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Will Bitcoin Go Back Up? - A Comprehensive Analysis

Delve into a detailed analysis of Bitcoin to uncover whether BTC will go back up or not. Explore the factors that can impact its future price.
Marcus K
6 Minutes
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In the unpredictable world of cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin is the oldest and the most valuable. Its price chart is a rollercoaster ride, with exhilarating highs followed by startling lows. The question on every investor's mind is, "Will Bitcoin go back up?"

In this article, we will delve into the various factors that can influence the price of Bitcoin and provide a comprehensive analysis of its price prediction for the coming years.

Bitcoin Overview

Bitcoin, the pioneer of cryptocurrencies, was introduced to the financial market in 2009. The first significant leap in its price happened in July 2010, when it rose to $0.09. The journey from there to its all-time high of around $68,000 in November 2021 has been extraordinary.

However, the joy was short-lived as Bitcoin's value plunged to around $16,700 by mid-November 2022, a staggering 70% drop from its peak. But even at this low, Bitcoin's value was significantly higher than its 2019 prices.

Current Performance of Bitcoin

As of November 2023, Bitcoin has somewhat rebounded and is trading around $36,500, recovering more than $10,000 since the beginning of the year. 

This price movement has reignited the discussion about Bitcoin's future and the factors that could influence it.

What Pushed Bitcoin Down?

Several factors contributed to Bitcoin's dramatic fall in 2022. 

The global economy had a turbulent year, with high levels of inflation leading the Federal Reserve to implement a series of aggressive rate hikes. 

Higher interest rates make borrowing more expensive and reduce spending, which can lead to investors selling off their assets.

Furthermore, the crypto market was riddled with bad press due to the collapse of the crypto exchange FTX, resulting in a loss of over $1 billion in consumer funds. This incident significantly affected investor confidence in crypto-assets.

Geopolitical tensions, mainly the war between Ukraine and Russia and the uncertainty surrounding the U.S. mid-term elections, also influenced the economic instability, likely influencing Bitcoin's price decline.

The debate around Bitcoin's inherent value also persists. While some investors view Bitcoin as a long-term store of value, others believe another coin, such as Ethereum, might surpass Bitcoin's usefulness.

Also Read - Is Bitcoin Dead?

What Factors Could Cause Bitcoin to Go Up?

Several variables could potentially lead to a rise in Bitcoin's price:

  • Lower interest rates: If there is a decrease in interest rates, investors may find themselves more inclined to put their money into assets that carry a higher level of risk, such as digital currencies like Bitcoin.
    ‍
  • Expected Approval of First Spot Bitcoin ETF: The Bitcoin surge is driven by the hopeful expectation that U.S. regulators are about to approve the first spot Bitcoin ETF. This approval is expected to attract interest from retail and institutional investors in cryptocurrencies, marking a significant step in the mainstream acceptance of digital assets.
  • Reduced recession threat: If the threat of an economic downturn starts to fade, the attractiveness of high-risk assets, particularly cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, might see a positive upward trend.
  • Changes in federal regulation: Any action taken by the federal government regarding crypto regulation could impact Bitcoin's price.
    ‍
  • Wider acceptance of crypto: If an increasing number of individuals begin to embrace cryptocurrency as a means to store and transfer their wealth, the value of Bitcoin could continue to experience an upward trajectory.

Impact of Bitcoin Halving

Bitcoin halving, which is a process where miners' reward for mining new blocks is halved, is another factor that could influence the price of Bitcoin.

This particular event, which is anticipated to occur in the year 2024, has historically been associated with a significant increase in the value of Bitcoin. 

This event has often led to a surge in Bitcoin's price, making it a key factor to watch in the cryptocurrency's valuation.

When Will Bitcoin Go Back Up?

Predicting Bitcoin's future is a challenging endeavor due to its volatile nature. However, easing macroeconomic conditions and recent troubles in centralized banking have led to a rebound in Bitcoin's value.

