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Slippage and Gas Fees Killing Your Returns? One-Trade Index Solution for 2025

Discover how slippage and gas fees impact crypto portfolio returns in 2025, and learn about an automated one-trade index solution designed for cost-efficient, diversified exposure.
Token Metrics Team
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Every crypto trader understands the frustration of carefully calculating expected profits, executing trades, and then watching as slippage and gas fees quietly eat away at those returns. In 2025’s volatile crypto market, these hidden costs have become more than just a minor annoyance—they are systematically killing portfolio performance for both active traders and passive investors alike. This points to a deeper problem: the current crypto trading system is fundamentally flawed, with inefficiencies and complexities that undermine user confidence and adoption. If you manage a diversified crypto portfolio with dozens of tokens, chances are you’re bleeding value every time you rebalance or transfer funds. Understanding exactly how much these fees impact your profits is the first crucial step toward saving your portfolio from further losses.

The Hidden Tax on Crypto Portfolio Management

To fully grasp the challenge, it’s important to break down the real cost of building and maintaining a diversified crypto portfolio in today’s environment. Two major factors contribute to the erosion of your returns: slippage and gas fees.

Slippage occurs when the price at which your trade executes differs from the price you initially expected. This discrepancy is driven by factors such as market volatility, low liquidity, and order book depth. For smaller-cap altcoins within the top 100 tokens, slippage can easily reach 1-3% per trade. This means that even if you think you’re buying or selling at a certain price, the actual execution price might be worse, reducing your value and profits.

Gas fees are another critical cost to watch closely. Every on-chain transaction—whether swapping tokens on decentralized exchanges or transferring assets between wallets—requires payment of gas fees to miners or validators who confirm transactions on the blockchain. During periods of network congestion, especially on Ethereum and other popular chains, gas prices can spike dramatically. Gas fees are calculated based on current network activity and the complexity of each trade, so understanding this calculation helps traders anticipate costs and optimize their transactions. It’s not uncommon to pay $20 to $50 or more for a single transaction. These fees are not just occasional expenses; they add up quickly and can severely impact the profitability of frequent trades.

Network congestion and the choice of blockchain can also affect the speed at which transactions are confirmed, with slower speeds leading to delays and potentially higher costs during busy periods.

When you combine these two factors, the costs compound rapidly. Imagine managing a portfolio of 50 to 100 tokens and rebalancing monthly. Each rebalance involves dozens of trades, each incurring slippage and gas fees. This results in a significant drag on your overall portfolio performance.

For example, consider a trader managing a $50,000 portfolio spread across 100 tokens who decides to rebalance monthly. Assuming an average gas fee of $15 per swap and 1.5% average slippage, the cost of rebalancing just once would be approximately $1,500 in gas plus $750 lost to slippage—totaling $2,250, or 4.5% of the portfolio value, wiped out before any market movement occurs. Over a year of monthly rebalances, these costs can exceed 20% of the initial capital, enough to completely erase gains from even a modest bull market.

The Effects of Low Liquidity

Low liquidity is one of the most persistent challenges in the crypto trading world, and its impact on your portfolio can be both immediate and severe. When liquidity dries up—whether due to market volatility, volume spikes, or simply a lack of active traders—executing trades becomes riskier and more expensive. For traders dealing with large trades or those who set tight slippage tolerance, low liquidity can quickly turn a profitable strategy into a costly mistake.

In markets with low liquidity, even modest buy or sell orders can trigger significant price moves, causing the actual execution price to deviate sharply from what you expected. This slippage is especially pronounced on decentralized exchanges, where order books are often thin and a single large trade can move the market. For example, attempting to swap a sizable amount of a low-liquidity token can result in a short squeeze, where the price spikes rapidly, leaving you with fewer tokens for your dollar and eroding your profits.

