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Research
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Stop Guessing, Start Trading: The Token Metrics API Advantage
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Big news: We’re cranking up the heat on AI-driven crypto analytics with the launch of the Token Metrics API and our official SDK (Software Development Kit). This isn’t just an upgrade – it's a quantum leap, giving traders, hedge funds, developers, and institutions direct access to cutting-edge market intelligence, trading signals, and predictive analytics.
Crypto markets move fast, and having real-time, AI-powered insights can be the difference between catching the next big trend or getting left behind. Until now, traders and quants have been wrestling with scattered data, delayed reporting, and a lack of truly predictive analytics. Not anymore.
The Token Metrics API delivers 32+ high-performance endpoints packed with powerful AI-driven insights right into your lap, including:
- Trading Signals: AI-driven buy/sell recommendations based on real-time market conditions.
- Investor & Trader Grades: Our proprietary risk-adjusted scoring for assessing crypto assets.
- Price Predictions: Machine learning-powered forecasts for multiple time frames.
- Sentiment Analysis: Aggregated insights from social media, news, and market data.
- Market Indicators: Advanced metrics, including correlation analysis, volatility trends, and macro-level market insights.
Getting started with the Token Metrics API is simple:
- Sign up at www.tokenmetrics.com/api.
- Generate an API key and explore sample requests.
- Choose a tier–start with 50 free API calls/month, or stake TMAI tokens for premium access.
- Optionally–download the SDK, install it for your preferred programming language, and follow the provided setup guide.
At Token Metrics, we believe data should be decentralized, predictive, and actionable.
The Token Metrics API & SDK bring next-gen AI-powered crypto intelligence to anyone looking to trade smarter, build better, and stay ahead of the curve. With our official SDK, developers can plug these insights into their own trading bots, dashboards, and research tools – no need to reinvent the wheel.
Research
The Death of "Buy and Hold": Why Crypto Has Become a Trader's Market in 2025
The cryptocurrency landscape has fundamentally shifted, and traditional investment strategies are failing investors across the board. If you're wondering why your altcoin portfolio is down 95% despite solid fundamentals, you're not alone—and there's a critical reason behind this market transformation.
The New Reality: Attention Economy Over Fundamentals
According to recent market analysis from Token Metrics, we've entered what experts are calling a "trader's market." The old premise of buying based on technology and fundamentals has essentially expired this cycle. Instead, crypto has evolved into an attention economy focused on trading narratives rather than long-term value accumulation.
"The old strategy of buying and holding fundamental assets like in past cycles and expecting them to do well—that ship has sailed," explains Ian Balina, highlighting a harsh reality many investors are facing.
Why Traditional Strategies Are Failing
The core issue lies in market saturation. Today's crypto market features 100 to 1,000 times more tokens competing for the same amount of trading volume as previous cycles. This massive increase in competition has fundamentally altered market dynamics, making it nearly impossible for individual projects to maintain sustained growth through fundamentals alone.
Key factors driving this shift include:
- Overwhelming token supply: New projects launch daily, diluting attention and capital
- Shortened attention spans: Investors jump between narratives quickly
- Professional trading dominance: Algorithmic and institutional trading has increased market efficiency
- Narrative-driven cycles: Success depends more on timing and story than underlying technology
The Altcoin Season Indicator: Your Market Timing Tool
One crucial metric investors should monitor is the Bitcoin versus Altcoin Season indicator. Currently sitting at 58%, this metric suggests that nearly 60% of returns are flowing into altcoins rather than Bitcoin.
Historically, when this indicator crosses 57%, it signals an ideal time to start trimming altcoin profits. The danger zone begins at 60% and above—previous cycle tops have seen this metric reach 80-88%, marking optimal exit points.
"This is literally a leading indicator historically on when to sell the top," notes the analysis, pointing to data from 2021 and 2022 cycle peaks.
Treasury Company Revolution: The New Institutional Wave
Despite challenges in traditional crypto investing, institutional adoption continues accelerating through treasury companies. MicroStrategy leads with $70 billion in Bitcoin holdings, including $23 billion in unrealized gains. BitMine recently purchased $2.2 billion worth of Ethereum, targeting 5% of ETH's total supply.
