Back to blog
Research

What is the GENIUS Act and How Does It Affect Crypto? Complete 2025 Guide

Learn about the 2025 GENIUS Act and its impact on crypto regulation, stability, and institutional adoption with comprehensive insights and analysis.
Token Metrics Team
10
Want Smarter Crypto Picks—Free?
See unbiased Token Metrics Ratings for BTC, ETH, and top alts.
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
 No credit card | 1-click unsubscribe

The cryptocurrency industry experienced a turning point on July 18, 2025, when President Donald Trump signed the GENIUS Act into law. This landmark piece of major crypto legislation marks the first major federal crypto legislation ever passed by Congress and fundamentally reshapes the regulatory landscape for stablecoins. The GENIUS Act brings much-needed clarity and oversight to digital assets, including digital currency, signaling a dramatic shift in how the United States approaches the rapidly evolving crypto space. For anyone involved in cryptocurrency investing, trading, or innovation, understanding what the GENIUS Act is and how it affects crypto is essential to navigating this new era of regulatory clarity.

Introduction to Digital Assets

The digital asset landscape is undergoing a profound transformation, with the GENIUS Act representing a pivotal moment in establishing national innovation for U.S. stablecoins. Digital assets—ranging from cryptocurrencies and stablecoins to digital tokens and digital dollars—are at the forefront of financial innovation, reshaping how individuals, businesses, and financial institutions interact with money and value. As decentralized finance (DeFi) and digital finance continue to expand, the need for regulatory clarity and robust consumer protections has never been greater.

The GENIUS Act aims to address these needs by introducing clear rules for stablecoin issuers and setting a new standard for regulatory oversight in the crypto industry. By requiring permitted payment stablecoin issuers to maintain 1:1 reserves in highly liquid assets such as U.S. treasury bills, the Act ensures that stablecoin holders can trust in the stable value of their digital assets. This move not only protects consumers but also encourages greater participation from traditional banks, credit unions, and other financial institutions that had previously been wary of the regulatory uncertainties surrounding digital currencies.

One of the GENIUS Act’s most significant contributions is its comprehensive regulatory framework, which brings together federal and state regulators, the Federal Reserve, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation to oversee payment stablecoin issuers. The Act also opens the door for foreign issuers to operate in the U.S. under specific conditions, further enhancing the role of cross-border payments in the global digital asset ecosystem. By aligning stablecoin regulation with the Bank Secrecy Act, the GENIUS Act requires issuers to implement robust anti-money laundering and customer identification measures, strengthening the integrity of the digital asset market.

President Trump’s signing of the GENIUS Act into law marks a turning point for both the crypto space and the broader financial markets. The Act’s focus on protecting consumers, fostering stablecoin adoption, and promoting financial innovation is expected to drive significant growth in digital finance. Crypto companies and major financial institutions now have a clear regulatory pathway, enabling them to innovate with confidence and contribute to the ongoing evolution of digital currencies.

As the digital asset market matures, staying informed about regulatory developments—such as the GENIUS Act and the proposed Asset Market Clarity Act—is essential for anyone looking to capitalize on the opportunities presented by digital finance. The GENIUS Act establishes a solid foundation for the regulation of payment stablecoins, ensuring legal protections for both the buyer and stablecoin holders, and setting the stage for future advancements in the crypto industry. With clear rules, strong consumer protections, and a commitment to national innovation for U.S. stablecoins, the GENIUS Act is shaping the future of digital assets and guiding the next era of financial markets.

What is the GENIUS Act?

The GENIUS Act, officially known as the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act, establishes the first comprehensive federal regulatory framework specifically designed for stablecoins in the United States. Introduced by Senator Bill Hagerty (R-Tennessee) on May 1, 2025, the bill received strong bipartisan support, passing the Senate 68-30 on June 17, 2025, before clearing the House on July 17, 2025.

Stablecoins are a class of cryptocurrencies engineered to maintain a stable value by pegging their worth to another asset, typically the U.S. dollar. Unlike highly volatile crypto assets such as Bitcoin or Ethereum, stablecoins provide price stability, making them ideal for payments, trading, and serving as safe havens during market turbulence. At the time of the GENIUS Act’s passage, the two largest stablecoins—Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC)—dominated a $238 billion stablecoin market.