If the cooling off of inflation continues and interest rates potentially lower later this year, experts are hopeful of a continued upward trend.

Let's delve into the much-awaited Bitcoin price predictions now. 

According to Ian Balina's detailed examination, Bitcoin can potentially escalate to an impressive $150,000 during the upcoming bull run. Bitcoin's price hovering around $36,000 signifies an enticing 4.5x return on investment.

When will Bitcoin Go Back Up?

Despite the argument that the return on investment diminishes with each cycle, it is crucial to acknowledge that the profits remain substantial. An investment in Bitcoin amidst the bull run could reap lucrative profits.

However, the ultimate wealth-generation opportunities reside in pinpointing promising altcoins that outshine the market.

The Bottom Line

While Bitcoin is currently experiencing a rebound, investors must brace themselves for the extreme volatility associated with crypto-assets. It's important to remember that investing in crypto involves a high risk, and one should only invest what they can afford to lose.

Despite the risks, opportunities to earn passive income with Bitcoin, such as crypto staking, crypto lending, and crypto royalties, exist.

The crypto market's vibrant energy is undeniable, and Bitcoin, as its forerunner, will likely continue to play a significant role in shaping its future. So, will Bitcoin go back up? The signs point to a positive trajectory, but only time will tell.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. Why did Bitcoin's value decrease in 2022?

Several factors contributed to Bitcoin's price decline, including high inflation levels, aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, and the collapse of the FTX crypto exchange.

Q2. What could cause Bitcoin's price to increase?

Factors like lower interest rates, reduced threat of recession, changes in federal regulation, and broader acceptance of crypto could cause Bitcoin's price to rise.

Q3. What is Bitcoin halving?

Bitcoin halving is a process where the reward for mining new blocks is halved, thereby reducing the rate at which new Bitcoin is created.

Q4. Is it safe to invest in Bitcoin?

Investing in Bitcoin involves a high level of risk due to its extreme volatility. Therefore, one should only invest what they can afford to lose.

Q5. Can I earn passive income with Bitcoin?

Yes, opportunities to earn passive income with Bitcoin, such as crypto staking, crypto lending, and crypto royalties, exist.

Q6. Will Bitcoin's price continue to rebound?

While current signs point to a positive trajectory, predicting Bitcoin's future price is challenging due to its volatile nature, but many experts believe that the price of BTC will increase in the long term.

Q7. How does Bitcoin compare to other cryptocurrencies?

While Bitcoin is the oldest and most valuable cryptocurrency, other coins like Ethereum may surpass its usefulness.

Q8. How does Bitcoin halving impact its price?

Historically, the halving of Bitcoin, a significant event in cryptocurrency trading, has consistently resulted in a marked increase in Bitcoin's value, indicating its strong resilience despite market fluctuations.

Disclaimer

The information provided on this website does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other advice, and you should not treat any of the website's content as such.

Token Metrics does not recommend that any cryptocurrency should be bought, sold, or held by you. Conduct your due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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Token Metrics: AI-powered crypto research and ratings platform. We help investors make smarter decisions with unbiased Token Metrics Ratings, on-chain analytics, and editor-curated “Top 10” guides. Our platform distills thousands of data points into clear scores, trends, and alerts you can act on.
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You're tracking 50+ tokens across three exchanges, updating your rebalancing spreadsheet every weekend, and second-guessing every exit decision at 2 AM. Sound familiar? Manual crypto portfolio management isn't just exhausting—it's expensive. Between missed rebalances, execution drag, and behavioral mistakes during volatility, DIY portfolio management quietly erodes returns before you see any market gains.

The data tells the story: investors who manually manage diversified crypto portfolios typically underperform comparable automated strategies by 12-18% annually, with 60% of that gap coming from operational inefficiency rather than market timing. If you're spending 10+ hours weekly maintaining positions, those hours have a cost—and it's higher than you think.