This institutional wave extends beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum:
- Solana: Multiple companies are raising billions for SOL-focused treasury strategies
- BNB: B Strategy launched a $1 billion vehicle backed by Binance's founder
- Multi-asset approaches: Diversified treasury companies are emerging across major cryptocurrencies
Projects Bucking the Trend: What's Actually Working
While most altcoins struggle, certain projects demonstrate sustainable growth models. Hyperliquid stands out as a prime example, maintaining consistent upward momentum through:
- On-chain revenue generation: Real trading fees and volume
- Token buyback mechanisms: 97% of revenue used for token purchases
- Growing user adoption: Institutional-level trades moving to the platform
Similarly, projects with genuine utility and revenue sharing are outperforming purely speculative assets.
The Meme Coin Exception
Interestingly, meme coins represent one segment that continues generating significant returns, albeit with extreme volatility. Projects like Bub (up 30% recently) demonstrate that community-driven assets can still achieve impressive gains, though these remain high-risk trading opportunities rather than investment plays.
World Liberty Financial: The Next Major Catalyst
Looking ahead, World Liberty Financial (WLFI) represents a significant upcoming event. Backed by the Trump family and featuring partnerships with established DeFi projects, WLFI launches September 1st with several notable characteristics:
- Fastest-growing stablecoin: USD1 reached $2.5 billion market cap
- Strong institutional backing: $715 million raised across funding rounds
- Treasury support: Alt 5 creating $1.5 billion treasury for the token
- Pre-market trading: Currently available on major exchanges around $0.20
Strategies for the New Market Reality
Given these market dynamics, successful crypto participants are adapting their approaches:
For Non-Traders
- Yield farming: Earn 7-10% on blue chips through DeFi protocols
- Diversified staking: Spread risk across multiple platforms
- Focus on revenue-sharing projects: Prioritize tokens with real utility
For Active Participants
- Narrative trading: Follow attention cycles and social sentiment
- Risk management: Take profits during pumps, maintain stop-losses
- Sector rotation: Move between trending narratives (AI, DeFi, memes)
The Path Forward
The crypto market's evolution into a trader's paradise doesn't mean opportunities have disappeared—they've simply changed form. Success now requires:
- Accepting the new reality: Buy-and-hold strategies need modification
- Developing trading skills: Even long-term investors need exit strategies
- Following institutional flows: Treasury companies signal major trends
- Monitoring key indicators: Use tools like altcoin season metrics
- Risk management: Position sizing and profit-taking become crucial
Conclusion
The transformation of crypto from a fundamentals-driven market to an attention-based trading ecosystem represents a natural evolution as the space matures. While this shift has created challenges for traditional investors, it has also opened new opportunities for those willing to adapt their strategies.
The key lies in understanding that we're no longer in 2017 or 2021—we're in a new era where narrative, timing, and trading acumen matter more than technology assessments. Those who embrace this reality while maintaining disciplined risk management will be best positioned for success in the current market environment.
Whether you're yielding farming for steady returns, trading narratives for quick gains, or waiting for the next institutional wave, the most important step is acknowledging that the rules have changed—and your strategy should change with them.
Research
Treasury Companies and ETFs: How Institutional Money is Reshaping Crypto in 2025
The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a seismic shift as institutional adoption accelerates through treasury companies and exchange-traded funds. This institutional wave is fundamentally altering market dynamics and creating new investment opportunities for both retail and professional investors.
The Treasury Company Explosion
Treasury companies have emerged as the dominant force driving crypto adoption in 2025. These entities, which hold cryptocurrency as primary treasury assets, are experiencing unprecedented growth and creating massive buying pressure across major digital assets.
MicroStrategy Leads the Charge
MicroStrategy continues to dominate Bitcoin treasury holdings with an impressive $70 billion worth of Bitcoin, including $23 billion in unrealized gains. The company's strategy has proven so successful that it's spawning imitators across multiple cryptocurrency ecosystems.
Recent data shows treasury companies are expanding beyond Bitcoin into Ethereum and other major cryptocurrencies, creating diversified institutional exposure to digital assets.
Ethereum Treasury Revolution
BitMine recently made headlines with a $2.2 billion Ethereum purchase, signaling institutional confidence in ETH's long-term prospects. The company has set an ambitious target of capturing 5% of Ethereum's total supply, demonstrating the scale of institutional appetite.
This move coincides with Ethereum hitting new all-time highs of $4,946, up 250% from April lows. The combination of treasury company purchases and growing DeFi activity has created a powerful upward momentum for ETH.