This legislation emerged after years of regulatory uncertainty that left stablecoin issuers operating in a legal gray zone. The collapse of TerraUSD in 2022, which wiped out billions of dollars in value, underscored the risks of unregulated stablecoins and accelerated calls for federal oversight. The GENIUS Act aims to address these concerns by establishing clear standards for reserve backing, consumer protection, and operational transparency, thereby fostering national innovation in digital finance.

Provisions of the GENIUS Act

The GENIUS Act introduces several critical provisions that fundamentally change how stablecoins operate within the United States. One of the most significant is the reserve backing requirement, which mandates that stablecoin issuers maintain 100% reserves backing their tokens with highly liquid, low-risk assets such as U.S. Treasury securities and U.S. dollars. This one-to-one backing ensures that stablecoin holders can redeem their tokens for the underlying asset at any time, protecting against the type of collapse witnessed with TerraUSD.

Another cornerstone of the Act is its consumer protection measures. These provisions prioritize stablecoin holders' claims over all other creditors in the event of issuer insolvency, providing a critical safety net. The law also guarantees clear redemption rights, allowing stablecoin holders to convert their tokens back into U.S. dollars on demand, enhancing legal protections for consumers.

The Act further establishes stringent licensing and oversight requirements, specifying that only permitted payment stablecoin issuers—including subsidiaries of insured depository institutions, federally qualified issuers, and state-qualified issuers—may issue stablecoins in the U.S. These permitted issuers are subject to rigorous approval processes and dual oversight by federal and state regulators, creating a regulatory framework akin to traditional banking supervision.

Addressing national security concerns, the GENIUS Act explicitly subjects stablecoin issuers to the Bank Secrecy Act, requiring them to implement robust anti-money laundering (AML) and sanctions compliance programs. Issuers must have the technical capability to seize, freeze, or burn payment stablecoins when legally mandated, enhancing the Treasury Department’s enforcement capabilities. These measures ensure that stablecoins cannot be exploited for illicit activities, reinforcing the integrity of the financial markets.

Immediate Market Impact and Regulatory Clarity

The passage of the GENIUS Act was met with enthusiasm across the cryptocurrency market. Following the Senate vote, the total crypto market capitalization surged by 3.8%, reaching an impressive $3.95 trillion. By the time President Trump signed the bill into law, the market had climbed further, hitting a record $4 trillion—a clear indication of how much regulatory uncertainty had previously suppressed institutional participation.

The stablecoin market experienced particularly explosive growth under this new regulatory framework. By early August 2025, stablecoin market capitalization had climbed past $278 billion, with net stablecoin creation increasing by an astonishing 324% from Q2 to Q3 2025, reaching approximately $300 billion. This surge demonstrates that regulatory clarity has unlocked significant institutional capital that had been waiting on the sidelines.

Major financial institutions, including JPMorgan and Meta Platforms, accelerated their stablecoin initiatives following the law’s enactment. Traditional banks, which had been cautious about entering the crypto space, now have a clear regulatory pathway to participate. Stablecoins are rapidly evolving from niche crypto products to mainstream financial infrastructure, with applications in cross-border payments and other financial services.

How the GENIUS Act Affects Stablecoin Issuers and Different Crypto Sectors

Although the GENIUS Act primarily targets stablecoins, its effects resonate throughout the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem. In the realm of decentralized finance (DeFi), the enhanced reliability and regulatory compliance of stablecoins strengthen the foundation for lending, borrowing, and yield-generating protocols. However, DeFi platforms must ensure that the stablecoins they integrate comply with the new licensing requirements, which may limit the tokens they can support.

NFT marketplaces benefit indirectly from the Act. With stablecoins now backed by clear regulatory guidelines and consumer protections, users gain greater confidence when using these digital dollars for high-value NFT transactions. While the GENIUS Act does not regulate NFTs directly, it removes uncertainty around the payment mechanisms that facilitate their exchange.

Crypto exchanges face a mix of new opportunities and compliance obligations. Exchanges listing stablecoins must verify that issuers hold proper licenses and maintain required reserves. Those acting as custodians or facilitators for stablecoin transactions may be classified as digital asset service providers, triggering additional regulatory oversight. Nonetheless, legitimate exchanges stand to gain a competitive edge as regulated stablecoins attract more institutional clients.

