NFT Rarity - What it Means and How to Calculate it?
A simple guide to understand everything about NFT Rarity Score and how it is calculated.
Token Metrics Team
5 minutes
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Non-Fungible Tokens, or NFTs, have exploded in popularity in recent years, with many people looking to invest in or collect these unique crypto tokens. However, not all NFTs are created equal – some are more valuable than others. One key factor that determines the value of an NFT is rarity. In this article, we will explore what NFT rarity is, how it works, and how to determine the rarity of an NFT. By understanding these concepts, investors can make more informed decisions when it comes to buying and selling NFTs.
What are Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs)?
Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) are a type of cryptocurrency token, like Bitcoin or Dogecoin. However, what sets NFTs apart from other crypto tokens is their "non-fungibility," meaning that they cannot be mutually exchanged. In other words, every NFT is unique and has its own set of properties, making them distinct from one another.
NFTs have become a popular market, with some tokens having high value compared to others. This has led to a surge in interest in NFTs, with many people wanting to invest in or collect them.
What is NFT Rarity?
One factor that determines the value of an NFT is rarity. NFT rarity refers to how common a specific NFT is within a collection. Typically, the rarer the NFT, the higher its price.
In simple words, NFT rarity refers to the uniqueness or scarcity of a non-fungible token (NFT). Each NFT is created with a unique identifier that makes it distinct from all other NFTs. However, within a collection of NFTs, there can be variations in the rarity or scarcity of the different tokens.
These variations can be based on a variety of factors such as the number of tokens in a collection, the design or artwork of the token, or the properties and attributes assigned to the token. Rarity can impact the value of an NFT, as collectors and investors may be willing to pay more for a rare or highly sought-after NFT. Additionally, NFT creators and collectors may use rarity as a way to create excitement and interest in a particular collection or token.
How Does NFT Rarity Work?
To understand how NFT rarity works, it's important to know that when a new NFT is minted, it has a set of unique properties, known as traits, that cannot be changed. While NFTs can share a trait, no two NFTs are typically identical in a randomized collection.
NFTs with rarer features are more likely to sell for a higher price than those with more common features. As the floor price of a collection increases, the rarer NFTs also tend to increase more in value than the average of the entire collection.
How to Determine NFT Rarity?
Knowing how to spot rarity beforehand can give investors an advantage when it comes to NFT collecting. This can save them time and money, and give them an edge over other traders in the marketplace with information about the value trajectory of a specific type of NFT over time.
There are a few different ways to determine the rarity of an NFT. One way is to use NFT Rarity sites like Rarity Tools. This can help you find if an NFT is rare and in high demand.
Another option is to use a Rarity Ranks Extension, such as the Rarity Ranks extension. However, installing extensions may be risky and steal your confidential data.
Another way to determine NFT rarity is to use a tool like OpenSea, which allows users to create, buy, and sell NFTs. By viewing an entire collection when clicking on an NFT, users can get a sense of the rarity of a specific token. The average collection size is 10,000 items, though this can vary for different projects.
Best NFT Rarity Checker
Determining the rarity of an NFT (Non-Fungible Token) is an important aspect of the NFT market. It can help buyers make informed decisions about the value and potential appreciation of a particular NFT. While there are several NFT rarity checkers available, it's difficult to identify the "best" one as different checkers may use different algorithms and data sources. Some popular NFT rarity checkers include Rarity.tools and Rarity Sniper.
Rarity.tools is a widely used platform that allows users to check rarity scores for a variety of NFT collections. Rarity Sniper provides a rarity score for each NFT, along with data on its trading history and price trends. Ultimately, the best NFT rarity checker depends on individual preferences and needs.
Why is Rarity Important for NFTs?
Rarity is important in the NFT market because it can affect the value and demand for a specific token. Because each look is limited to a specific number across the collection, some are statistically harder to come by – just like a Shiny Pokémon in the Pokémon universe. An NFT with a combination of rare attributes is more likely to sell for a higher price than those with more common traits.
