Research

Crypto Market Turns Bearish: Expert Analysis on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Top Altcoin Opportunities

Bitcoin, currently trading around $114,000, has experienced what analysts describe as "momentum crashing." Despite reaching an all-time high of $124,000 just last week, the world's largest cryptocurrency has retreated below $115,000, triggering a clear sell signal on technical indicators.
Token Metrics Team
6 min
MIN

The cryptocurrency market has officially shifted into risk-off mode, marking a significant change from the bullish momentum we've witnessed over recent months. According to leading crypto analysts from Token Matrics, while the overall market indicator shows "neutral," the underlying momentum has been declining dramatically – a pattern that demands immediate attention from investors.

Bitcoin's Momentum Crash Signals Market Shift

Bitcoin, currently trading around $114,000, has experienced what analysts describe as "momentum crashing." Despite reaching an all-time high of $124,000 just last week, the world's largest cryptocurrency has retreated below $115,000, triggering a clear sell signal on technical indicators.

This dramatic shift becomes even more apparent when examining the Bitcoin vs Altcoin Season indicator. From July 10th, when 90% of returns were concentrated in Bitcoin during its price discovery phase, the market briefly shifted to an even split between Bitcoin and altcoin returns. However, we're now witnessing a return to Bitcoin dominance – a classic sign of risk-off sentiment among crypto investors.

"I think this is just probably a healthy cooling-off correction. I don't think this is the end per se," explains Ian Belina, highlighting that while the current pullback appears significant, it may represent a necessary market reset rather than a trend reversal.

Ethereum Emerges as the Clear Winner

While Bitcoin struggles with declining momentum, Ethereum has emerged as the standout performer, demonstrating remarkable resilience in the current market environment. Trading around $4,300, Ethereum has surged approximately 70% since June, vastly outperforming Bitcoin's modest 9-10% gains over the same period.

The ETH/BTC ratio has climbed to 2025 highs at 0.037%, signaling a significant shift in investor preference toward Ethereum-based assets. This performance is particularly noteworthy given the regulatory clarity emerging in the United States, which has created favorable conditions for stablecoin protocols and crypto treasury adoption.

Abdullah, Head of Research & Investments at Token Matrics, remains bullish on Ethereum's prospects: "As long as ETH is above 4k, I think ETH holders shouldn't be worried. Ethereum will keep outperforming Bitcoin and Solana within the next one to three months."

Solana Faces Potential 30-40% Correction

Solana presents a more concerning picture, with analysts expecting a potential capitulation event that could see the token decline 30-40% from current levels. Having broken major technical support levels, Solana's momentum indicators have turned decidedly bearish.

However, this bearish outlook comes with a silver lining for long-term investors. "I think it will be a purely buy the dip opportunity before Solana starts to run again for $500 or maybe $1,000 by the end of the cycle," notes Abdullah, suggesting that current weakness may present attractive entry points for patient investors.

Treasury Companies Drive Institutional Adoption

A major catalyst supporting the crypto market's long-term outlook is the continued accumulation by corporate treasuries. MicroStrategy recently purchased an additional 430 Bitcoin for $51 million, bringing its total holdings to approximately $7.2 billion with unrealized gains of $2.6 billion.

The trend extends beyond Bitcoin, with Ethereum treasuries gaining significant momentum. Bitcoin Immersion, led by Tom Lee, has acquired 1.52 million ETH valued at $6.6 billion, making it the second-largest public crypto treasury behind MicroStrategy and the largest for Ethereum specifically.

These institutional moves represent more than mere speculation – they signal a fundamental shift toward crypto as a legitimate treasury asset. As of now, 4% of Bitcoin's supply and 2% of Ethereum's supply is held by public companies and treasury entities.

Top Trading Opportunities in Current Market

Despite the overall bearish sentiment, several tokens continue to show strength and present compelling trading opportunities:

Chainlink (LINK)

Chainlink has emerged as a standout performer, recently breaking through the $22-$23 resistance level that had acted as a range high for over two years. The enterprise L1 narrative is driving adoption, as Wall Street-backed firms launching their own Layer 1 blockchains require reliable oracle services.

"I think it's only a matter of time till Chainlink sees a new all-time high," predicts Abdullah, citing the protocol's dominant market position and recent tokenomics improvements, including a buyback program tied to enterprise revenue.