The payments and remittances sector arguably stands to benefit the most. With clear legal status and consumer protections, stablecoins can now effectively compete with traditional payment networks for cross-border transactions. This is especially impactful in emerging markets, where stablecoins often serve as hedges against local currency instability, improving the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of cross-border payments.

As the cryptocurrency industry transitions from regulatory ambiguity to a structured framework, investors and traders require sophisticated tools to navigate this evolving landscape. Token Metrics, a leading crypto trading and analytics platform, offers the comprehensive data and insights essential for making informed decisions under the GENIUS Act’s new regulatory environment.

Token Metrics provides real-time tracking of stablecoin market dynamics, including reserve ratios, trading volumes, and compliance status for major issuers. This information is crucial for understanding which stablecoins meet the GENIUS Act’s requirements and which may face regulatory challenges. By aggregating this data into actionable intelligence, Token Metrics supports effective portfolio construction and risk management.

The platform’s advanced analytics help investors identify emerging opportunities resulting from the regulatory shift. As traditional financial institutions launch regulated stablecoins and new use cases arise, Token Metrics’ AI-driven ratings and market analysis guide allocation decisions. Whether evaluating established stablecoins like USDC or assessing new entrants from banks such as JPMorgan, Token Metrics delivers objective, data-backed assessments.

For active traders, Token Metrics offers market intelligence needed to capitalize on volatility and trends driven by regulatory developments. When news surfaces about licensing approvals, reserve audits, or enforcement actions, Token Metrics equips users to respond swiftly with comprehensive context on how events impact specific tokens and broader market sectors.

Moreover, Token Metrics helps investors understand correlation effects—how stablecoin regulation influences Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoin markets. As stablecoins become more mainstream and integrated into financial markets, their relationship with other crypto assets evolves. Token Metrics’ correlation analysis and market structure insights enable more sophisticated trading and hedging strategies.

What Comes Next

The GENIUS Act is only the beginning of comprehensive crypto regulation in the United States. The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act), which passed the House on July 17, 2025, aims to extend regulatory frameworks to the broader cryptocurrency market, clearly defining the roles of the SEC and CFTC. As this legislation moves through the Senate, the regulatory landscape will continue to evolve rapidly. Industry experts anticipate that the next 18 months will be crucial as other crypto sectors seek regulatory clarity following the stablecoin model. The emerging framework approach suggests future cryptocurrency regulation will be use-case specific rather than technology specific, with payment tokens receiving banking-like oversight while investment products remain under SEC jurisdiction.

Conclusion

The GENIUS Act fundamentally transforms the cryptocurrency landscape by delivering regulatory clarity to the $300 billion stablecoin market. By establishing strict reserve requirements, consumer protections, and licensing frameworks, the law removes major barriers to institutional adoption while safeguarding against catastrophic failures that have plagued unregulated stablecoins.

For investors, traders, and businesses operating in the crypto space, understanding what the GENIUS Act is and how it affects crypto is no longer optional—it is essential. As regulated stablecoins become the backbone of crypto payments, DeFi protocols, and cross-border transactions, those equipped with superior analytics and market intelligence will be best positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities while effectively managing risks.

Platforms like Token Metrics provide the comprehensive tracking, analysis, and insights needed to successfully navigate this new regulatory era. As the cryptocurrency industry matures from experimental technology to regulated financial infrastructure, such tools become indispensable for anyone serious about succeeding in digital asset markets.

Build Smarter Crypto Apps &
AI Agents in Minutes, Not Months
Real-time prices, trading signals, and on-chain insights all from one powerful API.
Grab a Free API Key
About Token Metrics
Token Metrics: AI-powered crypto research and ratings platform. We help investors make smarter decisions with unbiased Token Metrics Ratings, on-chain analytics, and editor-curated “Top 10” guides. Our platform distills thousands of data points into clear scores, trends, and alerts you can act on.
30 Employees
analysts, data scientists, and crypto engineers
30 Employees
analysts, data scientists, and crypto engineers
30 Employees
analysts, data scientists, and crypto engineers
Want Smarter Crypto Picks—Free?
See unbiased Token Metrics Ratings for BTC, ETH, and top alts.
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
 No credit card | 1-click unsubscribe
Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

Recent Posts

Research

The Complete Beginner's Guide to Token Metrics Crypto Indices: Start Investing in 30 Minutes

Token Metrics Team
11 min read

Cryptocurrency investing intimidates many potential investors. The technical jargon, overwhelming number of tokens, security concerns, and stories of people losing fortunes create paralysis. You know crypto represents an opportunity, but where do you even begin?

