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Top Gold & Commodity-Backed Tokens (2025)

Learn how gold-backed and commodity tokens offer on-chain ownership and redemption for vaulted assets. See our top 2025 token picks with compliant custody, fee transparency, and global access.
Token Metrics Team
12 min read
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Who this guide is for. Crypto investors and treasurers comparing gold-backed tokens and other commodity-backed assets that can be audited and, in many cases, redeemed for metal.
Top three picks. PAX Gold (PAXG) for regulated, bar-linked redemption; Tether Gold (XAUt) for broad awareness and simple fees; Kinesis (KAU/KAG) for spend-and-yield use cases.
Key caveat. Redemption minimums, custody locations, and fees vary by issuer; always confirm regional eligibility and schedules on the official pages.


Introduction: Why Commodity-Backed Tokens Matter in 2025

Gold-backed tokens give on-chain ownership exposure to vaulted bullion with transparent allocation and, often, physical redemption, blending the inflation hedge of metals with crypto liquidity. In 2025, they’re used for hedging, collateral, cross-border settlement, and “digital cash” backed by tangible assets. A commodity-backed token is a blockchain token that represents title to a specific quantity of a real-world commodity (for example, 1 troy ounce or 1 gram of gold) held by a custodian, typically with published fees, vault locations, and redemption rules. Our picks prioritize liquidity, security controls, breadth of metals, cost transparency, and global accessibility.


Best Commodity-Backed Tokens in November 2025 (Comparison Table)

  

We excluded defunct or sunset projects (e.g., PMGT; CACHE Gold ceased backing CGT on Sept 30, 2025). (perthmint.com)


Top 10 Gold & Commodity-Backed Tokens in November 2025

1) PAX Gold (PAXG) — Best for bar-linked redemption & regulatory posture

Why Use It. PAXG links each token to specific LBMA Good Delivery bars stored in London, offering direct bar redemption (institutional minimums apply) or USD redemption at spot. Paxos publishes fee schedules and notes no storage fee charged to customers at this time. (paxos.com)
Best For. Institutions; HNW hedgers; DeFi users needing reputable collateral.
Notable Features. LBMA bars; serial-number linkage; custodied in London; fiat redemption option. (paxos.com)
Fees Notes. Creation/destruction fees; no storage fee currently per issuer help center. (help.paxos.com)
Regions. Global (issuer KYC).
Consider If. You can meet bar redemption minimums and UK vault logistics. (help.paxos.com)
Alternatives. Tether Gold (XAUt); VNX Gold (VNXAU).  


2) Tether Gold (XAUt) — Best for simple pricing & broad availability

Why Use It. XAUt represents allocated gold and can be redeemed for physical gold or USD; Tether publishes a straightforward 0.25% creation/redemption fee and a one-time verification fee for onboarding. FAQs outline redemption mechanics and bar specifics. (Tether)
Best For. Traders seeking brand familiarity; cross-chain users (ETH/TRON).
Notable Features. Bar metadata; physical or USD redemption; no custody fee disclosed beyond the transaction fee. (Tether)
Fees Notes. 25 bps create/redeem; separate KYC verification fee. (Tether)
Regions. Global (issuer KYC).
Consider If. You need clear fee math but don’t require bar-specific allocation like PAXG.
Alternatives. PAX Gold (PAXG); Kinesis (KAU).  


3) Kinesis KAU (Gold) / KAG (Silver) — Best for spend-and-yield utility

Why Use It. Kinesis combines metal-backed tokens with an exchange, cards, and yields funded from platform fees (published yield-share). Trading and precious metals transactions show ~0.22% execution fees on official schedules. (Kinesis)
Best For. Users wanting to spend gold/silver, earn monthly yields, and keep fees predictable.
Notable Features. Fee-share yield (published); exchange, card rails; gold & silver pairs. (Kinesis)
Fees Notes. ~0.22% buy/sell/trade; other fees per schedule. (Kinesis)
Regions. Global (platform KYC/availability).
Consider If. You prefer an integrated platform over a standalone token.
Alternatives. VNX (VNXAU/VNXAG); Aurus (tXAU/tXAG).  


4) Comtech Gold (CGO) — Best for XDC ecosystem & Shariah-compliant framework

Why Use It. CGO tokenizes 1g gold units on the XDC (XRC-20) network, with a published fee structure for mint/redeem (0.50%), transfers (0.50%), and custody notes in FAQs. Documentation details creation/redemption and delivery fees. (comtechgold.com)
Best For. XDC builders; users needing Shariah-compliant structuring.
Notable Features. On-chain proofing; fee schedule; vault delivery options. (comtechgold.com)
Fees Notes. 0.50% mint/redeem; 0.50% transfer; custody terms disclosed. (comtechgold.com)
Regions. Global (issuer terms apply).
Consider If. You’re comfortable with XDC rails and issuer fee model.
Alternatives. PAXG; VNXAU.