Pendle (PENDLE)

Despite being undervalued relative to its fundamentals, Pendle continues to show strength with a Total Value Locked (TVL) of approximately $10 billion against a market cap of only $1.4 billion. As the leading yield trading platform, Pendle offers institutional investors the ability to fix yields and trade funding rates with leverage.

Base Ecosystem Tokens

Tokens within the Base ecosystem, including Aerodrome and Zora, have shown resilience despite recent corrections. With Coinbase planning to expand DEX trading access beyond the current 1% of users, these protocols could see significant volume increases.

Market Outlook and Strategy

Looking ahead, analysts expect a consolidation or correction period lasting several weeks into mid-to-late September. However, Q4 remains positioned for potential bullish momentum, particularly if the Federal Reserve delivers dovish commentary at the upcoming Jackson Hole speech.

The key for investors lies in monitoring critical indicators: the market sentiment gauge, Bitcoin vs Altcoin season metrics, and individual token momentum scores. When over 60% of market returns shift to altcoins while the overall market shows strong buy signals, it typically indicates an optimal profit-taking opportunity.

For those navigating this complex environment, focusing on tokens with strong fundamentals, high trader grades (80%+), and positive momentum indicators remains the most prudent approach. While the current market presents challenges, it also offers opportunities for those who can correctly identify and time the strongest performers in each narrative cycle.

The crypto market's evolution continues, and while short-term volatility is inevitable, the underlying infrastructure and institutional adoption trends suggest a maturing asset class with significant long-term potential.

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Token Metrics Team
Token Metrics Team

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Research

Ethereum and Base Ecosystem Rally: Top Crypto Trading Opportunities in 2025

Token Metrics Team
6 min
MIN

Ethereum and Base Ecosystem Rally: Top Crypto Trading Opportunities in 2025

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a significant narrative shift, with Ethereum and Base ecosystem projects leading the charge in early 2025. Recent market analysis reveals a concentrated rally in ETH-related tokens, presenting both opportunities and risks for crypto traders.

The Current Market Narrative: Ethereum Dominance

The crypto market has entered what experts are calling "Ethereum season," with ETH positioning itself as the number two highest-rated token in terms of trader grade. This surge isn't coincidental – it's driven by several key factors:

Public Treasury Adoption

Major corporations are increasingly adding Ethereum to their treasury holdings, following the path Bitcoin paved. This institutional adoption has created sustained buying pressure, with Ethereum benefiting from the same "digital gold" narrative that propelled Bitcoin to new heights.

Base Ecosystem Explosion

Coinbase's Layer 2 solution, Base, has become the most relevant L2 network, overtaking Arbitrum's previous dominance. The recent rebranding of Coinbase Wallet to the "Base app" has created a powerful ecosystem effect, benefiting projects deeply integrated with Base infrastructure.

Top Performing Tokens in the Ethereum/Base Narrative

1. Aerodrome (AERO) - The Base Liquidity King

Current Market Cap: $1.2 billion
FDV: $2.3 billion

Aerodrome has emerged as the go-to liquidity solution for the Base ecosystem. With its tight integration into Coinbase's Base app ecosystem, AERO has significant upside potential as the Base app remains in limited beta. Once full access opens to Coinbase's broader user base, liquidity demand could skyrocket.

Key Advantages:

  • Direct Coinbase backing and integration
  • Lower market cap compared to competitors
  • Strong correlation with overall Base ecosystem growth
  • First-mover advantage in Base liquidity provision

2. Pendle (PENDLE) - The New DeFi Infrastructure Play

Current Market Cap: Under $1 billion
FDV: $1.6 billion

Pendle is positioning itself as essential DeFi infrastructure, often compared to the "new Aave." The project has attracted significant institutional investment and offers unique yield trading mechanisms that differentiate it from traditional lending protocols.

Growth Drivers:

  • 40% gain in the past week
  • Strong institutional backing
  • Innovative yield trading products
  • Lower valuation than established competitors

3. Ethena (ENA) - The Synthetic Stablecoin Revolution

Current Market Cap: $2.3 billion
FDV: $11.6 billion

Ethena has created a revolutionary synthetic stablecoin (USDe) that generates yield through delta-neutral trading strategies. The protocol has achieved remarkable growth, reaching 10 billion in stablecoin supply faster than both USDC and Tether historically.