The risks don’t stop at unfavorable prices. Low liquidity also increases the likelihood of failed transactions, particularly if you set a strict slippage protection limit. If the market can’t deliver your trade within your specified slippage tolerance, the transaction may fail entirely—forcing you to pay gas fees for a trade that never completes. In periods of network congestion, this problem is magnified: not only do you face higher gas prices as users compete to get their transactions confirmed, but the odds of failed or delayed trades rise as well.

To navigate these challenges, traders rely on a combination of tools and strategies. Monitoring volume indicators can help you gauge the current liquidity of a token or market, allowing you to adjust your trade size or slippage tolerance accordingly. Some participants opt to break up large trades into smaller transactions to minimize price impact, while others use slippage protection features to cap potential losses—though this can increase the risk of failed transactions and wasted gas fees.

Timing is also crucial. Trading during periods of lower network congestion—such as off-peak hours—can help you secure lower fees and faster transaction speeds. Additionally, choosing decentralized exchanges that leverage layer two solutions or alternative chains can further reduce costs and improve execution reliability.

Diversification remains a key defense against the risks of low liquidity. By spreading your portfolio across more liquid tokens and markets, you reduce your exposure to sudden price moves and failed trades. For instance, if you notice that a particular token’s volume has dropped, it may be wise to adjust your allocation or avoid trading it until conditions improve.

Consider the example of a trader attempting to execute a large swap on a thinly traded token. Without proper precautions, they might see the price move dramatically against them, or worse, have their transaction fail and still pay a hefty gas fee. By using slippage protection, monitoring liquidity, and timing trades to avoid network congestion, traders can save money, reduce risk, and protect their portfolio’s value.

In the fast-moving world of crypto, staying informed about liquidity conditions and adapting your trading strategies is essential. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting out, keeping a close watch on gas fees, slippage, and market volume can help you avoid costly mistakes and manage your portfolio effectively—even when liquidity is scarce. By leveraging analytical tools and maintaining flexibility in your approach, you can navigate the challenges of low liquidity to support long-term portfolio objectives.

Token Metrics: Leading the Crypto Analytics Revolution

This is where Token Metrics steps in to change the game. As one of the leading crypto trading and analytics platforms in 2025, Token Metrics has built its reputation on delivering institutional-grade research, data-driven insights, and powerful tools tailored to both retail and professional traders. In addition to analytics, Token Metrics provides essential services that enable seamless data flow and value transfer across the crypto ecosystem.

Founded on the principle that cryptocurrency investing should be systematic, accessible, and intelligent, Token Metrics offers comprehensive analytics covering thousands of digital assets. The platform combines proprietary market signals, AI-powered ratings, and deep quantitative analysis with on-chain data and technical indicators. As an app, Token Metrics streamlines the crypto trading process for users. But beyond just research, Token Metrics recognized a crucial problem: even the best analysis can be undermined by poor trade execution, which slippage and gas fees exacerbate.

To address this, Token Metrics developed automated index solutions designed to help eliminate the execution tax that impacts portfolio returns. These tools allow users to save on fees, reduce risk, and improve overall portfolio efficiency by streamlining the trade process. By focusing on key trading strategies and metrics, Token Metrics helps users make informed decisions with robust supporting data.

Introducing the One-Trade Solution: TM Global 100

The TM Global 100 Index is Token Metrics’ innovative response to the slippage and gas fee crisis. By streamlining exposure to the top-100 crypto assets, the index helps mitigate risks that typically affect arbitrage strategies, such as slippage and execution delays, making it easier for participants to maintain portfolio consistency. Instead of executing dozens of individual trades to achieve broad market exposure, this rules-based index delivers a complete top-100 crypto portfolio through a single transaction.

Single-Transaction Execution

The key advantage of the TM Global 100 is that you only need to execute one trade to gain exposure to 100 tokens. This means paying one gas fee instead of dozens and experiencing minimal slippage on a single, larger transaction rather than accumulated slippage across many smaller trades. Since blockchain networks have limited space, executing a single transaction also helps avoid network congestion and keeps transaction costs lower, improving overall efficiency.