Conclusion
In conclusion, NFT rarity is a key factor in determining the value of an NFT. By understanding how to spot and assess rarity, investors can make more informed decisions when it comes to buying and selling NFTs.
Tools like the NFT Rarity App and the Rarity Ranks Extension can be helpful in determining the rarity of a specific NFT. With this knowledge, investors can make more strategic decisions about their NFT investments and potentially maximize their returns.
Disclaimer
The information provided on this website does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website's content as such.
Token Metrics does not recommend that any cryptocurrency/NFT should be bought, sold, or held by you. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Token Metrics Team
The Token Metrics Team comprises blockchain and cryptocurrency experts dedicated to providing accurate information and empowering investors. Through our blog, we aim to educate and inspire readers to navigate the world of cryptocurrencies confidently.
Token Metrics Team
The Token Metrics Team comprises blockchain and cryptocurrency experts dedicated to providing accurate information and empowering investors. Through our blog, we aim to educate and inspire readers to navigate the world of cryptocurrencies confidently.
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Market Context for Bitcoin Cash Price Prediction: The Case for 2028
The Layer 1 landscape is consolidating as users and developers gravitate to chains with clear specialization. Bitcoin Cash positions itself as a payment-focused chain with low fees and quick settlement for everyday usage.
The Bitcoin Cash price prediction scenario projections below map potential outcomes for BCH across different total crypto market sizes. Base cases assume steady usage and listings, while moon scenarios factor in stronger liquidity and accelerated adoption. Our comprehensive price prediction framework provides investors with data-driven forecasts for strategic decision-making.
Disclosure
Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.
How to Read This BCH Price Prediction
Each band blends cycle analogues and market-cap share math with TA guardrails. Base assumes steady adoption and neutral or positive macro. Moon layers in a liquidity boom. Bear assumes muted flows and tighter liquidity.
TM Agent baseline:Token Metrics lead metric for Bitcoin Cash, cashtag $BCH, is a TM Grade of 54.81%, which translates to Neutral, and the trading signal is bearish, indicating short-term downward momentum. This implies Token Metrics views $BCH as mixed value long term in our price prediction models: fundamentals look strong, while valuation and technology scores are weak, so upside depends on improvements in adoption or technical development. Market context: Bitcoin has been setting market direction, and with broader risk-off moves altcoins face pressure, which increases downside risk for $BCH in the near term.
TM Agent gist: Neutral grade, bearish momentum in price prediction models; adoption must improve for upside
Education only, not financial advice
Bitcoin Cash Price Prediction Scenario Analysis
Token Metrics price prediction scenarios span four market cap tiers, each representing different levels of crypto market maturity and liquidity:
8T Market Cap - BCH Price Prediction:
At an 8 trillion total crypto market cap, BCH price prediction projects to $910.79 in bear conditions, $1,025.20 in the base case, and $1,139.62 in bullish scenarios.
16T Market Cap - BCH Price Prediction:
Doubling the market to 16 trillion expands the price prediction range to $1,606.59 (bear), $1,949.83 (base), and $2,293.07 (moon).
23T Market Cap - BCH Price Prediction:
At 23 trillion, the price prediction scenarios show $2,302.38, $2,874.46, and $3,446.53 respectively.
31T Market Cap - BCH Price Prediction:
In the maximum liquidity scenario of 31 trillion, BCH price predictions could reach $2,998.18 (bear), $3,799.08 (base), or $4,599.99 (moon).
Each tier in our price prediction framework assumes progressively stronger market conditions, with the base case reflecting steady growth and the moon case requiring sustained bull market dynamics.
Why Consider the Indices with Top-100 Exposure
Bitcoin Cash represents one opportunity among hundreds in crypto markets. Token Metrics Indices bundle BCH with top one hundred assets for systematic exposure to the strongest projects. Single tokens face idiosyncratic risks that diversified baskets mitigate.
Historical index performance demonstrates the value of systematic diversification versus concentrated positions.
Bitcoin Cash is a peer-to-peer electronic cash network focused on fast confirmation and low fees. It launched in 2017 as a hard fork of Bitcoin with larger block capacity to prioritize payments. The chain secures value transfers using proof of work and aims to keep everyday transactions affordable.
