLAs?

Begin free and scale as you grow. See API plans for allowances; enterprise SLAs and support are available—contact us.

Research

Fundamental Grade Crypto API: Invest with Conviction Using Real Project Signals

Token Metrics Team
4
MIN

Most traders chase price action; Fundamental Grade Crypto API helps you see the business behind the token—community traction, tokenomics design, exchange presence, VC signals, and DeFi health—consolidated into one score you can query in code. In a few minutes, you’ll fetch Fundamental Grade, render it in your product, and ship a due-diligence UX that drives trust. Start by grabbing your key at the Get API Key page, Run Hello-TM to verify your first call, then Clone a Template to go live fast.

What You’ll Build in 2 Minutes

A minimal script to fetch Fundamental Grade from /v2/fundamental-grade for any symbol (e.g., BTC).

  • Optional curl to smoke-test your key in seconds.
  • A drop-in pattern to display the grade + key drivers in dashboards, screeners, and research tools.

Endpoints to consider next:

  • /v2/tm-grade (technical/sentiment/momentum)
  • /v2/price-prediction (scenario planning)
  • /v2/resistance-support (risk levels)
  • /v2/quantmetrics (risk/return stats)

Why This Matters

Beyond price, toward quality. Markets are noisy—hype rises and fades. Fundamental Grade consolidates hard-to-track signals (community growth, token distribution, liquidity venues, investor quality, DeFi integrations) into a clear, comparable score. You get a fast “is this worth time and capital?” answer for screening, allocation, and monitoring.

Build trust into your product. Whether you run an investor terminal, exchange research tab, or a portfolio tool, Fundamental Grade lets users justify positions. Pair it with TM Grade or Quantmetrics for a balanced picture: what to buy (fundamentals) and when to act (signals/levels).

Where to Find The Fundamental Grade

The Fundamental Grade is easily accessible in the top right of the API Reference. Grab the cURL request for seamless access!

Build Smarter Crypto Apps & AI Agents with Token Metrics

Token Metrics provides real-time prices, trading signals, and on-chain insights all from one powerful API. Grab a Free API Key

How It Works (Under the Hood)

Fundamental Grade aggregates multiple project-quality signals into a normalized score and label (e.g., Strong / Average / Weak). Typical sub-signals include:

  • Community: momentum across channels (dev activity/user traction signals where applicable).
  • Tokenomics: supply schedule, distribution, unlock dynamics, incentives.
  • Exchange Presence: venue coverage, depth/liquidity proxies.
  • VC/Investor Signals: quality/durability of backing and ecosystem support.
  • DeFi Health: integrations, TVL context, composability footprint.

At query time, you call /v2/fundamental-grade with a symbol; responses include the overall score plus component scores you can visualize. For dashboards with many assets, batch fetches and short-TTL caching keep pages responsive. If you push alerts (e.g., “Fundamental Grade upgraded”), prefer webhooks or queued jobs to avoid hammering the API.

Production Checklist

  • Rate limits: Know plan caps; add client throttling and request queues.
  • Retries/backoff: Exponential backoff + jitter; surface actionable error messages.
  • Idempotency: Prevent duplicate downstream actions on retried calls.
  • Caching: Use memory/Redis/KV with short TTLs; pre-warm popular symbols.
  • Webhooks & jobs: For alerts, use signed webhooks or scheduled jobs; log delivery outcomes.
  • Pagination/Bulk: When covering many tokens, paginate or process in batches.
  • Error catalog: Map 4xx/5xx to user-visible fixes; log request IDs.
  • Observability: Track p95/p99 and error rate per endpoint; alert on spikes.
  • Security: Keep API keys in secrets managers; rotate regularly.

Use Cases & Patterns

  • Screener Maker: Rank tokens by Fundamental Grade, filter by market cap/sector, and add “rising fundamentals” badges for discovery.
  • Dashboard Builder: On each token page, show the headline grade with a component chart; link to methodology for transparency.
  • Research & PM Tools: Flag downgrades/upgrades to prompt re-evaluation; attach notes to component changes (e.g., DeFi health drop).
  • Allocator / Risk: Require a minimum Fundamental Grade before inclusion; rebalance only when grade crosses thresholds.
  • Community/Discord: Post weekly upgrades as digest messages with links back to your app.

Next Steps

  • Get API Key — generate a key and start free.
  • Run Hello-TM — verify your first successful call.
  • Clone a Template — deploy a screener or token page today.
  • Watch the demo: VIDEO_URL_HERE
  • Compare plans: Scale confidently with API plans.

FAQs

1) What does the Fundamental Grade API return?

A JSON payload with the overall score/grade plus component scores (e.g., community, tokenomics, exchange presence, VC backing, DeFi health) and timestamps. Use the overall grade for ranking and component scores for explanations.

2) How fast is the endpoint? Do you publish SLOs?

The API is engineered for predictable latency. For high-traffic dashboards, add short-TTL caching and batch requests; for alerts, use jobs/webhooks to minimize round-trips.

3) Can I combine Fundamental Grade with TM Grade or signals?

Yes. A common pattern is Fundamental Grade for quality filter + TM Grade for technical/sentiment context + Trading Signals for timing and Support/Resistance for risk placement.

4) How “accurate” is the grade?

It’s an opinionated synthesis of multiple inputs—not financial advice. Historical studies can inform usage, but past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always layer risk management and testing.

5) Do you offer SDKs and examples?

You can use REST directly (see JS/Python above). The docs include quickstarts, Postman, and ready-to-clone templates—start with Run Hello-TM.

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