The math is compelling: one transaction versus 100 transactions represents a 99% reduction in gas fees alone. Even if the index rebalances weekly—which it does automatically—you pay no extra gas fees because all internal adjustments happen within the index structure.

Automated Weekly Rebalancing at Zero Cost

Traditional portfolio management requires constant monitoring, manual calculations, and repeated trades to maintain target allocations. The TM Global 100 automates this entire process, rebalancing weekly to reflect the current top-100 tokens by market capitalization. This means no need to watch 100 different tickers across multiple decentralized exchanges, no manual rebalance timing decisions, and no accumulated transaction costs from frequent adjustments.

This automated rebalancing flow ensures your portfolio stays aligned with market shifts without the need to sign off on every trade or pay additional fees. Automation also helps catch sudden market changes or potential issues early, supporting timely adjustments.

Regime-Switching Protection

Beyond cost savings, the TM Global 100 incorporates intelligent risk management through proprietary market signal detection. When market conditions shift from bullish to bearish, the index automatically moves holdings from the top-100 crypto assets into stablecoins, providing capital protection during downturns.

This regime-switching strategy means that during bull markets, you maintain full exposure to the broad upside of the crypto market, while during bear markets, your funds are preserved in stablecoins until positive signals emerge. This automatic adjustment helps avoid the need for panic selling or multiple transactions, and also supports recovery by positioning investors to re-enter the market at more favorable times, further reducing slippage, fees, and risk.

Real-World Impact: Cost Comparison

To illustrate the benefits, let’s compare the costs of two approaches to diversified crypto exposure:

  • DIY Portfolio Management (100 tokens, quarterly rebalancing):
    • Initial build: Approximately $1,500 in gas plus $750 in slippage, totaling $2,250
    • Quarterly rebalances: $2,250 × 4 = $9,000 annually
    • Regime switches (2 per year): $2,250 × 2 = $4,500
    • Total annual execution cost: Around $13,500
  • TM Global 100 Index:
    • Initial purchase: Single transaction with typical gas fee between $15 and $50
    • Weekly rebalances: Included at zero additional cost
    • Regime switches: Automatic and free of extra fees
    • Total annual execution cost: Approximately $50

The difference—more than $13,000 saved annually—directly impacts your portfolio’s performance. When comparing these options, the TM Global 100 approach offers significantly lower transaction costs and more predictable outcomes, allowing you to keep more of your assets working for you instead of spent on fees and slippage.

Getting Started: Join the Waitlist

The TM Global 100 Index launches with an embedded, self-custodial smart wallet, ensuring you have full control of your funds while accessing institutional-grade index investing. The purchase process is simple and takes about 90 seconds:

  1. Visit the Token Metrics Indices hub at tokenmetrics.com/indices
  2. Select TM Global 100 and tap Join Waitlist
  3. Connect your wallet to preview the one-click buy flow. Ensure your wallet can accept the token for a smooth transaction.
  4. Upon launch, receive a notification and execute your purchase. Double-check details such as wallet address and network before confirming.
  5. Track your portfolio performance in real time with transparent holdings, transaction logs, and profit & loss details.
  6. All fees—including estimated gas, platform fees, and maximum slippage—are displayed clearly before you confirm your transaction.

This transparency ensures no surprises or hidden costs, allowing for informed decision-making. Transactions may be blocked due to compliance or verification issues, such as incomplete information or regulatory requirements. If a transaction is pending and not confirmed, you may have the option to cancel it by paying a higher gas fee.

The Bottom Line

In 2025’s fast-moving and often congested crypto networks, execution costs are no longer a minor inconvenience—they are a significant consideration for portfolio management. Slippage and gas fees compound quickly when managing diversified portfolios, potentially impacting 20% or more of your capital annually.

Token Metrics’ TM Global 100 Index addresses this by offering single-transaction access to a complete top-100 portfolio, automated weekly rebalancing, and intelligent regime-switching—all while ensuring full transparency and self-custody. This innovative solution allows you to focus on portfolio growth rather than unnecessary execution costs or the effects of market volatility.