5) VNX Gold (VNXAU) — Best for EEA vaulting & multi-chain issuance

Why Use It. VNXAU gives direct ownership of allocated bars stored in Liechtenstein with a public allocation lookup tool. VNX runs on Ethereum, Polygon, Q, and Solana, and has communications on redemption and delivery. (VNX)
Best For. EEA users; diversification across chains.
Notable Features. Allocation lookup by serial; segregated AAA-jurisdiction vault; multi-chain. (VNX)
Fees Notes. See VNX pricing and product pages for current schedules.
Regions. EEA emphasis; global availability varies by KYC.
Consider If. You want EEA custody and serial-level transparency.
Alternatives. PAXG; XAUt.


6) Aurus tGOLD (tXAU) / tSILVER (tXAG) — Best for gram-denominated multi-metal exposure

Why Use It. Aurus issues 1-gram tokens backed by vaulted gold and silver with insured, audited storage. tGOLD and tSILVER support multi-chain DeFi integrations and a mobile app, with ecosystem partners for mint/redeem. (AURUS)
Best For. DeFi users; small-denomination accumulation; multi-metal portfolios (includes platinum via tXPT).
Notable Features. 1g units; insured vaulted metals; app & dashboard; partner network. (AURUS)
Fees Notes. Exchange/network fees; issuer/partner fees may apply.
Regions. Global (partner KYC where required).
Consider If. You want gram-level flexibility and cross-chain access.
Alternatives. Kinesis; VNX.


7) Gold Silver Standard (AUS/AGS) — Best for Australia-based custody & simple redemption

Why Use It. Tokens AUS (gold) and AGS (silver) are backed by allocated bullion held in Australian high-security vaults with $0 storage and transfer at the issuer level and partner-facilitated redemptions. (goldsilverstandard.com)
Best For. AUD-centric investors; straightforward physical pickup/delivery via partners.
Notable Features. 1g linkage; local redemption via Ainslie partners; Australia-first focus. (goldsilverstandard.com)
Fees Notes. Issuer lists $0 storage/transfer; exchange and redemption partner fees may apply. (goldsilverstandard.com)
Regions. Australia focus; global varies.
Consider If. You need straightforward redemption in Australia.
Alternatives. PAXG; VNXAU.


8) VNX Silver (VNXAG) — Best for EEA silver allocation & transparency tools

Why Use It. VNXAG mirrors the VNXAU model for silver, backed by allocated metal with the same allocation lookup tooling and multi-chain issuance. (VNX)
Best For. EEA investors prioritizing silver in segregated storage.
Notable Features. Allocation lookup; EEA custody; multi-chain support. (VNX)
Fees Notes. See VNX site for current schedules.
Regions. EEA emphasis; global varies.
Consider If. You want EEA-vaulted silver with serial-level transparency.
Alternatives. KAG; tXAG.


9) VeraOne (VRO) — Best for euro-area buyers wanting 1-gram ERC-20

Why Use It. VRO is an ERC-20 token pegged to 1 gram of LBMA-standard gold, issued by a long-standing French precious-metal group; materials describe secured storage and regular audits. (VeraOne)
Best For. EU users; gram-based savings; euro on-ramps.
Notable Features. 1g linkage; audited storage; EU presence. (VeraOne)
Fees Notes. Issuer materials outline model; confirm current fees on site.
Regions. EU focus; global access varies.
Consider If. You want EU branding and ERC-20 simplicity.
Alternatives. PAXG; VNXAU.


10) AgAu — Best for Swiss custody & peer-to-peer design

Why Use It. AgAu outlines 1:1 backed gold and silver tokens with Swiss custody and a peer-to-peer payment focus; docs and reports describe convertibility and audited reserves. (agau.io)
Best For. Users seeking Swiss jurisdiction and payments-style UX.
Notable Features. Swiss issuer; P2P spend; audit & documents hub. (agau.io)
Fees Notes. See issuer documentation for fees and redemption steps.
Regions. Global (jurisdictional checks apply).
Consider If. You want Swiss custody with payments emphasis.
Alternatives. VNXAU; AUS.


Decision Guide: Best by Use Case

  • Regulated, bar-specific redemption: PAX Gold (PAXG). (paxos.com)
  • Simple fee schedule & brand familiarity: Tether Gold (XAUt). (Tether)
  • Spend metals + monthly fee-share yield: Kinesis (KAU/KAG). (Kinesis)
  • XDC network users: Comtech Gold (CGO). (comtechgold.com)
  • EEA custody & allocation lookup: VNX (VNXAU/VNXAG). (VNX)
  • Gram-based, multi-metal DeFi: Aurus (tXAU/tXAG). (AURUS)
  • Australia-centric custody & pickup: Gold Silver Standard (AUS/AGS). (goldsilverstandard.com)
  • EU 1-gram ERC-20: VeraOne (VRO). (VeraOne)
  • Swiss custody & P2P payments: AgAu. (agau.io)

How to Choose the Right Commodity-Backed Token (Checklist)

  • ☐ Region eligibility and KYC match your profile.
  • ☐ Underlying metal type and unit (ounce vs gram).
  • Redemption rules: minimums, delivery locations, timelines.
  • Custody: vault jurisdiction, insurer, LBMA accreditation.
  • Fee transparency: creation, redemption, storage, transfer, network.
  • Audit/attestation cadence and allocation lookup tools.
  • Chains supported and DeFi integration needs.
  • ☐ Support channels and documentation depth.
    Red flags: vague custody details, unclear redemption, or discontinued programs.