Token Metrics AI Indices eliminate these barriers by providing a simple, secure pathway into cryptocurrency investing. Whether you've never bought crypto before or you're transitioning from traditional investments, this comprehensive beginner's guide walks you through everything needed to start investing successfully in just 30 minutes.

No technical expertise required. No complicated wallet setup. No endless research into thousands of tokens. Just straightforward steps that get you invested intelligently and positioned for long-term wealth creation.

What Exactly Are Crypto Indices? (Explained Simply)

Before diving into the how-to, let's establish a simple understanding of what you're investing in.

Think of crypto indices like a basket containing multiple cryptocurrencies. Instead of buying Bitcoin or Ethereum individually, you buy a pre-made collection of several carefully selected digital assets. This is similar to how traditional stock index funds like the S&P 500 contain hundreds of companies rather than forcing you to pick individual stocks.

Token Metrics creates these baskets using artificial intelligence that analyzes thousands of cryptocurrencies and selects the best ones based on comprehensive data. The AI acts like a team of expert analysts working 24/7, constantly monitoring market conditions and adjusting your portfolio to maximize returns while managing risk.

When you invest in a Token Metrics index, you're essentially hiring sophisticated AI technology to build and manage your crypto portfolio professionally. You get instant diversification across multiple tokens, automatic rebalancing when market conditions change, protection from common investing mistakes, and access to opportunities you'd never find independently.

The beauty of this approach is simplicity. You don't need to understand blockchain technology, read complicated whitepapers, or analyze trading charts. The AI handles complexity while you focus on your life and watch your investment grow.

Why Beginners Should Start with Indices Instead of Individual Tokens

  • New investors often make the mistake of buying individual cryptocurrencies based on social media hype, friend recommendations, or price momentum. This approach leads to several problems that indices elegantly solve.
  • Individual token selection requires expertise most beginners lack. How do you evaluate whether a cryptocurrency's technology is legitimate or vaporware? How do you determine if tokenomics are sustainable? How do you identify scams before they steal your money? Without experience, these questions prove nearly impossible to answer correctly.
  • Concentration risk destroys portfolios quickly. If you invest everything in three tokens and one fails catastrophically, you lose a third of your capital immediately. Indices spread risk across 10-30 carefully vetted assets, ensuring single failures don't devastate your portfolio.
  • Emotional decision-making causes most investment losses. Fear drives panic selling during downturns. Greed drives buying at market tops. FOMO drives chasing pumps into overvalued assets. AI indices eliminate emotion entirely, maintaining discipline when human investors make terrible decisions.
  • Time requirements prove unsustainable. Successfully managing individual crypto positions requires hours daily monitoring markets, reading news, analyzing charts, and executing trades. Most people with jobs and families can't sustain this commitment. Indices require maybe 30 minutes quarterly.

For beginners, indices provide the perfect entry point—immediate diversification, professional management, emotion-free investing, and minimal time commitment. You can start small, learn gradually, and scale up as you become comfortable.

Step-by-Step: Your First 30 Minutes in Crypto Indices

Ready to begin? Follow this simple roadmap to go from complete beginner to invested in under 30 minutes.

