Crypto Basics

What Is a Moonshot? The Ultimate Guide to High-Risk, High-Reward Gems in Crypto (2025)

Learn what a moonshot is in crypto, how to find the next 100x token, and how to manage risk. Discover top moonshot tools like Token Metrics and key trends for 2025
Token Metrics Team
6 min
MIN

The term “moonshot” is everywhere in the crypto world—but what does it really mean? In 2025, as the search for the next 100x token intensifies, understanding the concept of a crypto moonshot is more important than ever. Moonshots offer massive upside potential, but they also come with high risk. So how do you find them, and more importantly, how do you separate hype from real opportunity?

In this guide, we’ll break down what a moonshot is, why it matters, how to identify one, and how tools like Token Metrics are helping investors discover the next big thing in crypto—before it takes off.

🚀 What Is a Moonshot in Crypto?

In crypto, a moonshot refers to a low-cap, high-potential cryptocurrency that could deliver outsized returns, typically 10x, 50x, or even 100x your initial investment. The term comes from the idea that a token is going “to the moon”—crypto slang for an explosive price increase.

Unlike established cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, moonshots are usually early-stage projects with small market caps, limited trading volume, and a high level of speculation. These tokens often sit under the radar, only gaining traction once a specific narrative, innovation, or market trend brings them into the spotlight.

🧠 Characteristics of a Moonshot Token

While no one can guarantee a moonshot, successful ones often share several key traits:

1. Low Market Cap

Most moonshots start with a market cap under $50 million, sometimes even under $10 million. This gives them room to grow exponentially as adoption increases.

2. Strong Narrative or Trend Alignment

Moonshots usually align with emerging crypto narratives, such as:

  • AI in crypto (e.g., TMAI)
  • Real-world assets (RWA)
  • Decentralized infrastructure (DePIN)
  • ZK rollups and Layer-2s
  • On-chain gaming and modular blockchains


3. Innovative Technology or Unique Use Case

They bring new ideas or solve real problems, giving them the potential to disrupt existing models.

4. Early Community Traction

Even if small, moonshots typically have loyal, vocal communities that drive awareness and support adoption.

5. Token Utility

Tokens that play a critical role in a product’s functionality (staking, access, governance) are more likely to gain value as adoption grows.

6. Exchange Listings

Getting listed on a major CEX (centralized exchange) or DEX (decentralized exchange) often serves as a catalyst for price surges.

⚠️ Moonshot = High Risk, High Reward

While the upside is massive, moonshots come with serious risks:

  • Volatility: Prices can swing wildly in hours or minutes.
  • Scams and rug pulls: Many low-cap tokens are created with malicious intent.
  • Illiquidity: It may be hard to buy or sell large amounts.
  • Overhype: Narratives can fizzle out quickly, leaving bag holders behind.
  • Lack of product-market fit: Many projects never deliver a working product.

Risk management is essential. Only allocate a small portion of your portfolio to moonshots and always do your own research.

🔍 How to Identify Crypto Moonshots

Finding true moonshots is part art, part science. Here are practical steps to help spot them:

1. Use Token Metrics Moonshots Feature

Token Metrics, the leading AI-powered crypto research platform, features a dedicated Moonshots tab that helps users discover early-stage altcoins with massive potential.

Token Metrics uses AI models to:

  • Scan over 6,000+ tokens
  • Analyze 80+ on-chain and off-chain data points
  • Score tokens based on Investor Grade (long-term) and Trader Grade (short-term)
  • Highlight tokens before they hit mainstream radar

2. Follow Emerging Narratives

Pay attention to sectors gaining momentum—AI, DePIN, L2s, gaming, and RWA are hot in 2025. Moonshots often emerge at the intersection of narrative and innovation.

3. Explore Crypto Twitter and Discord

Many early-stage gems are discussed by small communities, KOLs (key opinion leaders), and early investors before any mainstream media coverage.