Use Token Metrics With Any Commodity-Backed Token

  • AI Ratings to screen metal-linked assets and related ecosystem tokens.

  

  • Narrative Detection to spot inflows to on-chain RWAs.
  • Portfolio Optimization to size metal exposure vs. crypto beta.
  • Alerts & Signals to time entries/exits around macro prints.
    Workflow: Research → Select issuer → Execute on-chain or via platform → Monitor with alerts.


CTA: Start free trial to screen assets and time entries with AI.  


Security & Compliance Tips

  • Use official issuer URLs only; beware look-alikes.
  • Confirm fee schedules and redemption procedures before buying. (Tether)
  • Verify vaulting jurisdiction and any bar-serial lookup tools. (VNX)
  • Mind network fees, bridge risks, and exchange withdrawal rules.
  • Keep custody keys secure; whitelist issuer addresses.
  • If staking or yielding, confirm source of yield and counterparty exposure. (Kinesis)
    This article is for research/education, not financial advice.

Beginner Mistakes to Avoid

  • Treating all metal tokens as equal—redemption and custody differ widely.
  • Ignoring region and KYC limits until you try to redeem.
  • Overlooking minimums (e.g., full LBMA bars vs. gram redemptions). (help.paxos.com)
  • Confusing defunct tokens with active ones (e.g., PMGT sunset; CGT backing ceased). (perthmint.com)
  • Forgetting network/transfer fees when arbitraging across chains.
  • Using unofficial contracts on the wrong chain.

How We Picked (Methodology & Scoring)

  • Liquidity — 30%. Exchange presence, on-chain activity, practical tradability.
  • Security — 25%. Custody details, audits/attestations, LBMA alignment, redemption design.
  • Coverage — 15%. Metals (gold/silver/platinum), chains, tooling.
  • Costs — 15%. Creation/redemption/storage/transfer and transparency of schedules.
  • UX — 10%. Apps, dashboards, redemption flows.
  • Support — 5%. Docs, status pages, human support.
    We relied on official product, docs, fees, FAQ, and disclosure pages, cross-checking market datasets only for context. Last updated November 2025.

FAQs

What are gold-backed tokens?
 They are blockchain tokens that represent ownership of a specific quantity of vaulted, insured gold, typically with published fees and, in some cases, physical redemption options.

Are gold-backed tokens safer than stablecoins?
 They can diversify away from fiat risk, but introduce custody and redemption dependencies. Safety depends on the issuer’s vaulting, audits, legal structure, and your ability to redeem.

What fees should I expect?
 Common fees include creation/redemption, possible storage, transfer, and network fees. Examples: XAUt lists 0.25% create/redeem; Paxos publishes creation/destruction fees and notes no storage fee currently. Always check the live schedules. (Tether)

Can I redeem tokens for a real gold bar?
 Some issuers support bar redemption with minimum sizes and location constraints (e.g., LBMA bar logistics in London for PAXG). Others support gram-level redemption via partners. (help.paxos.com)

Which chains are supported?
 Varies: PAXG (Ethereum), XAUt (Ethereum/TRON), VNX (Ethereum/Polygon/Q/Solana), Aurus (multi-chain), CGO (XDC), Kinesis (native + exchange listings). (paxos.com)

Are there discontinued tokens I should avoid?
 Yes. PMGT has been discontinued; CACHE Gold (CGT) ceased backing as of Sept 30, 2025. Verify project status before buying. (perthmint.com)


Conclusion + Related Reads

Choose PAXG for bar-linked redemption and strong disclosures, XAUt for simple fees and brand reach, or Kinesis if you want to spend metals and earn fee-share yields. For EEA vaulting with allocation lookup, VNX is compelling; for gram-based DeFi exposure, Aurus is versatile.

Related Reads:

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About Token Metrics
Token Metrics: AI-powered crypto research and ratings platform. We help investors make smarter decisions with unbiased Token Metrics Ratings, on-chain analytics, and editor-curated “Top 10” guides. Our platform distills thousands of data points into clear scores, trends, and alerts you can act on.
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Recent Posts

Research

Top Crypto Prediction Markets: The Complete 2025 Guide to Trading the Future

Token Metrics Team
8

The prediction revolution is transforming crypto investing in 2025. From AI-powered price prediction platforms to blockchain-based event markets, today's tools help investors forecast everything from token prices to election outcomes with unprecedented accuracy. With billions in trading volume and cutting-edge AI analytics, these platforms are reshaping how we predict, trade, and profit from future events. Whether you're forecasting the next 100x altcoin or betting on real-world outcomes, this comprehensive guide explores the top prediction tools dominating 2025.

Understanding Crypto Prediction Tools vs. Prediction Markets

Before diving in, it's crucial to distinguish between two types of prediction platforms:

  • Crypto Price Prediction Platforms (like Token Metrics) use AI and data analytics to forecast cryptocurrency price movements, identify promising tokens, and generate trading signals.
  • Event Prediction Markets (like Polymarket and Kalshi) are blockchain-powered platforms where users trade on real-world event outcomes—elections, sports, economic indicators, and yes, even crypto prices.