BCH is used to pay transaction fees and settle transfers, and it is widely listed across major exchanges. Adoption centers on payments, micropayments, and remittances where low fees matter. It competes as a payment‑focused Layer 1 within the broader crypto market.
Token Metrics AI Analysis
Token Metrics AI provides comprehensive context on Bitcoin Cash's positioning and challenges, informing our price prediction models:
Vision: Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is a cryptocurrency that emerged from a 2017 hard fork of Bitcoin, aiming to function as a peer-to-peer electronic cash system with faster transactions and lower fees. It is known for prioritizing on-chain scalability by increasing block sizes, allowing more transactions per block compared to Bitcoin. This design choice supports its use in everyday payments, appealing to users seeking a digital cash alternative. Adoption has been driven by its utility in micropayments and remittances, particularly in regions with limited banking infrastructure. However, Bitcoin Cash faces challenges including lower network security due to reduced mining hash rate compared to Bitcoin, and ongoing competition from both Bitcoin and other scalable blockchains. Its value proposition centers on accessibility and transaction efficiency, but it operates in a crowded space with evolving technological and regulatory risks.
Problem: The project addresses scalability limitations in Bitcoin, where rising transaction fees and slow confirmation times hinder its use for small, frequent payments. As Bitcoin evolved into a store of value, a gap emerged for a blockchain-based currency optimized for fast, low-cost transactions accessible to the general public.
Solution: Bitcoin Cash increases block size limits from 1 MB to 32 MB, enabling more transactions per block and reducing congestion. This on-chain scaling approach allows for faster confirmations and lower fees, making microtransactions feasible. The network supports basic smart contract functionality and replay protection, maintaining compatibility with Bitcoin's core architecture while prioritizing payment utility.
Market Analysis: Bitcoin Cash operates in the digital currency segment, competing with Bitcoin, Litecoin, and stablecoins for use in payments and remittances. While not the market leader, it occupies a niche focused on on-chain scalability for transactional use. Its adoption is influenced by merchant acceptance, exchange liquidity, and narratives around digital cash. Key risks include competition from layer-2 solutions on other blockchains, regulatory scrutiny of cryptocurrencies, and lower developer and miner activity compared to larger networks. Price movements are often tied to broader crypto market trends and internal protocol developments. Despite its established presence, long-term growth depends on sustained utility, network security, and differentiation in a market increasingly dominated by high-throughput smart contract platforms—all critical factors in our price prediction analysis.
Fundamental and Technology Snapshot from Token Metrics
Institutional and retail access expands with ETFs, listings, and integrations
Macro tailwinds from lower real rates and improving liquidity
Product or roadmap milestones such as upgrades, scaling, or partnerships
Increased merchant adoption for payment processing
Growing adoption in remittance corridors and emerging markets
Layer-2 development enhancing BCH utility
Risks That Skew BCH Price Predictions Bearish
Macro risk-off from tightening or liquidity shocks
Regulatory actions targeting payment cryptocurrencies or infrastructure outages
Concentration risk in validator economics and competitive displacement
Low technology grade (29.63%) indicating development challenges
Competition from Bitcoin Lightning Network and other payment solutions
Declining developer activity and network effect
Bitcoin Cash Price Prediction FAQs
Can BCH reach $3,000?
Yes. Based on our price prediction scenarios, BCH could reach $3,000 in the 23T moon case and 31T base case. The 23T tier projects $3,446.53 in the moon case, making $3,000 an achievable target under favorable market conditions. Not financial advice.
Can BCH 10x from current levels?
At current price of $553.54, a 10x would reach $5,535.40. This falls beyond our highest price prediction scenario of $4,599.99 (31T moon case). Bear in mind that 10x returns would require substantial market cap expansion beyond our modeled scenarios and exceptional BCH adoption. Not financial advice.
Should I buy BCH now or wait?
Timing depends on your risk tolerance and macro outlook. Current price of $553.54 sits below the 8T bear case in our price prediction scenarios. The Neutral TM Grade (54.81%) and bearish trading signal suggest caution in the near term. Dollar-cost averaging may reduce timing risk. Not financial advice.