If you’re looking for a more efficient, cost-effective approach to self-managed crypto index investing, joining the TM Global 100 waitlist could be your next step. Explore early access to TM100 indices at Token Metrics.

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FAQs

How do slippage and gas fees impact crypto returns?

Slippage and gas fees can significantly reduce portfolio returns, especially for traders managing diversified portfolios or rebalancing frequently. Each trade may execute at a less favorable price due to slippage, while gas fees accrue for every on-chain transaction. Over time, these costs can compound, eroding the profitability of even a well-performing portfolio.

What is the TM Global 100 Index?

The TM Global 100 Index is a rules-based crypto index offered by Token Metrics. It provides diversified exposure to the top-100 cryptocurrencies in a single transaction, automating rebalancing and implementing regime-switching strategies to help minimize costs and manage risk.

How does automated rebalancing save money?

Automated rebalancing eliminates the need for multiple manual trades, each incurring their own slippage and gas fees. By consolidating portfolio adjustments into a single, internal process, automated indices can reduce execution costs and keep portfolios aligned with market shifts more efficiently.

What is regime-switching and how does it work?

Regime-switching is a risk management feature in the TM Global 100 Index that adjusts portfolio allocations based on proprietary market signals. When bearish market conditions are detected, the index shifts assets into stablecoins to help preserve capital, re-entering the market when positive signals return.

How transparent are fees with Token Metrics' index solutions?

All estimated gas, platform fees, and slippage limits are displayed clearly before transactions are confirmed. This level of fee transparency ensures that users can make fully informed decisions and are never caught off guard by hidden costs.

What are the risks of using crypto index products?

As with all crypto investments, index products involve market risk, potential smart contract vulnerabilities, and regulatory considerations. Users should conduct due diligence and ensure they understand the associated risks before participating.

Disclaimer

This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Token Metrics does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of information or assume any liability for loss or damage resulting from reliance on this content.

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About Token Metrics
Token Metrics: AI-powered crypto research and ratings platform. We help investors make smarter decisions with unbiased Token Metrics Ratings, on-chain analytics, and editor-curated “Top 10” guides. Our platform distills thousands of data points into clear scores, trends, and alerts you can act on.
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Recent Posts

Announcements

🚀 Token Metrics API Goes Live on Hacker News – The AI Crypto Toolkit for Builders

Token Metrics Team
5 min

The Token Metrics API has officially launched on Hacker News, marking a major milestone in our mission to bring AI-powered crypto insights to every developer, founder, and builder in the Web3 space.

If you're building trading bots, dashboards, investment tools, or AI agents that interact with the crypto market, this is your developer edge in 2025. Forget raw feeds and static charts—this is real-time, AI-grade crypto intelligence available in minutes via a single API key.

What Is the Token Metrics API?

The Token Metrics API is a powerful crypto intelligence engine built for developers who want more than just price data. It combines machine learning, quantitative modeling, and narrative indexing to deliver structured signals that help users make smarter trading decisions.

Instead of simply showing what the market did, the API helps predict what it might do—with insights like:

  • Trader & Investor Grades (0–100 scores on momentum and fundamentals)
  • Bullish/Bearish Signals across 6,000+ assets
  • Narrative-based Indices like DeFi, AI, Memes, RWAs, and more
  • Quantitative Risk Scores and sentiment analysis
  • Real-time updates, no lag, no stale metrics

It’s like giving your crypto bot a brain—and not just any brain, an AI-trained crypto analyst that never sleeps.

Why It’s Different from Every Other Crypto API

Most APIs give you prices, volume, and maybe some on-chain data. Token Metrics gives you opinionated intelligence derived from over 80 on-chain, off-chain, technical, and sentiment indicators.

That means:

  • Your dashboard users get real-time grades and trending tokens.
  • Your AI agent can speak fluently about token fundamentals.
  • Your bot can act on bullish flips before the rest of the market.