Both serve valuable but different purposes. Let's explore the top tools in each category.

The #1 Crypto Price Prediction Platform

Token Metrics - AI-Powered Crypto Intelligence Leader

Token Metrics stands as the premier AI-driven crypto research and investment platform, scanning over 6,000 tokens daily to provide data-backed predictions and actionable insights. With a user base of 110,000+ crypto traders and $8.5 million raised from 3,000+ investors, Token Metrics has established itself as the industry's most comprehensive prediction tool.

What Makes Token Metrics the Top Price Prediction Tool:

  • AI-Driven Analytics Engine: Token Metrics' AI and machine learning algorithms identify potential trends and predict future price movements by analyzing fundamental reports, code quality, sentiment analysis, moving averages, and support/resistance levels. The platform processes massive datasets 24/7 to spot opportunities before they go mainstream.
  • Comprehensive Scoring System: Every token receives both a Trader Grade (for short-term momentum) and Investor Grade (for long-term fundamentals) based on technical analysis, on-chain data, fundamental metrics, sentiment and social data, and exchange data.
  • Moonshot Discovery: The Moonshots feature uses AI to highlight daily tokens with 10x–100x potential before they hit major exchanges, giving investors early access to high-upside opportunities.
  • Real-Time Signals & Alerts: Get instant bullish and bearish alerts for major tokens, with custom notifications via email, Telegram, or Slack. Never miss a sudden market move or grade change.
  • Multi-Strategy Support: Whether you're HODLing long-term, swing trading, narrative investing, or hunting moonshots, Token Metrics provides tailored tools and indices for every strategy.
  • Deep Token Analytics: Access detailed insights including historical performance, wallet holder analysis, exchange listings, code quality assessments, and market sentiment tracking.

Why Token Metrics Ranks #1:

Unlike basic charting tools or single-metric analyzers, Token Metrics combines time series data, media news, regulator activities, coin events like forks, and traded volumes across exchanges to optimize forecasting results. The platform's proven track record and comprehensive approach make it indispensable for serious crypto investors in 2025.

Best For:

Investors and traders seeking AI-powered crypto price predictions, portfolio optimization, and early altcoin discovery.

Top Crypto Event Prediction Markets

1. Polymarket - The Largest Decentralized Prediction Market

Polymarket dominates the event prediction market space with unmatched liquidity and diverse betting opportunities.

  • Over $18.4 billion in trading volume, establishing market leadership
  • Built on Polygon for low fees and fast transactions
  • Trades in USDC stablecoin for price stability
  • Around 40% of sales volume from sports betting, 40% from crypto movement predictions
  • Open interest recently rose to around $170 million
  • No trading fees on transactions

What Sets It Apart: Polymarket proved its forecasting superiority when it accurately predicted election outcomes that traditional polls missed. The platform's user-friendly interface makes blockchain prediction markets accessible to mainstream audiences.

2. Kalshi - The CFTC-Regulated Powerhouse

Kalshi has surged from 3.3% market share last year to 66% by September 2025, overtaking Polymarket as the trading volume leader.

  • First CFTC-regulated prediction market in the United States
  • Monthly trading volume hit approximately $1.3 billion in September 2025
  • Accepts crypto deposits (USDC, Bitcoin, Solana, Worldcoin) via ZeroHash
  • All markets settled in U.S. dollars
  • Fees up to 5% of profit, capped at $0.85 per contract
  • Recent Developments: Kalshi hired John Wang as Head of Crypto in August 2025, plans to expand to major crypto apps, secured $185 million Series C funding, partnered with Robinhood for sports markets.

Best For: U.S. residents seeking regulated prediction markets with crypto deposit options and diverse event contracts.

3. Drift BET - Solana's Speed Champion

For traders demanding instant settlement and minimal fees, Drift BET represents the cutting edge of prediction markets on Solana.

  • Native Solana integration for near-instant finality
  • Multi-collateral support
  • Extremely low transaction costs
  • Growing ecosystem momentum

Why It Matters: Leveraging Solana's near-instant transaction finality, Drift BET solves scalability issues faced by Ethereum-based prediction markets, with low transaction fees making smaller bets feasible across a wider audience.

4. Augur - The Pioneering Protocol

Launched in 2018, Augur was the first decentralized prediction market, pioneering blockchain-based forecasting and innovative settlement methods secured by the REP token.

  • Fully decentralized platform
  • REP token for market creation, rewards, and disputes
  • Augur Turbo version on Polygon for improved efficiency
  • Supports binary, categorical, and scalar markets

Legacy Impact: Augur v1 settled around $20 million in bets—impressive for 2018-19. Though its DAO has dissolved, Augur's technological innovations influence the DeFi sphere.

5. Gnosis - The Infrastructure Powerhouse

With a market cap of $463 million, Gnosis is the biggest prediction market project by market capitalization.