  1. Minutes 1-5: Create Your Token Metrics Account
    • Visit the Token Metrics website and click the sign-up button. You'll need to provide basic information including email address, create a secure password, and verify your email through the confirmation link sent to your inbox.
    • Token Metrics offers a 7-day free trial, allowing you to explore the platform thoroughly before committing financially. Take advantage of this trial to familiarize yourself with available indices, review performance data, and understand the interface.
    • During signup, you'll choose a subscription tier. For beginners, start with the basic tier that provides access to all indices and essential features. You can upgrade later if you want additional tools like advanced analytics or trading signals.
  2. Minutes 6-15: Explore Available Indices and Choose Your Strategy
    • Once logged in, navigate to the Indices section. You'll see several different index options, each designed for specific investment strategies and risk profiles. Here's how to choose:
    • Conservative Investor Grade Index: If you're risk-averse, older, or investing money you can't afford to lose, start here. This index focuses on established cryptocurrencies with strong fundamentals—primarily Bitcoin, Ethereum, and select large-cap altcoins. Returns are more moderate but volatility is lower.
    • Balanced Growth Index: If you're comfortable with moderate risk and seeking steady growth, this balanced approach combines major cryptocurrencies with promising mid-cap projects. It offers stronger growth potential than conservative indices while maintaining reasonable risk levels.
    • Aggressive Growth Index: If you're young, risk-tolerant, and seeking maximum returns, this index targets smaller-cap tokens with explosive potential. Volatility is higher but so are potential returns. Only choose this if you can stomach significant price swings.
    • Sector-Specific Indices: Token Metrics offers indices focused on specific crypto sectors like DeFi, Layer-1 blockchains, AI tokens, or memecoins. Choose these if you believe strongly in a particular sector's growth potential.
    • For most beginners, starting with the Balanced Growth Index makes sense. It provides diversification, reasonable growth potential, and manageable volatility. You can always adjust later as you learn more.
  3. Minutes 16-20: Determine Your Investment Amount
    • How much should you invest in crypto indices? This critical decision depends on your financial situation, but follow these general guidelines.
    • Never invest money you need for living expenses. Crypto remains volatile. Only invest money you won't need for at least 3-5 years and that you could lose entirely without affecting your lifestyle.
    • Start small while learning. If you're completely new to crypto, consider investing just $500-1,000 initially. Get comfortable with the process, experience some market volatility, and understand how indices work before committing larger amounts.
    • Follow the 5-20% rule. Financial advisors typically recommend allocating 5-20% of your total investment portfolio to cryptocurrency depending on age and risk tolerance. If you have $50,000 in traditional investments, consider $2,500-10,000 in crypto.
    • Use dollar-cost averaging. Rather than investing your entire amount immediately, spread purchases over 3-6 months. If you plan to invest $6,000, invest $1,000 monthly. This reduces timing risk and smooths out entry prices.
    • Write down your investment amount now so you don't invest emotionally based on market conditions. Stick to your predetermined plan regardless of whether markets are surging or crashing.
  4. Minutes 21-25: Set Up Your Exchange Account and Funding
    • To invest in Token Metrics indices, you need to purchase the recommended cryptocurrencies through a cryptocurrency exchange. Major exchanges include Coinbase, Kraken, Binance.US, or Gemini.
    • Choose one exchange and create an account. You'll need to provide identification for regulatory compliance—typically a driver's license or passport. This verification process usually takes a few hours to a few days, so you might need to pause here and return once approved.
    • Once verified, connect a funding source. Most beginners use bank transfers, though credit cards and debit cards work too (often with higher fees). Transfer funds from your bank account to your exchange account. Bank transfers typically take 1-3 business days but have lower fees than card payments.
    • For security, enable two-factor authentication (2FA) on your exchange account immediately. This adds an extra security layer requiring a code from your phone when logging in, protecting against unauthorized access.
  5. Minutes 26-30: Make Your First Index-Aligned Purchases
    • Now comes the exciting part—your first crypto investments. Token Metrics indices provide specific recommendations about which tokens to buy and in what proportions.
    • Review your chosen index's current composition. It might show something like: 40% Bitcoin, 25% Ethereum, 15% Solana, 10% Avalanche, 10% Polkadot. These percentages tell you how to allocate your investment.
    • If investing $1,000, you'd buy approximately $400 in Bitcoin, $250 in Ethereum, $150 in Solana, $100 in Avalanche, and $100 in Polkadot. Round to reasonable amounts given minimum purchase requirements.
    • On your exchange, navigate to each cryptocurrency and execute market buy orders. A market order purchases at current market price immediately. For beginners, market orders are simplest—don't worry about limit orders or advanced trading features initially.
    • After purchasing, you can either leave assets on the exchange (simplest for beginners with small amounts) or transfer to a personal wallet (more secure for larger holdings). Initially, leaving assets on a reputable exchange is fine. Learn about wallet security as your investment grows.
    • Congratulations! You're now invested in crypto indices. The entire process took under 30 minutes.

Understanding What Happens Next: Ongoing Management

After your initial investment, understanding ongoing management helps you stay invested successfully.

Token Metrics indices rebalance regularly as market conditions change. You'll receive notifications when adjustments are recommended. These typically occur weekly, bi-weekly, or monthly. Follow the recommendations by making small adjustments—usually just a few minutes to execute.