What is the Bitcoin Cash price prediction for 2025-2028?
Our comprehensive BCH price prediction framework suggests Bitcoin Cash could trade between $910.79 and $4,599.99 depending on market conditions and total crypto market capitalization. The base case price prediction scenario clusters around $1,025.20 to $3,799.08 across different market cap environments. Current Neutral rating (54.81%) indicates mixed signals requiring adoption improvements. Not financial advice.
Can Bitcoin Cash reach $5,000?
BCH reaching $5,000 would exceed our current price prediction models' highest scenario of $4,599.99 (31T moon case). This would require extraordinary market conditions, significant merchant adoption acceleration, and BCH successfully differentiating itself in the crowded payment cryptocurrency space. Not financial advice.
Is Bitcoin Cash a good investment based on price predictions?
BCH shows strong fundamentals (80.41% grade) but a very weak technology score (29.63%), resulting in a Neutral TM Grade of 54.81% with bearish near-term signals. While our price prediction models show potential upside in favorable market conditions, the low technology grade and adoption challenges suggest significant risks. The payment-focused use case faces competition from Lightning Network and other solutions. Not financial advice.
How does BCH compare to Bitcoin in price predictions?
Bitcoin Cash was designed as a payment-focused alternative to Bitcoin's store-of-value narrative. Our price prediction framework shows BCH could reach $1,025-$4,600 across scenarios, while Bitcoin dominates market cap and network effects. BCH's success depends on carving out a distinct payment niche rather than competing directly with Bitcoin. The correlation between BTC and BCH price movements remains high.
What are the biggest risks to BCH price predictions?
Key risks that could impact Bitcoin Cash price predictions include: extremely low technology grade (29.63%) indicating development stagnation, competition from Bitcoin Lightning Network, declining developer activity, regulatory targeting of payment cryptocurrencies, low mining hash rate security concerns, and competitive displacement from stablecoins and other payment solutions. The bearish trading signal and Neutral grade reflect these challenges.
Will BCH benefit from a Bitcoin bull run?
Historically, Bitcoin Cash has shown positive correlation with Bitcoin price movements. Our price prediction scenarios assume BCH captures some momentum from broader crypto market expansion. However, BCH's lower technology grade and adoption challenges may limit its ability to match Bitcoin's percentage gains. The base case scenarios reflect moderate participation in bull market dynamics.
Understanding LINK Price Prediction: 2027 Potential
Infrastructure protocols become more valuable as the crypto ecosystem scales and relies on robust middleware. Chainlink provides critical oracle infrastructure where proven utility and deep integrations drive long-term value over retail speculation. Increasing institutional adoption raises demand for professional-grade data delivery and security.
Token Metrics price prediction projections for LINK below span multiple total market cap scenarios from conservative to aggressive. Each tier assumes different levels of infrastructure demand as crypto evolves from speculative markets to institutional-grade systems. These bands frame LINK's price prediction potential outcomes into 2027.
Disclosure
Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.
Token Metrics price prediction projections for LINK below span multiple total market cap scenarios from conservative to aggressive. Each tier assumes different levels of infrastructure demand as crypto evolves from speculative markets to institutional-grade systems. These bands frame LINK's price prediction potential outcomes into 2027.
Disclosure
Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.
How to Read This LINK Price Prediction
Each band blends cycle analogues and market-cap share math with TA guardrails. Base assumes steady adoption and neutral or positive macro. Moon layers in a liquidity boom. Bear assumes muted flows and tighter liquidity.
TM Agent baseline: Token Metrics lead metric for Chainlink, cashtag $LINK, is a TM Grade of 23.31%, which translates to a Sell, and the trading signal is bearish, indicating short-term downward momentum. This means Token Metrics currently does not endorse $LINK as a long-term buy at current conditions in our price prediction models, despite strong technology fundamentals.