We’ve designed this API for modularity and plug-and-play usability. With 21+ endpoints and official SDKs, you can ship faster and smarter—no custom pipeline needed.

What Can You Build?

Whether you're a solo developer or building inside a Web3 team, the possibilities are wide open.

Build smarter with Token Metrics if you’re creating:

  • 🧠 AI trading agents that query real-time token grades
  • 📊 Investor dashboards that surface top-rated altcoins
  • 📈 DApps that alert users to sector momentum shifts
  • 📱 Mobile apps with embedded market signals
  • 🧪 Backtesting systems for narrative-based portfolio strategies

Because the API supports OpenAI, Claude, Cursor, and Raycast integrations, your agents and LLM-powered tools can query live crypto intelligence in natural language—no additional parsing required.

Why the Hacker News Feature Matters

Token Metrics API just made it to the front page of Hacker News, one of the internet’s most trusted platforms for discovering high-impact developer tools.

This means:

  • 💬 A community of builders and engineers is already testing the API
  • 🧪 Feedback is pouring in, helping us evolve faster
  • 🚀 Your early adoption puts you ahead of the curve

If you’ve been waiting for the right time to integrate AI-native crypto signals into your product—this is it.

Get Started for Free

We’re offering 5,000 free API calls/month for every new developer.

Sign up, plug in your key, and build:

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Research

Bullish or Bearish? Interpreting AI Signals in Today’s Volatile Crypto Market

Token Metrics Team
5 min

Introduction

Crypto moves fast — and traders who can't read the signs get left behind. But in a market where emotions dominate, how do you distinguish between a real trend and a fakeout? That’s where AI-powered trading signals come in.

Token Metrics AI monitors over 6,000 tokens using 80+ data points, from technical momentum to on-chain activity and social sentiment. Its bullish and bearish signals aren’t just flashes of color — they’re actionable, data-driven insights that can guide decisions in chaotic markets.

In this post, we break down how to interpret bullish and bearish signals, what they’ve been saying recently, and how to react when market direction flips suddenly.

What Are Bullish and Bearish Signals?

Let’s start with the basics:

  • Bullish Signal (Green Dot): Indicates that a token is showing signs of an upward trend based on combined technical, sentiment, and on-chain analysis.
  • Bearish Signal (Red Dot): Suggests that a token is losing momentum, and price downside or stagnation is likely.

But these signals aren’t standalone — they come with contextual grades, like the Trader Grade, which ranks signal strength from 0 to 100. This allows you to not just know the direction, but the confidence behind it.

What Happened Recently? The May 30 Flip

On May 30, 2025, Token Metrics AI issued a broad bearish flip across much of the market. That included:

  • Ethereum
  • Bittensor
  • Launchcoin
  • Many Real World Asset and L2 tokens

The AI signal flipped red, and Trader Grades fell across the board. Why? Here's what the AI detected:

  • Slowing volume
  • Negative sentiment shift
  • Liquidity thinning on DEXs
  • On-chain accumulation stalling

This wasn’t panic-driven — it was a data-driven, proactive warning that the cycle had peaked. In a world where most traders rely on lagging indicators or Twitter sentiment, this was an edge.

How to Interpret a Bullish Signal

A bullish signal isn’t an instant “buy” — it's a call to investigate. Here's what to check when a green dot appears:

✅ 1. Trader Grade Above 80

This means high conviction. If it's between 60–79, the trend is forming, but may lack strength.

✅ 2. Volume Confirmation

Price up + volume up = good. Price up + volume flat = caution.

✅ 3. Narrative Alignment

If the token fits a hot theme (like RWAs or AI), that adds strength to the signal.

✅ 4. Recent Price Action

Did the signal appear after a breakout, or just before? Entry timing depends on whether you're catching the beginning or chasing the middle of the trend.

✅ 5. Compare to Peers

If 3–5 similar tokens are also turning bullish, that indicates sector-wide rotation — a better entry environment.