4. Check Tokenomics

A great idea can’t succeed with poor tokenomics. Look for:

  • Fair initial distribution
  • Deflationary or limited supply
  • Lock-up periods for team/investors
  • Strong incentive alignment with users

5. Monitor DEX Launchpads and On-Chain Metrics

Platforms like Uniswap, Camelot, or Base-native DEXs are where most moonshots launch first. Analyze:

  • Wallet distribution (whale vs retail)
  • Volume and liquidity
  • Holder growth

🔬 How Token Metrics Helps You Find the Next Moonshot

Token Metrics is the ultimate tool for discovering and validating moonshot opportunities. Here’s how:

🧠 AI-Driven Token Ratings

Get real-time Investor Grade and Trader Grade scores, generated by AI models trained on historical altcoin performance.

📈 Bullish & Bearish Signals

Get alerts when a token shows strong upside or downside momentum based on quantitative signals.

🚀 Moonshots Section

A curated feed of low-cap, high-potential tokens filtered by market cap, sector, risk level, and on-chain traction.

📊 Backtesting & Risk Analysis

Use simulation tools to see how a moonshot would have performed in different market conditions, helping you gauge timing and position sizing.

👉 Try Token Metrics with a 7-day free trial and start exploring moonshots with data, not just hype.

✅ Examples of Real Moonshots

In previous years, several tokens started as moonshots and delivered massive gains:

  • Polygon (MATIC) – Launched below $0.01, surged to over $2.50 at peak

  • Axie Infinity (AXS) – Went from cents to $165 during the 2021 gaming boom

  • Pepe (PEPE) – Meme coin that turned thousands into millions in 2023

  • VIRTUAL (SPX6900) – Token Metrics alerted this 55x trade before the crowd

In 2025, emerging moonshots include AI-powered tokens like $TMAI (Token Metrics AI)—positioned at the forefront of AI + crypto convergence.

🛡️ Tips for Safely Investing in Moonshots

  • Only use risk capital (money you can afford to lose)
  • Start small and scale positions after traction
  • Set profit targets and stop-losses
  • Diversify across 5–10 moonshot tokens
  • Use non-custodial wallets and keep private keys secure
  • Don’t chase pumps—enter early or not at all

Moonshot investing isn’t about certainty—it’s about asymmetrical bets with defined downside and massive upside.

Final Thoughts

Moonshots are the heartbeat of crypto innovation. They represent the bold, risky, and visionary projects that could reshape entire industries—or fade into obscurity.

In 2025, the opportunity to find the next Solana, MATIC, or PEPE still exists—but success comes from informed decisions, not hype-driven FOMO. That’s why platforms like Token Metrics are critical. With AI-powered research, curated moonshot lists, and real-time trading signals, Token Metrics helps you spot the gems before they moon.

So, what’s your next moonshot?

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Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

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Announcements

🚀 Token Metrics API Goes Live on Hacker News – The AI Crypto Toolkit for Builders

Token Metrics Team
5 min
MIN

The Token Metrics API has officially launched on Hacker News, marking a major milestone in our mission to bring AI-powered crypto insights to every developer, founder, and builder in the Web3 space.

If you're building trading bots, dashboards, investment tools, or AI agents that interact with the crypto market, this is your developer edge in 2025. Forget raw feeds and static charts—this is real-time, AI-grade crypto intelligence available in minutes via a single API key.

What Is the Token Metrics API?

The Token Metrics API is a powerful crypto intelligence engine built for developers who want more than just price data. It combines machine learning, quantitative modeling, and narrative indexing to deliver structured signals that help users make smarter trading decisions.

Instead of simply showing what the market did, the API helps predict what it might do—with insights like:

  • Trader & Investor Grades (0–100 scores on momentum and fundamentals)
  • Bullish/Bearish Signals across 6,000+ assets
  • Narrative-based Indices like DeFi, AI, Memes, RWAs, and more
  • Quantitative Risk Scores and sentiment analysis
  • Real-time updates, no lag, no stale metrics

It’s like giving your crypto bot a brain—and not just any brain, an AI-trained crypto analyst that never sleeps.

Why It’s Different from Every Other Crypto API

Most APIs give you prices, volume, and maybe some on-chain data. Token Metrics gives you opinionated intelligence derived from over 80 on-chain, off-chain, technical, and sentiment indicators.

That means:

  • Your dashboard users get real-time grades and trending tokens.
  • Your AI agent can speak fluently about token fundamentals.
  • Your bot can act on bullish flips before the rest of the market.