TM Agent gist: Bearish signal with limited upside in price prediction models unless fundamentals or market regime change
Current rating: Sell (23.31%) with strong tech but weak valuation
Education only, not financial advice
Chainlink Price Prediction Scenario Analysis
Token Metrics price prediction scenarios span four market cap tiers, each representing different levels of crypto market maturity and liquidity:
8T Market Cap - LINK Price Prediction:
At an 8 trillion dollar total crypto market cap, LINK price prediction projects to $26.10 in bear conditions, $30.65 in the base case, and $35.20 in bullish scenarios.
16T Market Cap - LINK Price Prediction:
Doubling the market to 16 trillion expands the price prediction range to $42.64 (bear), $56.29 (base), and $69.95 (moon).
23T Market Cap - LINK Price Prediction:
At 23 trillion, the price prediction scenarios show $59.18, $81.94, and $104.70 respectively.
31T Market Cap - LINK Price Prediction:
In the maximum liquidity scenario of 31 trillion, LINK price predictions could reach $75.71 (bear), $107.58 (base), or $139.44 (moon).
These price prediction ranges reflect potential infrastructure value capture as crypto markets mature, though current valuation concerns contribute to the Sell rating despite strong technology fundamentals.
Why Consider the Indices with Top-100 Exposure
Chainlink represents one opportunity among hundreds in crypto markets. Token Metrics Indices bundle LINK with top one hundred assets for systematic exposure to the strongest projects. Single tokens face idiosyncratic risks that diversified baskets mitigate.
Historical index performance demonstrates the value of systematic diversification versus concentrated positions.
Chainlink is a decentralized oracle network that connects smart contracts to real-world data and systems. It enables secure retrieval and verification of off-chain information, supports computation, and integrates across multiple blockchains. As adoption grows, Chainlink serves as critical infrastructure for reliable data feeds and automation.
The LINK token is used to pay node operators and secure the network's services. Common use cases include DeFi price feeds, insurance, and enterprise integrations, with CCIP extending cross-chain messaging and token transfers—all factors that influence long-term LINK price predictions.
Token Metrics AI Analysis
Token Metrics AI provides comprehensive context informing our LINK price prediction models:
Vision: Chainlink aims to create a decentralized, secure, and reliable network for connecting smart contracts with real-world data and systems. Its vision is to become the standard for how blockchains interact with external environments, enabling trust-minimized automation across industries.
Problem: Smart contracts cannot natively access data outside their blockchain, limiting their functionality. Relying on centralized oracles introduces single points of failure and undermines the security and decentralization of blockchain applications. This creates a critical need for a trustless, tamper-proof way to bring real-world information onto blockchains.
Solution: Chainlink solves this by operating a decentralized network of node operators that fetch, aggregate, and deliver data from off-chain sources to smart contracts. It uses cryptographic proofs, reputation systems, and economic incentives to ensure data integrity. The network supports various data types and computation tasks, allowing developers to build complex, data-driven decentralized applications.
Market Analysis: Chainlink is a market leader in the oracle space and a key infrastructure component in the broader blockchain ecosystem, particularly within Ethereum and other smart contract platforms. It faces competition from emerging oracle networks like Band Protocol and API3, but maintains a strong first-mover advantage and widespread integration across DeFi, NFTs, and enterprise blockchain solutions. Adoption is driven by developer activity, partnerships with major blockchain projects, and demand for secure data feeds. Key risks include technological shifts, regulatory scrutiny on data providers, and execution challenges in scaling decentralized oracle networks. As smart contract usage grows, so does the potential for oracle services, positioning Chainlink at the center of a critical niche, though its success depends on maintaining security and decentralization over time—all critical factors in our price prediction analysis.
Fundamental and Technology Snapshot from Token Metrics
Token Metrics empowers you to analyze Chainlink and hundreds of digital assets with AI-driven ratings, on-chain and fundamental data, and index solutions to manage portfolio risk smartly in a rapidly evolving crypto market. Our price prediction frameworks provide transparent scenario-based analysis even for tokens with Sell ratings.
Chainlink Price Prediction FAQs
Can LINK reach $100?