  • Conditional Token Framework for outcome tokenization
  • GNO token for governance and staking
  • Gnosis Chain Layer 2 solution
  • Powers platforms like Omen and Azuro

Ecosystem Approach: Founded in 2015, Gnosis evolved into a multifaceted ecosystem covering decentralized trading, wallet services, and infrastructure tools beyond prediction markets.

6. Emerging Platforms

  • Robinhood Prediction Markets: Facilitated over 4 billion event contracts, integrated into the Robinhood app, with a $0.01 fee structure and user rewards.
  • Crypto.com Prediction Trading: CFTC-regulated, integrated with Crypto.com Derivatives North America, supporting diverse event contracts.

How These Platforms Work Together

Smart investors combine Token Metrics for identifying promising cryptocurrencies and then leverage prediction markets like Polymarket or Kalshi to hedge positions or speculate on specific events.

Example Strategy: Use Token Metrics to identify a token with strong Trader Grade and bullish AI signals. Build a position through AI trading, then use prediction markets to bet on price milestones or events, monitoring alerts for exit points. This blends AI-driven predictions with market-based event forecasting.

Why Prediction Platforms Are Exploding in 2025

  • Market Growth Trajectory: Predictions estimate the sector could reach $95.5 billion by 2035, with derivatives integrating into DeFi.
  • Key Growth Drivers: AI & Machine Learning advancements, regulatory clarity post-2024 elections, proven accuracy in forecasts, institutional interest, and expansion into sports betting.

Real-World Applications

For Crypto Investors:

  • Use Token Metrics to identify high-potential tokens early
  • Access AI-generated buy/sell signals for portfolio management
  • Discover narrative-driven opportunities ahead of the curve

For Event Traders:

  • Hedge crypto positions via prediction markets
  • Speculate on regulatory, listing, or network events
  • Trade sports and political events for diversified income

For Analysts & Institutions:

  • Aggregate market sentiment data for research
  • Access real-time forecasts on economic indicators
  • Build custom strategies with API integrations

Risks and Considerations

  • Price prediction platforms are not 100% accurate; past data isn’t a guarantee of future results.
  • AI models need quality historical data; market manipulation and black swan events can affect predictions.
  • Prediction markets face regulatory uncertainty, liquidity challenges, Oracle failures, and tax complexities.

The Future: AI + Blockchain Convergence

What’s Coming:

  • Deeper AI integration, automated portfolio management, and enhanced moonshot discovery with advanced machine learning.
  • Wider adoption of prediction markets, tokenization of positions, and cross-platform integrations blending AI and event markets.
  • Progress in DeFi integration, creating complex financial products based on collective forecast data.

Getting Started: Platform Recommendations

  • Price Prediction & Portfolio Management: Token Metrics
  • U.S. Residents (Event Betting): Kalshi, Robinhood
  • Maximum Liquidity (Event Betting): Polymarket
  • Speed & Low Fees: Drift BET
  • Developers: Gnosis
  • Maximum Decentralization: Augur

Conclusion: Predicting the Future Is Now Data-Driven

The era of blind speculation is over. Between AI-powered platforms like Token Metrics analyzing thousands of data points per second and blockchain-based prediction markets aggregating collective wisdom, today's investors have unprecedented tools for forecasting the future. Token Metrics leads the charge in crypto price prediction with its comprehensive AI-driven approach, while platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi dominate event-based forecasting. Together, they represent a new paradigm where data, algorithms, and collective intelligence converge to illuminate tomorrow's opportunities.

Whether you're hunting the next 100x altcoin or betting on real-world events, 2025's prediction platforms put the power of foresight in your hands. The question isn't whether to use these tools—it's how quickly you can integrate them into your strategy.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All investing involves risk, including potential loss of capital. Price predictions and ratings are provided for informational purposes and may not reflect actual future performance. Always conduct thorough research and consult qualified professionals before making financial decisions.

Research

Top Crypto Prediction Markets: The Complete 2025 Guide to Trading the Future

Token Metrics Team
9

The prediction revolution is transforming crypto investing in 2025. From AI-powered price prediction platforms to blockchain-based event markets, today's tools help investors forecast everything from token prices to election outcomes with unprecedented accuracy. With billions in trading volume and cutting-edge AI analytics, these platforms are reshaping how we predict, trade, and profit from future events. Whether you're forecasting the next 100x altcoin or betting on real-world outcomes, this comprehensive guide explores the top prediction tools dominating 2025.

Understanding Crypto Prediction Tools vs. Prediction Markets

Before diving in, it's crucial to distinguish between two types of prediction platforms:

  • Crypto Price Prediction Platforms (like Token Metrics) use AI and data analytics to forecast cryptocurrency price movements, identify promising tokens, and generate trading signals.
  • Event Prediction Markets (like Polymarket and Kalshi) are blockchain-powered platforms where users trade on real-world event outcomes—elections, sports, economic indicators, and yes, even crypto prices.

Both serve valuable but different purposes. Let's explore the top tools in each category.