Beyond Bitcoin: Diversification Across Ecosystems
Solana Treasury Strategies
The Solana ecosystem is witnessing significant institutional interest:
- Sharp Technologies raised $400 million with Paradigm and Pantera for SOL treasury operations
- Galaxy Jump and Multicoin are raising $1 billion for a Solana-focused treasury company
- These developments suggest Solana may soon follow Bitcoin and Ethereum's institutional adoption path
BNB Strategic Holdings
B Strategy, backed by Binance founder CZ and former Bitman CFO, launched a $1 billion US-listed vehicle specifically to purchase BNB tokens. This institutional backing provides significant credibility to Binance's native token and demonstrates the expanding scope of treasury strategies.
The Stablecoin Revolution
Parallel to treasury company growth, stablecoins are experiencing explosive expansion. Total stablecoin supply now exceeds $250 billion, with projections suggesting growth to $1 trillion by next year.
MetaMask Enters the Stablecoin Race
MetaMask's launch of MUSD, their native stablecoin developed with Bridge (acquired by Stripe), represents a significant development. Key features include:
- Multi-chain deployment: Initially on Ethereum and Linea
- 30 million user base: Immediate access to a massive user network
- MasterCard integration: Direct retail spending capabilities
- Seamless experience: On-ramp, swap, transfers, and bridging within MetaMask
Current supply stands at 41 million MUSD with 5,000 holders, but this is expected to grow rapidly to billions given MetaMask's user base.
Traditional Institution Adoption
Several major developments indicate mainstream financial adoption:
Singapore's DBS Bank launched tokenized structured notes on Ethereum mainnet, though initially limited to accredited investors.
SBI Holdings from Japan, managing $74 billion, entered a joint venture with Startale to tokenize US and Japanese stocks, enabling 24/7 trading and fractional ownership.
Multiple South Korean banks are in discussions with Tether and Circle to distribute USD stablecoins, following increasing regulatory clarity.
ETF Expansion and Regulatory Progress
The ETF landscape continues expanding beyond Bitcoin, creating new institutional access points:
Solana ETF Applications
- VanEck and Jito filed for Solana ETF applications
- Solana Foundation and Multicoin are leveraging SEC guidelines for liquid staking ETFs
- The deadline for approval is October, with industry experts optimistic about approval
Ethereum Momentum
Ethereum ETFs are seeing increased inflows as institutional interest grows. The combination of ETF buying and treasury company purchases is creating sustained upward pressure on ETH prices.
AI and Privacy Tokens Gaining Institutional Interest
Venice AI: Privacy-Focused Innovation
Vanna AI represents a new category of projects attracting institutional attention. Founded by Eric Voorhees (Shapeshift founder), the project offers:
- Privacy-first AI: Local inference without data upload to centralized servers
- Multiple AI models: Text, image, and specialized model integration
- Fair token distribution: 50% airdropped to community
- Stake for Access: API credits model with $1 per day per staked token
- Growing adoption: 6 million monthly visitors indicate mainstream appeal
The project demonstrates how utility-focused tokens can attract both institutional and retail interest through genuine product-market fit.
Hidden Opportunities in Emerging Ecosystems
Hyperliquid Ecosystem Growth
The Hyperliquid ecosystem is experiencing explosive growth, with several projects showing institutional-grade metrics:
Kinetic Protocol serves as the liquid staking solution for Hyperliquid's native HYPE token, similar to Lido for Ethereum. TVL has grown from under $400 million to over $1.7 billion, demonstrating organic adoption.
Unit Protocol acts as the native bridge for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and USDC to Hyperliquid, with nearly $1 billion TVL despite no active point system.
DeFi Infrastructure Expansion
Traditional DeFi protocols are expanding to capture multi-chain market share:
- AAVE launched on Aptos, becoming the first major DeFi protocol on a Move-language blockchain
- Multi-chain strategies are becoming standard for major protocols
- Increased TVL across networks shows growing institutional DeFi adoption
Consumer Applications and Mass Adoption
Base Ecosystem Leadership
Base, Coinbase's Layer 2 solution, is emerging as a leader in consumer-focused crypto applications. The rebrand from Coinbase Wallet to Base App signals a broader strategy to become the "super app" for crypto.