Yes. Based on our price prediction scenarios, LINK could reach $100+ in the 23T moon case, projecting $104.70. However, this requires significant market cap expansion and improved market conditions beyond the current Sell rating (23.31%). Not financial advice.
What price could LINK reach in the moon case?
Moon case price predictions range from $35.20 at 8T to $139.44 at 31T total crypto market cap. These scenarios assume maximum liquidity expansion and strong Chainlink adoption, though current bearish signals suggest caution. Not financial advice.
Should I buy LINK now or wait?
Timing depends on risk tolerance and macro outlook. Current price of $18.09 sits below the 8T bear case in our price prediction scenarios, suggesting potential value. However, the Sell rating (23.31%) and bearish trading signal indicate Token Metrics does not currently endorse LINK at these levels. Dollar-cost averaging may reduce timing risk if you believe in long-term infrastructure value. Not financial advice.
What is the Chainlink price prediction for 2025-2027?
Our comprehensive LINK price prediction framework suggests Chainlink could trade between $26.10 and $139.44 depending on market conditions and total crypto market capitalization. The base case price prediction scenario clusters around $30.65 to $107.58 across different market cap environments. Despite strong technology (88.50%) and fundamentals (74.58%), the current Sell rating (23.31%) reflects valuation concerns. Not financial advice.
Can Chainlink reach $50?
Yes. Based on our price prediction scenarios, LINK could reach $56.29 in the 16T base case and higher in 23T/31T scenarios. The $50 target becomes achievable in moderate market cap environments (16T tier), though current bearish momentum suggests this may take time. Not financial advice.
Why does LINK have a Sell rating despite strong technology?
LINK shows excellent technology fundamentals (88.50% grade) with strong development activity, collaboration, and security. However, the overall TM Grade of 23.31% (Sell) reflects current valuation concerns, market positioning, and bearish trading signals. Our price prediction models show potential upside in favorable market conditions, but current metrics suggest waiting for improved entry points. Not financial advice.
Is Chainlink a good investment based on price predictions?
LINK presents a complex investment case: exceptional technology grade (88.50%), solid fundamentals (74.58%), but a Sell rating (23.31%) with bearish momentum. While our price prediction models show significant upside potential in bull market scenarios, current valuation concerns and bearish signals suggest caution. The oracle infrastructure thesis remains compelling long-term, but timing and entry points matter. Consider diversified exposure through indices. Not financial advice.
How does LINK compare to other oracle price predictions?
Chainlink dominates the oracle space with first-mover advantage and widespread integration. Our price prediction framework suggests LINK could reach $30-$139 across scenarios. Competitors like Band Protocol and API3 offer alternatives, but Chainlink's established network effects and enterprise partnerships position it as the infrastructure leader. However, the current Sell rating suggests valuation concerns versus alternatives.
What are the biggest risks to LINK price predictions?
Key risks that could impact Chainlink price predictions include: current Sell rating (23.31%) indicating valuation concerns, competition from emerging oracle networks, regulatory scrutiny on data providers, node operator centralization risks, macro liquidity shocks, and challenges scaling decentralized oracle infrastructure. Despite strong technology (88.50%), these factors contribute to bearish near-term outlook.
Will LINK benefit from DeFi growth?
Chainlink is critical infrastructure for DeFi, providing price feeds for lending protocols, derivatives, and stablecoins. Our price prediction scenarios assume LINK captures value from continued DeFi adoption. However, the current Sell rating suggests this thesis isn't reflected in valuation metrics yet. Long-term infrastructure value may require patience and improved market conditions.
Should I buy LINK now or wait?
Timing depends on risk tolerance and macro outlook. Current price of $18.09 sits below the 8T bear case in the scenarios. Dollar-cost averaging may reduce timing risk. Not financial advice.
Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.
Why Token Metrics Ratings Matter
Discover the full potential of your crypto research and portfolio management with Token Metrics. Our ratings combine AI-driven analytics, on-chain data, and decades of investing expertise—giving you the edge to navigate fast-changing markets. Try our platform to access scenario-based price prediction targets, token grades, indices, and more for institutional and individual investors. Token Metrics is your research partner through every crypto market cycle.