The Hidden Costs Destroying Your Returns

Time Drain: The 500-Hour Tax

Managing a diversified crypto portfolio demands constant vigilance. For investors holding 20+ positions, the weekly time investment breaks down to approximately:

  • Market monitoring: 5-8 hours tracking prices, news, and on-chain metrics
  • Rebalancing calculations: 2-3 hours determining optimal weights and required trades
  • Order execution: 3-5 hours placing trades across multiple platforms
  • Record keeping: 1-2 hours logging transactions for tax reporting
  • Research updates: 3-5 hours staying current on project developments

That's 14-23 hours weekly, or 728-1,196 hours annually. At a conservative $50/hour opportunity cost, you're spending $36,400-$59,800 in time value maintaining your portfolio. Even if you value your time at minimum wage, that's still $10,000+ in annual "sweat equity" that automated solutions eliminate.

Execution Drag: Death by a Thousand Trades

Small trades erode portfolios through accumulated friction. Every manual rebalance across a 50-token portfolio requires dozens of individual transactions, each incurring:

  • Trading fees: 0.1-0.5% per trade (average 0.25%)
  • Bid-ask spreads: 0.2-0.8% depending on liquidity
  • Slippage: 0.3-1.2% on smaller cap tokens
  • Gas fees: $2-50 per transaction depending on network congestion

For a $100,000 portfolio rebalanced monthly with 40 trades per rebalance, the costs add up:

  • Average cost per trade: ~$100
  • Monthly execution drag: $4,000
  • Annual execution drag: $48,000 (48% of portfolio value)

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Automated indices solve this. TM Global 100, Token Metrics' rules-based index, consolidates 100 individual positions into a single transaction at purchase, with weekly rebalances executed through optimized smart contract batching. Users typically save 3-7% annually in execution costs alone compared to manual approaches.

Behavioral Mistakes: Your Worst Enemy Is in the Mirror

Market psychology research shows that manual portfolio managers tend to make predictable, costly mistakes:

  • Panic selling during drawdowns: When Bitcoin drops 25% in a week, can you stick to your exit rules? Many override their plans during high volatility, often selling near local bottoms.
  • FOMO buying at peaks: Tokens up 300% in a week attract chase behavior, with managers entering after the movement is mostly over.
  • Rebalancing procrastination: Putting off rebalancing leads to drift, holding too much of past winners and missing new opportunities.

Token Metrics' systematic approach removes emotion from the equation. The TM Global 100 Index follows a transparent ruleset: hold the top 100 tokens by market cap during bullish phases, shift to stablecoins during bearish cycles, and rebalance weekly—eliminating emotional override and procrastination.

Missed Rebalances: Drifting Out of Position

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In Q3 2024, Solana ecosystem tokens surged while Ethereum DeFi tokens consolidated. Manual managers who missed weekly rebalances held too much ETH and insufficient SOL exposure. The result: 15-20% underperformance compared to systematically rebalanced portfolios. Data from Token Metrics shows that weekly rebalancing outperforms monthly or quarterly approaches by 8-12% annually.

Tax Reporting Nightmares

Every trade creates a taxable event. Manual managers executing over 200 trades yearly face:

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Automated solutions like Token Metrics provide transparent transaction logs for each rebalance, simplifying tax reporting and reducing accounting costs.

The Token Metrics Advantage: Research Meets Execution

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Automation Without Compromise

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This streamlined process allows users to rapidly execute disciplined rebalancing, saving countless hours and increasing operational efficiency while maintaining asset control.

Decision Framework: When to Automate

Automation suits investors who:

  • Hold 15+ tokens and find rebalancing burdensome
  • Miss optimal rebalancing windows due to time constraints
  • Have experienced emotional trading decisions during volatility
  • Spend over 5 hours a week on portfolio management
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Manual management may be suitable for those with fewer positions, active trading infrastructure, or tactical strategies. For most diversified portfolios, automation enhances efficiency and reduces operational errors.