Recent consumer applications include:
- Fantasy Football platforms generating millions in revenue within days of launch
- Gaming integrations bringing Web2 users into crypto seamlessly
- Social and entertainment apps abstracting blockchain complexity
Investment Strategies for the New Landscape
Blue Chip Focus
Given the institutional wave, experts recommend focusing on established assets:
- Bitcoin: Continued treasury adoption and regulatory clarity
- Ethereum: DeFi growth and institutional ETF flows
- Solana: Emerging treasury strategies and ETF potential
- Hyperliquid: Revenue-generating protocol with strong tokenomics
Emerging Opportunities
Secondary opportunities include:
- Liquid staking tokens on growing ecosystems
- Bridge and infrastructure protocols with real revenue
- Privacy-focused AI projects with utility beyond speculation
- Consumer applications with demonstrated product-market fit
Risk Management in Institutional Markets
Valuation Metrics
Treasury companies often trade at premiums to their underlying holdings, similar to traditional investment vehicles. Key metrics to monitor:
- Net Asset Value (NAV): Compare stock price to underlying crypto holdings
- Premium levels: Historical peaks around 2.5x suggest caution
- Revenue generation: Focus on companies with operating businesses beyond holding crypto
Market Timing
The altcoin season indicator currently sits at 58%, approaching the 60%+ zone that historically marks cycle tops. This suggests:
- Profit-taking opportunities may emerge soon
- Risk management becomes crucial as markets mature
- Diversification across asset classes and strategies
The Future of Institutional Crypto
The institutional adoption wave shows no signs of slowing. Predictions suggest:
- $10 trillion stablecoin market within 2-3 years
- Multiple treasury companies for each major cryptocurrency
- Regulatory clarity enabling broader institutional participation
- Consumer applications bringing billions of users to crypto
Conclusion
The convergence of treasury companies, ETF expansion, and consumer application growth is creating a new phase of cryptocurrency adoption. Unlike previous cycles driven by retail speculation, this institutional wave appears sustainable and growing.
Investors who understand these trends and position accordingly—whether through direct cryptocurrency exposure, treasury company stocks, or emerging ecosystem tokens—are likely to benefit from this fundamental shift in crypto market structure.
The key is recognizing that we're no longer in an early-stage speculative market, but rather witnessing the birth of a mature digital asset class with institutional backing, regulatory clarity, and real-world utility. This transformation creates both opportunities and risks that require sophisticated analysis and strategic positioning.
Research
Crypto Market Turns Bearish: Expert Analysis on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Top Altcoin Opportunities
The cryptocurrency market has officially shifted into risk-off mode, marking a significant change from the bullish momentum we've witnessed over recent months. According to leading crypto analysts from Token Matrics, while the overall market indicator shows "neutral," the underlying momentum has been declining dramatically – a pattern that demands immediate attention from investors.
Bitcoin's Momentum Crash Signals Market Shift
Bitcoin, currently trading around $114,000, has experienced what analysts describe as "momentum crashing." Despite reaching an all-time high of $124,000 just last week, the world's largest cryptocurrency has retreated below $115,000, triggering a clear sell signal on technical indicators.
This dramatic shift becomes even more apparent when examining the Bitcoin vs Altcoin Season indicator. From July 10th, when 90% of returns were concentrated in Bitcoin during its price discovery phase, the market briefly shifted to an even split between Bitcoin and altcoin returns. However, we're now witnessing a return to Bitcoin dominance – a classic sign of risk-off sentiment among crypto investors.
"I think this is just probably a healthy cooling-off correction. I don't think this is the end per se," explains Ian Belina, highlighting that while the current pullback appears significant, it may represent a necessary market reset rather than a trend reversal.
Ethereum Emerges as the Clear Winner
While Bitcoin struggles with declining momentum, Ethereum has emerged as the standout performer, demonstrating remarkable resilience in the current market environment. Trading around $4,300, Ethereum has surged approximately 70% since June, vastly outperforming Bitcoin's modest 9-10% gains over the same period.
The ETH/BTC ratio has climbed to 2025 highs at 0.037%, signaling a significant shift in investor preference toward Ethereum-based assets. This performance is particularly noteworthy given the regulatory clarity emerging in the United States, which has created favorable conditions for stablecoin protocols and crypto treasury adoption.
Abdullah, Head of Research & Investments at Token Matrics, remains bullish on Ethereum's prospects: "As long as ETH is above 4k, I think ETH holders shouldn't be worried. Ethereum will keep outperforming Bitcoin and Solana within the next one to three months."