We’ve designed this API for modularity and plug-and-play usability. With 21+ endpoints and official SDKs, you can ship faster and smarter—no custom pipeline needed.

What Can You Build?

Whether you're a solo developer or building inside a Web3 team, the possibilities are wide open.

Build smarter with Token Metrics if you’re creating:

  • 🧠 AI trading agents that query real-time token grades
  • 📊 Investor dashboards that surface top-rated altcoins
  • 📈 DApps that alert users to sector momentum shifts
  • 📱 Mobile apps with embedded market signals
  • 🧪 Backtesting systems for narrative-based portfolio strategies

Because the API supports OpenAI, Claude, Cursor, and Raycast integrations, your agents and LLM-powered tools can query live crypto intelligence in natural language—no additional parsing required.

Why the Hacker News Feature Matters

Token Metrics API just made it to the front page of Hacker News, one of the internet’s most trusted platforms for discovering high-impact developer tools.

This means:

  • 💬 A community of builders and engineers is already testing the API
  • 🧪 Feedback is pouring in, helping us evolve faster
  • 🚀 Your early adoption puts you ahead of the curve

If you’ve been waiting for the right time to integrate AI-native crypto signals into your product—this is it.

Get Started for Free

We’re offering 5,000 free API calls/month for every new developer.

Sign up, plug in your key, and build:

  • With one consistent schema
  • Across multiple clients
  • Without chasing multiple API docs

Your users don’t just want raw data anymore—they want insights. Token Metrics delivers those insights in real time, with zero guesswork.

Join the Developer Revolution

💥 Explore the API – Get your key in 30 seconds
💬 Join the Hacker News discussion – See what other devs are saying
📚 Browse Docs – View full endpoints and SDKs

One API. One schema. Smarter crypto apps.
The future of crypto building is AI-powered—and it starts here.

Research

Bullish or Bearish? Interpreting AI Signals in Today’s Volatile Crypto Market

Token Metrics Team
5 min
MIN

Introduction

Crypto moves fast — and traders who can't read the signs get left behind. But in a market where emotions dominate, how do you distinguish between a real trend and a fakeout? That’s where AI-powered trading signals come in.

Token Metrics AI monitors over 6,000 tokens using 80+ data points, from technical momentum to on-chain activity and social sentiment. Its bullish and bearish signals aren’t just flashes of color — they’re actionable, data-driven insights that can guide decisions in chaotic markets.

In this post, we break down how to interpret bullish and bearish signals, what they’ve been saying recently, and how to react when market direction flips suddenly.

What Are Bullish and Bearish Signals?

Let’s start with the basics:

  • Bullish Signal (Green Dot): Indicates that a token is showing signs of an upward trend based on combined technical, sentiment, and on-chain analysis.
  • Bearish Signal (Red Dot): Suggests that a token is losing momentum, and price downside or stagnation is likely.

But these signals aren’t standalone — they come with contextual grades, like the Trader Grade, which ranks signal strength from 0 to 100. This allows you to not just know the direction, but the confidence behind it.

What Happened Recently? The May 30 Flip

On May 30, 2025, Token Metrics AI issued a broad bearish flip across much of the market. That included:

  • Ethereum
  • Bittensor
  • Launchcoin
  • Many Real World Asset and L2 tokens

The AI signal flipped red, and Trader Grades fell across the board. Why? Here's what the AI detected:

  • Slowing volume
  • Negative sentiment shift
  • Liquidity thinning on DEXs
  • On-chain accumulation stalling

This wasn’t panic-driven — it was a data-driven, proactive warning that the cycle had peaked. In a world where most traders rely on lagging indicators or Twitter sentiment, this was an edge.

How to Interpret a Bullish Signal

A bullish signal isn’t an instant “buy” — it's a call to investigate. Here's what to check when a green dot appears:

✅ 1. Trader Grade Above 80

This means high conviction. If it's between 60–79, the trend is forming, but may lack strength.

✅ 2. Volume Confirmation

Price up + volume up = good. Price up + volume flat = caution.

✅ 3. Narrative Alignment

If the token fits a hot theme (like RWAs or AI), that adds strength to the signal.