The #1 Crypto Price Prediction Platform

Token Metrics - AI-Powered Crypto Intelligence Leader

Token Metrics stands as the premier AI-driven crypto research and investment platform, scanning over 6,000 tokens daily to provide data-backed predictions and actionable insights. With a user base of 110,000+ crypto traders and $8.5 million raised from 3,000+ investors, Token Metrics has established itself as the industry's most comprehensive prediction tool.

What Makes Token Metrics the Top Price Prediction Tool:

  • AI-Driven Analytics Engine: Token Metrics' AI and machine learning algorithms identify potential trends and predict future price movements by analyzing fundamental reports, code quality, sentiment analysis, moving averages, and support/resistance levels. The platform processes massive datasets 24/7 to spot opportunities before they go mainstream.
  • Comprehensive Scoring System: Every token receives both a Trader Grade (for short-term momentum) and Investor Grade (for long-term fundamentals) based on technical analysis, on-chain data, fundamental metrics, sentiment and social data, and exchange data.
  • Moonshot Discovery: The Moonshots feature uses AI to highlight daily tokens with 10x–100x potential before they hit major exchanges, giving investors early access to high-upside opportunities.
  • Real-Time Signals & Alerts: Get instant bullish and bearish alerts for major tokens, with custom notifications via email, Telegram, or Slack. Never miss a sudden market move or grade change.
  • Multi-Strategy Support: Whether you're HODLing long-term, swing trading, narrative investing, or hunting moonshots, Token Metrics provides tailored tools and indices for every strategy.
  • Deep Token Analytics: Access detailed insights including historical performance, wallet holder analysis, exchange listings, code quality assessments, and market sentiment tracking.

Why Token Metrics Ranks #1:

Unlike basic charting tools or single-metric analyzers, Token Metrics combines time series data, media news, regulator activities, coin events like forks, and traded volumes across exchanges to optimize forecasting results. The platform's proven track record and comprehensive approach make it indispensable for serious crypto investors in 2025.

Best For:

Investors and traders seeking AI-powered crypto price predictions, portfolio optimization, and early altcoin discovery.

Top Crypto Event Prediction Markets

  1. Polymarket - The Largest Decentralized Prediction Market

  2. Kalshi - The CFTC-Regulated Powerhouse

  3. Drift BET - Solana's Speed Champion

  4. Augur - The Pioneering Protocol

  5. Gnosis - The Infrastructure Powerhouse

  6. Emerging Platforms

Polymarket - The Largest Decentralized Prediction Market

Polymarket dominates the event prediction market space with unmatched liquidity and diverse betting opportunities.

  • Over $18.4 billion in trading volume, establishing market leadership
  • Built on Polygon for low fees and fast transactions
  • Trades in USDC stablecoin for price stability
  • Approximately 40% of sales volume from sports betting, 40% from crypto movement predictions
  • Open interest recently rose to around $170 million
  • No trading fees on transactions

What Sets It Apart: Polymarket proved its forecasting superiority when it accurately predicted election outcomes that traditional polls missed. The platform's user-friendly interface makes blockchain prediction markets accessible to mainstream audiences.

Kalshi - The CFTC-Regulated Powerhouse

Kalshi has surged from 3.3% market share last year to 66% by September 2025, overtaking Polymarket as the trading volume leader.

  • First CFTC-regulated prediction market in the United States
  • Monthly trading volume hit approximately $1.3 billion in September 2025
  • Accepts crypto deposits (USDC, Bitcoin, Solana, Worldcoin) via ZeroHash
  • All markets settled in U.S. dollars
  • Fees up to 5% of profit, capped at $0.85 per contract
  • Recent Developments: Kalshi hired John Wang as Head of Crypto in August 2025 to drive blockchain integration, with plans to be on "every major crypto app and exchange within 12 months." The platform secured a massive $185 million Series C funding round and partnered with Robinhood for sports market expansion.

Drift BET - Solana's Speed Champion

For traders demanding instant settlement and minimal fees, Drift BET represents the cutting edge of prediction markets on Solana.

  • Native Solana integration for near-instant finality
  • Multi-collateral support
  • Extremely low transaction costs
  • Growing ecosystem momentum

Why It Matters: By leveraging Solana's near-instant transaction finality, Drift BET solves many scalability issues faced by Ethereum-based prediction markets, with low transaction fees making smaller bets feasible for wider audiences.

Augur - The Pioneering Protocol

Launched in 2018, Augur was the first decentralized prediction market, pioneering blockchain-based forecasting and innovative methods for settlement secured by the REP token.

  • Fully decentralized platform
  • REP token for market creation, rewards, and disputes
  • Augur Turbo version on Polygon for improved efficiency
  • Binary, categorical, and scalar market support

Legacy Impact: Augur v1 settled around $20 million in bets—impressive for 2018-19. While the DAO has dissolved, Augur's technological innovations now permeate the DeFi sphere.

Gnosis - The Infrastructure Powerhouse

With a market cap of $463 million, Gnosis is the biggest prediction market project by market capitalization.

  • Conditional Token Framework for tokenizing outcomes
  • GNO token for governance and staking
  • Gnosis Chain Layer 2 solution
  • Powers platforms like Omen and Azuro

Ecosystem Approach: Founded in 2015, Gnosis evolved into a multifaceted ecosystem encompassing decentralized trading, wallet services, and infrastructure tools beyond mere prediction markets.