Check your portfolio monthly rather than daily. Cryptocurrency volatility means dramatic day-to-day swings. Monthly reviews allow tracking overall trajectory without getting caught up in noise. Token Metrics provides performance tracking tools showing returns over various periods and comparing to benchmarks.

Occasionally rebalance your overall portfolio allocation. If crypto has grown from 10% to 25% of your total investments, consider taking profits to rebalance back to your target. This ensures you don't become overexposed during market euphoria.

Common Beginner Questions Answered

New investors often have the same questions and concerns. Here are straightforward answers.

"Is crypto investing safe?"

Cryptocurrency carries risk like all investments. However, indices are far safer than buying random tokens. Token Metrics' AI vetting filters out scams, diversification reduces risk, and professional management protects against emotional mistakes.

"What if I lose everything?"

This is why you only invest money you can afford to lose. Crypto indices are diversified across multiple assets, making total loss extremely unlikely. Individual tokens can fail, but portfolios of 10-30 carefully selected tokens provide resilience.

"How much can I make?"

Token Metrics indices have historically delivered returns significantly exceeding Bitcoin and Ethereum. Conservative indices might return 100-200% annually during bull markets. Aggressive indices could deliver 300-500%+. Bear markets may see negative returns—long-term holding is essential.

"What about taxes?"

Cryptocurrency transactions trigger capital gains taxes in most jurisdictions. Keep records of all transactions. Token Metrics provides transaction tracking to simplify tax preparation. Consult a tax professional for personalized guidance.

"Do I need a special wallet?"

For beginners with smaller amounts, keeping crypto on a reputable exchange is acceptable. As holdings grow beyond $10,000, consider a hardware wallet for additional security.

"Can I start with just $100?"

Yes! While larger amounts generate more absolute returns, you can start with any amount. Use small initial investments to learn and build confidence.

Your 30-Day Action Plan for Success

  • Days 1-7: Leave your investment alone. Resist checking prices constantly. Use this week to explore Token Metrics' educational resources and learn about the cryptocurrencies in your index.
  • Days 8-14: Conduct your first performance review. Don't react emotionally to gains or losses. Review any rebalancing recommendations and execute them if suggested.
  • Days 15-21: Evaluate whether your initial allocation feels appropriate. If you chose dollar-cost averaging, make your second purchase following your predetermined schedule.
  • Days 22-30: Reflect on your first month. Did you stay calm during volatility? Are you confident in your strategy? Decide whether to continue your current approach or make adjustments.

After 30 days, continue monthly reviews, execute recommended rebalancing, and stick to your dollar-cost averaging schedule. Successful investing is about consistency and discipline, not constant activity.

Conclusion: Your Journey Begins Now

Cryptocurrency investing doesn't require technical expertise, complicated processes, or endless time commitment. Token Metrics AI Indices make professional-grade crypto investing accessible to anyone willing to follow a simple, proven system.

You've learned what indices are, why they're perfect for beginners, and exactly how to get started in 30 minutes. You understand ongoing management, have answers to common concerns, and possess a 30-day action plan for success.

The only thing remaining is action. Every day you delay is a day you're not participating in one of the most significant wealth creation opportunities of our generation. Markets don't wait for perfect timing—they reward those who begin with imperfect action.

Your 30-minute journey to crypto investing starts with a single click. Sign up for Token Metrics' 7-day free trial today, explore the indices, and make your first investment following this guide. Your future self will thank you for taking action now rather than watching from the sidelines as others build life-changing wealth.

The tools are available. The guidance is clear. The opportunity is now. Begin your Token Metrics journey today.

Research

Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Prediction to 2027: Scenario Ranges, Scores and Key Drivers

Token Metrics Team
6 min read

Why 2026 Looks Bullish, And What It Could Mean for DOGE

Crypto is transitioning into a broadly bullish regime into 2026 as liquidity improves and adoption deepens.

Regulatory clarity is reshaping the classic four-year cycle, flows can arrive earlier and persist longer as institutions gain confidence.

Access and infrastructure continue to mature with ETFs, qualified custody, and faster L2 scaling that reduce frictions for new capital.

Real‑world integrations expand the surface area for crypto utility, which supports sustained participation across market phases.