Why 2026 Looks Bullish for HYPE Price Prediction: Market Context
The crypto market is tilting bullish into 2026 as liquidity, infrastructure, and participation improve across the board. Clearer rules and standards are reshaping the classic four-year cycle, flows can arrive earlier, and strength can persist longer than in prior expansions.
Institutional access is widening through ETFs and custody, while L2 scaling and real-world integrations help sustain on-chain activity. This healthier backdrop frames our price prediction scenario work for HYPE. The ranges below reflect different total crypto market sizes and the share Hyperliquid could capture under each regime, providing investors with comprehensive price prediction analysis for strategic planning.
Disclosure
Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.
How to Read This HYPE Price Prediction
Each band blends cycle analogues and market-cap share math with TA guardrails. Base assumes steady adoption and neutral or positive macro. Moon layers in a liquidity boom. Bear assumes muted flows and tighter liquidity.
TM Agent baseline:Token Metrics TM Grade is 73.9%, a Buy, and the trading signal is bearish, indicating short-term downward momentum. This means Token Metrics judges HYPE as fundamentally attractive over the long term in our price prediction models, while near-term momentum is negative and may limit rallies.
TM Agent gist: Long-term attractive on fundamentals in price prediction models; near-term momentum is negative and may limit rallies
Current rating: Buy (73.9%) with bullish 2026 macro backdrop
Education only, not financial advice
Hyperliquid Price Prediction Scenario Analysis
Token Metrics price prediction scenarios span four market cap tiers, each representing different levels of crypto market maturity and liquidity:
8T Market Cap - HYPE Price Prediction:
At an 8 trillion dollar total crypto market cap, HYPE price prediction projects to $48.81 in bear conditions, $49.92 in the base case, and $51.03 in bullish scenarios.
16T Market Cap - HYPE Price Prediction:
Doubling the market to 16 trillion expands the price prediction range to $50.72 (bear), $54.05 (base), and $57.38 (moon).
23T Market Cap - HYPE Price Prediction:
At 23 trillion, the price prediction scenarios show $52.62, $58.17, and $63.72 respectively.
31T Market Cap - HYPE Price Prediction:
In the maximum liquidity scenario of 31 trillion, HYPE price predictions could reach $54.52 (bear), $62.29 (base), or $70.07 (moon).
Each tier in our price prediction framework assumes progressively stronger market conditions, with the base case reflecting steady growth and the moon case requiring sustained bull market dynamics driven by the improving 2026 macro environment.
Why Consider the Indices with Top-100 Exposure
Diversification matters. HYPE is compelling, yet concentrated bets can be volatile, especially when evaluating long-term price predictions. Token Metrics Indices hold HYPE alongside the top one hundred tokens for broad exposure to leaders and emerging winners.
Our backtests indicate that owning the full market with diversified indices has historically outperformed both the total market and Bitcoin in many regimes due to diversification and rotation benefits.
Hyperliquid is a decentralized exchange focused on perpetual futures with a high-performance order book architecture. The project emphasizes low-latency trading, risk controls, and capital efficiency aimed at professional and retail derivatives traders. Its token, HYPE, is used for ecosystem incentives and governance-related utilities—all factors that directly influence HYPE price prediction trajectories.
Catalysts That Skew HYPE Price Predictions Bullish
Institutional and retail access expands with ETFs, listings, and integrations
Macro tailwinds from lower real rates and improving liquidity entering 2026
Product or roadmap milestones such as upgrades, scaling, or partnerships
Growing perpetual futures DEX market share
Increased professional trader adoption of decentralized derivatives
Integration with major DeFi protocols and liquidity aggregators
Favorable regulatory clarity for decentralized exchanges
Risks That Skew HYPE Price Predictions Bearish
Macro risk-off from tightening or liquidity shocks
Regulatory actions targeting decentralized derivatives platforms or infrastructure outages
Concentration risk in validator economics and competitive displacement
Competition from established centralized exchanges and other DEX perpetuals platforms
Security vulnerabilities in order book or smart contract architecture
Hyperliquid Price Prediction FAQs
Can HYPE reach $60?