✅ 4. Recent Price Action

Did the signal appear after a breakout, or just before? Entry timing depends on whether you're catching the beginning or chasing the middle of the trend.

✅ 5. Compare to Peers

If 3–5 similar tokens are also turning bullish, that indicates sector-wide rotation — a better entry environment.

How to Interpret a Bearish Signal

Red doesn’t mean "dump immediately" — it means it's time to tighten your risk.

❗ 1. Trader Grade Below 50

This indicates deteriorating conviction — exit or reduce exposure.

❗ 2. Volume Divergence

If price is flat but volume is fading, that’s a warning of a potential breakdown.

❗ 3. Signal Timing

Did the bearish flip happen near local highs? That’s often the best exit point.

❗ 4. Check for Repeats

Was this the second red dot in a week? That could confirm a longer-term downtrend.

❗ 5. BTC/ETH Context

If Bitcoin or ETH also flip bearish, it may suggest macro pressure, not just token-specific weakness.

Real-Time Examples from the Webinar

During the June 5 Token Metrics webinar, we walked through examples of how these signals worked in real time:

🟢 Bullish (April) – Launchcoin

Strong signal, grade in the 80s. Resulted in a massive short-term run.

🔴 Bearish (May 30) – Ethereum

Signal turned red around $3,490. Traders who followed it avoided the 55% drawdown that followed.

🔴 Bearish (June) – Fartcoin

After a 700% run-up, the signal flipped bearish with a low Trader Grade of ~24. Result? A slow bleed lower as sentiment cooled.

What Makes AI Signals Different from Traditional TA?

Feature                                                    Token Metrics AI                     Traditional TA

Combines social + on-chain                    ✅                                       ❌

Updated in real time                                 ✅                                       ❌

Machine learning trained on past data   ✅                                       ❌

Outputs confidence grade                       ✅                                       ❌

Adapts to new narratives                         ✅                                       ❌

This isn’t about moving averages or MACD — it’s about combining the entire digital footprint of a token to anticipate what comes next.

How to React to a Signal Flip

What do you do when your favorite token suddenly flips from bullish to bearish?

  1. Reduce exposure immediately — even if you don’t sell everything, cut risk.
  2. Check the Grade — if it’s falling, momentum is likely over.
  3. Watch Peer Tokens — if similar projects are also turning red, it confirms sector rotation.
  4. Set New Alerts — if the signal flips back to green, be ready to re-enter.

Your job isn’t to predict the market. It’s to respond to what the data is saying.

How to Combine AI Signals with a Strategy

Here’s a basic framework:

Entry

  • Bullish signal + Trader Grade > 80 = enter with full size.
  • Grade 60–79 = enter small or wait for confirmation.

Exit

  • Bearish signal = scale out or exit.
  • Grade < 50 = no new positions unless for short trades.

Risk

  • Position size scales with grade.
  • Only trade tokens with high liquidity and volume confirmation.

This keeps your system simple, repeatable, and data-driven.

Conclusion

In volatile markets, conviction matters. Token Metrics AI doesn’t just point up or down — it tells you how strong the trend is, how likely it is to last, and when it’s time to pivot.

Don’t trade on emotions. Don’t chase hype. Use the signals — and trust the grade.

Because in a market that never sleeps, it pays to have an AI watching your back.

Research

Crypto Market Cools Off: What Is Token Metrics AI Saying Now

Token Metrics Team
5 min
MIN

Introduction

The euphoria of April and May in the crypto market has officially hit the brakes. While traders were riding high just weeks ago, the mood has shifted — and the data confirms it. Token Metrics’ proprietary AI signals flipped bearish on May 30, and since then, the market has been slowly but steadily declining.

In this post, we break down what’s happened since the bearish signal, how major altcoins and sectors are reacting, and what Token Metrics’ indicators are telling us about what might come next.

The Big Picture: Cooling Off After a Hot Q1 and Q2 Start

The platform’s AI signal turned bearish on May 30 when the total crypto market cap hit $3.34 trillion. Since then, the momentum that defined early 2025 has reversed.