This backdrop frames our scenario work for DOGE. The bands below reflect different total market sizes and DOGE's share dynamics.

Read the TLDR first, then dive into grades, catalysts, and risks.

 

 

How to read it: Each band blends cycle analogues and market-cap share math with TA guardrails. Base assumes steady adoption and neutral or positive macro. Moon layers in a liquidity boom. Bear assumes muted flows and tighter liquidity.

TM Agent baseline: Token Metrics lead metric, TM Grade, is 22.65 (Sell), and the trading signal is bearish, indicating short-term downward momentum. Price context: $DOGE is trading around $0.193, rank #9, down about 3.1% in 24 hours and roughly 16% over 30 days. Implication: upside likely requires a broader risk-on environment and renewed retail or celebrity-driven interest.

Live details: Dogecoin Token Details → https://app.tokenmetrics.com/en/dogecoin

Buy DOGE

Key Takeaways

• Scenario driven, outcomes hinge on total crypto market cap, higher liquidity and adoption lift the bands.
• Technology: Technology Grade 54.58% (Activity 36%, Repository 72%, Collaboration 61%, Security N/A, DeFi Scanner N/A).
• TM Agent gist: cautious long‑term stance until grades and momentum improve.
• Education only, not financial advice.

Scenario Images

8T:   

16T:   

23T:   

31T:   

Why Consider the Indices with Top-100 Exposure

Diversification matters. Dogecoin is compelling, yet concentrated bets can be volatile. Token Metrics Indices hold DOGE alongside the top one hundred tokens for broad exposure to leaders and emerging winners.

Our backtests indicate that owning the full market with diversified indices has historically outperformed both the total market and Bitcoin in many regimes due to diversification and rotation.

Get early access

What Is Dogecoin?

Dogecoin is a peer-to-peer cryptocurrency that began as a meme but has evolved into a widely recognized digital asset used for tipping, payments, and community-driven initiatives. It runs on its own blockchain with inflationary supply mechanics. The token’s liquidity and brand awareness create periodic speculative cycles, especially during broad risk-on phases.

Technology Snapshot from Token Metrics

Technology Grade: 54.58% (Activity 36%, Repository 72%, Collaboration 61%, Security N/A, DeFi Scanner N/A).

 

 

Catalysts That Skew Bullish

• Institutional and retail access expands with ETFs, listings, and integrations.
• Macro tailwinds from lower real rates and improving liquidity.
• Product or roadmap milestones such as upgrades, scaling, or partnerships.

Risks That Skew Bearish

• Macro risk-off from tightening or liquidity shocks.
• Regulatory actions or infrastructure outages.
• Concentration or validator economics and competitive displacement.

Special Offer — Token Metrics Advanced Plan with 20% Off

Unlock platform-wide intelligence on every major crypto asset. Use code ADVANCED20 at checkout for twenty percent off.

• AI powered ratings on thousands of tokens for traders and investors.
• Interactive TM AI Agent to ask any crypto question.
• Indices explorer to surface promising tokens and diversified baskets.
• Signal dashboards, backtests, and historical performance views.
• Watchlists, alerts, and portfolio tools to track what matters.
• Early feature access and enhanced research coverage.

Start with Advanced today

FAQs

Can DOGE reach $1.00?

Yes, multiple tiers imply levels above $1.00 by the 2027 horizon, including the 23T Base and all 31T scenarios. Not financial advice.

Is DOGE a good long-term investment?

Outcome depends on adoption, liquidity regime, competition, and supply dynamics. Diversify and size positions responsibly.

  

Next Steps

• Track live grades and signals: Token Details
• Join Indices Early Access
• Want exposure Buy DOGE on MEXC

Disclosure

Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.

Research

Tron (TRX) Price Prediction to 2027: Scenario Ranges, Scores and Key Drivers

Token Metrics Team
6 min read

Why 2026 Looks Bullish, And What It Could Mean for TRX

The crypto market is shifting toward a broadly bullish regime into 2026 as liquidity improves and risk appetite normalizes.

Regulatory clarity across major regions is reshaping the classic four-year cycle, flows can arrive earlier and persist longer.

Institutional access keeps expanding through ETFs and qualified custody, while L2 scaling and real-world integrations broaden utility.

Infrastructure maturity lowers frictions for capital, which supports deeper order books and more persistent participation.