Solana Faces Potential 30-40% Correction
Solana presents a more concerning picture, with analysts expecting a potential capitulation event that could see the token decline 30-40% from current levels. Having broken major technical support levels, Solana's momentum indicators have turned decidedly bearish.
However, this bearish outlook comes with a silver lining for long-term investors. "I think it will be a purely buy the dip opportunity before Solana starts to run again for $500 or maybe $1,000 by the end of the cycle," notes Abdullah, suggesting that current weakness may present attractive entry points for patient investors.
Treasury Companies Drive Institutional Adoption
A major catalyst supporting the crypto market's long-term outlook is the continued accumulation by corporate treasuries. MicroStrategy recently purchased an additional 430 Bitcoin for $51 million, bringing its total holdings to approximately $7.2 billion with unrealized gains of $2.6 billion.
The trend extends beyond Bitcoin, with Ethereum treasuries gaining significant momentum. Bitcoin Immersion, led by Tom Lee, has acquired 1.52 million ETH valued at $6.6 billion, making it the second-largest public crypto treasury behind MicroStrategy and the largest for Ethereum specifically.
These institutional moves represent more than mere speculation – they signal a fundamental shift toward crypto as a legitimate treasury asset. As of now, 4% of Bitcoin's supply and 2% of Ethereum's supply is held by public companies and treasury entities.
Top Trading Opportunities in Current Market
Despite the overall bearish sentiment, several tokens continue to show strength and present compelling trading opportunities:
Chainlink (LINK)
Chainlink has emerged as a standout performer, recently breaking through the $22-$23 resistance level that had acted as a range high for over two years. The enterprise L1 narrative is driving adoption, as Wall Street-backed firms launching their own Layer 1 blockchains require reliable oracle services.
"I think it's only a matter of time till Chainlink sees a new all-time high," predicts Abdullah, citing the protocol's dominant market position and recent tokenomics improvements, including a buyback program tied to enterprise revenue.
Pendle (PENDLE)
Despite being undervalued relative to its fundamentals, Pendle continues to show strength with a Total Value Locked (TVL) of approximately $10 billion against a market cap of only $1.4 billion. As the leading yield trading platform, Pendle offers institutional investors the ability to fix yields and trade funding rates with leverage.
Base Ecosystem Tokens
Tokens within the Base ecosystem, including Aerodrome and Zora, have shown resilience despite recent corrections. With Coinbase planning to expand DEX trading access beyond the current 1% of users, these protocols could see significant volume increases.
Market Outlook and Strategy
Looking ahead, analysts expect a consolidation or correction period lasting several weeks into mid-to-late September. However, Q4 remains positioned for potential bullish momentum, particularly if the Federal Reserve delivers dovish commentary at the upcoming Jackson Hole speech.
The key for investors lies in monitoring critical indicators: the market sentiment gauge, Bitcoin vs Altcoin season metrics, and individual token momentum scores. When over 60% of market returns shift to altcoins while the overall market shows strong buy signals, it typically indicates an optimal profit-taking opportunity.
For those navigating this complex environment, focusing on tokens with strong fundamentals, high trader grades (80%+), and positive momentum indicators remains the most prudent approach. While the current market presents challenges, it also offers opportunities for those who can correctly identify and time the strongest performers in each narrative cycle.
The crypto market's evolution continues, and while short-term volatility is inevitable, the underlying infrastructure and institutional adoption trends suggest a maturing asset class with significant long-term potential.
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Token Metrics Media LLC is a regular publication of information, analysis, and commentary focused especially on blockchain technology and business, cryptocurrency, blockchain-based tokens, market trends, and trading strategies.
Token Metrics Media LLC does not provide individually tailored investment advice and does not take a subscriber’s or anyone’s personal circumstances into consideration when discussing investments; nor is Token Metrics Advisers LLC registered as an investment adviser or broker-dealer in any jurisdiction.
Information contained herein is not an offer or solicitation to buy, hold, or sell any security. The Token Metrics team has advised and invested in many blockchain companies. A complete list of their advisory roles and current holdings can be viewed here: https://tokenmetrics.com/disclosures.html/
Token Metrics Media LLC relies on information from various sources believed to be reliable, including clients and third parties, but cannot guarantee the accuracy and completeness of that information. Additionally, Token Metrics Media LLC does not provide tax advice, and investors are encouraged to consult with their personal tax advisors.
All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of money you invest, and past performance does not guarantee future performance. Ratings and price predictions are provided for informational and illustrative purposes, and may not reflect actual future performance.