The Compound Effect of Efficiency

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Conclusion: Time Back, Returns Up

Manual crypto portfolio management made sense when portfolios were small and concentrated. Today’s diversified sets require operational discipline to prevent erosion of returns due to execution drag, missed rebalances, and emotional mistakes. Token Metrics built TM Global 100 to turn research into automated, transparent execution, reclaim your time, and boost portfolio discipline—without sacrificing control.

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What You’ll Build in 2 Minutes

Why This Matters

Discovery that converts. Users want more than price tickers, they want a curated, explainable list of high-potential tokens. The Moonshots API encapsulates multiple signals into a short list designed for exploration, alerts, and watchlists you can monetize.

Built for builders. The endpoint returns a consistent schema with grade, signal, and context so you can immediately sort, badge, and trigger workflows. With predictable latency and clear filters, you can scale to dashboards, mobile apps, and headless bots without reinventing the discovery pipeline.

Where to Find The Moonshots API

The cURL request for the Moonshots endpoint is displayed in the top right of the API Reference. Grab it and start tapping into the potential!

How It Works (Under the Hood)

The Moonshots endpoint aggregates a set of evidence—often combining TM Grade, signal state, and momentum/volume context—into a shortlist of breakout candidates. Each row includes a symbol, grade, signal, and timestamp, plus optional reason tags for transparency.

For UX, a common pattern is: headline list → token detail where you render TM Grade (quality), Trading Signals (timing), Support/Resistance (risk placement), Quantmetrics (risk-adjusted performance), and Price Prediction scenarios. This enables users to understand why a token was flagged and how to act with risk controls.

Polling vs webhooks. Dashboards typically poll with short-TTL caching. Alerting flows use scheduled jobs or webhooks to smooth traffic and avoid duplicates. Always make notifications idempotent.

Production Checklist

Use Cases & Patterns

Next Steps

FAQs

1) What does the Moonshots API return?

A list of breakout candidates with fields such as symbol, tm_grade, signal (often Bullish/Bearish), optional reason tags, and updated_at. Use it to drive discover tabs, alerts, and watchlists.

2) How fresh is the list? What about latency/SLOs?

The endpoint targets predictable latency and timely updates for dashboards and alerts. Use short-TTL caching and queued jobs/webhooks to avoid bursty polling.

3) How do I use Moonshots in a trading workflow?

Common stack: Moonshots for discovery, Trading Signals for timing, Support/Resistance for SL/TP, Quantmetrics for sizing, and Price Prediction for scenario context. Always backtest and paper-trade first.

4) I saw results like “+241%” and a “7.5% average return.” Are these guaranteed?

No. Any historical results are illustrative and not guarantees of future performance. Markets are risky; use risk management and testing.

5) Can I filter the Moonshots list?

Yes—pass parameters like min_grade, signal, and limit (as supported) to tailor to your audience and keep pages fast.

6) Do you provide SDKs or examples?

REST works with JavaScript and Python snippets above. Docs include quickstarts, Postman collections, and templates—start with Run Hello-TM.

7) Pricing, limits, and enterprise SLAs?

Begin free and scale up. See API plans for rate limits and enterprise options.

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Most traders still draw lines by hand in TradingView. The support and resistance API from Token Metrics auto-calculates clean support and resistance levels from one request, so your dashboard, bot, or alerts can react instantly. In minutes, you’ll call /v2/resistance-support, render actionable levels for any token, and wire them into stops, targets, or notifications. Start by grabbing your key on Get API Key, then Run Hello-TM and Clone a Template to ship a production-ready feature fast.

What You’ll Build in 2 Minutes

A minimal script that fetches Support/Resistance via /v2/resistance-support for a symbol (e.g., BTC, SOL).

  • A one-liner curl to smoke-test your key.
  • A UI pattern to display nearest support, nearest resistance, level strength, and last updated time.

Next Endpoints to add

  • /v2/trading-signals (entries/exits)
  • /v2/hourly-trading-signals (intraday updates)
  • /v2/tm-grade (single-score context)
  • /v2/quantmetrics (risk/return framing)

Why This Matters

Precision beats guesswork. Hand-drawn lines are subjective and slow. The support and resistance API standardizes levels across assets and timeframes, enabling deterministic stops and take-profits your users (and bots) can trust.