Yes. The 23T and 31T tiers in our price prediction models imply ranges above $60 in the Base and Moon bands, with the 23T moon case projecting $63.72 and the 31T base case projecting $62.29. These outcomes depend on liquidity and adoption improvements expected in the bullish 2026 environment. Not financial advice.
Is HYPE a good long-term investment?
HYPE shows a strong Buy rating (73.9%) with solid fundamentals (76.73%), suggesting long-term attractiveness. However, the outcome depends on adoption, liquidity regime, competition in the perpetual DEX space, and supply dynamics. The bearish near-term trading signal suggests potential volatility. Diversify and size positions responsibly. Not financial advice.
What is the Hyperliquid price prediction for 2026?
Our comprehensive HYPE price prediction framework for 2026 suggests Hyperliquid could trade between $48.81 and $70.07 depending on market conditions and total crypto market capitalization. The base case price prediction scenario clusters around $49.92 to $62.29 across different market cap environments. The Buy rating (73.9%) reflects confidence in the bullish 2026 macro backdrop. Not financial advice.
Can HYPE reach $100?
HYPE reaching $100 would exceed our current price prediction models' highest scenario of $70.07 (31T moon case). This would require extraordinary market conditions beyond the 31T total crypto market cap tier, exceptional perpetual DEX adoption, and Hyperliquid dominating the decentralized derivatives space. While the 2026 bullish thesis supports growth, $100 appears beyond our modeled scenarios. Not financial advice.
Should I buy HYPE now or wait?
HYPE has a Buy rating (73.9%) indicating long-term attractiveness in our price prediction models. However, the bearish trading signal suggests near-term downward momentum. Current price positioning and the expected bullish 2026 environment create a complex timing decision. Dollar-cost averaging may reduce timing risk while capturing upside exposure. Consider diversified DEX exposure through indices. Not financial advice.
How does HYPE compare to other DEX price predictions?
Hyperliquid focuses specifically on perpetual futures with order book architecture, differentiating it from AMM-based DEXs like Uniswap or dYdX. Our price prediction framework suggests HYPE could reach $49-$70 across scenarios in 2026. The Buy rating (73.9%) and strong fundamentals (76.73%) position HYPE competitively, though the lack of technology grade data (N/A) limits comparative technical assessment.
What makes 2026 bullish for HYPE price predictions?
Multiple factors support bullish HYPE price predictions for 2026: widening institutional access through ETFs and custody solutions, L2 scaling improvements, clearer regulatory frameworks, improving macro liquidity conditions, and the maturation of decentralized derivatives markets. These tailwinds create favorable conditions for perpetual DEX platforms like Hyperliquid to capture market share. Not financial advice.
Why is HYPE rated Buy despite bearish trading signals?
HYPE receives a Buy rating (73.9%) based on strong fundamental grade (76.73%) and favorable long-term positioning in the growing perpetual DEX space. However, the bearish trading signal reflects short-term downward momentum. This creates a classic "buy the dip" scenario where fundamentals suggest long-term value but near-term price action may provide better entry points. Our price prediction models reflect this nuance. Not financial advice.
What are the biggest risks to HYPE price predictions?
Key risks that could impact Hyperliquid price predictions include: unavailable technology grade (N/A) limiting technical assessment, competition from established centralized exchanges (Binance, OKX) and other perpetual DEXs (dYdX, GMX), regulatory targeting of decentralized derivatives, order book architecture vulnerabilities, liquidity fragmentation across perpetual platforms, and macro liquidity shocks. Despite the Buy rating, these risks warrant careful position sizing.
Can HYPE benefit from the 2026 bull market?
Yes. Our price prediction scenarios are specifically framed around the bullish 2026 thesis, where improving liquidity, institutional participation, and regulatory clarity create favorable conditions. HYPE's Buy rating (73.9%) reflects this positive macro backdrop. The base case scenarios ($49.92 to $62.29) assume steady participation in bull market dynamics, while moon cases require sustained momentum. Not financial advice.
Educational purposes only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, do your own research and manage risk.
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