How to Interpret a Bearish Signal

Red doesn’t mean "dump immediately" — it means it's time to tighten your risk.

❗ 1. Trader Grade Below 50

This indicates deteriorating conviction — exit or reduce exposure.

❗ 2. Volume Divergence

If price is flat but volume is fading, that’s a warning of a potential breakdown.

❗ 3. Signal Timing

Did the bearish flip happen near local highs? That’s often the best exit point.

❗ 4. Check for Repeats

Was this the second red dot in a week? That could confirm a longer-term downtrend.

❗ 5. BTC/ETH Context

If Bitcoin or ETH also flip bearish, it may suggest macro pressure, not just token-specific weakness.

Real-Time Examples from the Webinar

During the June 5 Token Metrics webinar, we walked through examples of how these signals worked in real time:

🟢 Bullish (April) – Launchcoin

Strong signal, grade in the 80s. Resulted in a massive short-term run.

🔴 Bearish (May 30) – Ethereum

Signal turned red around $3,490. Traders who followed it avoided the 55% drawdown that followed.

🔴 Bearish (June) – Fartcoin

After a 700% run-up, the signal flipped bearish with a low Trader Grade of ~24. Result? A slow bleed lower as sentiment cooled.

What Makes AI Signals Different from Traditional TA?

Feature                                                    Token Metrics AI                     Traditional TA

Combines social + on-chain                    ✅                                       ❌

Updated in real time                                 ✅                                       ❌

Machine learning trained on past data   ✅                                       ❌

Outputs confidence grade                       ✅                                       ❌

Adapts to new narratives                         ✅                                       ❌

This isn’t about moving averages or MACD — it’s about combining the entire digital footprint of a token to anticipate what comes next.

How to React to a Signal Flip

What do you do when your favorite token suddenly flips from bullish to bearish?

  1. Reduce exposure immediately — even if you don’t sell everything, cut risk.
  2. Check the Grade — if it’s falling, momentum is likely over.
  3. Watch Peer Tokens — if similar projects are also turning red, it confirms sector rotation.
  4. Set New Alerts — if the signal flips back to green, be ready to re-enter.

Your job isn’t to predict the market. It’s to respond to what the data is saying.

How to Combine AI Signals with a Strategy

Here’s a basic framework:

Entry

  • Bullish signal + Trader Grade > 80 = enter with full size.
  • Grade 60–79 = enter small or wait for confirmation.

Exit

  • Bearish signal = scale out or exit.
  • Grade < 50 = no new positions unless for short trades.

Risk

  • Position size scales with grade.
  • Only trade tokens with high liquidity and volume confirmation.

This keeps your system simple, repeatable, and data-driven.

Conclusion

In volatile markets, conviction matters. Token Metrics AI doesn’t just point up or down — it tells you how strong the trend is, how likely it is to last, and when it’s time to pivot.

Don’t trade on emotions. Don’t chase hype. Use the signals — and trust the grade.

Because in a market that never sleeps, it pays to have an AI watching your back.

Research

Crypto Market Cools Off: What Is Token Metrics AI Saying Now

Token Metrics Team
5 min

Introduction

The euphoria of April and May in the crypto market has officially hit the brakes. While traders were riding high just weeks ago, the mood has shifted — and the data confirms it. Token Metrics’ proprietary AI signals flipped bearish on May 30, and since then, the market has been slowly but steadily declining.

In this post, we break down what’s happened since the bearish signal, how major altcoins and sectors are reacting, and what Token Metrics’ indicators are telling us about what might come next.

The Big Picture: Cooling Off After a Hot Q1 and Q2 Start

The platform’s AI signal turned bearish on May 30 when the total crypto market cap hit $3.34 trillion. Since then, the momentum that defined early 2025 has reversed.

This wasn’t a sudden crash — it’s a slow bleed. The signal shift didn’t come from headline-driven panic, but from data-level exhaustion: volume softening, sentiment stalling, and trend strength fading across most tokens.

Token Metrics AI recognized the shift — and issued the warning.