Unique Features:

  • 18% yield generation in 2024
  • Delta-neutral funding rate arbitrage
  • Tier-1 VC backing (Dragonfly, Pantera)
  • Rapid adoption exceeding traditional stablecoins

Trading Strategy: Narrative-Based Approach

The current market requires a narrative-focused trading strategy rather than pure fundamental analysis. Here's why:

Market Psychology Shift

The crypto market has become increasingly trader-oriented, with attention shifting between sectors rapidly. Projects with strong fundamentals can underperform if they're not part of the current narrative cycle.

Historical Pattern Recognition

Previous cycles show clear rotation patterns:

  • AI agents dominated in late 2024 (AXBT, Virtuals)
  • DePIN had its moment earlier
  • Now Ethereum/Base ecosystem is trending

Risk Management Approach

Smart traders are:

  1. Following trending tokens with high trader grades
  2. Setting alerts for signal changes
  3. Taking profits when narratives shift
  4. Avoiding emotional attachment to fundamentally sound projects outside current narratives

The Coinbase Effect: Why Base Matters

Coinbase's strategic moves are creating a "super app" ecosystem similar to WeChat but built on crypto rails:

Multi-Function Integration

  • DEX Trading: Direct access to decentralized exchanges
  • Social Features: Creator economy through Zora integration
  • Mini Apps: Farcaster-powered applications
  • Payments: Base Pay for USDC transactions

Competitive Positioning

Other exchanges are following suit:

  • OKX launching X Layer with OKB as gas token (+100% recently)
  • Kraken developing Inc L2
  • Bybit expanding Mantle ecosystem

Risk Factors and Exit Strategy

Narrative Rotation Risk

History shows that even blue-chip projects can decline 85-90% when narratives shift. AI tokens like AXBT fell from $0.80 to $0.13 despite strong fundamentals.

Timing Considerations

The Ethereum/Base narrative may be reaching maturity. Smart money is:

  • Monitoring correlation breakdowns between related tokens
  • Watching for volume decreases in trending sectors
  • Preparing for the next narrative (potentially AI resurgence or new sector)

Alert-Based Trading

Successful traders are implementing:

  • Price alerts for key support/resistance levels
  • Signal change notifications for trading grade shifts
  • Volume alerts for unusual activity patterns

Looking Ahead: What's Next?

Potential Catalysts

  • Base app public launch could drive another AERO surge
  • Institutional DeFi adoption may benefit Pendle and Morpho
  • Stablecoin regulations could accelerate Ethena adoption

Sector Rotation Preparation

Smart traders are already positioning for potential rotations into:

  • AI agents (oversold, innovation continuing)
  • DePIN projects (fundamental development ongoing)
  • New narrative emergence (RWAs, GameFi resurgence)

Conclusion

The Ethereum and Base ecosystem rally presents compelling short-term opportunities, but requires disciplined execution and risk management. Focus on projects with strong narrative alignment, lower valuations relative to peers, and clear catalysts for continued growth.

Remember: in the current market environment, being right about fundamentals isn't enough – you need to be right about narrative timing. Stay flexible, use alerts effectively, and be prepared to rotate when the market's attention shifts.

The crypto market moves fast. Stay informed with real-time analysis and trading signals to maximize your opportunities while managing risk effectively.

Research

Choosing the Right Crypto API for Your Bot: REST vs WebSockets Explained

Token Metrics Team
6
MIN

As crypto trading automation accelerates into 2025, choosing the right API interface for your bot could be the critical difference between lagging behind or capitalizing on real-time opportunities. But when it comes to REST vs WebSocket crypto APIs, which technology should you select for power, reliability, and performance? This post details the core differences, essential trade-offs, and latest best practices for crypto API comparison, empowering you to make a technical, mission-aligned decision for your next-generation trading bot.

REST and WebSocket: Core Concepts for Crypto APIs

To understand which API protocol is optimal for your crypto bot in 2025, let’s clarify what REST and WebSocket actually do—especially in a high-frequency, automation-driven ecosystem.


     

     


The fundamental contrast: REST works in a "pull" model (request/response), while WebSockets operate in a "push" paradigm (real-time streams). This distinction plays a major role in how bots interact with exchanges and handle crypto market shifts.