Emerging Platforms

  • Robinhood Prediction Markets: Facilitated over 4 billion event contracts, including 2 billion in Q3 2025 alone. Seamlessly integrated into the Robinhood app, with a $0.01 commission + $0.01 exchange fee structure.
  • Myriad: Built on Abstract with promising points program, focusing on user rewards and engagement.
  • Crypto.com Prediction Trading: CFTC-regulated through Crypto.com Derivatives North America (CDNA). Integrated with existing crypto exchange infrastructure.

How These Platforms Work Together

Smart investors often use Token Metrics for identifying which cryptocurrencies to invest in, then leverage prediction markets like Polymarket or Kalshi to hedge positions or speculate on specific price targets and events.

Example Strategy:

  1. Use Token Metrics to identify a token with strong Trader Grade and bullish AI signals
  2. Build a position in that token through AI trading for crypto or indices of your choice
  3. Use Token Metrics to bet on specific price milestones or related events
  4. Monitor Token Metrics alerts for exit signals

This combines the best of AI-driven price prediction with market-based event forecasting.

Why Prediction Platforms Are Exploding in 2025

Market Growth Trajectory: The prediction market sector is projected to reach $95.5 billion by 2035, with underlying derivatives integrating with DeFi protocols.

Key Growth Drivers:

  • AI & Machine Learning Advancement: Platforms like Token Metrics leverage increasingly sophisticated AI to process millions of data points, delivering predictions that outperform human analysts.
  • Regulatory Clarity: The 2024 U.S. election betting legalization and crypto-friendly policies under the Trump administration have opened floodgates for mainstream adoption.
  • Proven Accuracy: Prediction markets demonstrated superior forecasting during recent elections, while AI platforms like Token Metrics consistently identify moonshot tokens before mainstream discovery.
  • Institutional Interest: Kalshi attracted $1.4 billion in institutional capital in Q2 2025, signaling Wall Street's growing confidence in prediction infrastructure.
  • Sports Betting Expansion: Sports betting now drives significant volume, expanding prediction markets beyond politics and finance into entertainment.

Real-World Applications

For Crypto Investors:

  • Use Token Metrics to identify high-potential tokens before they pump
  • Access AI-generated buy/sell signals for portfolio management
  • Discover narrative-driven investment opportunities early

For Event Traders:

  • Hedge crypto positions using prediction markets
  • Speculate on regulatory outcomes, exchange listings, or network upgrades
  • Trade sports and political events for diversified income

For Analysts & Institutions:

  • Aggregate market sentiment data for research
  • Access real-time forecasting for economic indicators
  • Build custom trading strategies using API integrations

Risks and Considerations

For Price Prediction Platforms:

  • No prediction tool is 100% accurate; past performance doesn't guarantee future results
  • AI models perform best with sufficient historical data
  • Market manipulation and black swan events can invalidate predictions

For Prediction Markets:

  • Regulatory uncertainty remains in many jurisdictions
  • Liquidity challenges can create volatility
  • Oracle failures could compromise settlement integrity
  • Tax implications require careful record-keeping

The Future: AI + Blockchain Convergence

What's Coming: Token Metrics Evolution—Expect deeper AI agent integration, automated portfolio management, and enhanced moonshot discovery as machine learning models become more sophisticated.

Prediction Market Expansion: Kalshi aims to integrate with every major crypto app within 12 months, while tokenization of positions and margin trading will create new financial primitives.

Cross-Platform Integration: Future platforms will likely combine Token Metrics-style AI prediction with Polymarket-style event markets in unified interfaces.

DeFi Integration: The prediction market derivatives layer is set to integrate with DeFi protocols to create more complex financial products.

Getting Started: Platform Recommendations

For Price Prediction & Portfolio Management:

Token Metrics - Unmatched AI analytics, moonshot discovery, and comprehensive scoring

For U.S. Residents (Event Betting):

  • → Kalshi - Regulatory compliance, crypto deposits, diverse contracts
  • → Robinhood - Simplest onboarding through existing app

For Maximum Liquidity (Event Betting):

  • → Polymarket - Largest markets, best pricing, widest selection

For Speed & Low Fees:

  • → Drift BET - Solana-powered efficiency

For Developers:

  • → Gnosis - Infrastructure tools and frameworks

For Maximum Decentralization:

  • → Augur - Censorship-resistant, community-governed

Conclusion: Predicting the Future Is Now Data-Driven

The era of blind speculation is over. Between AI-powered platforms like Token Metrics analyzing thousands of data points per second and blockchain-based prediction markets aggregating collective wisdom, today's investors have unprecedented tools for forecasting the future. Token Metrics leads the charge in crypto price prediction with its comprehensive AI-driven approach, while platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi dominate event-based forecasting. Together, they represent a new paradigm where data, algorithms, and collective intelligence converge to illuminate tomorrow's opportunities.