What the Bearish Signal Means

The AI model analyzes over 80 metrics across price, volume, sentiment, and on-chain data. When key trends across these data sets weaken, the system flips from bullish (green) to bearish (red).

On May 30:

  • Trader Grades across most tokens declined
  • Signal sentiment flipped bearish
  • Momentum and velocity cooled down

According to the model, these were signs of a broad de-risking cycle — not just isolated weakness.

Sectors Showing Declines

Even tokens that had been performing well throughout Q2 began to stall or roll over.

🚨 Launch Coin

Previously one of the top performers in April, Launch Coin saw its grades decrease and price action softened.It may even be rebranding — a typical signal that a project is pivoting after a hype cycle.

🏦 Real World Assets (RWAs)

RWAs were hot in March–May, but by early June, volume and signal quality had cooled off significantly.

🔐 ZK and L2s

Projects like Starknet and zkSync, once dominant in trader attention, have seen signal strength drop, with many now scoring below 70.

The cooling effect is broad, touching narratives, sectors, and high-performing individual tokens alike.

The Bull-Bear Indicator in Action

One of the key tools used by Token Metrics is the Bull vs. Bear Indicator, which aggregates bullish vs. bearish signals across all tokens tracked.

As of early June:

  • The percentage of tokens with bullish signals dropped to its lowest since January.
  • New projects launching with strong grades also saw a decline.
  • Even community-favorite tokens began receiving “exit” alerts.

This isn’t fear — it’s fatigue.

How Traders Are Reacting

During the webinar, we noted that many users who rely on Token Metrics signals began rotating into stables once the May 30 signal flipped. Others reduced leverage, paused entries, or shifted into defensive plays like ETH and BTC.

This reflects an important philosophy:

"When the data changes, we change our approach."

Instead of trying to fight the tape or chase rebounds, disciplined traders are using the bearish signal to protect gains and preserve capital.

What About Ethereum and Bitcoin?

Even ETH and BTC, the two bellwether assets, aren’t immune.

  • Ethereum: Lost momentum after a strong May push. Its Trader Grade is dropping, and the AI signals currently reflect neutral-to-bearish sentiment.
  • Bitcoin: While still holding structure better than altcoins, it has also declined since peaking above $72k. Volume weakening and sentiment falling suggest caution.

In previous cycles, ETH and BTC acted as shelters during altcoin corrections. But now, even the majors show weakness — another reason why the bearish flip matters.

What Could Reverse This?

Abdullah Sarwar, head of research at Token Metrics, mentioned that for the signals to flip back bullish, we would need to see:

  • Increased momentum across top tokens
  • New narratives (e.g., real-world utility, cross-chain demand)
  • Higher volume and liquidity inflows
  • Positive macro or ETF news

Until then, the system will remain in defensive mode — prioritizing safety over chasing trades.

How to Act During a Bearish Signal

The team offered several tips for traders during this cooling-off period:

  1. Reduce exposure
    Don’t hold full positions in assets with weak grades or bearish signals.

  2. Watch signal reversals
    Keep an eye on sudden bullish flips with high Trader Grades — they often mark trend reversals.

  3. Rebalance into safer assets
    BTC, ETH, or even stables allow you to sit on the sidelines while others take unnecessary risk.

  4. Use Token Metrics filters
    Use the platform to filter for:

    • Top tokens with >80 grades
    • Signals that flipped bullish in the last 3 days
    • Low market-cap tokens with strong on-chain activity

These tools help find exceptions in a weak market.

Conclusion: Bearish Doesn’t Mean Broken

Markets cycle — and AI sees it before headlines do.

Token Metrics' bearish signal wasn’t a call to panic. It was a calibrated, data-backed alert that the trend had shifted — and that it was time to switch from offense to defense.

If you’re navigating this new phase, listen to the data. Use the tools. And most importantly, avoid trading emotionally.

The bull market might return. When it does, Token Metrics AI will flip bullish again — and you’ll be ready.

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