Production-ready by design. A simple REST shape, predictable latency, and clear semantics let you add levels to token pages, automate SL/TP alerts, and build rule-based execution with minimal glue code.

Where to Find

Need the Support and Resistance data? The cURL request for it is in the top right of the API Reference for quick access.

👉 Keep momentum: Get API Key • Run Hello-TM • Clone a Template

How It Works (Under the Hood)

The Support/Resistance endpoint analyzes recent price structure to produce discrete levels above and below current price, along with strength indicators you can use for priority and styling. Query /v2/resistance-support?symbol=<ASSET>&timeframe=<HORIZON> to receive arrays of level objects and timestamps.

Polling vs webhooks. For dashboards, short-TTL caching and batched fetches keep pages snappy. For bots and alerts, use queued jobs or webhooks (where applicable) to avoid noisy, bursty polling—especially around market opens and major events.

Production Checklist

  • Rate limits: Respect plan caps; add client-side throttling.
  • Retries/backoff: Exponential backoff with jitter for 429/5xx; log failures.
  • Idempotency: Make alerting and order logic idempotent to prevent duplicates.
  • Caching: Memory/Redis/KV with short TTLs; pre-warm top symbols.
  • Batching: Fetch multiple assets per cycle; parallelize within rate limits.
  • Threshold logic: Add %-of-price buffers (e.g., alert at 0.3–0.5% from level).
  • Error catalog: Map common 4xx/5xx to actionable user guidance; keep request IDs.
  • Observability: Track p95/p99; measure alert precision (touch vs approach).
  • Security: Store API keys in a secrets manager; rotate regularly.

Use Cases & Patterns

  • Bot Builder (Headless): Use nearest support for stop placement and nearest resistance for profit targets. Combine with /v2/trading-signals for entries/exits and size via Quantmetrics (volatility, drawdown).
  • Dashboard Builder (Product): Add a Levels widget to token pages; badge strength (e.g., High/Med/Low) and show last touch time. Color the price region (below support, between levels, above resistance) for instant context.
  • Screener Maker (Lightweight Tools): “Close to level” sort: highlight tokens within X% of a strong level. Toggle alerts for approach vs breakout events.
  • Risk Management: Create policy rules like “no new long if price is within 0.2% of strong resistance.” Export daily level snapshots for audit/compliance.

Next Steps

  • Get API Key — generate a key and start free.
  • Run Hello-TM — verify your first successful call.
  • Clone a Template — deploy a levels panel or alerts bot today.
  • Watch the demo: Compare plans: Scale confidently with API plans.

FAQs

1) What does the Support & Resistance API return?

A JSON payload with arrays of support and resistance levels for a symbol (and optional timeframe), each with a price and strength indicator, plus an update timestamp.

2) How timely are the levels? What are the latency/SLOs?

The endpoint targets predictable latency suitable for dashboards and alerts. Use short-TTL caching for UIs, and queued jobs or webhooks for alerting to smooth traffic.

3) How do I trigger alerts or trades from levels?

Common patterns: alert when price is within X% of a level, touches a level, or breaks beyond with confirmation. Always make downstream actions idempotent and respect rate limits.

4) Can I combine levels with other endpoints?

Yes—pair with /v2/trading-signals for timing, /v2/tm-grade for quality context, and /v2/quantmetrics for risk sizing. This yields a complete decide-plan-execute loop.

5) Which timeframe should I use?

Intraday bots prefer shorter horizons; swing/position dashboards use daily or higher-timeframe levels. Offer a timeframe toggle and cache results per setting.

6) Do you provide SDKs or examples?

Use the REST snippets above (JS/Python). The docs include quickstarts, Postman collections, and templates—start with Run Hello-TM.

7) Pricing, limits, and enterprise SLAs?

Begin free and scale as you grow. See API plans for rate limits and enterprise SLA options.

Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.

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