This wasn’t a sudden crash — it’s a slow bleed. The signal shift didn’t come from headline-driven panic, but from data-level exhaustion: volume softening, sentiment stalling, and trend strength fading across most tokens.

Token Metrics AI recognized the shift — and issued the warning.

What the Bearish Signal Means

The AI model analyzes over 80 metrics across price, volume, sentiment, and on-chain data. When key trends across these data sets weaken, the system flips from bullish (green) to bearish (red).

On May 30:

  • Trader Grades across most tokens declined
  • Signal sentiment flipped bearish
  • Momentum and velocity cooled down

According to the model, these were signs of a broad de-risking cycle — not just isolated weakness.

Sectors Showing Declines

Even tokens that had been performing well throughout Q2 began to stall or roll over.

🚨 Launch Coin

Previously one of the top performers in April, Launch Coin saw its grades decrease and price action softened.It may even be rebranding — a typical signal that a project is pivoting after a hype cycle.

🏦 Real World Assets (RWAs)

RWAs were hot in March–May, but by early June, volume and signal quality had cooled off significantly.

🔐 ZK and L2s

Projects like Starknet and zkSync, once dominant in trader attention, have seen signal strength drop, with many now scoring below 70.

The cooling effect is broad, touching narratives, sectors, and high-performing individual tokens alike.

The Bull-Bear Indicator in Action

One of the key tools used by Token Metrics is the Bull vs. Bear Indicator, which aggregates bullish vs. bearish signals across all tokens tracked.

As of early June:

  • The percentage of tokens with bullish signals dropped to its lowest since January.
  • New projects launching with strong grades also saw a decline.
  • Even community-favorite tokens began receiving “exit” alerts.

This isn’t fear — it’s fatigue.

How Traders Are Reacting

During the webinar, we noted that many users who rely on Token Metrics signals began rotating into stables once the May 30 signal flipped. Others reduced leverage, paused entries, or shifted into defensive plays like ETH and BTC.

This reflects an important philosophy:

"When the data changes, we change our approach."

Instead of trying to fight the tape or chase rebounds, disciplined traders are using the bearish signal to protect gains and preserve capital.

What About Ethereum and Bitcoin?

Even ETH and BTC, the two bellwether assets, aren’t immune.

  • Ethereum: Lost momentum after a strong May push. Its Trader Grade is dropping, and the AI signals currently reflect neutral-to-bearish sentiment.
  • Bitcoin: While still holding structure better than altcoins, it has also declined since peaking above $72k. Volume weakening and sentiment falling suggest caution.

In previous cycles, ETH and BTC acted as shelters during altcoin corrections. But now, even the majors show weakness — another reason why the bearish flip matters.

What Could Reverse This?

Abdullah Sarwar, head of research at Token Metrics, mentioned that for the signals to flip back bullish, we would need to see:

  • Increased momentum across top tokens
  • New narratives (e.g., real-world utility, cross-chain demand)
  • Higher volume and liquidity inflows
  • Positive macro or ETF news

Until then, the system will remain in defensive mode — prioritizing safety over chasing trades.

How to Act During a Bearish Signal

The team offered several tips for traders during this cooling-off period:

  1. Reduce exposure
    Don’t hold full positions in assets with weak grades or bearish signals.

  2. Watch signal reversals
    Keep an eye on sudden bullish flips with high Trader Grades — they often mark trend reversals.

  3. Rebalance into safer assets
    BTC, ETH, or even stables allow you to sit on the sidelines while others take unnecessary risk.

  4. Use Token Metrics filters
    Use the platform to filter for:

    • Top tokens with >80 grades
    • Signals that flipped bullish in the last 3 days
    • Low market-cap tokens with strong on-chain activity

These tools help find exceptions in a weak market.

Conclusion: Bearish Doesn’t Mean Broken

Markets cycle — and AI sees it before headlines do.

Token Metrics' bearish signal wasn’t a call to panic. It was a calibrated, data-backed alert that the trend had shifted — and that it was time to switch from offense to defense.

If you’re navigating this new phase, listen to the data. Use the tools. And most importantly, avoid trading emotionally.

The bull market might return. When it does, Token Metrics AI will flip bullish again — and you’ll be ready.

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