Performance, Latency, and Reliability for Crypto Bots

Performance and data freshness are critical for crypto APIs in 2025. High-frequency or latency-sensitive trading bots depend on receiving accurate, instant data on price movements and order book changes.

       

Yet reliability considerations persist. WebSocket connections may experience drops, require reconnection logic, and occasionally miss events during high network volatility. REST, while slower, may provide more consistency under unstable conditions.

Scalability, Security, and Use Cases in Crypto API Comparison

Your crypto bot’s requirements—frequency of updates, types of orders, and compliance frameworks—may drive the API choice. Here’s how REST and WebSocket compare across scenarios relevant in 2025:


     

     


Security-wise, REST can offer granular access controls per endpoint. WebSockets, though encrypted, have unique session management and timeout considerations—especially important for bots managing real funds.

In the ever-evolving crypto automation landscape, developers and researchers are seeing:


     

     

     


Ultimately, the “better” API depends on your bot’s profile: Speed-critical, event-driven bots gravitate to WebSockets, while research bots or those trading on daily signals may remain with REST. Many leading bot frameworks in 2025 offer seamless switching or even run hybrid workflows for best-in-class resilience.

Practical Tips for Comparing REST vs WebSocket Crypto APIs

When evaluating crypto APIs for your bot or automation project, consider these practical criteria:

    Above all, test API performance in real-market scenarios—using sandboxes or historical replays—to ensure your bot’s architecture is future-proofed for 2025 volatility and growth.

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    FAQ: REST vs WebSocket Crypto APIs for Bots in 2025

    What are the main differences between REST and WebSocket APIs?

    REST APIs use isolated request/response cycles and are suited for infrequent or simple queries. WebSocket APIs sustain continuous, two-way connections for real-time market data updates. The choice depends on whether your bot needs static or streaming data.

    Which API type is better for real-time crypto trading bots?

    WebSocket APIs are preferred for real-time trading bots due to their lower latency and ability to push instant data updates. However, implementation complexity and stability must be considered.

    Can I use both REST and WebSocket in the same bot?

    Yes. Many bots use REST for account management or trade execution and WebSocket for live data streams. This hybrid approach leverages the strengths of each protocol.

    Are there security differences between REST and WebSocket crypto APIs?

    Both protocols utilize SSL encryption and API key-based authentication, but WebSocket sessions require more careful management and regular re-authentication to prevent stale or hijacked connections.

    How do I choose the right API for my crypto bot?

    Assess your bot’s use case—speed versus reliability, frequency of queries, data intensity, and integration requirements. Testing both protocols with your trading logic is recommended for optimization.

    Disclaimer

    This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment, trading, or financial advice. Past performance and API platform capabilities are not guarantees of future results. Always perform independent research and technical due diligence before building or deploying trading bots or utilizing API-based automation tools.

    Research

    Avoid These Common Pitfalls When Creating Your First Crypto Trading Bot

    Token Metrics Team
    6
    MIN

    Coding your first crypto trading bot can be an exciting journey into algorithmic trading, automation, and the world of digital assets. But for many beginners, the path is full of unexpected hurdles. Rushing into bot development without understanding key risks can lead to costly errors, technical failures, and frustration. In this article, we break down the top mistakes to avoid when building your first crypto trading bot, and offer actionable insights so you can start your automation journey on solid ground.

    Jumping in Without Market or Technical Knowledge

    Many new developers are eager to start building a crypto trading bot after seeing success stories or reading about impressive returns from algorithmic strategies. However, skipping foundational learning can result in critical errors:

    • Limited understanding of market structure: Crypto markets operate differently from traditional assets, with unique liquidity, volatility, and trading hours.
    • Lack of programming proficiency: Writing robust, bug-free code is vital. Even minor logic errors can trigger unexpected trades or losses.
    • Neglecting data analysis: Bots rely on processed signals and historical data to inform actions. Without knowing how to interpret or validate data sources, a bot may act on false assumptions.

    Before you start coding, invest time to learn how exchanges work, typical trading strategies, and the programming language you intend to use (often Python or JavaScript for most bot frameworks). Familiarize yourself with basic quantitative analysis and backtesting tools to ground your bot in solid logic.