This backdrop frames our scenario work for TRX. The bands below map potential outcomes to different total crypto market sizes.

Use the table as a quick benchmark, then layer in live grades and signals for timing.

  

Current price: $0.2971.

How to read it: Each band blends cycle analogues and market-cap share math with TA guardrails. Base assumes steady adoption and neutral or positive macro. Moon layers in a liquidity boom. Bear assumes muted flows and tighter liquidity.

TM Agent baseline: Token Metrics TM Grade for $TRX is 19.06, which translates to a Strong Sell, and the trading signal is bearish, indicating short-term downward momentum. Price context: $TRX is trading around $0.297, market cap rank #10, and is down about 11% over 30 days while up about 80% year-over-year, it has returned roughly 963% since the last trading signal flip.

Live details: Tron Token Details → https://app.tokenmetrics.com/en/tron 

Buy TRX: https://www.mexc.com/acquisition/custom-sign-up?shareCode=mexc-2djd4 

Key Takeaways

• Scenario driven, outcomes hinge on total crypto market cap, higher liquidity and adoption lift the bands.
• TM Agent gist: bearish near term, upside depends on a sustained risk-on regime and improvements in TM Grade and the trading signal.
• Education only, not financial advice.

Price Predictions

8T:   

16T:   

23T:     

Why Consider the Indices with Top-100 Exposure

Diversification matters. Tron is compelling, yet concentrated bets can be volatile. Token Metrics Indices hold TRX alongside the top one hundred tokens for broad exposure to leaders and emerging winners.

Our backtests indicate that owning the full market with diversified indices has historically outperformed both the total market and Bitcoin in many regimes due to diversification and rotation.

Get early access: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1AnJr8hn51ita6654sRGiiW1K6sE10F1JX-plqTUssXk/preview 

If your editor supports embeds, place a form embed here. Otherwise, include the link above as a button labeled Join Indices Early Access.

What Is Tron?

Tron is a smart-contract blockchain focused on low-cost, high-throughput transactions and cross-border settlement.

The network supports token issuance and a broad set of dApps, with an emphasis on stablecoin transfer volume and payments.

TRX is the native asset that powers fees and staking for validators and delegators within the network.

Developers and enterprises use the chain for predictable costs and fast finality, which supports consumer-facing use cases.

Catalysts That Skew Bullish

• Institutional and retail access expands with ETFs, listings, and integrations.
• Macro tailwinds from lower real rates and improving liquidity.
• Product or roadmap milestones such as upgrades, scaling, or partnerships.

Risks That Skew Bearish

• Macro risk-off from tightening or liquidity shocks.
• Regulatory actions or infrastructure outages.
• Concentration or validator economics and competitive displacement.

Special Offer — Token Metrics Advanced Plan with 20% Off

Unlock platform-wide intelligence on every major crypto asset. Use code ADVANCED20 at checkout for twenty percent off.

• AI powered ratings on thousands of tokens for traders and investors.
• Interactive TM AI Agent to ask any crypto question.
• Indices explorer to surface promising tokens and diversified baskets.
• Signal dashboards, backtests, and historical performance views.
• Watchlists, alerts, and portfolio tools to track what matters.
• Early feature access and enhanced research coverage.

Start with Advanced today → https://www.tokenmetrics.com/token-metrics-pricing 

FAQs

Can TRX reach $1?

Yes, the 23T moon case shows $1.02 and the 31T moon case shows $1.31, which imply a path to $1 in higher-liquidity regimes. Not financial advice.

Is TRX a good long-term investment

Outcome depends on adoption, liquidity regime, competition, and supply dynamics. Diversify and size positions responsibly.

  

Next Steps

Track live grades and signals: Token Details → https://app.tokenmetrics.com/en/tron 

Join Indices Early Access: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1AnJr8hn51ita6654sRGiiW1K6sE10F1JX-plqTUssXk/preview

Want exposure Buy TRX on MEXC → https://www.mexc.com/acquisition/custom-sign-up?shareCode=mexc-2djd4 

Disclosure

Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.

Choose from Platinum, Gold, and Silver packages
Reach with 25–30% open rates and 0.5–1% CTR
Craft your own custom ad—from banners to tailored copy
Perfect for Crypto Exchanges, SaaS Tools, DeFi, and AI Products