Whether you're hunting the next 100x altcoin or betting on real-world events, 2025's prediction platforms put the power of foresight in your hands. The question isn't whether to use these tools—it's how quickly you can integrate them into your strategy.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All investing involves risk, including potential loss of capital. Price predictions and ratings are provided for informational purposes and may not reflect actual future performance. Always conduct thorough research and consult qualified professionals before making financial decisions.

Research

What Are Indices? Your Complete Guide to Index Investing (2025)

Token Metrics Team
7

If you've heard phrases like "the S&P 500 is up today" or "crypto indices are gaining popularity," you've encountered indices in action. But what are indices, exactly, and why do millions of investors rely on them? This guide breaks down everything you need to know about indices, from traditional stock market benchmarks to modern crypto applications.

What Are Indices?

An index (plural: indices or indexes) is a measurement tool that tracks the performance of a group of assets as a single metric. Think of it as a portfolio formula that selects specific investments, assigns them weights, and updates on a regular schedule to represent a market, sector, or strategy.

Indices serve as benchmarks that answer questions like:

Important distinction: An index itself is just a number—like a thermometer reading. To actually invest, you need an index fund or index product that holds the underlying assets to replicate that index's performance.

How Do Indices Work?

Every index follows a systematic approach built on three core components:

Types of Indices

Stock Market Indices

The most established category tracks equity performance:

Bond Indices

Track fixed-income securities:

Commodity Indices

Monitor raw materials and resources:

Cryptocurrency Indices

The newest category tracks digital asset performance:

Why Indices Matter for Investors

Automatic Diversification

Instead of researching and buying dozens of individual stocks or cryptocurrencies, one index investment gives you exposure to an entire market. If you buy an S&P 500 index fund, you instantly own pieces of 500 companies—from Apple and Microsoft to Coca-Cola and JPMorgan Chase.

This diversification dramatically reduces single-asset risk. If one company fails, it represents only a small fraction of your total investment.

Lower Costs

Traditional financial advisors typically charge 1-2% annually to actively pick investments. Index funds charge just 0.03-0.20% because they simply follow preset rules rather than paying expensive analysts and portfolio managers.

Over decades, this cost difference compounds significantly. A 1% fee might seem small, but it can reduce your retirement savings by 25% or more over 30 years.

Consistent Market Returns

Research consistently shows that 80-90% of professional fund managers fail to beat simple index funds over 10-15 year periods. By investing in indices, you guarantee yourself market-average returns—which historically beat most active strategies after fees.

Time Savings

Index investing eliminates the need to:

Emotional Discipline

Markets test investors' emotions. Fear drives selling at bottoms; greed drives buying at tops. Index investing removes these emotional triggers—the formula decides what to own based on rules, not feelings.

The Rise of Crypto Indices

Cryptocurrency markets face unique challenges that make indices particularly valuable:

Modern Innovation: Regime-Switching Indices

Traditional indices stay fully invested through bull and bear markets alike. If the S&P 500 drops 30%, your index fund drops 30%. Regime-switching crypto indices add adaptive risk management:

This approach aims to provide "heads you win, tails you don't lose as much"—participating when conditions warrant while stepping aside when risk turns south.

How to Start Index Investing

For Traditional Markets

Choose your focus: Total stock market, S&P 500, international, or bonds

Select a provider: Vanguard, Fidelity, Schwab, or iShares offer excellent low-cost options

Open a brokerage account: Most platforms have no minimums and free trading

Buy and hold: Invest regularly and leave it alone for years

For Crypto Markets

Identify your strategy: Passive broad exposure or adaptive regime-switching

Research index products: Look for transparent holdings, clear fee structures, and published methodologies

Review the details: Check rebalancing frequency, custody model, and supported funding options

Start small: Test the platform and process before committing large amounts

Monitor periodically: Track performance but avoid overtrading

Example: Token Metrics Global 100 Index

Token Metrics offers a regime-switching crypto index that holds the top 100 cryptocurrencies during bullish market signals and moves fully to stablecoins when conditions turn bearish. With weekly rebalancing, transparent holdings displayed in treemaps and tables, and a complete transaction log, it exemplifies the modern approach to crypto index investing.

The platform features embedded self-custodial wallets, one-click purchasing (typically completed in 90 seconds), and clear fee disclosure before confirmation—lowering the operational barriers that often prevent investors from accessing diversified crypto strategies.

The Bottom Line

Indices are measurement tools that track groups of assets, and index funds make those measurements investable. Whether you're building a retirement portfolio with stock indices or exploring crypto indices with adaptive risk management, the core benefits remain consistent: diversification, lower costs, emotional discipline, and simplified execution.

For most investors, index-based strategies deliver better risk-adjusted returns than attempting to pick individual winners. As Warren Buffett famously recommended, "Put 10% of the cash in short-term government bonds and 90% in a very low-cost S&P 500 index fund."

That advice applies whether you're investing in stocks, bonds, or the emerging world of cryptocurrency indices.

Ready to explore crypto indices? Visit the Token Metrics Indices hub to see regime-switching strategies in action, review transparent holdings, and join waitlists for upcoming index products.

Click here to get early access to TM100 indices at Token Metrics.

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