    Overlooking Risk Management Essentials

    One of the most widespread beginner crypto bot mistakes is failing to build robust risk controls into the automated system. While automation can remove human error and emotion, it cannot protect you from strategy-flaws or market anomalies by default. Major risks include:

    • No stop-loss or position sizing: Without defined parameters, a bot could open positions too large for your portfolio or fail to exit losing trades, compounding losses.
    • Ignoring exchange downtime or slippage: Bots need to account for order execution issues, network delays, or sudden liquidity drops on exchanges.
    • Insufficient monitoring: Set-and-forget mentality is dangerous. Even well-designed bots require monitoring to handle edge-cases or technical glitches.

    Consider embedding risk-limiting features. For example, restrict order sizes to a fraction of your total balance and always code for the possibility of missed, delayed, or partially filled orders.

    Choosing Unstable or Unsafe Exchange APIs

    APIs are the backbone of any crypto trading bot, allowing programmatic access to price data, balances, and order actions. For beginners, choosing subpar or poorly documented APIs is a frequent pitfall. Key issues include:

    • Insecure key storage: API keys grant powerful permissions. Storing them in plain text or repositories increases the risk of theft and account compromise.
    • Throttling and limits: Many exchanges impose usage limits on their APIs. Failing to handle request throttling can break your bot's functionality at critical moments.
    • Lack of redundancy: If your bot depends on a single API and it goes offline, your strategy can fail entirely. Good practice includes fallback data sources and error handling routines.

    Take time to evaluate API documentation, community support, and reliability. Explore well-maintained libraries and modules, and always use environment variables or secure vaults for your credentials.

    Failing to Backtest and Simulate Bot Performance

    It's tempting to deploy your trading bot live the moment it compiles without error. However, skipping backtesting—testing your bot on historical data—or forward-testing on a demo account is a recipe for unexpected behavior. Top mistakes here include:

    • Curve-fitting: Over-optimizing your bot to past data makes it unlikely to work under changing real-world conditions.
    • Test environment differences: Bots may behave differently in a testnet/sandbox compared to mainnet, especially regarding latency and real order matching.
    • Poor scenario coverage: Not simulating rare but critical events (such as flash crashes or API downtime) can leave your bot vulnerable when these inevitabilities occur.

    Carefully test your strategies with a range of market conditions and environments before risking live funds. Look for open-source backtesting libraries and consider using paper trading features offered by many exchanges.

    Neglecting Security and Compliance Considerations

    Crypto trading bots operate with sensitive account access and sometimes large balances at risk. New developers often underestimate the importance of security and regulatory compliance. Watch out for:

    • API abuse or leaks: Credentials, if exposed, can lead to unauthorized actions on your exchange accounts.
    • Open-source hazards: Downloading random code from forums or GitHub can introduce backdoors or exploits.
    • Compliance oversight: Depending on your location, automated trading or data collection may have legal implications. Always review exchange policies and seek out reliable, neutral sources on legal requirements before deploying trading bots.

    Implement best practices for code security and stay attentive to legal developments in your jurisdiction. Avoid shortcuts that could put your assets or reputation in danger.

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    What programming languages are best for building a crypto trading bot?

    Most crypto trading bots are built in Python or JavaScript due to strong libraries and exchange support. Some advanced users deploy bots in Java, C#, or Go for higher performance, but Python is considered beginner-friendly.

    How can I test my crypto bot safely before going live?

    Start with backtesting using historical data, then use exchange-provided sandboxes or paper trading environments. This lets you observe your bot’s actual behavior without risking real money or assets.

    What are best practices for managing API keys securely?

    Store API keys in environment variables or encrypted vaults, restrict key permissions, and never share or publish them. Rotate keys periodically and monitor logs for unauthorized activity.

    Can a crypto bot lose money even with a tested strategy?

    Yes; even well-tested bots can lose money due to market changes, exchange outages, slippage, or unforeseen bugs. Continuous monitoring and updates are essential for risk control.

    What tools or platforms can help beginners build better crypto trading bots?

    Platforms offering real-time market data, robust APIs, and community support can help. AI-powered research tools like Token Metrics can assist with backtesting and market analysis, while open-source frameworks provide learning resources.

    Disclaimer

    This article is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, financial, or trading advice. Crypto trading bots carry risks, and readers should conduct thorough research and consult with professionals as appropriate. Always follow relevant laws and exchange terms of service.

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